Monday 10-28-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

Oct 28 '19, 7:05 PM in 10h
NHL | Coyotes vs Sabres
Play on: Coyotes +109 at betonline

#1 GOALTENDERS: ARIZONA - DARCY KUEMPER, BUFFALO - CARTER HUTTON
Arizona has won 5 of their L/6 games behind a defense that allows an average of 2.1 gpg in regulation time this season, and deserve our respect here vs another up-trending team the Buffalo Sabres. I know the Sabres are also playing well winning 4 of their L/5 and are undefeated at home this season with a 5-0 record, but tonight Im betting their going to have their hands full with a side ,that according to my power rankings projections matches well against them. Plenty of value here with a side that is a viable investment on a plus ML.
ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons.
Play on the Arizona Coyotes to win on the ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Oct 28 '19, 7:35 PM in 10h
NBA | Magic vs Raptors
Play on: UNDER 212½ -109

1* Free Play on Magic/Raptors under 212½ -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Oct 28 '19, 7:35 PM in 10h
NBA | Magic vs Raptors
Play on: Magic +5 -115 at Bovada

MIKE LUNDIN'S MAGIC @ RAPTORS FREE PICK
The Toronto Raptors are off to a decent 2-1 SU and ATS start to the season following a 108-84 rout of the Chicago Bulls on Saturday. I think we all can agree that they've not returned nearly as strong of a team that won the championship last season though, and I think the Orlando Magic will put up a fight at Scotiabank Arena Monday night.
The Magic have yet to cover the spread this season, but this will be their first game as an underdog after being favored at home against Cleveland and at Atlanta. They went 9-5 ATS as a road underdog of five or fewer points last season and are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Additionally, we can note that this will be not only the Raptors third game in four nights but also a stop in a third different city coming off road games at Boston and Chicago. Orlando has fresher legs which should allow the team to keep it close.
Free pick on Orlando Magic.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti

Oct 28 '19, 10:05 PM in 13h
NBA | Jazz vs Suns
Play on: UNDER 217½ -107

The NBA Comp Play is on the Under 217 in the Utah at Phoenix game at 10:05 eastern.These two have stayed under the last 5 in this series. The Jazz have gone under the last 6 times and a work man like 9 of 10 on Mondays as well as 9 of 12 vs Pacific division teams. The Suns are 5 of 6 under after scoring 125 or more, 6 of 8 vs .600 or better opponents as well as 4 of 5 off a win. This game also fits an 80% system from the NBA Database going under for rested road favorites like Utah that come in off spread win by 7 or more as a home favorite vs a team that covered the spread and scored 110 or more as a home dog. Look for this one to stay under the total. For the NBA Free Play. Take Utan and Phoenix under the total. Rob V- GC Sports.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 28

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ARIZONA (6-3-0-1, 13 pts.) at BUFFALO (9-2-0-1, 19 pts.) - 10/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 9-3 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 11-4 ATS (+16.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 9-3 ATS (+5.8 Units) first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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FLORIDA (5-2-0-4, 14 pts.) at VANCOUVER (6-3-0-1, 13 pts.) - 10/28/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 398-383 ATS (-45.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 2-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 28


Arizona @ Buffalo

Game 65-66
October 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
11.693
Buffalo
10.211
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+100); Under

Florida @ Vancouver

Game 67-68
October 28, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
11.044
Vancouver
12.599
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(-125); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MNF - Dolphins at Steelers
Tony Mejia

Miami at Pittsburgh (-14, 43.5), 8:15 pm ET, ESPN

Every season, we seem to get a couple of those games that leave us wondering how they were included among the NFL’s marquee Monday night offerings. Don’t they want us to watch?

There was no way to envision that Ben Roethlisberger would be sidelined for the season, leaving the Steelers (2-4 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) in dire straits. The Dolphins (0-6, 2-4) opted to turn themselves into one of the worst teams in league history once the schedule was already announced, executing their fire sale in the preseason to suck the life out of their remaining players.

Still, someone should apologize for sticking the nation with Miami at Pittsburgh as if it were ever worthy of such a stage. The NBA should send thank you notes and has to be pleased with its decision to still have their free preview of League Pass in place as it will likely attract some eyeballs it may not have gathered if the night’s game were, say, Packers at Chiefs.

The last time these teams met on Monday Night Football, the Steelers won 3-0, scoring with 20 seconds left. They were a heavy favorite that night too in a QB matchup that featured Big Ben against John Beck. Let's cross our fingers that we don't see a revival of that type of game from 12 years ago.

The on-field product should ideally benefit from both of these teams coming in after arguably their top performances of the season.

The Steelers went out to Los Angeles in Week 6 and took a 24-0 lead on the Chargers before holding on for a 24-17 win as a six-point underdog (+235 ML) in a stadium packed with fans clad in black and yellow. Despite undrafted rookie Delvin “Duck” Hodges making his first pro start, the Steelers’ defense capitalized on an early L.A. turnover and overwhelmed Philip Rivers and his unit over the first three quarters before holding on for a 24-17 win.

Pittsburgh, which is 3-0-1 against the number in its last four, was on its bye last week, allowing Mason Rudolph to heal effectively enough from a concussion to reclaim his starting job.

Miami hosted Buffalo eight days ago and led in the second quarter for the first time all season, actually holding an advantage into the fourth. It then surrendered 22 points in a 31-21 win that doesn’t properly indicate how close the game was since Bills’ DB Micah Hyde took an onside kick into the end zone for the game’s final points with 1:38 left. The Dolphins covered a 17-point spread and have actually cashed in each of the last few weeks.

First-year head coach Brian Flores has been put in an awful position by the organization but has managed to put together a team that now looks willing to compete after appearing dispirited through the first few weeks. Guys openly asked out after the front office traded a number of their leaders and most talented players just before the regular-season began, clearly turning the page and attempting to position themselves to finish with the league’s worst record.

In ending up a successful two-point conversion shy of beating visiting Washington in Week 6 after nearly erasing all of a 17-3 fourth-quarter deficit, Miami nearly deviated from its tank job thanks to the effectiveness of backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. The veteran came on for an inconsistent Josh Rosen and generated offense with some accurate passes downfield. In a puzzling move given the state of the franchise, Flores awarded Fitzpatrick back the job he lost entering Week 3. He correctly believes that gives the Dolphins their best chance to win, which goes against the point of the entire season.

Free safety Minkah Fitzpatrick, one of the players who was exiled after being unhappy with the team’s direction, will now lineup against Miami as a key member of the Steelers’ secondary, having already picked off a pass and forced a fumble. The No. 11 pick in the ’18 NFL Draft wasn’t thrilled with being a rover in Flores’ alignment and hated playing for a team that was essentially mailing it in, so he requested a deal and ended up being moved in a package that includes the Steelers’ first-round pick in April.

Pittsburgh is certainly in a state of flux due to the offseason cutting of ties with receiver Antonio Brown on the heels of a well-publicized contract dispute with RB Le’Veon Bell, now with the Jets. Roethlisberger’s season-ending elbow injury after a 28-26 Week 2 loss in Seattle compounded matters, but the acquisition of Fitzgerald and the win over the Chargers on the heels of an OT setback against the rival Ravens suggests the Steelers have a lot of fight left. This is the first of three straight home games, so holding serve as a heavy favorite against Miami will put them in position to get back to .500 on Sunday against the visiting Colts.

Following an 0-3 start, that would be quite an accomplishment given the adversity to date. Rudolph hasn’t taken the field in over three weeks after being knocked out cold by Baltimore safety Earl Thomas but put together a solid run as a starter, playing effectively in a 24-20 loss at San Francisco that the Steelers covered in before beating the Bengals 27-3 on Sept. 30 in a Monday night debut that featured 24-for-28 passing and TD tosses to James Conner and rookie Diontae Johnson.

Although he’s operated mostly out of shotgun and hasn’t been asked to run the no-huddle look that has become customary under Roethlisberger, Rudolph has looked like one of the most effective members of the 2017 quarterback draft class featuring Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Josh Allen and Rosen.

The third-round pick will be trying to take advantage of a Dolphins’ inexperienced secondary that has contributed to surrendering 417 yards per game, which ranked 30th of 32 entering the week. Rudolph has seven TD passes and has been picked off twice, so this will be an opportunity for him to pick up where he left off before taking a vicious hit and leaving Heinz Field via cart on Oct. 6. He has no memory of the incident.

While Hodges got the job done in L.A., Pittsburgh’s realistic chances to win the AFC North and return to the playoffs for the fifth straight season hinge on Rudolph staying healthy and improving, so his performance here is what most bears watching in this MNF dud. Inclement weather won’t be a factor with a clear night featuring temperatures in the mid-50s expected.

TOTAL TALK

The total on this game opened at 43 and most books are holding 43 ½ as of Monday morning. The Steelers and Dolphins have both leaned to the ‘under’ this season, producing 4-2 records in their first six games.VegasInsider totals expert Chris David offered up his total thoughts on the Monday night matchup.

“The Dolphins offense has shown a little more pop recently with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback but he’s still hit or miss and can often kill drives with key turnovers, something we saw twice in last week’s loss at Buffalo," said David. Pittsburgh will be playing with rest and this is the first of three straight games at Heinz Field, so avoiding a letdown shouldn’t be in the cards. The Steelers have scored 20-plus points in five consecutive games since losing 33-3 at New England in Week 1, but the defense has helped that cause with touchdowns and creating short tracks.”

Bettors should note that Pittsburgh has watched the ‘over’ go 3-2 in its last five games off the bye and the Steelers have averaged 25.8 PPG. Digging into those numbers further, the Steelers played two of those games at home and they scored 33 and 32 points.

“Pittsburgh has thrived under the lights at home, averaging 32.6 PPG in their last five from Heinz and that includes a 27-3 domination over Cincy in Week 4 on a Monday night," said David. "The so-called sharps and pros started buying Miami with the points early and while the Dolphins have covered two straight games, I’m not sold. The defense is terrible and the front-seven has been abysmal. They only have seven sacks in six games and while I’m not high on the backup QBs for Pittsburgh, I expect the chains to get moved tonight."

The Team Total on Pittsburgh is a little rich at 28 ½ or 29 depending where you shop," David added, "but I expect the Steelers to hit 30-plus points here."

Going back to last season, the Dolphins have watched the ‘over’ go 3-1 in their last four road games and the defense 36.3 PPG.

LINE MOVEMENT

Miami Dolphins
Projected season win total: 4.5 (Over +100, Under -120)
Odds to win AFC East (pre-Week 1/current): 125/1 to 2000/1
Odds to win AFC (pre-Week 1/current): 250/1 to 25000/1
Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 500/1 to 50000/1

Pittsburgh Steelers
Projected season win total: 9.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Odds to win AFC North (pre-Week 1/current): 13/10 to 15/4
Odds to win AFC (pre-Week 1/current): 9/1 to 50/1
Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 18/1 to 100/1

ODDSMAKER'S TAKE

Caesars' Senior Oddsmaker Alan Berg provides insights from behind the counter.

"Early sharp action came in on Miami but it seems like there are various opinions on this one. Right now (Sunday night), we'd need the Steelers," said Berg, whose terrific observations can be found on Twitter at @PercentBerg. "There probably won't be as much volume as a great matchup, but the Steelers are popular and should generate interest."

INJURY CONCERNS

Although he's not injured, RB Kenyan Drake didn't travel with the Dolphins to Pittsburgh and is to be traded to Arizona as the team's fire sale continues. Mark Walton and Kalen Ballage are expected to get the bulk of the work at running back. Safety Reshad Jones (chest) won't play but corner Xavien Howard will return. Center Daniel Kilgore (knee) has also been ruled out.

The bye week came at a great time for Pittsburgh, which lists LBs T.J. Watt (abdominal) and Mark Barron (hamstring) as probable and will also get back fullback Roosevelt Nix (knee). Top backs James Conner (quad) and Jaylen Samuels (knee) are probable too, as is WR James Washington. DE Stephon Tuitt (pectoral) remains out.

RECENT MEETINGS

(Steelers 6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS last eight, OVER 5-3)

1/8/17 Steelers 30-12 vs. Dolphins (PIT -11, 47.5)
10/16/16 Dolphins 30-15 vs. Steelers (MIA +7.5, 40.5)
12/8/13 Dolphins 34-28 at Steelers (MIA +3, 40.5)
10/24/10 Steelers 23-22 at Dolphins (MIA +3, 40.5)
1/3/10 Steelers 30-24 at Dolphins (PIT -3, 46)
11/26/07 Steelers 3-0 vs. Dolphins (MIA +16, 38.5)
9/7/06 Steelers 28-17 vs. Dolphins (PIT -1.5, 34.5)
9/26/04 Steelers 13-3 at Dolphins (PIT +2.5, 31)

NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED

The Westgate opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 9 currently has the Steelers as a pick'em against Indianapolis, which comes in atop the AFC South and on a three-game winning streak. The Dolphns return home to face AFC East rival New York. The Jets are a 6.5-point favorite in South Florida.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Magic at Raptors (-4 ½, 212 ½) – 7:35 PM EST

The first opponent that Toronto eliminated in the playoffs on its way to its first championship in franchise history was Orlando last April. After the Magic shocked the Raptors in the series opener, Toronto grabbed the next four games to advance to the second round. In spite of Kawhi Leonard venturing west, the Raptors have won two of their first three games, including a 24-point blowout of the Bulls on Saturday night. Toronto rebounded off a loss at Boston on Friday as five Raptors finished with double-figures on Saturday, led by Pascal Siakam’s 19 points.

The Magic are fresh off a Southeast division title, but Orlando is coming off its first loss of the season in a 103-99 defeat at Atlanta as 2 ½-point road favorites on Saturday. Orlando has failed to bust the 100-point mark in two games, as the Magic converted only 5-of-31 three-point attempts against the Hawks, including the starting five shooting a dreadful 1-of-16 from long distance. In two games, Orlando has shot 14-of-61 from three-point range, as the Magic are listed in the underdog role for the first time this season after going 0-2 ATS as a favorite.

The Raptors captured six of nine meetings from the Magic last season, including a 3-2 SU/ATS record at home. Orlando has hit the UNDER in each of its first two games, while Toronto is coming off its first UNDER after hitting the OVER in the first two contests.

Jazz (-5, 217 ½) at Suns – 10:05 PM EST

Both these teams have started 2-1 on the young season, but Phoenix is the bigger surprise out of these two squads hooking up on Monday night. The Suns have won each of their first two games at Talking Stick Resort Arena against the Kings and Clippers, while shocking Los Angeles on Saturday night as a 10-point underdog, 130-122. Phoenix shot 50% from the floor, led by Devin Booker’s 30 points, while Kelly Oubre, Jr. chipped in 20 points for the Suns.

The Jazz picked up their first cover of the season on Saturday night in a wire-to-wire blowout of the Kings, 113-81 as 9 ½-point home favorites. Utah rebounded from a nine-point road loss to the Lakers the night before by jumping out to a 25-point halftime lead and never looking back. Bojan Bogdanovic paced the Jazz with 26 points, as Utah drilled 18 three-pointers after hitting a combined 14 treys in it first two games of the season.

Utah has cashed the UNDER in all three games this season, while limiting all three opponents to 95 points or less. Phoenix hit its first OVER in the win over Los Angeles, as the Suns are the only team to start 3-0 ATS. The Jazz have captured seven consecutive meetings with the Suns dating back to 2018 with every win in this span coming by double-digits.

Nuggets (-6, 218) at Kings – 10:05 PM EST

Sacramento was expected to be in the mix for a playoff spot in the Western Conference this season and even though the Kings have played three games, they haven’t looked a postseason squad. The Kings were outscored, 70-36 in the second half of a season opening rout at the hands of the Suns, 124-95. Sacramento hung with Portland in its home opener, but the Blazers outscored the Kings by 10 points in the third quarter of a 122-112 defeat.

Game 3 was a clunker for the Kings in a 113-81 setback at Utah with no rest on Saturday as De’Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield combined for 12 points on 4-of-16 shooting. The night before against Portland, Fox and Hield put up 49 points, as their production hinges on the success for Sacramento, who begins a three-game homestand that continues with Charlotte on Wednesday and Utah on Friday.

The Nuggets finished one victory shy of the Western Conference Finals last season, but picked up a modicum of revenge against the Blazers in the season opener. Denver pulled away from Portland, 108-100, highlighted by 18 three-pointers from the Nuggets, including three from big man Nikola Jokic, who scored a team-high 20 points. The Nuggets edged the Suns as a heavy favorite on Friday, 108-107 in overtime, as Jokic produced a triple-double in spite of Denver shooting 39% from the floor.

Denver swept Sacramento last season in the three-game regular season series, as two of those victories came by four points or less. All three matchups sailed OVER the total, while the Kings squandered double-digit leads in two of the three losses.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 5	$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 5-6) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Optional Claiming $15,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 2:50P
(PLUS UP TO 10% PLUS 10%) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * HANDSOME JOHN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SO LONG SAILOR: Horse had a bullet wo rkout within the last seven days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. UNLEASH THE TIGER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. KIWITAHI: Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
4	HANDSOME JOHN	2/1	9/2
3	SO LONG SAILOR	7/2	5/1
2	UNLEASH THE TIGER	5/1	8/1
5	KIWITAHI	3/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	MR VIEW	1	8/1	Stalker	69	74	65.6	65.6	54.6
4	HANDSOME JOHN	4	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	91	86	70.6	77.4	73.4
3	SO LONG SAILOR	3	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	89	76	59.4	78.4	73.9
5	KIWITAHI	5	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	78	59.0	70.9	63.9
2	UNLEASH THE TIGER	2	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	79	56.2	70.6	63.6
6	HAMAZING VISION	6	4/1	Trailer	78	79	41.8	71.4	62.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 7	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 7-8) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 7-8-9)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:52P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 28, 2018 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2018 - 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. RORY MOR is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AVAIL EKATI: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DREMAS BOY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. A MARKED MAN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. LION SLEEPS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. RORY MOR: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
2	AVAIL EKATI	6/1	5/1
8	DREMAS BOY	3/1	6/1
7	A MARKED MAN	7/2	7/1
10	LION SLEEPS	4/1	9/1
5	RORY MOR	20/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	SMART THINKING	4	8/1	Front-runner	78	71	73.3	67.9	55.9
9	TOASTY BOY	9	20/1	Front-runner	73	71	47.4	51.8	32.8
7	A MARKED MAN	7	7/2	Alternator/Front-runner	81	81	57.0	74.8	66.8
8	DREMAS BOY	8	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	76	58.4	77.6	72.1
2	AVAIL EKATI	2	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	83	84	53.8	84.0	76.0
6	PRIVATE JOKE	6	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	64	43.0	83.8	78.3
10	LION SLEEPS	10	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	91	78	36.2	53.8	42.3
5	RORY MOR	5	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	88	80	29.2	71.8	60.3
1	PROUD ENOUGH	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	69	62.9	65.8	56.3
3	MARRIED TO ANYA	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	72	69	48.8	61.2	43.7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #4 - Post: 2:08pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#4 MINE N YOURS (ML=5/2)


MINE N YOURS - This jock and trainer have a fabulous winning pct when they partner up. This gelding garnered a good rating of 73 in his last event. That speed rating should be good enough to score in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 KOTOBUKI (ML=3/1), #3 ROOSTER DID IT (ML=7/2), #2 MACHA'S REWARD (ML=5/1),

KOTOBUKI - This gelding didn't do too much last time out. ROOSTER DID IT - 7/2 is just too low of a value to take on most any animal that has run poorly in back to back races. Doubtful that the speed rating he earned on October 9th will hold up in this race. MACHA'S REWARD - Has tasted defeat as the public's top choice twice in a row. A repeat is probably in store. I'd like to see more preferred recent outings with morning line odds of 5/1.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 MINE N YOURS is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	4 with 6
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 64

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 WHITE RUSSIAN 9/5
# 7 MANIPULATE 6/1
# 4 WEST FORK 5/2

My pick for this event is WHITE RUSSIAN. Will almost certainly go to the lead and may never look back. Has to be given consideration - I like the numbers from the last affair. Has been racing quite well and has among the most respectable speed in the race for today's distance. MANIPULATE - With a formidable 64 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's competition. Could best this group of horses in this race based on the speed fig - 57 - of his last race. WEST FORK - Should definitely be given a chance in here if only for the very strong Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last contest. Is tough not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been respectable - 53 avg - of late.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $36000 Class Rating: 66

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 LARIAT 3/1
# 1 BLACK EYED BANDIT 12/1
# 8 ARCH CITY 9/2

LARIAT looks solid to best this field. Has to be given a shot against this group of horses displaying very strong figures recently and an average speed rating of 50 under similar conditions. He has been running very well and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the strongest in this group. Over time, this trainer has a very strong ROI at this distance/surface. BLACK EYED BANDIT - Will likely be one of the leaders of the bunch going into the midpoint of the competition. ARCH CITY - Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is solid for this animal. Must be considered - I like the figs from the last contest.

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,800 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#5 NO PICTURE CHARLIE (ML=6/1)
#8 DOUG'S BIRTHDAY (ML=4/1)
#6 OUR BOSS (ML=8/1)
#3 EVERGLIDE DRIVE (ML=12/1)


NO PICTURE CHARLIE - Like the way this gelding's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. You'll be making money right and left by turning your racing money onto this jockey/trainer combination. A horse coming back this soon after a nice effort is a good sign. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back. DOUG'S BIRTHDAY - Another way to assign class is earnings per race entered. This thoroughbred has the uppermost in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish line. OUR BOSS - Jockey hops back on after getting to know the thoroughbred by riding in the last race. That's always a big time angle. This animal ran out of the money at Thistledown last time around the track on a muddy track. He should improve in this event on a fast track. EVERGLIDE DRIVE - This colt is in good condition. Finished third on Oct 15th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 DES BOIS (ML=3/1), #1 SLIM (ML=6/1), #9 BIZ OPS (ML=6/1),

DES BOIS - Not the right 'fit' in this clash. SLIM - Tough to put any cash on this gelding on the win end. Likes to land in the top three though. BIZ OPS - When examining today's class rating, he will have to notch a better speed rating than last out to compete in this dirt sprint.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 NO PICTURE CHARLIE to win at post-time odds of 6/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn

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