Tuesday 10-22-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 05:59 AM

Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros Preview and Predictions 10-22-2019

The Houston Astros battled their way to victory over the New York Yankees in the American League Championship Series, lining themselves up for a second World Series title in three years. Standing in the way are the National League champion Washington Nationals, who swept through the NLCS in four games and had a week to get the pitching well rested before visiting the Astros for Game 1 on Tuesday.

The Nationals are built around their starting pitching and deployed it liberally in the first two rounds of the postseason and the wild card game, with Stephen Strasburg, Max Scherzer and Patrick Corbin all making appearances out of the bullpen. And with Game 1 and 2 in an American League park, Washington can keep NLCS MVP Howie Kendrick, first baseman Ryan Zimmerman and either Brian Dozier or Asdrubal Cabrera in the lineup. Kendrick leads the team with nine RBIs in the postseason while star third baseman Anthony Rendon is batting .375 with a .465 on-base percentage and a team-high 19 total bases. Rendon, Kendrick and company will have to work hard to keep up with the Houston offense, which features MVP candidate Alex Bregman at third base and ALCS MVP Jose Altuve, who blasted a walk-off homer in Game 6 to clinch the pennant Saturday, at second. Scherzer is expected to take the ball in Game 1 while the Astros escaping the Yankees in six games means ace Gerrit Cole will take the mound Tuesday.

TV: 8:08 p.m. ET, FOX

PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals RH Max Scherzer (2-0, 1.80 ERA) vs. Astros RH Gerrit Cole (3-0, 0.40)

Scherzer took a no-hitter into the seventh inning in Game 2 of the NLCS and ended up surrendering one hit while striking out 11 and walking a pair in seven scoreless frames. The three-time Cy Young Award winner owns 27 strikeouts in 20 innings during the postseason and yielded a total of one run and five hits over 15 innings in his last three appearances. Scherzer is making his second career World Series start after allowing three runs across 6 1/3 innings against San Francisco while he was a member of the Detroit Tigers in 2012.

Cole allowed a total of one run while striking out 32 in 22 2/3 innings over his three postseason starts, continuing a trend that stretches back to May. The 29-year-old, who will become a free agent after the World Series, is 19-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 258 strikeouts in 169 1/3 innings over his last 25 outings. Cole is 5-3 with a 2.26 ERA in eight postseason starts stretching back to 2013 but is taking the ball in a World Series game for the first time.

WALK-OFFS

1. Astros rookie slugger Yordan Alvarez went 1-for-22 with 12 strikeouts in the ALCS.

2. Washington has yet to record a stolen base in the playoffs.

3. Houston OF George Springer, who won the World Series MVP in 2017, is batting .152 in the 2019 postseason.

PREDICTION: Astros 3, Nationals 1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 05:59 AM

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Toronto Raptors Preview and Predictions 10-22-2019

The battle between the defending champions and the No. 1 overall pick loses a little luster with Kawhi Leonard and Zion Williamson out of the mix, but the excitement of opening night of NBA basketball should keep the fans happy. The Leonard-less Toronto Raptors are set to raise their championship banner when they host the Williamson-less New Orleans Pelicans in the season opener on Tuesday.

Leonard was the Finals MVP while delivering the Raptors their first NBA title last spring but left to join the Los Angeles Clippers in free agency, leaving Kyle Lowry and Pascal Siakam - both of whom signed lengthy contract extensions on the eve of the regular season - to carry the load. "You fill the void as a team and you play differently but I think we have a lot of confidence," veteran center Marc Gasol, who arrived in a trade last season and helped solidified the team's defense, told reporters. "We trust one another. We know what we are about. We know each other's strengths; we protect each other's weaknesses and that makes great basketball. ... This year we're (all) going to have a little bit more. The ball will continue to move and find the open guy." The Pelicans look a little different as well after trading away former franchise player Anthony Davis and grabbing a new one with a surprising lottery win and No. 1 overall pick Williamson, who is out with a knee injury. "At the end of the day, we're a group trying to compete and play hard and we'll see where it takes us," New Orleans coach Alvin Gentry told reporters. "We know it's a long year and we know there will be ups and downs, but the thing we always talk about is that whenever we play a game or leave a practice, we have to feel we improved in something that day."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE PELICANS (2018-19: 33-49): New Orleans will have four new starters once Williamson returns, with point guard Lonzo Ball and small forward Brandon Ingram joining the team in the deal for Davis and center Derrick Favors coming over via trade from the Utah Jazz. The lone holdover is guard Jrue Holiday, who figures to get the bulk of the minutes in a crowded backcourt rotation that includes newcomers Josh Hart and JJ Redick along with holdovers Frank Jackson and E'Twaun Moore and rookie Nickiel Alexander-Walker. "It's just a situation where some nights, guys just aren't going to play," Gentry told reporters. "For us to be a really good team, you are going to have to accept that, with the understanding some nights the other guys are going to play. There's just no getting around it. We do have a lot of players who are very similar skill-wise who are multiple position guys."

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (2018-19: 58-24): Toronto brought in veterans Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Stanley Johnson to help fill the hole left at small forward with the departure of Leonard, but the entire team will be responsible for making up for the loss of production. "I hope and think it can be shared by in-house guys," Raptors coach Nick Nurse told reporters. "It's more of a responsibility for Siakam to guard a better player. OG (Anunoby), Norm (Powell), Fred (VanVleet), Pat McCaw - those guys have been around and know who we are and how we want to play. It's just expanding their roles and raising their levels a little bit." Siakam was voted the NBA's Most Improved Player last season and enters 2019-20 with high expectations after averaging 19 points in the postseason and signing a four-year, $130 million extension.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Williamson will reportedly miss a "period of weeks" with the knee injury.

2. Hollis-Jefferson (groin) and McCaw (knee) are questionable for the Raptors.

3. Toronto took seven of the last eight meetings, with the lone loss in that span coming at home last season.

PREDICTION: Raptors 109, Pelicans 103

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 05:59 AM

Los Angeles Lakers vs. L.A. Clippers Preview and Predictions 10-22-2019

A new era in Los Angeles professional basketball begins on Tuesday night when the suddenly ferocious Clippers host the once-proud Lakers on the opening night of the NBA season. Many experts are predicting the Clippers to win their first NBA title after the offseason additions of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George while the Lakers are seeking to end a six-season playoff drought after acquiring Anthony Davis to team with LeBron James.

Signing two-time NBA Finals MVP Leonard elevated the Clippers from a playoff team to a bona fide title contender but George (acquired from the Oklahoma City Thunder) is currently sidelined while recovering from offseason surgery on both shoulders. The duo's arrival in Los Angeles ratcheted up the rivalry with the Lakers but Davis, who was pried away from the New Orleans Pelicans, isn't worried about bragging rights. "I'm not sure what the Clippers are thinking," Davis told reporters. "But I know what the Lakers are thinking - and that's to play basketball. Obviously, they have a great team, but we know that for us it's going to be bigger than a rivalry. You know, winning a rivalry game doesn't win the championship. For us, the goal is to win a championship this year." That's a hefty goal as the Lakers, who have won 16 NBA titles, haven't managed a winning season since the 2012-13 campaign.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE LAKERS (2018-19: 37-45): Forward Kyle Kuzma (foot) has been ruled out of the opener and coach Frank Vogel couldn't give a firm timeline as to when the third-year pro would make his season debut. "Right now, we're just talking about ramping up his activity, and we're not going to look past two days from now," Vogel told reporters. "We're going to try to increase his workload and activities this week, and we'll see where we're at." Offseason acquisition Danny Green will likely move into the starting lineup and team with fellow newcomer Avery Bradley in the backcourt, while JaVale McGee is likely to start at center and join Davis and James in the frontcourt.

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (2018-19: 48-34): Leonard carried the Toronto Raptors to the NBA title last season while propelling himself back into the conversation of the top NBA players after experiencing a lost campaign with the San Antonio Spurs one season earlier. The Clippers qualified for the postseason in seven of the past eight seasons but failed to even win a series in each of their past three appearances and never reached the conference finals in their history. Three-time Sixth Man of the Year Lou Williams will be counted on off the bench behind the combo of shooting guard Landry Shamet and point guard Patrick Beverley.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The Lakers won three of the past five meetings after the Clippers prevailed in 21 of the previous 23 matchups.

2. Lakers G Alex Caruso (pelvis) is unlikely to be cleared for Tuesday's game.

3. Clippers G Rodney McGruder (ankle) is expected to miss the opener.

PREDICTION: Clippers 114, Lakers 111

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:22 AM

World Series Cheat Sheet
Kevin Rogers

For the first time in franchise history, the Nationals have advanced to the World Series. Washington squares off with Houston, who is playing in its second Fall Classic in the last three seasons as things start up Tuesday night at Minute Maid Park.

Washington has been fighting back all season long, starting with erasing a 19-31 record in late May to grab the top Wild Card spot in the National League by finishing 93-69. The Nationals rallied from a 3-1 deficit in the Wild Card game against the Brewers for a 4-3 victory to advance to the NLCS against the favored Dodgers. Washington wiped out a 2-1 series edge by Los Angeles to win Game 4 at home, followed by a 7-3 triumph in extra innings to knock out the two-time defending NL champions.

The Astros have gone through quite the decade by winning 56 games or fewer for three straight seasons from 2011-13. Houston went through the process of trusting its minor league system, while also acquiring several big name players via trades to become a consistent playoff team in the American League. The Astros have qualified for the postseason in four of the past five seasons, while coming off three consecutive 100+ win seasons and three American League West division titles.

Houston squandered a 2-0 series lead in the ALDS against Tampa Bay by losing a pair of games at Tropicana Field to the Rays before capturing the decisive Game 5 at home to advance to its third straight ALCS. The Astros took home their third ever pennant on Jose Altuve’s walk-off home run to knock off the Yankees in six games, 6-4 as Houston has posted a 5-1 record at Minute Maid Park this postseason.

This World Series spotlights several of the game’s best pitchers as the first two contests in Houston highlight a pair of Cy Young winners along with two other hurlers that combined for 38 victories this season. Starting with Houston, the Astros send out Cy Young favorite Gerrit Cole to the hill in the series opener.

Cole finished the regular season with a career-high 20 victories, while Houston has won each of his past 16 starts dating back to July 17. In eight of Cole’s last nine outings, the right-hander has given up one earned run or fewer, while yielding a total of one run in three playoff starts. Cole’s latest gem came in Game 3 of the ALCS against the Yankees by tossing seven scoreless innings in a 4-1 triumph, but he struck out only seven batters, which ended an 11-start streak of double-digit strikeouts.

Justin Verlander helped the Astros capture their first World Series title in 2017 after coming over from the Tigers in August. Verlander seeks his second championship as he is fresh off a 21-6 regular season mark, the second-most wins in his stellar career (24 wins in 2011). The former Cy Young winner and MVP has seen his ups and downs this postseason as the Astros are 2-2 in his four outings. Houston is 2-0 in his two starts at Minute Maid Park as he allowed two earned runs in 13.2 innings of work, but was racked in two away outings by giving up four runs and two home runs each in losses at Tampa Bay and New York.

Zack Greinke was the coldest pitcher of the Astros’ Big Three starters during the playoffs in losses to Tampa Bay and New York, but he rebounded as a road underdog in an 8-3 victory in Game 5 in the Bronx. Although Greinke received a no-decision, the former Cy Young winner scattered three hits and gave up one run in 4.1 innings of work as the Astros are 5-2 in his seven road starts since coming over from Arizona. Greinke is slated to start Game 3 at Nationals Park, as he is the only Astros’ player to face Washington this season by tossing 7.1 shutout innings in a 5-0 victory back on June 13.

On the Washington side, the Nationals send out their big guns in the first two games at Minute Maid Park with Max Scherzer starting Game 1 and Stephen Strasburg going in Game 2. Scherzer is pitching in his first World Series since 2012 as a member of Detroit and picked up a no-decision in a 4-3 loss to San Francisco as the Giants swept the Tigers. The three-time Cy Young winner struggled in his first postseason start against Milwaukee in the Wild Card game by giving up a pair of homers in five innings, but the Nats rallied to get Scherzer off the hook. Scherzer was fantastic in his last two playoff starts by allowing five hits and one run in 14 innings in victories over the Dodgers and Cardinals.

Strasburg posted a career-high 18 wins and 251 strikeouts, while the Nationals won 24 of his 36 starts this season. The former top pick is unbeaten in his past five starts, including a pair of road victories against the Dodgers in the NLDS. Strasburg struck out 12 batters in seven innings in his most recent outing at St. Louis in Game 3 of the NLCS in an 8-1 rout, marking his 10th quality start in his last 11 tries. Washington put together a 5-2 record in Strasburg’s seven starts as a road underdog in 2019, as he is facing Houston for the first time since 2017 when he tossed six scoreless innings in a 5-4 extra-innings win.

Patrick Corbin is also making his first World Series along with Strasburg as the former Diamondbacks’ hurler will start Game 3 at Nationals Park. Corbin came over to Washington on a six-year, $140 million deal in the offseason following six seasons in Arizona. The southpaw won 14 games in a season for the third time in his career, as Washington won 14 of his 18 home starts, including a 12-1 mark in his past 13 at Nationals Park. Corbin struck out a season-high 12 batters in the pennant-clinching game of the NLCS against the Cardinals, while coming within one out of a complete game shutout in a 4-0 win at Houston back in 2017.

Since 2010, home teams have compiled an 8-1 record in Game 1 of the World Series with the only road team win in this span being San Francisco in 2014 at Kansas City. The task for Washington to win the first two games of this series on the road is a difficult one against Cole and Verlander, but history goes against them as well. The last team to win the first two games of the World Series on the road was the Yankees back in 1999 in a four-game sweep of the Braves.

In Houston’s only World Series title run in 2017, the Astros outlasted the Dodgers in seven games, although they didn’t have home-field advantage. The last underdog to capture a Game 1 win came in 2012 by the Giants, who stunned the Tigers as +155 home ‘dogs, 8-3. Since getting blanked in Game 1 of the NLDS by Los Angeles, the Nationals have won four straight road games, while Washington is 18-3 in its past 21 games heading into the World Series.

Head-to-Head

Dating back to 2012, these teams have met in four interleague series. The Nationals have gone 9-1 and the 'under' has produced a 7-3 record.

2017
Washington 5 at Houston 4 (Underdog +123, Over 8)
Houston 6 vs. Washington 1 (Favorite -144, Under 9.5)
Washington 4 at Houston 3 (Underdog +158, Under 9)

2014
Washington 6 vs. Houston 5 (Favorite -172, Over 8)
Washington 6 vs. Houston 5 (Favorite -145, Under 9.5)
Washington 7 at Houston 0 (Favorite -137, Under 8)
Washington 4 at Houston 3 (Favorite -138, Under 8)

2012
Washington 5 at Houston 0 (Favorite -169, Under 7.5)
Washington 4 at Houston 3 (Favorite -215, Under 8.5)
Washington 3 at Houston 2 (Favorite -175, Under 8.5)

World Series Betting Trends and Results

-- Favorites have gone 19-12 the last five World Series

-- Run-line favorites own a 14-5 record in the 19 games that the favorites won

-- We haven’t seen much disparity in home/away numbers with the hosts holding a slight 16-15 edge over the visitors

-- The ‘over’ is 16-14-1 since 2104 but the ‘under’ has gone 7-4-1 (63.6%) the last two years

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:23 AM

Hot & Not Report - World Series
Matt Blunt

Week of October 21st

I hate to be the bearer of bad news for those of you in the nation's capital, but even with the likes of Scherzer, Strasburg, and Corbin on your side, history is definitely not. And just like the Baby Shark phenomenon that went well past its 15 minutes of fame in the real world, this Nats team that rallies behind that song likely doesn't have much time left of winning baseball games. That's because...

Who's Hot

Teams that needed more games to get through the LCS round (Houston) are 6-2 SU since 2008 in winning the World Series

Now, I get that one doesn't really have anything to do with the other, and last year's Boston Red Sox actually were one of the two teams to buck this trend, but the old 'rest' vs 'rust' question always comes into play in this type of scenario, and generally speaking 'rust' usually wins out.

It was 10 years between World Series wins for the team with more rest, as the 2018 Red Sox did it, along with the 2008 Philadelphia Phillies. There were a few “pushes” in there (both teams played equal games in LCS), but at the time of year where you want to keep all the momentum you've got, extended time away from the ballpark seems to hurt more than help.

Had it been any other team other than Houston with a murderer's row of starters in Cole, Greinke, and Verlander, I think you'd have to give the Nationals more of a shot with who they can throw out there, but I don't think that's the case with Houston sharing the diamond with them.

And while you can break down all the advanced metrics specifically applying to the Nats and try to talk/convince yourself of Washington's chances in this series, the fact that they swept the NLCS is even more damning from a historical perspective. That's because....

Who's Not

Since the LCS went to a Best-of-7 format in 1985, MLB teams to sweep the LCS are 1-7 SU in winning the World Series; and 10-30 SU in World Series games individually, only winning more than one game once in those seven defeats

Only the 1995 Atlanta Braves were able to bring home a World Series title after sweeping the LCS prior, and those four wins are included in that 10-30 SU record for LCS sweepers. Take that out of the equation and teams that fit the Nationals role are an abysmal 6-30 SU in World Series games, have been swept three times (1990 Oakland, 2007 Colorado, 2012 Detroit) and lost 4-1 in the series three other times (1988 Oakland, 2006 Detroit, 2015 NY Mets).

That is just awful and it's probably too steep of a historical mountain to climb for the Nationals this year. Only the 2014 Kansas City Royals were able to win more than one game in the World Series after sweeping the ALCS, as they took the Giants to seven games that year.

But the bad news doesn't stop there for Nationals fans, as not only is that brutal history working against them here, but starters Anibal Sanchez and Max Scherzer were both apart of that 2012 Detroit Tigers team. That year we saw the Tigers sweep away the Yankees in the LCS, only to get swept away by the Giants days later. Could it be deja vu all over again for those two guys? That will have to get played out, but should Washington find themselves down 2-0 in the series when they head home for Game 3, I'm sure Sanchez and Scherzer may have a few flashbacks from 2012 pop up in their sleep.

Obviously, sweeping away a foe is never a bad thing because nobody ever wants to play with fire in terms of needing six or seven games to advance, but history suggests that World Series teams coming off a sweep have peaked to early. When you throw that on top of Houston being a prohibitive favorite already in this series, the deck is rather stacked against Washington this week, in what could very likely be a short series yet again.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:23 AM

901WASHINGTON -902 HOUSTON
WASHINGTON is 77-44 SU (32 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:23 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 22

Washington @ Houston

Game 901-902
October 22, 2019 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Scherzer) 16.959
Houston
(Cole) 18.690
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-190
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-190); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:23 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 22

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (101 - 71) at HOUSTON (114 - 59) - 8:08 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 98-85 (-20.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLE is 54-16 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 101-71 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 22-17 (+14.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-8 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games in October games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 27-22 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-22 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 74-47 (-7.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 42-36 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MAX SCHERZER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SCHERZER is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 4-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
COLE is 3-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.108.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-6. (-6.7 units)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:24 AM

MLB

Tuesday, October 22

Trend Report

Houston Astros
Houston is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing Washington
Houston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Houston
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:24 AM

MLB

Tuesday, October 22

Game 1, World Series
Nationals @ Astros
Scherzer is 3-0, 2.77 in his last five games (4 starts); he is 3-1, 3.38 in seven games (6 starts) vs Houston, and is 6-5, 3.35 in 20 playoff games (16 starts).

Cole is 8-0, 0.92 in his last eight starts; they won his last 16 starts. Cole is 3-2, 2.92 in six starts vs Washington, and is 5-3, 2.26 in eight playoff starts.

Washington is in its first World Series; they’re 16-2 in last 18 games overall.

Astros won 2017 World Series; they won six of their last seven home games- under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Houston is 13-5 in its last 18 games overall.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:24 AM

The home team has dominated this series, and the NHL bets you need to make this week
Monty Andrews

It's a new week of NHL action and while the Dallas Stars have been the worst profit bet so far this season they are in a good position to turn things around with a Thursday matchup against Anaheim. We bring you the top matchups, betting notes, trends and predictions on the ice as we enter a new week of NHL action.

AN OLD FOE

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins treated fans to some playoff-caliber hockey in their previous meeting Saturday, and they'll do it all again in Tuesday's rematch at TD Garden. Following a 4-3 overtime win in their first go-around of the season, the Maple Leafs will look to end an unsettling trend that has seen them lose each of their previous three regular-season visits to Boston by a combined score of 15-5. The Bruins have been particularly stingy at home so far this season (six goals allowed over three games), so we see this one coming in below the number.

OVER EASY

Don't be surprised to see one game total this week touch 7, as the Pittsburgh Penguins and Tampa Bay Lightning do battle Wednesday night at Amalie Arena. Not only do these teams boast two of the most dangerous top lines in all of hockey, but they've brought out the big guns in their head-to-head series. The Penguins and Lightning have combined for seven or more goals in nine consecutive meetings and 13 of their previous 14 overall, while scoring three or more first-period goals in each of their previous five meetings. If it gets to 7 and you get squeamish, you might want to consider the Over on the first-period total instead.

NO PLACE LIKE HOME

The visiting team has come up empty for nearly four years in the head-to-head series between Anaheim and Dallas – and that's bad news for the Ducks, who pay a visit to American Airlines Center on Thursday. The home team has won each of the previous 12 meetings between the teams, with each of those games decided in regulation. But while bettors likely won't get great odds on the home side here, consider that each of the previous four games have produced seven or more goals. That makes the Dallas/Over play an intriguing one, at much better odds than a straight Stars victory.

GOALIE PROFILE: CARTER HUTTON, BUFFALO SABRES

You can't crown a Vezina Trophy winner after just a handful of games; that would be dumb. But if you could, Hutton would be at or near the top of the list of candidates. Hutton is off to a blistering start, coming into the week with a 5-0-0 record, a league-leading 1.39 goals-against average and a .953 save percentage.

He saved his best work for last week, racking up back-to-back shutout wins over Dallas and Los Angeles while stopping all 72 shots he faced (including a whopping 47 against the Kings). The Sabres are 5-0 SU (duh) and 2-3 O/U in Hutton's five appearances this season.

INJURY UPDATE: F ALEKSANDER BARKOV, FLORIDA PANTHERS

The Panthers could be in deep trouble this week, with their No. 1 center considered day-to-day after leaving early in Saturday's 3-2 shootout win over the Nashville Predators with an upper-body injury. Barkov's injury is said to be minor, but it isn't clear whether he will suit up for Tuesday's encounter with the visiting Penguins. Making things worse for Florida: Barkov's wingers, Evgenii Dadonov and Jonathan Huberdeau are also dealing with minor injuries, though it isn't known if they're expected to miss any time. Given this injury uncertainty, it might be a good spot to nab the Pens as a road underdog.

HAT TRICK TRENDS

• The Over has retained a slight edge over the Under as we enter a new week on the NHL calendar. Despite there being 24 Unders compared to 23 Overs in the previous seven days, Overs still convert at a 51.7-percent clip of non-push outcomes, with the Under coming in at 48.3 percent so far.

• Peter MacDougall is at it again. The veteran official has overseen the most high-scoring games of any referee in the league, with his matchups going a perfect 8-0 O/U with an average of 8.38 goals scored. MacDougall was one of the top Over officials last season, as well, with a 21-9 O/U mark and 6.80 total goals scored per game.

• The Buffalo Sabres and Colorado Avalanche are the early profit leaders, with the 7-1-1 Sabres having returned an impressive +6.16 units to date and the 7-0-1 Avalanche a close second at 6.06 units won. The Edmonton Oilers (+4.18 units) round out the top three, while the Dallas Stars are bringing up the rear at -5.32 units.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:25 AM

41TORONTO -42 BOSTON
BOSTON is 30-33 ATS (-16 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

43SAN JOSE -44 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 6-1 ATS (7.1 Units) against good power play killing teams - opp score on <14.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

45PITTSBURGH -46 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 28-11 ATS (15.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

47ARIZONA -48 NY RANGERS
NY RANGERS are 9-31 ATS (-25.1 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

49VANCOUVER -50 DETROIT
DETROIT is 5-0 ATS (7.3 Units) against good defensive teams - allowing <=2.55 goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

51EDMONTON -52 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 3-15 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons.

53LOS ANGELES -54 WINNIPEG
WINNIPEG is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

55ANAHEIM -56 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 13-2 ATS (10.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons.

57VEGAS -58 CHICAGO
VEGAS are 5-17 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

59WASHINGTON -60 CALGARY
CALGARY is 16-6 ATS (11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:25 AM

NHL

Tuesday, October 22

Trend Report

Boston Bruins
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Toronto is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston

Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Buffalo is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing San Jose
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
Buffalo is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against San Jose
San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
San Jose is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
San Jose is 7-16-1 SU in its last 24 games when playing Buffalo
San Jose is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Florida Panthers
Florida is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Florida's last 18 games
Florida is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida's last 10 games at home
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Florida is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 23 games
Pittsburgh is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Florida
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing on the road against Florida

New York Rangers
NY Rangers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Rangers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
NY Rangers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games at home
NY Rangers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
NY Rangers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arizona
NY Rangers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Coyotes
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Arizona's last 15 games
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
Arizona is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Rangers
Arizona is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers

Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Vancouver's last 13 games
Vancouver is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Vancouver is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Vancouver's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Vancouver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Minnesota Wild
Minnesota is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
Minnesota is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Minnesota is 4-21 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Minnesota is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games at home
Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Edmonton
Minnesota is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Edmonton
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Minnesota is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Edmonton is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Edmonton is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Edmonton is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Nashville Predators
Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nashville's last 8 games
Nashville is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games at home
Nashville is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim
Nashville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Anaheim is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Anaheim's last 9 games
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Anaheim's last 10 games on the road
Anaheim is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Nashville
Anaheim is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Nashville

Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Winnipeg is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home
Winnipeg is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games
Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Chicago's last 25 games at home
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Vegas
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vegas is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Vegas's last 12 games on the road
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Chicago

Calgary Flames
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 13 games at home
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Calgary is 7-15-2 SU in its last 24 games when playing Washington
Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Capitals
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-22-2019, 08:25 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 22

Toronto @ Boston

Game 41-42
October 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
11.780
Boston
10.870
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-160
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+140); Under

San Jose @ Buffalo

Game 43-44
October 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
11.112
Buffalo
12.680
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
-120
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-120); Under

Pittsburgh @ Florida

Game 45-46
October 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
12.109
Florida
10.669
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+130); Over

Arizona @ NY Rangers

Game 47-48
October 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
10.188
NY Rangers
11.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-115
6
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(-105); Under

Vancouver @ Detroit

Game 49-50
October 22, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
9.996
Detroit
10.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+105); Under

Edmonton @ Minnesota

Game 51-52
October 22, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.511
Minnesota
10.320
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+110); Over

Anaheim @ Nashville

Game 55-56
October 22, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
12.024
Nashville
10.405
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-160
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(+140); Over

Los Angeles @ Winnipeg

Game 53-54
October 22, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
10.737
Winnipeg
9.994
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-150
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+130); Under

Vegas @ Chicago

Game 57-58
October 22, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
11.863
Chicago
10.233
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-125
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-125); Over

Washington @ Calgary

Game 59-60
October 22, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
10.612
Calgary
12.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-125); Under

Tuesday 10-22-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Tuesday 10-22-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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