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Tony Mejia
#453 Bears
#455 Cardinals
#458 Panthers
#459 Vikings
#453 Bears
#455 Cardinals
#458 Panthers
#459 Vikings
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Trends to Watch - October
Marc Lawrence
HOME TEAMS
Good: Pittsburgh 39-17 ATS
The Steelers have played fantastic at home in October over the years. This year will prevent more of a challenge without the three B's especially with no Ben Roethlisberger. Pittsburgh will start the month with Baltimore (10/6)and end it with Miami (10/28).
Keep an eye on (Bad): 3-Teams
Cincinnati 21-31 ATS
Jacksonville 14-26 ATS
Seattle 18-28 ATS
Though Cincinnati could be ready for more struggles facing Arizona (10/6) and Jacksonville two weeks later, at least this gives the Bengals a shot at improvement. Speaking of the Jaguars, besides a trip to the Queen City, they will try and better there dismal record at home against the spread. Playing the New York Jets at the end of the month will help (10/27) but not sure facing New Orleans (10/13) will.
It is stunning to think Seattle is in this list given their history. The Seahawks will have a severe test on the first Thursday of the month against the L.A. Rams and on the 20th vs. Ravens.
AWAY TEAMS
Keep an eye on (Good):3-Teams
Carolina 29-19 ATS
New England 34-20 ATS
N.Y. Giants 32-18 ATS
Carolina has been road warriors for years and making backers excellent money. Whether Cam Newton will be wearing his babushka for their lone road to San Francisco (10/27) is unknown, but what is known the Panthers will have a shot at covering.
The Patriots doing this good shocks nobody and anyone making NFL picks will surely be looking for New England versus Washington (10/6) and 15 days later in New Jersey when they take on the Jets.
The Giants and their brand new quarterback will take their outstanding away record to face Tom Brady and the fella's on Thursday, Oct. 10 and to Detroit on the 27th.
Keep an eye on (Bad): 3-Teams
Arizona 16-30 ATS
Cincinnati 18-29 ATS
Tampa Bay 18-29 ATS
To say Arizona doesn't travel well is like saying the Miami Dolphins could be in for a long season. The trip to Cincy (10/6) might not be too bad given the Bengals home record (see above). Trips to the Giants (10/20) and New Orleans (10/27) might not go as easy.
By now you have noticed the pattern, you bet against the Bengals home and away this month. They will be at division rival Baltimore on the second Sunday of the month and be officially the road team in London vs. the Rams on the 27th.
On the first and last Sunday of this month, Tampa Bay will seek to better their lousy road record in the bayou and in the Music City.
FAVORITES
Keep an eye on (Good): L.A. Rams 23-13 ATS - Cleveland 11-6 ATS
The Rams have shown no hangover from losing the Super Bowl and they should be favored in all four of their October assignments.
With trips Frisco and Foxborough, Cleveland will not be favored there, however, they will likely be short favorites when Seattle pays a visit on the 13th.
Bad: Cincinnati 14-28 ATS - Jacksonville 11-23 ATS
Our negative theme on the Bengals continues, this time as favorites. They will be favored against Arizona (10/6) and possibly versus Jacksonville (10/20).
As bad as Cincinnati is, the Jaguars have been even worse handing out points this month. Their game with Cincy will be determined by the odds, however, the Jags will be favorites against Gang Green (10/27) at home.
Keep an eye on (Bad): 5-Teams
Detroit 14-25 ATS
Seattle 17-31 ATS
Tampa Bay 16-30 ATS
Carolina 18-27 ATS
Denver 16-26 ATS
There is a remote chance the Detroit could be a smallish favorite when the Vikings (10/20) visit, but for sure Matt Stafford and the Lions will be favored the following week vs. the Giants.
Hard to say where Seattle will fall here. After taking on the Rams as underdogs, the rest of the month has them at Cleveland, Baltimore and at Atlanta. Keep a watchful eye.
Tampa Bay is unlikely to be favored at all.
The Panthers figure to be smaller favorites against Jacksonville (10/6) in Charlotte and a week later in London when facing NFC South rival Tampa Bay.
Just one shot for the Broncos to be viewed positively by the sportsbooks and that will against Tennessee (10/13).
UNDERDOGS
Good: Pittsburgh 25-10 ATS - Carolina 33-16 ATS
Pittsburgh's fantastic record could be in jeopardy, without the same teams of the past against the Ravens at home and the L.A. Chargers.
Just one such expected role for the Panthers and that will be in Santa Clara vs. the Niners (10/27).
Keep an eye on (Good):N.Y. Giants 26-17 ATS - New Orleans 26-17 ATS
Let's see how the G-Men fair on the receiving end of points three times in October. The first will be against the Vikes on the first Sunday of the month at home. Next is only four days later at the Brady bunch and in the Motor City on the 27th.
At this time, the New Orleans listed as an underdog at Jacksonville (10/13) is a bit iffy, but they will catch a few points in the Windy City (10/20).
Bad: San Francisco 14-31 ATS
If the 49ers keep playing as they did in September, the only chance they will be underdogs in October is at the Rams on the 13th.
Keep an eye on (Bad): Cincinnati 27-41 ATS
There would seem a good chance oddsmakers will list Bengals as dogs the rest of the month after playing the Cardinals on the 6th.
DIVISION
Good: Pittsburgh 28-14 ATS - N.Y. Jets 28-14 ATS
Pittsburgh will seek to better AFC North record against the hated Ravens (10/6).
Despite their record, not sure the Flyboys will appear all the appealing on the third Monday of the month when New England visits the Meadowlands area.
Bad: Cincinnati 13-31 ATS
One last chance to poke fun of Cincinnati and they of course will be underdogs to Baltimore on what figures to an unlucky Oct. 13 for them.
Keep an eye on (Bad):New Orleans 14-24 ATS - Indianapolis 16-26 ATS
Off the big battle with Dallas, the Saints could be a bit flat even in a division game against Tampa Bay (10/6).
A meaningful AFC South showdown against Houston (10/20) at home will have implications.Comment
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Gridiron Angles - Week 5
By Vince Akins
NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
-- The Patriots are 10-0 ATS (9.25 ppg) since Oct 17, 2004 and off a game as a favorite of more than three points where they failed to complete at least 50% of their passes.
NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
-- The Panthers are 0-11 ATS (-9.82 ppg) since Oct 01, 2006 as a favorite off a win in which they scored more field goals than touchdowns.
TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
-- The Titans are 0-7 ATS (-9.50 ppg) since Sep 20, 2015 coming off a win where Marcus Mariota threw at least 3 touchdowns.
NFL SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:
-- Games since 1998 with a total of 41+ when both teams scored 10 or fewer points in their last game are 27-11 OU. Active on Arizona/Cincy and Atlanta/Houston.
NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
-- The Falcons are 0-11 OU (-5.55 ppg) since Nov 11, 2001 coming off a game as a home favorite where they scored less than 14 points.
NFL O/U OVER TREND:
-- The Ravens are 11-0 OU (7.05 ppg) since Dec 16, 2007 on the road coming off a home game where they failed to cover by at least seven points.
NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
-- The Saints are 0-13 ATS (-13.92 ppg) as a favorite over a divisional opponent after a one to three point win.
=-- The Bills are 0-8 since 2007 against AFC team on grass fields where they are not favorite of more than 3 points when they scored less than 13 points last game.Comment
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Total Talk - Week 5
Joe Williams
We're on to Week 5 of the National Football League regular season, and we'll have our first game from London, as well as two more teams on a bye. The Chicago Bears-Oakland Raiders (40.5) will battle at the new Tottenham Hotspurs Stadium in a 1:00 p.m. ET start, which will be under the lights in jolly ol' England.
2019 Total Results - Game & Halves
Over/Under Game 1st Half 2nd Half
Week 4 6-9 6-9 5-10
Over/Under Game 1st Half 2nd Half
Year-to-Date 26-37 25-37-1 31-31-1
The books made a killing in Week 4, and the under was a frequent play with nine of 15 games going under the total. That was a trend with the first-half and second-half lines, too, as offense was rather scarce in the fourth week of the season. Generally, that's good for the books as the public tends to bet more overs.
Division Bell
We saw five of the six division battles go the way of the 'under' in Week 4, including the primetime game on Monday between the two previously winless AFC North teams. In fact, outside of the Cleveland-Baltimore outlier, which saw the total cash by more than 17 points, the losing team in the other five division games had 10 or fewer points, and only one team in the six division battles scored more than 24 points.
Divisional Game Results Week 4
Cleveland at Baltimore Over (47.5) Cleveland 40, Baltimore 25
Washington at N.Y. Giants Under (48) N.Y. Giants 24, Washington 3
New England at Buffalo Under (41.5) New England 16, Buffalo 10
Seattle at Arizona Under (49) Seattle 27, Arizona 10
Minnesota at Chicago Under (38) Chicago 16, Minnesota 6
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh Under (45) Pittsburgh 27, Cincinnati 3
Line Moves and Public Leans
Listed below are the largest line moves for Week 5 as of Saturday morning.
New England at Washington: 47 ½ to 42
Minnesota at N.Y. Giants: 46 to 43 ½
Indianapolis at Kansas City: 54 to 56
Jacksonville at Carolina: 42 to 40
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh: 43 ½ to 45
Baltimore at Pittsburgh: 42 ½ to 44
Listed below are the five largest leans for Week 5 per the betting trend percentages as of Saturday morning.
Minnesota at N.Y. Giants: Under 94%
Chicago vs. Oakland (London): Under 93%
N.Y. Jets at Philadelphia: Under 92%
Baltimore at Pittsburgh: Over 91%
Atlanta at Houston: Over 87%
There is also a heavy lean on for the 'under' (77 percent) in the Buffalo-Tennessee matchup, and heavy lean on the 'under' in New England-Washington (77 percent) battle on Sunday.
Handicapping Week 5
Week 4 Total Results
Year Over/Under
Divisional matchups 1-5
NFC vs. NFC 2-1
AFC vs. AFC 2-1
AFC vs. NFC 1-2
Week 5 is started with another high-scoring Thursday night battle, and a rarity for a divisional matchup, as the L.A. Rams-Seattle matchup went well 'over' (48.5) with 59 total points. Through 14 primetime battles the 'under' is now 10-4, but the 'over' has connected in each of the past two on Thursday.
Minnesota at N.Y. Giants: Since 2015 under head coach Mike Zimmer, the Vikings have posted 26.5 PPG in 15 games as a road favorite. Make a note that Minnesota scored 27, 37 and 29 points in this role last season with quarterback Kirk Cousins.
Buffalo at Tennessee: The Bills are the only team with a perfect 4-0 'under' record so far during the 2019 season, and the under has cashed in eight of their past nine games on the road, too.
Taking a look at the divisional battles for Week 5:
Baltimore at Pittsburgh: The Steelers offense showed some signs of life against the Bengals on Monday Night Football, posting 27 points for their highest point total of the season. The 'under' has cashed in three of four games for the Steelers, including 2-0 in their two battles against AFC opponents. The defensive showing was more a lack of cohesiveness and effective play by the Bengals, who are decimated on the offensive line, rather than some sudden greatness of the Steelers. They allowed 24 or more points in each of the first three games, an average of 28.3 PPG.
The Ravens had a 40-burger hung on them by the Browns last week at home. After giving up just 27 points in the first two weeks, the Ravens defense was believed to be back. However, they faced the awful Miami Dolphins and Arizona Cardinals, two teams with a combined record of 0-7-1 SU. In the past two games against the Chiefs and Steelers, the Baltimore defense has been pounded for a total of 73 points, or 36.5 PPG. The offense has been on fire regardless of opponent, scoring 23 or more points in each of their four games, or an average of 33.8 PPG. As such, the 'over' has cashed in three of four contests.
The Ravens have hit the under in each of the past three as road favorites in Pittsburgh dating back to 2000, too.
Other important divisional games with important trends to note:
Tampa Bay at New Orleans: The Buccaneers rolled up an impressive 55 points in Sunday's road contest against the Rams, and they have registered 86 total points over the past two outings while coughing up a total of 72 points in the past two contests. In fact, the Bucs have allowed 31 or more points in three of their four contests overall. In their past 19 games on the road, the over has connected in 14 outings for Tampa Bay.
The Saints lost QB Drew Brees (thumb) during the Week 2 game in L.A. It was going to be disastrous, and a drop off in production with backupTeddy Bridgewater under center, right? Well, the Saints are 2-0 SU with 22.5 PPG, covering the spread in each while hitting the over once. It was a low-scoring 12-10 win over the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, and the Saints offense has scored 12 or fewer points in two of the past three. The jury is still out on what kind of offense the Saints are going to be until Brees is able to return. As far as trends, the under is 9-2 in the past 11 games against NFC opponents for the Saints, while going 9-4 in the past 13 overall contests.
Denver at L.A. Chargers: The third and final divisional matchup takes place in Southern California, as the Broncos hope the fifth time is a charm. Denver's offense has been moribund or most of the season, posting 16 or fewer points in the first three outings. However, they ended up dropping a season-high 24 points in last week's narrow two-point setback against the Jaguars. The 'over' has hit in each of the past two after a pair of under results to start the season. Denver's defense has allowed 24 or more points in three of four outings, but no more than 27 in any one outing.
The over hit in Week 1 for the Chargers, a game which went to overtime against the Colts. However, L.A. is on a three-game 'under' run with 20.0 PPG on offense and 16.7 PPG allowed on defense. The under has cashed in each of the past six meetings in California, while going 9-4 in the past 13 meetings overall between these two AFC West foes. The under is 9-2 in the past 11 divisional games overall for the Bolts, too.
London Calling
Oakland vs. Chicago (1:00 p.m. ET): The Raiders and Bears square off in the first of five international series games this season, and the first of four from London, England. Since the league began this venture in 2007, we've had 24 games played in the United Kingdom and the 'under' holds a slight 13-11 edge in those games but the low side did go 3-0 in 2018. The Bears played overseas in 2011 and captured a 24-18 over Tampa Bay while the Raiders are 0-2 in London, losing both games by double digits and that includes as 27-3 loss last season to Seattle.
Heavy Expectations
There are three games listed with double-digit spreads for Week 5, with one road team listed as a double-digit favorite. The totals are ranging from 42 to 56 in these contests and cashing a total could come down to which teams lay off the gas in the second-half.
New England at Washington (1:00 p.m. ET): The Patriots offense has rolled up 30 or more points in three of their four outings, but the 'over' has hit just once thanks to an amazing defensive effort by New England overall. The Patriots defense has allowed a total 13 points this season. Yes, they have yielded 27 total points on the season, but the 14 points scored by the Jets actually were by their defense, not by the offense. So the Patriots D has been on lockdown.
Don't look for New England's defense to give up much this week in D.C., either. QB Colt McCoy will take the reins of the offense this week looking to get the Redskins their first win despite being 15-point underdogs in their home building. The Redskins have averaged 16.5 PPG on offense, seeing their production just in every game from 27 to 21 to 15 to just 3 last week. The defense has given up 24 or more points in all four contests, and 31 or more in three of the outings. However, even a 34-7 result this week would hit an 'under'. It's hard to see the 'Skins scoring into double-digits against a lockdown Pats D, especially with a rusty McCoy at the helm.
Make a note that the 'under' has connected in each of the past nine games when New England is a double-digit road favorite, which includes its Week 2 result when they won at Miami by a 43-0 count.
N.Y. Jets at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. ET): The Jets have once against ruled out QB Sam Darnold (mononucleosis) for another game, so QB Luke Falk will make a second straight start. The Jets offense has been terrible, posting 11.0 PPG in three outings, and technically, just 6.3 PPG by the offense, as they have 14 points from their defense, as mentioned above. The unknown heading into this one is how well Falk will perform after having two weeks to prepare for the Eagles after a bye in Week 4. While the offense has been rather inconsistent so far, the defense has been consistent -- consistently worse, that is. They allowed 17 in the opener, 23 in Week 2 and 30 in Week 3.
Indianapolis at Kansas City (8:20 p.m. ET): Many felt that the Colts would see a drop-off in offensive production after QB Andrew Luck retired rather suddenly during the preseason. However, QB Jacoby Brissett has led the team to an impressive 23.5 PPG across the first four games, while the defense has coughed up 25.5 PPG so far. That's a great recipe for overs, going 3-1 so far. That's unlikely to change this week against the high-flying Chiefs and QB Patrick Mahomes. To make matters worse for the Colts, Mahomes didn't account for one touchdown in Detroit last week, and the Chiefs still won. He'll be angry and looking to get back on track under the lights. The over still cashed for the Chiefs in their 34-30 win last week, and they have 28 or more points in all four outings, hitting the over three times. They allowed 26 or more points in those three games when the over hit, too. Those tracking Sunday Night Football, we haven't seen an over ticket yet this season...so we could be due!
Under the Lights
Cleveland at San Francisco (8:15 p.m. ET - Mon.): The Monday Night Football game this week features the Browns, who finally discovered their offense in Baltimore last week, against a 49ers team coming off a 15-day absence due to their bye in Week 4 and an extra day to prepare for MNF.
The Browns are averaging 22.3 PPG while yielding 22.8 PPG through four games, although defensively that's a bit skewed after coughing up 43 in the Week 1 loss to the Titans. The 'over/under' has split 2-2, but the under is 2-0 in the two primetime showings for Cleveland.
The 49ers have hit for 24 or more points in each of their three outings, averaging 32.0 PPG. Defensively, they have yielded 20 or fewer points in each of their three games, although the combined record of their three opponents is 3-9 SU, so it remains to be seen whether San Francisco's defense is that much improved or just a product of their poor opponents to date.Comment
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NFL Week 5 Sunday odds and line moves: Public backs Bears, book needs Raiders in London
Patrick Everson
Chicago's defense flexed its collective muscle last week in a 16-6 home victory over Minnesota. The Bears, minus QB Mitch Trubisky, are 5.5-point favorites against Oakland on Sunday in London.
NFL Week 5 Sunday has 13 games on the docket, including the first London contest of the season. Covers checks in on the action and odds movement for that tilt and three others, with insights from Eric Osterman, manager at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.
Chicago Bears vs. Oakland Raiders – Open: -5.5; Move: +5; Move: +4.5; Move: +5; Move: +4.5; Move: +5; Move: +5.5; Move: +5; Move: +5.5
Chicago lost quarterback Mitch Trubisky to a dislocated left shoulder in Week 4, then found a way to win without him. The Bears (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) got enough from Chase Daniel and a stingy defense to beat Minnesota 16-6 as 1-point home underdogs.
Oakland heads to London to continue its protracted road trip, as Jon Gruden’s squad hit the highway in Week 3 and won’t play another home game until Nov. 3. The Raiders (2-2 SU and ATS) didn’t let it bother them last week, beating Indianapolis 31-24 as 5.5-point road pups.
Chicago dipped from -5.5 to -4.5 early in the week, but was back at -5.5 by Saturday afternoon for this 1 p.m. ET kickoff.
“It kind of crawled back up a little bit,” Osterman said. “A lot of Bears support, which is not really a surprise. The sharps haven’t gotten involved. The public is all over the Bears. As far as the early games go, that’s probably gonna be our biggest decision.”
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys – Open: -4.5; Move: -3.5
Green Bay heads into this 4:25 p.m. ET clash off a mini-bye, having played the Thursday nighter in Week 4. The Packers (3-1 SU and ATS) probably needed the breather after losing to Philadelphia 34-27 laying 3.5 points at home.
Dallas also drew a prime-time assignment in Week 4 and, like Green Bay, suffered its first loss of the season. Playing in the Sunday nighter, the Cowboys (3-1 SU and ATS) went off as 2.5-point favorites at New Orleans and fell short in a defensive battle, 12-10.
“The majority of the money has come in on the Cowboys,” Osterman said, noting Dallas -3.5 is priced at even money due to a banged-up offensive line. “The biggest bet on that game, low five figures, is on the Cowboys, and we haven’t seen the sharps get involved. With the Cowboys’ offensive line injuries, sharps might be looking to bet the Packers, but don’t want to pay the -120 juice.
“If you’re looking to bet the Packers, you might want to wait until just before kickoff.”
Osterman said parlay play is running toward the Cowboys, too, and The SuperBook has a decent need on the Packers.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers – Open: +3.5; Move: +3; Move: +3.5; Move: +3
Baltimore blew an opportunity to take an early two-game lead in the AFC North. The Browns were 7.5-point home favorites against Cleveland in Week 4, but allowed 30 second-half points in a 40-25 setback.
Pittsburgh has shown well since losing quarterback Ben Roethlisberger to a Week 2 elbow injury. The Steelers nearly stole a Week 3 win at San Francisco, then finally cracked the win column with a 27-3 rout of Cincinnati giving 3.5 points in the Week 4 Monday night game.
“We’re at Ravens -3 (-120), and that’s where the majority of the money has come on both sides,” Osterman said of action for a 1 p.m. ET start. “We’re seeing a little more money on the Steelers, but the public is more on the Ravens. We’ve got decent parlay liability on Baltimore, too. But I wouldn’t expect this to go to 3.5.”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints – Open: -5.5; Move: -5; Move: -4.5; Move: -4; Move: -3.5; Move: -3
Tampa Bay traveled to the West Coast last week and notched one of the more surprising upsets so far this season. The Buccaneers (2-2 SU and ATS) were 9-point ‘dogs against the Los Angeles Rams, but took a 21-0 lead and weathered a big comeback in a 55-40 shootout victory.
New Orleans is 2-0 SU and ATS without Drew Brees, who’s recovering from a thumb injury, but Sean Payton’s troops didn’t exactly light it up last week. Playing in the Sunday nighter, the Saints slogged to a 12-10 victory over Dallas catching 2.5 points at home.
Tampa Bay is drawing the bulk of the cash in this 1 p.m. ET NFC South clash.
“We’ve seen a lot of Bucs support, mostly from the public,” Osterman said. “A lot public action is ‘What have you done for me lately?’ Tampa should’ve won that game against the Giants (Week 3), then looked good in Los Angeles. The Saints beat the Cowboys, but didn’t look too good. We need the Saints for quite a bit. It’s a decent-sized decision for us.”Comment
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955LA DODGERS -956 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 76-46 SU (26.1 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
957ATLANTA -958 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 22-10 SU (14.9 Units) in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) in the current season.Comment
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MLB
Dunkel
Sunday, October 6
Atlanta @ St. Louis
Game 957-958
October 6, 2019 @ 4:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Soroka) 17.058
St. Louis
(Wainwrght) 15.452
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-120); Under
LA Dodgers @ Washington
Game 955-956
October 6, 2019 @ 7:45 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Ryu) 17.319
Washington
(Scherzer) 18.384
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-115); UnderComment
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MLB
Long Sheet
Sunday, October 6
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LA DODGERS (107 - 57) at WASHINGTON (95 - 70) - 7:45 PM
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-5 (-0.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)
HYUN-JIN RYU vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
RYU is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.840.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.4 units)
MAX SCHERZER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SCHERZER is 5-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.103.
His team's record is 5-9 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-3. (+3.5 units)
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ATLANTA (98 - 66) at ST LOUIS (92 - 72) - 4:10 PM
MIKE SOROKA (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 8-14 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
ATLANTA is 32-45 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in playoff games since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 92-72 (+4.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 20-10 (+10.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ST LOUIS is 36-22 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
ST LOUIS is 73-56 (+4.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 280-186 (+63.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WAINWRIGHT is 207-121 (+47.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 68-36 (+20.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 12-1 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 100-53 (+32.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 98-66 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 47-34 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 36-16 (+21.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 43-36 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 75-52 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 60-37 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 46-34 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-38 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 (+2.3 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)
MIKE SOROKA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
SOROKA is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.69 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. ATLANTA since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 9-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 10-4 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-4. (+4.9 units)Comment
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MLB
Sunday, October 6
Braves @ Cardinals (1-1)
Soroka is 2-0, 2.81 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 0.69 in two starts vs St Louis. This is his first playoff appearance.
Wainwright is 5-1, 3.22 in his last six starts, but allowed 11 runs in 9.1 IP in his last two; he is 9-4, 3.63 in 19 games (14 starts) vs Atlanta and is 4-4, 3.03 in 24 playoff games (12 starts).
Atlanta is in playoffs for 2nd year in a row after a 4-year absence; they lost their last seven appearances in the NLDS, dating back to 2002. Atlanta’s seven relievers allowed six runs in Game 1, while getting only 14 outs; Foltynewicz was dominant in seven IP as they evened series Friday.
St Louis is in the playoffs for first time in four years, after making it every year from 2011-15. Cardinals are 4-4 in eight games with Atlanta this year, 1-2 in this ballpark- they scored only one run in innings 1-7 in first two games of this series.
Dodgers (1-1) @ Nationals
Ryu is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 1.35 in five starts vs Washington, and is 2-2, 4.11 in seven career playoff starts.
Scherzer threw a scoreless 8th inning Friday; he is 1-2, 5.96 in his last four starts, and is 5-4, 2.76 in 14 games (12 starts) vs LA. Scherzer is 4-5, 3.78 in 18 career playoff games (14 starts).
Dodgers are 5-4 vs Washington this year, 2-2 in games games played here. LA is in playoffs for 7th year in a row, losing the World Series the last two years.
Washington won the Wild Card game Tuesday, then scored only four runs when they split the two games in LA; they’re in playoffs for fifth time in eight years. Nationals lost in NLDS last four times they were in playoffs, three times in a 5th game.Comment
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MLB
Sunday, October 6
Trend Report
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 15 of St. Louis's last 22 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
St. Louis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Atlanta's last 22 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Washington Nationals
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
Washington is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
LA Dodgers is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing Washington
LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against WashingtonComment
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NHL
Dunkel
Sunday, October 6
Tampa Bay @ Carolina
Game 77-78
October 6, 2019 @ 5:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
11.034
Carolina
12.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
6
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-105); Over
Dallas @ Detroit
Game 81-82
October 6, 2019 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
12.631
Detroit
10.161
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-140
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-140); N/A
Winnipeg @ NY Islanders
Game 79-80
October 6, 2019 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
10.790
NY Islanders
12.199
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-130); OverComment
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NHL
Sunday, October 6
Trend Report
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Carolina is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 18 games
Tampa Bay is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Tampa Bay is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas Stars
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Detroit
New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Islanders is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 8 games
NY Islanders is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 10 games when playing Winnipeg
NY Islanders is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
Winnipeg is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 10 games when playing NY Islanders
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY IslandersComment
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WNBA
Long Sheet
Sunday, October 6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (29 - 10) at CONNECTICUT (27 - 12) - 10/6/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 8-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 7-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasonsComment
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WNBA
Sunday, October 6
Trend Report
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Connecticut's last 10 games
Connecticut is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Connecticut is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games at home
Connecticut is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Washington
Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing Washington
Connecticut is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Connecticut's last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Mystics
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games on the road
Washington is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Connecticut
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Washington is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against ConnecticutComment
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WNBA
Dunkel
Sunday, October 6
Washington @ Connecticut
Game 605-606
October 6, 2019 @ 3:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
115.794
Connecticut
119.282
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 3 1/2
171
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 2
175
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(-2); UnderComment
Comment