Service Plays Saturday 9/14/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 14 2019 6:00PM
167 Southern Miss. 3.0(-110) Westgate vs 168 Troy double-dime bet

Analysis: Do we really know if Troy is any good this year? They’ve only played Campbell and had a bye last week. Meanwhile, Southern Miss was much closer than the final vs SEC Mississippi St last week as they were -3 in TO’s. Wrong team favored.

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAELSFOOTBALL PLAYS

• Game: (167) SO MISSISSIPPI at (168) TROY
  Date/Time: Sep 14 2019 6:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: SO MISSISSIPPI 3.0 (-113)
  
  View Analysis
  
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  #167 5% Southern Miss +3 Troy
  I have Southern Miss as the better team and while I lost on them last week it was they were -3 TO’s at Miss St as they were only outgained 386-344. The Golden Eagles now take a big step down in class. Troy beat Campbell week #1 and has last week off which is a situation I like playing against. The Trojans are now taking a huge step-up in class and the offense has to not only get in rhythm but do it against a ‘real’ team for the first time.

[dawggy]

DAVE COKINFOOTBALL PLAYS

• Game: (115) MARYLAND at (116) Temple
  Date/Time: Sep 14 2019 12:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Temple 7.5 (-108)

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4%: 115 Temple +7.5: No question Maryland has been electrifying to start the season. They destroyed Syracuse last weekend after overmatching a weak FCS team to start the season. I think this will be a much tougher test for the Terrapins. Temple never gets much attention, but the Owls have now been to bowls in each of the last four years, and I see no reason they can't maintain that streak here. New head coach Carey was solid at Northern Illinois, and he should enjoy similar success here. I like Temple's new up-tempo offense with a veteran QB Russo running the show. Maryland has a revenge motive here as they were blown out at home last season by the Owls. But I think this looms as a difficult spot. The power rating value is the key for me. I admittedly adjust slower than some off just one or two games, but even with a more substantial boost than usual, this line still seems to be too high on the Terms side. I priced this game Maryland -4, and I like taking 3-4 points in value with the dog in what shapes up as a competitive game. Temple plus the number for me.

[dawggy]

ALEX B. SMITHFOOTBALL PLAYS

• Game: (103) NORTH CAROLINA at (104) WAKE FOREST
  Date/Time: Sep 13 2019 6:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: WAKE FOREST -3.0 (-108)
  
  View Analysis

It's a showdown of ACC clubs on Thursday night as Wake Forest takes on North Carolina, but this game doesn't count towards the conference record because this series was signed back in 2015 as a schedule filler, but make no mistake about it, this will be an energetic crowd as these two in-state clubs do battle. The Tar Heels are 2-0 on the year as veteran coach Mack Brown is led by his freshman QB Sam Howell, who has engineered a pair of 4th quarter comebacks giving UNC wins over South Carolina and Miami-Florida. Wake Forest is a good football team, with a high octane offense led by QB Jamie Newman, who has thrown for 713 yards with 6 TDs and no INTs his last 2 games. The Demon Deacons also boast a young defensive corps that has been able to get some pressure on opposing QB's thus far. At home with good momentum and a short chalk price, I like Wake Forest to win this one by double-digits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 2u: 197 TT/ARI ov76 -111 (Saturday, September 14th)

+EV: CFB 2u: 125 Air Force +4 -105 (Saturday, September 14th)

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


Game:(115) MARYLAND at (116) Temple
Date/Time: Sep 14 2019 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Over 31.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Maryland is setting records with the scoring through 2 weeks of football and Temple had the week off to attempt to scheme defensively...or take what they're given when they have the ball! The Terps ain't showing any signs of slowing down...as they are able to continue to prep for once B1G play starts and the big boys are attacking week after week!
Trends point to an Under here on both sides and Temple has a strong defense with a ton of returning starters...but I think the feel out part of this game features more points with both these offensive squads the real stars....and at a nice flat 31 it is wild VALUE!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

264 DET 3.0 (-110) Southpoint vs 263 LAC	triple-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Wolf
Air Force +3.5
BYU +4

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


Game:(115) MARYLAND at (116) Temple
Date/Time: Sep 14 2019 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Over 31.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Maryland is setting records with the scoring through 2 weeks of football and Temple had the week off to attempt to scheme defensively...or take what they're given when they have the ball! The Terps ain't showing any signs of slowing down...as they are able to continue to prep for once B1G play starts and the big boys are attacking week after week!
Trends point to an Under here on both sides and Temple has a strong defense with a ton of returning starters...but I think the feel out part of this game features more points with both these offensive squads the real stars....and at a nice flat 31 it is wild VALUE!

Game:(185) TCU at (186) PURDUE
Date/Time: Sep 14 2019 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: TCU -2.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Wrong team favored alert!
Purdue QB may not be a go and if he does he is very unlikey 100%
Gary Patterson ain't gonna NOT be ready for this!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 4u: Arkansas State Red Wolves +32 -104 (Saturday, September 14th)

+EV: CFB 4u: 114 West Virginia Mountaineers +7 -115 (Saturday, September 14th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex B Smith Sports

College Football

9/14 2* Purdue (Played at -1.5, now at +2/2.5) (Best Bet)
9/14 1* Arkansas -9.5
9/14 1* Florida -7.5
9/14 1* Oklahoma -23
9/14 1* Northern Illinois +14.5 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

+EV: CFB 2u: 112 Mississippi State -8 -103 (Saturday, September 14th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 14 2019 7:30PM
190 Virginia -7.0(-110) Westgate vs 189 Florida St. double-dime bet

Analysis: In 19 series meetings since 1980, this week will be the first time Virginia has been favored over Florida St (average dog of 15.6 ppg). However, we feel it is warranted considering these are two programs heading in opposite directions. Last week Virginia dominated with 25-8 first down and 511-193 yard edges including 216-63 on the ground in their blowout win over William & Mary. The Cavs covered despite being -3 in TO’s. The game was the first for Virginia since they beat Duke 49-28 in 1989 that the Cavs did not have to punt. It also was the first time since a 48-29 victory against Akron in 2002 that they scored on offense, defense and special teams. Meanwhile, for the 2nd consecutive week, FSU raced out to a big lead (led 21-0 early 2Q and 24-7 at halftime) only to falter down the stretch vs ULM in a 1-point win as a 3-TD favorite. FSU QB James Blackman was 30 of 40 for 282 yards and 3 TD’s but also threw 2 INT’s which included a 57-yard “Pick 6”. ULM missed the extra point attempt in OT. Even in a unique role, we trust the Cavs and can FSU take a punch and fight back? We haven’t seen it so far.



Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 14 2019 3:30PM
149 Oklahoma St. -13.5(-106) Pinnacle vs 150 Tulsa double-dime bet

Analysis: I like Oklahoma St here. The Cowboys are fresh off back-to-back comfortable wins including last week as OSU had 25-13 first down and 580-318 yard edges including 413-157 through the air in a blowout win over McNeese St. Oklahoma St played 3 different QB’s and they combined to go 23 of 32 for 413 yards and 5 TD’s. Meanwhile, Tulsa had 27-18 first down and 539-348 yard edges including 256-115 on the ground in a road win at San Jose St. Oklahoma St is a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS vs Tulsa under Gundy and they’ve covered those games by 20 ppg and averaged 61 ppg on offense. We don’t think they’ll take Tulsa lightly again here. Also remember, there will be a lot of Oklahoma St fans in the stands with Stillwater only an hour drive away.



Brad Powers | CFB Total - Saturday, Sep 14 2019 7:00PM
175 Florida / 176 Kentucky UNDER 50.5 Westgate double-dime bet

Analysis: Last year Florida had their 31-game series winning streak vs Kentucky snapped. Last week, Florida had 26-8 first down and 543-194 yard edges including 231-54 on the ground in their blowout win over UT-Martin. Florida QB Feleipe Franks was 25 of 27 for 270 yards and 2 TD’s. On the other side, Kentucky only had a 461-386 yard edge vs Eastern Michigan but did control the line of scrimmage with a 239-49 rushing yard edge. Kentucky QB Terry Wilson was hurt in the game (out for the season with a knee injury). His replacement Sawyer Smith was 5 of 9 for 76 yards and 2 TD’s. I think Mark Stoops will be a little conservative with Smith early in the game and I look for the Gators defense to cause some havoc here. However, the Gators are without key play-making WR Toney. I LOVE the UNDER.

[Yellow]

Essler 3* GOM

Michigan St -12