Tweet
Paul Leiner
Three NFL Picks 9/15
100* Packers -2.5
100* Broncos +2
100* Titans -3
Three NFL Picks 9/15
100* Packers -2.5
100* Broncos +2
100* Titans -3
-
Diamond Trends - Sunday
Vince Akins
PLAY-ON TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Yankees are 16-0 SU as a favorite after a game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter and it is not a series opener.
PLAY-AGAINST TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Red Sox are 0-14 SU as a dog off a win as a dog in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is not a series opener.
TOTAL TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Royals are 12-0 OU as a home dog in the last game of a series after a game in which they struck out at least ten times.
PITCHER-BASED TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Brewers are 0-8 SU when Chase Anderson starts on the road before 4:00 local time.
MONSTER TRENDS:
-- The White Sox are 4-0 SU in franchise history as a dog with Ivan Nova when they scored more than six runs in his last start and they won. Chicago was an average of plus 158 on the moneyline in these four wins and Nova produced a quality start in every one of them.
-- The Cubs are 8-0 SU as a home 200+ favorite after they won by five-plus runs and it is not a series opener. winning by an average of 6.38 runs.Comment
-
WNBA
Dunkel
Sunday, September 15
Seattle @ Los Angeles
Game 605-606
September 15, 2019 @ 3:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
109.661
Los Angeles
114.917
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 5
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 7
155
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+7); Under
Chicago @ Las Vegas
Game 607-608
September 15, 2019 @ 5:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
115.275
Las Vegas
108.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 7
166
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 4 1/2
175
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+4 1/2); UnderComment
-
WNBA
Long Sheet
Sunday, September 15
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEATTLE (19 - 16) at LOS ANGELES (22 - 12) - 9/15/2019, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
SEATTLE is 82-113 ATS (-42.3 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in August or September games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
LOS ANGELES is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
LOS ANGELES is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 43-31 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 5-4 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHICAGO (21 - 14) at LAS VEGAS (21 - 12) - 9/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHICAGO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
CHICAGO is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
LAS VEGAS is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
LAS VEGAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a division game this season.
LAS VEGAS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 5-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasonsComment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (12-12, 5.83 ERA) vs. Phillies LH Jason Vargas (6-7, 4.31)
Porcello has allowed six runs and two homers over four innings in each of his last two starts - losses to the New York Yankees on Sept. 8 and Minnesota on Sept. 3. The 30-year-old native of New Jersey has served up 30 home runs this season - the second-highest total of his career behind the 38 he permitted in 2017. Bryce Harper is 1-for-9 with a homer and three strikeouts against Porcello, who is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA in five career starts versus the Phillies after suffering a loss at Fenway Park on Aug. 21 in which he allowed three runs over five innings.
Philadelphia is 3-5 in Vargas' starts after he allowed four runs - two earned - on six hits and three walks in three innings in the team's victory over Atlanta on Tuesday. The 36-year-old Californian owns a 1.50 WHIP with 26 strikeouts and 16 walks in 41 1/3 frames since joining the Phillies at the trade deadline. Boston's active roster is batting .231 versus Vargas, who is 3-3 with a 3.48 ERA in eight career starts against the Red Sox but hasn't faced them since 2017.
WALK-OFFS
1. Red Sox RF Mookie Betts (major league-leading 131 runs) and Philadelphia LF Corey Dickerson missed Saturday's game with sore left feet. Dickerson also sat out Thursday's contest in Atlanta.
2. Harper has gone 8-for-37 with two home runs, five RBIs, five runs and eight walks in 13 games this month.
3. Boston pitchers are 1-for-19 with two sacrifices and 10 strikeouts this season after Eduardo Rodriguez went 0-for-2 with a sacrifice as he struck out twice on Saturday.
PREDICTION: Phillies 6, Red Sox 5Comment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (NR) vs. Blue Jays RH T.J. Zeuch (0-0, 5.40 ERA)
Montgomery returns to the rotation for the first time in 16 1/2 months, having undergone Tommy John surgery after making only six starts last season. The 26-year-old was 2-0 with a 3.62 ERA when his elbow issues cropped up in 2018, which followed a promising rookie campaign that saw him post a 9-7 mark and 3.88 ERA in 29 starts. Teoscar Hernandez is 0-for-5 versus Montgomery, who beat the Blue Jays with six innings of one-run ball last year and was 1-0 with an 0.79 ERA against them in 2017.
Zeuch, who threw a no-hitter at Triple-A Buffalo last month, goes for his first career victory as he prepares to make his third major league appearance and second start. A first-round draft pick in 2016, the 6-7 sinkerballer made his first start versus Boston on Tuesday, giving up three runs and six hits while getting seven ground-ball outs over 4 1/3 innings. Zeuch came on in relief at Atlanta in his major league debut, striking out four while yielding two runs and three hits across four innings.
WALK-OFFS
1. Yankees 1B Luke Voit is 7-for-15 with two homers, six RBIs and eight runs scored during a four-game hitting streak.
2. Blue Jays LHP Tim Mayza needs Tommy John surgery after suffering a torn ligament in Friday's game.
3. Gardner has 20 career home runs against Toronto, his most against any opponent.
PREDICTION: Yankees 6, Blue Jays 4Comment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles RH Asher Wojciechowski (2-8, 5.51 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Edwin Jackson (3-9, 9.76)
Wojciechowski is pitching for a spot in Baltimore's 2020 rotation and struggled in his last outing, allowing four runs and six hits in two innings to suffer a loss against the Texas Rangers last Sunday. The 30-year-old is winless in his last eight starts and owns an 0-5 record with a 7.05 ERA while surrendering 11 home runs in 37 total innings during that span. Wojciechowski is making his first career appearance against Detroit and is 1-4 with a 5.63 ERA in six road starts this season.
Jackson made his lone career All-Star appearance during his first tour with Detroit in 2009 but is not quite as sharp in his second stint with the team and was ripped for six runs on as many hits - two homers - against the New York Yankees on Tuesday. The well-traveled veteran failed to complete three innings in two of his last three turns and allowed at least four earned runs in five consecutive starts. Jackson earned a win over the Orioles as a member of the Toronto Blue Jays on June 12, when he allowed two runs and four hits in five frames.
WALK-OFFS
1. Orioles RF Trey Mancini homered in each of the first two games of the series.
2. Tigers DH Miguel Cabrera (knee soreness) was removed from Saturday's game in the seventh inning and is day-to-day.
3. Detroit 2B Harold Castro is 9-for-18 in his last four games.
PREDICTION: Orioles 8, Tigers 7Comment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Twins RH Jose Berrios (12-8, 3.63 ERA) vs. Indians RH Shane Bieber (14-7, 3.17)
Berrios comes in off one of his best outings of the season to break out of a slump, limiting hard-hitting Washington to two hits over seven scoreless innings for a win. The 25-year-old Puerto Rico native had given up 33 runs (29 earned) on 47 hits across 32 1/3 innings over his previous six starts, serving up eight homers in the process. Carlos Santana is 6-for-17 with three extra-base hits and six walks in his career versus Berrios, who is 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in four starts against Cleveland in 2019.
Bieber has won both of his starts this month after holding the Los Angeles Angels to one run and five hits with eight strikeouts over seven innings Tuesday. The 24-year-old California native boasts 241 strikeouts to go along with just 38 walks across 195 2/3 innings this season but has served up 27 homers - four versus Minnesota. Eddie Rosario is 4-for-14 with a pair of homers against Bieber, who is 2-0 with a 3.22 ERA in four appearances (three starts) versus the Twins in 2019.
WALK-OFFS
1. The Twins need one homer from Rosario or two from Sano to become the first team to have four players with 30 in a season since the 2009 Philadelphia Phillies.
2. Santana needs one homer and one RBI to top his career highs in 2016 when he finished with 34 blasts and knocked in 87 runs.
3. The teams have each won nine games in the season series and the Twins can win it Sunday for the first time since 2015.
PREDICTION: Indians 4, Twins 2Comment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves LH Max Fried (16-5, 4.02 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Anibal Sanchez (8-8, 4.04)
Fried looks to rebound after one of his roughest outings of the season Tuesday in Philadelphia, as he allowed four homers - three in the first inning - and surrendered five runs on seven hits over five innings to lose for the first time since July 6. The 25-year-old had given up more than three earned runs once in his previous seven starts, pitching to a 2.90 ERA with 51 strikeouts in 40 1/3 innings in that span. Fried is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in two starts against the Nationals this season, dominating Washington on Sept. 5 in Atlanta while allowing just one hit with no walks and nine strikeouts over seven shutout innings.
Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his past four starts, but overall has an ERA almost a run higher (4.55) in the second half than he compiled before the All-Star break (3.66). The 35-year-old suffered a tough loss Tuesday at Minnesota after allowing just two runs on four hits with five strikeouts in seven innings, but it was better than his Sept. 4 outing against the New York Mets in which he gave up seven runs on eight hits over five innings. Sanchez is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in four starts this season against the Braves, with whom he went 7-6 with a 2.83 ERA a season ago.
WALK-OFFS
1. The Nationals dropped to 12-43 when scoring three runs or fewer.
2. Atlanta 1B Freddie Freeman, who left Friday’s game with soreness in his right elbow from a bone spur, started Saturday and went 0-for-4 with a walk.
3. Both teams are chasing franchise records for most homers in a single season: Atlanta has tied the 2003 mark of 235, while Washington is three away from the 215 homers it hit in 2017.
PREDICTION: Braves 6, Nationals 2Comment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros LH Wade Miley (13-5, 3.74 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jakob Junis (9-13, 5.06)
Miley owned a 3.06 ERA at the end of August - third-best in the AL at that time - but has seen that mark skyrocket over two abysmal starts. The native of Louisiana took the loss against Oakland on Tuesday after getting pounded for seven runs while retiring just one batter, five days after being tagged for five runs without recording an out in a no-decision versus Seattle. Miley, who went 7-0 with a 2.54 ERA in July and August before his September swoon, is 4-2 with a 3.43 ERA in six career starts against the Royals.
Junis has seen his fortunes take a turn for the worse as well, surrendering at least four runs in each of his last four starts. The 26-year-old registered seven strikeouts in five frames but gave up a first-inning grand slam in Tuesday's road loss against the Chicago White Sox, permitting a total of five runs on six hits - two home runs - and three walks. Bregman is 2-for-7 with a homer against Junis, who gave up five runs - including three homers - over 5 1/3 innings of a loss at Houston on May 6.
WALK-OFFS
1. Bregman's 36 homers are the most by an Astro since 2014 (Chris Carter).
2. Kansas City has dropped seven straight at home against Houston.
3. Houston OF Yordan Alvarez, who has registered 75 RBIs in 76 games, needs seven more to tie the club record for a rookie set in 1991 by Jeff Bagwell (82 in 156 games).
PREDICTION: Astros 7, Royals 4Comment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Brewers RH Chase Anderson (6-4, 4.57 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (6-7, 4.97)
Anderson has completed six innings only twice in 24 starts this season, working exactly four frames in each of his last three outings. The 31-year-old allowed two runs on three hits and two walks in Miami on Tuesday and is 1-2 with a 5.77 ERA in 13 road appearances (11 starts). Yadier Molina (6-for-19, homer) and Marcell Ozuna (7-for-19, homer) have fared well against Anderson, who yielded one run over 3 1/3 frames in two relief outings against the Cardinals in the first month of the season.
Wacha hasn't won any of his nine starts since June 21 despite holding the opposition to fewer than three earned runs seven times, including each of his last six turns. The Texas A&M product suffered his third loss over that span Tuesday in Colorado after permitting two runs over four innings. Wacha has produced two of his better starts of 2019 versus the Brewers, allowing one run in six frames of a no-decision in his season debut on March 31 and two over six innings in a win at Milwaukee on April 17.
WALK-OFFS
1. Grandal has drawn seven walks in his last four games and needs two more to join Prince Fielder as the only players in team history with 100 in a season.
2. St. Louis 1B Paul Goldschmidt has hit eight homers against Milwaukee this year and needs one more on Sunday to break the club record for most in a single season versus the Brewers.
3. Milwaukee 2B Keston Hiura (hamstring) made his first appearance since Aug. 30 on Saturday, striking out as a pinch-hitter in the ninth inning.
PREDICTION: Brewers 5, Cardinals 4Comment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Trevor Williams (7-6, 5.21 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jose Quintana (13-8, 4.15)
Williams labored in his last start at San Francisco on Monday, picking up his second straight no-decision after allowing four runs and eight hits over 5 2/3 innings. That ended a string of three consecutive quality starts for the 27-year-old, a 14-game winner last season who posted a 4-2 record last month despite a bloated 6.68 ERA. Kyle Schwarber is 7-for-20 with three homers and Anthony Rizzo 7-for-21 versus Williams, who split a pair of decisions with a 10.64 ERA against the Cubs this season.
Although Quintana lasted only three innings and was rocked for six runs (four earned) and seven hits at San Diego last Tuesday, he managed to escape with a no-decision. The 30-year-old Colombian is 9-1 over his last 13 starts dating to June 29, helped by an offense that has produced at least six runs 11 times during that span. Quintana has won all four starts and registered a 2.00 ERA against the Pirates this season, holding the team to a collective .216 batting average, but he must be wary of Newman (6-for-12).
WALK-OFFS
1. Bryant is 8-for-17 with three homers and nine RBIs in five games since receiving a cortisone shot in his knee.
2. The Pirates were without CF Starling Marte (wrist), 1B Josh Bell (groin) and C Jacob Stallings (back) on Saturday. Marte missed his sixth straight game.
3. Rizzo is 5-for-8 with a grand slam and six RBIs in the series.
PREDICTION: Cubs 7, Pirates 3Comment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics LH Sean Manaea (1-0, 0.75 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Jonathan Hernandez (1-0, 1.93)
Manaea has been dominant since returning from shoulder surgery earlier this month, allowing a run and three hits in 12 total innings over two starts. He has 15 strikeouts in that span, including 10 in seven frames against Detroit on Sunday. Elvis Andrus is 10-for-21 against Manaea, who is 4-2 with a 3.50 ERA in nine career starts versus Texas.
Hernandez will be making his second career start, the first of which saw him give up three runs (one earned) in 2 2/3 innings at Baltimore on Sept. 7. He is also 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA in four relief appearances. Yohander Mendez followed Hernandez against the Orioles with 2 1/3 innings, striking out six, and is a candidate to eat up some innings in relief Sunday afternoon.
WALK-OFFS
1. Athletics RHP Mike Fiers left Saturday's game with nerve irritation in his right arm.
2. Odor has hit safely in seven of his last eight contests to raise his average from .194 to .207.
3. Oakland has won 19 of the last 25 meetings.
PREDICTION: Athletics 7, Rangers 4Comment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Padres RH Cal Quantrill (6-7, 5.12 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Chi Chi Gonzalez (1-6, 6.56)
Quantrill lost his fourth straight start Monday, allowing eight runs on 10 hits over 4 1/3 innings in a 10-2 loss to the Chicago Cubs. The 24-year-old rookie has allowed a total of 24 runs and 26 hits over his last three starts covering 13 2/3 innings. “I’m just not pitching very well right now,” Quantrill told reporters. “There’s no one more frustrated than me. I have to figure out what's going on. I’m not giving the Padres a chance to win and that stinks.”
Gonzalez recorded his first major-league victory in nearly four years Tuesday after giving up one run with no walks over six innings against St. Louis. The 27-year-old native of Florida lost his first six decisions but has pitched well in his last two outings, allowing a total of three runs and seven hits over 12 1/3 innings. “He’s thrown the ball great the last two outings,” manager Bud Black told reporters. “The thing that I’ve liked is he’s kept the same demeanor, the same work ethic in between starts.”
WALK-OFFS
1. Colorado has won consecutive series for the first time since recording four straight from May 21-June 2.
2. Padres OF Wil Myers has hit safely in 13 of his past 14 games since Aug. 31, batting .404 with three home runs and 12 RBIs over that span.
3. Colorado RHP Jesus Tinoco recorded his first career save Saturday.
PREDICTION: Rockies 12, Padres 9Comment
-
PITCHING MATCHUP: Marlins RH Elieser Hernandez (3-5, 5.24 ERA) vs. Giants RH Johnny Cueto (1-0, 0.00)
Hernandez settled for his third straight no-decision after allowing three runs and four hits over five innings against Milwaukee on Tuesday. The 24-year-old Venezuelan is 3-2 with a 4.26 ERA in 11 games (seven starts) at home this season compared to 0-3 with a 6.55 mark in nine contests (seven starts) on the road. Hernandez is 0-1 with a 6.52 ERA in three career relief appearances versus San Francisco.
Cueto made a triumphant return from Tommy John surgery on Tuesday, holding Pittsburgh to one hit over five scoreless innings in his first major-league start since July 28, 2018. “It’s clear evidence that this man really worked hard,” Giants manager Bruce Bochy told reporters. “You see him, he’s in tremendous shape. He was very determined to come back.” Neil Walker is 9-for-48 with two homers against Cueto, who is 4-2 with a 5.09 ERA in 10 career starts versus Miami.
WALK-OFFS
1. Marlins OF Garrett Cooper missed Saturday’s game due to a left knee contusion and is listed as day-to-day.
2. San Francisco purchased the contract of INF Cristhian Adames and recalled OF Mike Gerber from Triple-A Sacramento.
3. Miami claimed LHP Josh Smith off waivers from Cleveland and announced he will join the team in Arizona on Monday.
PREDICTION: Giants 6, Marlins 3Comment
Comment