Saturday 9-14-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358144

    #76
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Arlington - Race #7 - Post: 4:39pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 86

    Rating:

    #7 TRAVEL WEST (ML=8/1)
    #9 PAPA CALIENTE (ML=5/1)
    #6 BOOTLEGGIN (ML=5/2)


    TRAVEL WEST - Faced tougher last time around the track at Arlington. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this one on my list of contenders in this race. PAPA CALIENTE - This gelding is in excellent physical condition right now. Ended up third last race out and comes back soon. This gelding notched a nice rating of 82 in his last race. That speed rating should be good enough to win this time out. Recent Equibase speed figures show solid pattern of improvement. BOOTLEGGIN - A win pct the likes of what Valdivia and Rivelli have achieved together is fantastic. Possibly a peak effort for this gelding today. Been getting closer with each recent start. This gelding is in first-rate condition right now. Finished third in the last race and comes back rapidly.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #5 TOUCH OF DISNEY (ML=7/2), #2 ZIMMERMAN (ML=9/2), #1 LANDING GEAR (ML=6/1),

    TOUCH OF DISNEY - When looking at today's class rating, he will have to record a better speed rating than in the last race to be competitive in this dirt sprint. ZIMMERMAN - Hard to bet this one after not being up front at 1 mile and now being put in a race of 7 furlongs. No picnic to invest in any thoroughbred in a sprint event at 9/2 when he hasn't shown any successful endeavors in sprints in the last sixty days. LANDING GEAR - Never really did much at all last time out on Aug 24th. Hard to bet on today.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #7 TRAVEL WEST is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [7,9]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [6,7,9] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [6,7,9] with [6,7,9] with [1,2,6,7,9] with [1,2,6,7,9] Total Cost: $36
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358144

      #77
      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



      09/14/19, CD, Race 3, 1.43 ET
      7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $60,000.
      Claiming Price $150,000, For Each $5,000 To $130,000 1 lb. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
      Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      100.0000 3 Fearless Rocket 5-1 Borel C H Cox Brad H. TW
      098.6490 2 Indian Cross 4-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. FELC
      098.3423 9 Bango 9/2 Lanerie C J Foley Gregory D.
      098.2284 12 Baudette Blizzard 9/2 Hernandez. Jr. B J Stewart Dallas
      097.8699 7 Tiny Danza 8-1 Ortiz J L Brisset Rodolphe
      096.4353 5 Austrian 12-1 Court J K Lukas D. Wayne S
      096.1187 1 No Ka Oi 10-1 Geroux F Catalano Wayne M.
      095.2786 10 Baby White Sox 15-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Sharp Joe J
      094.4612 11 Shanghai Moon(b+) 20-1 Leparoux J R McPeek Kenneth G.
      093.7902 4 Instigated(b+) 12-1 Carroll D Casse Mark E.
      093.3386 6 It's Mandatory 15-1 Morales E Glyshaw Tim
      092.0186 8 Deanos Cape 15-1 Cannon D Hartman Chris A.
      After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
      Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to CD.
      3 36.80 1.24 33.33 26 78 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start
      2 33.80 1.85 55.00 11 20 [Dirt MdnMClm] Best Finish
      9 36.80 1.24 33.33 26 78 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start
      12 36.80 1.24 33.33 26 78 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start
      7 32.40 1.22 35.62 26 73 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Second Start
      5 36.80 1.24 33.33 26 78 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start
      1 36.80 1.24 33.33 26 78 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start
      10 36.80 1.24 33.33 26 78 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start
      11 32.40 1.22 35.62 26 73 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Second Start
      4 36.80 1.24 33.33 26 78 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start
      6 36.80 1.24 33.33 26 78 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start
      8 36.80 1.24 33.33 26 78 [Dirt MdnMClm] Not Third Start
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358144

        #78
        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park


        09/14/19, BEL, Race 1, 1.00 ET
        6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
        Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
        Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        100.0000 2 Professor Snape 8-1 Davis D DeLauro Edward J. WL
        098.8920 3 Getoffmyback 2-1 Franco M Atras Rob JTE
        098.3966 5 Orpheus (ARG) 4/5 Maragh R Martin Carlos F. SFC
        095.9926 1 Discreet Angel(b+) 15-1 Reyes L R Jones Eduardo E.
        095.1667 7 Brimstone 30-1 Hernandez B Toscano. Jr. John T.
        095.0883 6 Lord Simba(b+) 10-1 Cancel E Sciacca Gary
        094.3242 4 Chosen One Elijah 30-1 Harkie H K Jones Eduardo E.
        After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
        Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
        2 24.30 1.20 18.03 11 61 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
        3 24.30 1.20 18.03 11 61 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
        5 24.30 1.20 18.03 11 61 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
        1 .30 1.02 25.00 2 8 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Blinkers On From Off
        7 24.30 1.20 18.03 11 61 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
        6 24.30 1.20 18.03 11 61 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
        4 24.30 1.20 18.03 11 61 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
        * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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