1/16/09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1/16/09

Vegas Runner:

3* NBA Wash -3
2* NHL Colorado -125
2* NBA Phi/SA over 193
2* CBB Yale +3.5
2* NBA Cle/No under 185

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1/16/09

stan sharp..


Analysis: Stan is Betting ATLANTA today. Stan notes that we are getting exceptional line value here as we catch Golden St. following their game with Sacramento in which they lost 135-133. Since they scored so many points Vegas has over adjusted this line. Stan has Atlanta winning by 6-9 points here. TAKE ATLANTA as STAN'S NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1/16/09

teddy cover
milw

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1/16/09

INDIAN COWBOY

Another 2-0 sweep. Back to back 2-0 sweeps. (4-0 run).
6-2 this week (3-1 NBA, 3-1 CBB).
Going or 4 straight winning weeks in the NBA (15-7 last 22).
Things are going very well for us right now.

4 Unit Play (NBA). Take Over 188.5 between Detroit Pistons @ OKC (Friday @ 8pm est). The other day I mentioned to you how I thought OKC was going to beat the Jazz Outright at home - well, they did. Then, I talked about how the Bulls have a great shot at defeating the Cavs outright at home yesterday - and, they did. Even further back, one of my biggest POD back in December was when OKC was at Detroit and they covered easily as they ended up losing 88-90 as they were 11 point chalks in that game. Well, much like OKC got revenge on the Jazz at home, they will get their revenge on the Pistons. But, there is a caveat - a twist if you may in this contest. The fact is that the Pistons have lost 3 in a row and i can't force myself to bet against the 'Stones despite them losing 3 in a row as they are on the path to potentially lose 4 in a row after their OT loss to Indiana. But, over 70% of the public is on the road chalk here and that has an Outright win written all over for OKC. Regardless, we will indirectly bet against the Pistons. How? We will do this by taking the Over as I believe OKC will be an "active dog' and consequently push this game over. I have talked and written about my active dog theory extensively. When you have a dog that is "active", they consequently exceed expectations and push the total over. This was the same principle we used to cash on the OKC/Utah over as I talked about how OKC was going to exceed expectations and score more often which forced Utah (the favorite) to keep up and consequently the total spills over. I expect this game to total in the high 190's today as both teams should reach in the mid 90's or more by the time all is set and done.

4 Unit Play. #821. Take the Yale Bulldogs +4 over Brown (Friday @ 7pm est). Let's make it 4-1 this week in college basketball with tonight's winner and secure our back to back winning weeks. I actually think Yale can win this game outright. The last time these two teams played last year Yale fell short and they are cognizant of that. Plus, Yale has played a tougher non-conference schedule this year so their overall record compared to Brown's is irrelevant. Look, I know Yale is 5-9 but that is irrelevant. Why? Well, because Yale has played the likes of Stanford at home and lost by just 8, Vermont on the road, Portland on the road, Oregon State on the road and actually won that game 53-52 and lost to Alabama by just 3 points on the road. You think Yale is intimidated in going to Brown to play a conference game? lol. This team has played Bama, Portland, Vermont and Oregon State on the road so I can promise you that this team is not afraid of Brown. Plus, over 70% of the public is favoring Brown here and their 6-8 record. But, look who those wins come against for Brown. This team has defeated the likes of MIT who is not even a division 1 basketball team, Bryant university who is one of the wost schools in the country ranked outside the top 320, Quinnapac (another team ranked outside the top 300), Eastern Michigan and Hartford - all outside the top 300. In short, Brown has played some cupcake teams and are not as tested as Yale who has not played some very tough competition. I expect Yale to be very game today as they should compete for the Ivy Title but more importantly, they should have the experience, talent and being vetted through a solid non-conference schedule to pull the Outright her today or stay within the 4 points. The Bulldogs of Yale are 4-1 ATS over their last 4 while the Brown Bears are 0-5 ATS over their last 5 games.
Good luck,