Monday 5-27-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arizona Downs
PURCHASE
Arizona Downs - Race 7

$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $1 Daily Double (Races 7-8)


Stakes • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 100 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 4:00P
PRESCOTT H. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NO NOMINATION FEE. $50 TO ENTER AND $50 TO START. PURSE $12,000 GUARANTEED. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO THE OWNERS OF ALL HORSES NOT FINISHING IN AN AWARDED POSITION (1ST THROUGH 5TH), 62 % OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHTS TO BE PUBLISHED ON MONDAY MAY 20TH. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED. STARTERS AND RIDERS MUST BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. THIS RACE WILL BE LIMITED TO TWELVE (12) STARTERS WITH TWO ALSO-ELIGIBLES. FAILURE TO DRAW INTO THE RACE CANCELS ALL FEES.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. OIL is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OIL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FORTIFIED EFFORT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at le ast 120 lbs.
6
OIL
9/2

5/2
1
FORTIFIED EFFORT
3/5

5/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
OIL
6

9/2
Front-runner
98

91

98.2

88.6

85.6
2
WESTLEY
2

15/1
Stalker
95

76

68.8

80.6

71.6
1
FORTIFIED EFFORT
1

3/5
Trailer
100

96

72.2

97.2

93.2
3
SUCCESS RATE
3

4/1
Trailer
98

78

65.3

84.4

77.9
4
MIDNIGHT OFFICER
4

5/1
Trailer
98

90

62.0

73.8

66.8
5
CITIZEN GELLER
5

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
97

92

51.6

58.0

46.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pimlico
PURCHASE
Pimlico - Race 1

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


SO $25,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $29,000 • Post: 1:10P
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING $25,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLD CLAIMING $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THETURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE SIXTEENTH).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HARD FOUGHT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TOO MUCH DATA: Horse ran ks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. NATIONAL HONOR: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CABINET PIK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at leas t 50. LET'S GO MICK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
8
HARD FOUGHT
7/2

6/1
7
TOO MUCH DATA
6/1

6/1
9
NATIONAL HONOR
7/2

6/1
2
CABINET PIK
3/1

8/1
3
LET'S GO MICK
5/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
CABINET PIK
2

3/1
Front-runner
92

86

94.3

86.2

78.2
8
HARD FOUGHT
8

7/2
Front-runner
97

89

87.6

94.2

88.2
3
LET'S GO MICK
3

5/1
Alternator/Front-runner
95

93

52.6

79.6

70.1
5
ROUGH NIGHT
5

15/1
Stalker
75

77

77.4

73.5

55.5
4
MUTARAABIT
4

12/1
Stalker
74

73

47.4

72.0

62.5
7
TOO MUCH DATA
7

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
99

89

79.2

89.0

83.0
9
NATIONAL HONOR
9

7/2
Trailer
95

98

80.8

88.2

81.2
1
ELEMENTARY
1

15/1
Trailer
89

85

68.9

79.3

66.8
6
UNEQUIVOCAL
6

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
81

81

55.3

59.1

46.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $20500 Class Rating: 82

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $30,000 1 LB.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 SLIPPY 2/1

# 7 DON CURLIONE 6/1

# 3 ORBERT 9/2

SLIPPY is the best bet in this race. Has been running admirably and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. Has very good speed figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. Doyle ought to be able to get this colt to break out sharply for this race. ORBERT - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look very strong in this contest. Recorded a strong speed rating last time out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park
PURCHASE

05/27/19, BEL, Race 4, 3.08 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.00 STAKES. Purse $125,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 3 Behind the Couch 12-1 Alvarado J Englehart Jeremiah C. TWC
099.6241 2 Newly Minted 8/5 Lezcano J Rice Linda JSFEL
098.3029 7 Espresso Shot 9/5 Ortiz J L Abreu Jorge R.
098.2758 6 Pat's No Fool 8-1 Castellano J Capuano Gary
096.1337 1 Wadadli Princess 8-1 Carmouche K Kelly Patrick J.
095.3429 5 Cash Offer 6-1 Saez L Hennig Mark A.
094.7233 4 Elegant Zip 8-1 Davis D Donk David G.
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
3 89.90 3.50 33.33 6 18 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 7f or 7 1/2f
2 89.90 3.50 33.33 6 18 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 7f or 7 1/2f
7 89.90 3.50 33.33 6 18 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 7f or 7 1/2f
6 89.90 3.50 33.33 6 18 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 7f or 7 1/2f
1 156.30 2.35 25.86 15 58 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Not Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
5 156.30 2.35 25.86 15 58 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Not Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
4 89.90 3.50 33.33 6 18 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 7f or 7 1/2f
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Thistledown - Race #2 - Post: 2:10pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,300 Class Rating: 82

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 ONE WAY TO FAME (ML=6/1)
#2 FATHER DENNIS (ML=3/1)
#1 TUBA (ML=8/1)
#3 GHOSTWALKING (ML=7/2)


ONE WAY TO FAME - Gelding's last workout was second fastest of the day for the distance. Just check out his last fig, 74. That one fits well in this field. This gelding is in good physical condition. Ended up third on May 15th. FATHER DENNIS - This gelding is in fine physical condition. Ran third on May 11th. Based on morning drills, I look for this gelding to run a big race. TUBA - Ran in the last race against much better horses at Mountaineer Park. The move down the class ladder should suit him well. Based on the TrackMaster data I've reviewed, this gelding should run well off the vacation. This horse ran out of the money at Mountaineer Park last time out on a track listed as good. He should improve right here without the off-track conditions. GHOSTWALKING - Krigger is back up for another contest today after sitting atop this horse for the first try on May 11th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This gelding is in exceptional form right now. Ran second in the last race and comes back soon. Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last two races. I look for that to continue to trend in a positive direction in this race. This thoroughbred is not the M/L favorite, yet he finished ahead of today's chalk in their last race together.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 COMPLACENT (ML=9/2), #8 FAST FIRE (ML=6/1),

COMPLACENT - The fourth place result in the last affair was not the greatest. FAST FIRE - I'd like to see more hospitable recent efforts with oddsmaker's morning line of 6/1.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #5 ONE WAY TO FAME to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
5 with [1,2,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
5 with [1,2,3] with [1,2,3] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
5 with [1,2,3] with [1,2,3] with [1,2,3] Total Cost: $6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Presque Isle Downs - Race #1 - Post: 5:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 BIG MAX (ML=5/1)


BIG MAX - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. Gelding is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a top effort today. Should do well in this race. Weight shift of -6 from May 14th race at Presque Isle Downs.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 LITTLE TEQUILA (ML=2/1), #5 SUNNY SIDE OVER (ML=3/1), #3 R C M EXPRESS (ML=4/1),

LITTLE TEQUILA - No good results for this steed in a sprint event over the last two months tells me that this gelding is in a very difficult spot Didn't show much run last time out. Probably won't do much running in today's event. Will be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the possibly overvalued equines list. SUNNY SIDE OVER - I predict disappointment for this horse in this event. R C M EXPRESS - I'm prognosticating a less than stellar try out of him this time around.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 BIG MAX is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 89

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE NOVEMBER 27. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 PAPACHO 9/5

# 5 OFF DUTY 7/2

# 4 GAME LAD 5/2

PAPACHO looks to be a very good contender. Shows sound speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses in this race. He has a strong distance/surface win record - 6 - 29. Must be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last contest. OFF DUTY - Has been running well lately and will probably be close to the lead early on. He has a good opportunity for this event as conditioner, Simoff, has strong win clip with horses going this distance. GAME LAD - Has solid speed figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. Looks formidable versus this group and will almost certainly be one of the front-runners.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE

05/27/19, GP, Race 9, 5.34 ET
1 1/2M [Turf] 2.22.03 STARTER STAKE. Purse $60,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 9-10-11) / $2 HRR - (RED 9,11: 1/1. BLK 2,5,7,10: 7/5. GRN 1,3,4,6,8: 10/1.)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 9 Shana Tova 5-1 Zayas E J Lopez Bernardo G. JFEL
098.2426 11 Salute the Colonel 9/5 Rendon J Orseno Joseph F. S
097.3353 4 Bad to the Core (FR) 15-1 Jaramillo E Sano Antonio
097.3178 10 Golden Decision 15-1 Vasquez M A Walder Peter R.
097.2610 7 Nikki's Cause 6-1 Jimenez A Crichton Rohan
096.5465 8 Apartfromthecrowd 15-1 Berrios H I Kurtinecz Lilli W
095.8201 3 Marshall Eddy 20-1 Panici L Catanese. III Joseph C
094.7118 2 Strike Midnight 8-1 Sanchez J Belsoeur Yvon
094.3521 6 Unbridled Holiday 20-1 Reyes L Alter Happy T
094.2775 5 Montclair (IRE) 4-1 Alvarado. Jr. R Belsoeur Yvon
093.9097 1 Whisky N Roses 20-1 Batista J A Biancone Patrick L.
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
9 26.80 1.09 32.68 50 153 [All Turf] Best Jockey
11 14.20 1.12 22.81 13 57 [All Turf] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
10 61.40 1.15 12.50 26 208 [All Turf] Last Race Was Same Jockey
7 14.20 1.12 22.81 13 57 [All Turf] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
3 6.40 1.11 42.86 12 28 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Third Race After 45 Days Off
2 14.20 1.12 22.81 13 57 [All Turf] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
6 8.80 1.12 34.21 13 38 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Claimed
5 14.20 1.12 22.81 13 57 [All Turf] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
1 61.40 1.15 12.50 26 208 [All Turf] Last Race Was Same Jockey
------------------------------
If Race Is Off Turf
------------------------------
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 11 Salute the Colonel 9/5 Rendon J Orseno Joseph F. S
097.5745 9 Shana Tova 5-1 Zayas E J Lopez Bernardo G. JFEL
096.9158 6 Unbridled Holiday 20-1 Reyes L Alter Happy TW
096.5727 7 Nikki's Cause 6-1 Jimenez A Crichton Rohan
096.2581 8 Apartfromthecrowd 15-1 Berrios H I Kurtinecz Lilli
096.0972 4 Bad to the Core (FR) 15-1 Jaramillo E Sano Antonio
095.1459 3 Marshall Eddy 20-1 Panici L Catanese. III Joseph C
095.0981 10 Golden Decision 15-1 Vasquez M A Walder Peter R.
093.4756 5 Montclair (IRE) 4-1 Alvarado. Jr. R Belsoeur Yvon
092.7669 2 Strike Midnight 8-1 Sanchez J Belsoeur Yvon
092.5859 1 Whisky N Roses 20-1 Batista J A Biancone Patrick L.
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
11 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
9 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
6 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
7 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
8 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
4 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
3 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
10 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
5 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
2 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
1 16.40 1.08 36.70 40 109 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97.* Rating With 100.0000 Top Horse
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.