Sunday 1-27-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 67

FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 11, 2019 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 26, 2018 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 26, 2018 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 SYRIANA MIA 3/1

# 7 FARANDULERA 5/2

# 4 LA SUEGRITA 4/1

SYRIANA MIA looks very strong to best this field. Has been running in the most competitive company of the field lately. Trainers don't bring racers back this soon for no reason. This racer is in the upper half of this group of animals in earnings per start at the distance/surface. FARANDULERA - Going in a dirt sprint race gives this mare a competitive shot. LA SUEGRITA - Has strong speed figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event. Has very strong early lick and should fare soundly versus this group of animals.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Sam Houston - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 FAR OUT KAILEE (ML=4/1)
#6 PUMPVILLE (ML=20/1)
#10 POT LIQUOR (ML=5/1)


FAR OUT KAILEE - This gelding usually does his best running late. Look for him last down the backstretch early in the race and finishing best of all on the tiring speed horses. Faced tougher in the last race at Remington Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of strong contenders. Ran a less than stellar race at Remington Park last out. Racing without the slop puts this gelding at the top of my list of contenders. PUMPVILLE - Bryant has this gelding going in the right event. POT LIQUOR - This gelding notched a nice speed figure of 80 in his last event. That fig should be high enough to triumph this time around. This horse has increased his Equibase speed figs in each of the last 2 races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 ALL ABOUT VOODOO (ML=7/2), #2 UNCLE WITT (ML=9/2), #5 WEKNEWUWERETROUBLE (ML=6/1),

ALL ABOUT VOODOO - Unlikely that the speed figure he recorded on December 11th will be enough in this affair. UNCLE WITT - The long layoff since Jul 19th is somewhat discouraging. WEKNEWUWERETROUBLE - A bit of a lackluster try when this gelding finished sixth. Will not be easy for this animal to beat this group off of that last fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the possibly overvalued contestants list.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 FAR OUT KAILEE is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6,10] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,6,10] with [1,6,10] with [1,6,8,9,10] with [1,6,8,9,10] Total Cost: $36

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 4

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) $1 Pick Three / $1 Daily Double


Maiden • 330 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 85 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 6:44P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * EXACTING: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JUST A QUIRK: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equi base Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2
EXACTING
7/2

2/1
5
JUST A QUIRK
9/5

3/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
ROYAL SPECIAL MAN
1

8/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

8.8

0.0

0.0
2
EXACTING
2

7/2
Fast
84

83

2.9

0.0

0.0
3
SLIM SHADEY
3

15/1
Slow
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
4
BLAZE THRU FIRE
4

5/2
Slow
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
5
JUST A QUIRK
5

9/5
Average/Trouble-prone
84

79

5.7

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: THORNY (7/2) [Jockey: Bednar Vinnie - Trainer: Willoughby Scott].

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

01/27/19, OP, Race 1, 1.30 CT
(race description missing)
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Condition
100.0000 8 Redeal 12-1 Mojica O McKnight Norman TFWC
098.8228 12 Summer Lovin 4-1 Eramia R E Broberg Karl EL
096.8433 7 Absolute Love 5-1 De La Cruz W Contreras Cipriano
096.0197 5 Wholehearted 8-1 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino
095.4109 11 Run Wrightaway 3-1 De La Cruz F Gorder Kellyn S
095.0327 10 So Aristocratic(b-) 8-1 Vazquez R A Moquett Ron J
094.9827 4 Turkmenistan 8-1 Felix J E Mason Ingrid
093.0390 2 Cassidy Ave 15-1 Elliott S Williamson Brian
092.9368 9 Mimi's Ruby Bobby 15-1 Santana. Jr. R Leonard. III George
092.7745 3 Essie's Reward 20-1 Cabrera D Prather. Jr. John Henr
091.5970 1 Banner Wave 20-1 Harr K Derryberry Mark
090.5487 6 Undivided 15-1 Morales E Matthews Randy

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Portland Meadows
Portland Meadows - Race 6

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $0.50 14% Pick 4 (Races 6-9) NO SHOW WAGERING


Optional Claiming $25,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 96 • Purse: $7,900 • Post: 2:18P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. WEIGHT, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CAPITAL EXPENSE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMa ster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. NICE GUYS FINISH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3
CAPITAL EXPENSE
2/5

2/1
2
NICE GUYS FINISH
9/2

6/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
SHOT GUN GARY
5

6/1
Front-runner
86

82

108.6

79.6

74.6
3
CAPITAL EXPENSE
3

2/5
Front-runner
97

104

99.0

99.2

97.2
6
FLY HIGH GARY
6

6/1
Front-runner
86

73

87.4

79.0

70.5
4
ALWAYS OUTNUMBERD
4

20/1
Front-runner
73

63

77.4

63.8

53.8
2
NICE GUYS FINISH
2

9/2
Alternator/Stalker
93

88

73.4

85.6

80.6
1
GRAND MINISTER
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

58.2

61.4

49.9

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Optional Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $34300 Class Rating: 88

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MARCH 27 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 WHEREDOESTHECASHGO 5/2

# 2 MR. MOOCH 8/1

# 7 THE WAKI RAPPER 20/1

My pick for this race is WHEREDOESTHECASHGO. Trainer has strong win rate (20 percent) at this distance and surface. With a quite good 78 speed figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this race. MR. MOOCH - Must be considered based on the respectable speed figure garnered in the last contest. The average class fig of 80 makes this horse difficult to beat. THE WAKI RAPPER - Make a note that this one runs now going off Lasix today.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:38pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,400 Class Rating: 82

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 MULLED WINE (ML=6/1)
#2 WAR PIPE (ML=6/1)
#4 MR. TOP FLEET (ML=9/2)


MULLED WINE - I like to play this angle, a pony coming back off a solid race within the last 30 days. You always have to be on the watch for profit making jockey/handler combos; we have an instance right here. Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. WAR PIPE - Just missed hitting the board on Jan 3rd at Gulfstream Park. With decent morning line odds right here, he has my interest. Taking a trip to a lower class rank; has the class to make his presence felt. I like the fact that this gelding's last speed figure, 82, is tops in this group. MR. TOP FLEET - The fact that this gelding is entered right back into a race so quickly means he's fit and ready. Looking at today's class figure, this horse is meeting an easier group than last time out at Gulfstream Park. Finished seventh at Gulfstream Park last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 9/2 in this race, he looks like a possible contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FLAT ZAPPER (ML=3/1), #9 ELVIS COLE (ML=7/2), #1 BARTLETTS MARK (ML=5/1),

FLAT ZAPPER - Hasn't raced or had any drills since December 29th. Not much value on this morning-line choice. Garnered a quite unimpressive speed rating in the last race in an $8,000 Claiming race on December 29th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that fig. ELVIS COLE - Not probable for this steed to do much this time. The very long layoff is a troublesome sign. Didn't end up on the board on July 29th at Gulfstream Park. Followed it up with another lackluster effort. BARTLETTS MARK - Let me give you a tip. For the most part, don't play a maiden breaker out of a maiden claimer next time out.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 MULLED WINE to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4,6] with [2,4,6] with [1,2,4,6,9] with [1,2,4,6,9] Total Cost: $36

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass