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Big Al McMordie: 4 Star: Kansas City -5. (For "tech" lovers: Says this is Indy's 3rd road game in a roll. NFL playoff teams playing 3rd road game (including regular season and two playoff games) only cover 37.5% of the time. Sure lot of Indi picks today. Hmm...
5-Star Colts +5.5 over CHIEFS - Kansas City is off a 35-3 win over the Raiders and this slots them into a system that reveals how significantly teams off a big win in which they allowed a small number of points have been over-rated. Teams laying more than two points on grass are 0-23 ATS recently when they are off a double-digit win in which they held their opponent to at least 11 points fewer than their season-to-date average.
6 Unit Play. Take #301 Indianapolis Colts +5.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (4:35 PM, Saturday, January 12, NBC)
3 Unit Play. Take #301/302 Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs Under 57
4 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #301 Indianapolis Colts +11.5 AND Under 63
3 Unit Play. Take #301 Indianapolis Colts +190 ML over Kansas City Chiefs The Indianapolis Colts will look for their sixth win in a row and their eleventh in their last twelve gams when they hit the road to take on the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO on Saturday afternoon. The Colts have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five road games and they have gone an excellent 5-1 ATS on the road where they faced a team with a winning record at home. They have also covered the number in seven straight games versus a team with a winning record and they are an impressive 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games where they faced a team from the AFC. The Chiefs, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and they have that same 1-4 ATS record in their last five games following a game where they scored 30 points or more. They have also failed to cover the number in six straight playoff home games and they are an awful 1-9 ATS in their last ten playoff games overall. Throw in the fact that the Colts are 7-1 ATS in their last eight trips to Arrowhead and that they are 11-4 ATS in the last fifteen head to head meetings between the two teams overall and we're going to take the points with them here in a game that we think they have a decent chance to win outright in KC on Saturday afternoon. As for the total, the Colts have gone 5-1 to the under in their last six games versus a team from the AFC and they are 9-1 to the under in their last ten versus a team with a winning record. They have also gone 9-4 to the under in their last thirteen road games and they are 13-6 to the under in their last nineteen playoff contests. The Chiefs have been an under team as well in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have stayed under the total in five of their last six playoff home games and they are 16-7 to the under overall when facing a team with a winning record on the road. Throw in the fact that these two teams have gone 6-2 to the under in their last eight head to head meetings and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both defensive units to show up here in KC on Saturday afternoon.
5 Unit Play. Take #303/304 Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams Over 49.5 (8:15 PM, Saturday, January 12, FOX)
4 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #304 Los Angeles Rams -1 AND Over 43.5 Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Dallas Cowboys hit the road to take on the Rams at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, CA on Saturday night. The Rams have posted a perfect 4-0 record to the over in their last four home games and they have that same 4-0 record to the over in their last four Divisional Round games. They have also gone up and over the number in five of their last seven games where they faced a team with a winning record and they are an impressive 12-5 to the over in their last seventeen games off a game where they allowed 350 total yards or more. The Cowboys have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone 7-1 to the over off a game where they gained more than 350 total yards. Throw in the fact that the Rams are a lights out 9-4 to the over following a game where they scored 30 points or more and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to get up and down the field a bit in LA on Saturday night.
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