Thursday 11-29-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 08:22 AM

New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys Preview and Predictions 11-29-2018

NFL Predictions 27th November 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 11/27/2018

The Dallas Cowboys have cobbled together three straight wins to alter the complexion of their season and vault into a share of first place in the mediocre NFC East. The Cowboys will encounter quite the litmus test on Thursday when they host the surging New Orleans Saints, who have won a staggering 10 in a row since their season-opening loss to Tampa Bay.

Ezekiel Elliott leads the NFL with 1,074 rushing yards and has amassed 531 scrimmage yards (394 rushing, 137 receiving) and four touchdowns in his last three games, including 143 (121 rushing, 22 receiving) with a 16-yard scoring run in Dallas' 31-23 win over Washington on Thanksgiving Day. The 23-year-old Elliott likely would need a similar performance against New Orleans' top-ranked rush defense (73.2 yards) as a means to control the clock and keep NFL MVP candidate Drew Brees (league-best 76.4 completion percentage) on the sideline. With Brees under center, the high-octane Saints have scored an NFL-best 37.2 points per game and are fifth in yards (416.6). New Orleans had no issue continuing its frenetic pace last Thursday, as Brees tossed four touchdown passes in a 31-17 win over Atlanta and has 11 scoring strikes against one interception in his last four meetings with the Cowboys.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX, NFL Network. LINE: Saints -7.5. O/U: 53

ABOUT THE SAINTS (10-1): The electric Alvin Kamara has shown no signs of slowing down with 575 scrimmage yards and nine touchdowns (six rushing, three receiving) in his past six games. Fellow running back Mark Ingram has three scores in his last three outings and Michael Thomas has proven to be Brees' most trusted target with an NFL second-best 86 receptions. While the offense receives its fair share of headlines, the defense is getting plenty of press too, as it forced four turnovers, registered a season-high six sacks and held Falcons running backs Tevin Coleman and Ito Smith to just six rushing yards on 10 carries last week. "We all know what Dallas is gonna want to do -- hand it to Zeke as many times as they can and try to pound out a win," defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins said. "So it's gonna be fun."

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (6-5): Louisiana native Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper look to exploit New Orleans' 30th-ranked pass defense after the pair hooked up for two long touchdown passes against the Redskins. Prescott has a rushing score in each of his last three games while Cooper joined Kansas City speedster Tyreek Hill in recording his second 180-yard, two-touchdown performance in the last two seasons with his sterling effort versus Washington. Cooper has seen eight-plus targets in three of four games since being acquired from Oakland, giving Dallas a new version of a familiar three-pronged attack made famous by "The Triplets" of Pro Football Hall of Famers Troy Aikman, Emmitt Smith and Michael Irvin. "I think the sky's the limit," the 24-year-old Cooper said. "Obviously we'll have to wait and see, but Dak is a great player. Zeke is a great player. So who knows?"

EXTRA POINTS

1. New Orleans WR Tre'Quan Smith was limited in practice on Tuesday as he attempts to return from a one-game absence due to a foot injury.

2. Dallas DE Demarcus Lawrence has three of his team-leading 8.5 sacks in the last four games.

3. The Saints have a league low-tying nine turnovers, one fewer than the Cowboys.

PREDICTION: Saints 38, Cowboys 16

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 08:44 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

11/29/18, AQU, Race 6, 2.47 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000.
Claiming Price $30,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLDFOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 30.77, $1 ROI 0.73, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 9 Trance 4-1 Saez L Cox Brad H. T
096.9831 12 Marble Moon 8-1 Davis D Baker Charlton
096.6070 3 Get Along 5-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Asmussen Steven M.
095.8915 7 Grammi Dance 7/2 Franco M Nevin Michelle L
095.8297 11 Giant Sandy 12-1 Castellano J Toscano. Jr. John T. J
095.3957 6 Mend Up 12-1 Hernandez H Ubillo Rodrigo A.
095.0429 13 Wisecrack 15-1 Rosario J Contessa Gary C.
094.4789 8 Oh K Funnybone 6-1 Luzzi M J Brown Bruce R. FEC
094.3839 2 Stone Breaker 12-1 Gutierrez R Gullo Gary P.
094.2959 10 Papa Jim 30-1 Worrie A S Hemmings Glendon
093.9042 1 Quick Snap 30-1 Pena B Friedman Mitchell E. W
093.7407 5 Highest Rank 8-1 Cancel E Donk David G.
092.2828 4 Ben of the Bush 20-1 Diaz. Jr. H R Schettino Dominick L.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 08:45 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 90

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MAY 29, 2018 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 29 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 PACIFIC RIDGE 20/1

# 5 GOODBYESEEULATER 8/5

# 6 CHERUBIM 9/5

PACIFIC RIDGE is the most respectable wager in this race especially at such a decent 20/1. This equine has to be in sound condition coming back to race so quickly. Lyapustina has very solid numbers that point to this gelding to be a solid contender. GOODBYESEEULATER - Has run strongly when running a dirt sprint race. Recently Magee has provided investors with a decent winning percentage with horses running in dirt sprint races. CHERUBIM - Has performed quite well lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 83 avg speed rating. Runco has a strong win percent with horses running in dirt sprint races.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 08:45 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar

11/29/18, DMR, Race 8, 4.00 PT
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
Claiming Price $32,000, if for $28,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / $1 Super High 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 29.82, $1 ROI 0.93, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 2 Concord Jet 6-1 Quinonez A Koriner Brian J. TW
096.9021 10 Thin Line(b-) 8-1 Pereira T J O'Neill Doug F.
096.8295 5 Tanker 7/2 Franco G Cerin Vladimir S
096.8150 3 Suite Alonso 8-1 Cruz A O'Neill Doug F.
096.3928 8 Shake N Fries 5/2 Van Dyke D Yakteen Tim JEL
094.8961 4 Ministersdon'tlie 20-1 Gryder A T Machowsky Michael
094.7764 7 Violent Behavior 3-1 Baze T Blacker Dan F
094.5085 1 Mad At Money 20-1 Figueroa H Bell. II Thomas Ray C
094.0573 6 Bull Fighter(b+) 20-1 Flores E Palma Hector O.
091.5030 9 Magic Bro 20-1 Delgadillo A Palma Hector O.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 08:45 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs
Evangeline Downs - Race 9

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta

Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 59 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 8:55P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CCFUNATTHIRTEEN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FIT FOR FIRST: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KAYLEES FASTER CASH: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
7
CCFUNATTHIRTEEN
5/1

9/2
8
FIT FOR FIRST
3/1

9/2
1
KAYLEES FASTER CASH
4/1

7/1
5
FLIGHT OF AN ARROW
6/1

9/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
KAYLEES FASTER CASH
1

4/1
Average
58

54

5.6

0.0

0.0
2
ROYAL CROWN CARTEL
2

15/1
Slow
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
4
FIRST PRIZE EARLINE
4

12/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
5
FLIGHT OF AN ARROW
5

6/1
Slow
72

49

9.2

0.0

0.0
6
HEZILLUSIONAL
6

12/1
Fast
53

39

2.1

0.0

0.0
7
CCFUNATTHIRTEEN
7

5/1
Average
61

61

4.3

0.0

0.0
8
FIT FOR FIRST
8

3/1
Average/Trouble-prone
70

56

4.3

0.0

0.0
9
BAYOU BUX
9

5/1
Slow
53

28

6.1

0.0

0.0
10
MOTHER OF DRAGONS
10

8/1
Slow
0

0

9.4

0.0

0.0

Unknown Running Style: MAGNIFICENT MOVE (15/1) [Jockey: Trujillo Jr Mario A - Trainer: Jackson Dwayne].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 08:46 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #8 - Post: 4:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 I WILL RULE (ML=3/1)
#8 TAPEZOID (ML=6/1)

I WILL RULE - This horse has the pace, and no one may be able to keep up with her. This mare's last speed rating registered on October 18th is uppermost in last race speed ratings. Meier gets a break on this horse carrying 7 lbs less than last out. Could be helpful right here in this race. TAPEZOID - This equine is at the top in earnings per start. She looks solid in today's contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SOCIAL ETIQUETTE (ML=2/1), #1 LIP SYNC (ML=9/2), #4 LADY GOT AWAY (ML=5/1),

SOCIAL ETIQUETTE - Tough to play at 2/1 odds after the most recent showings. LIP SYNC - Could be tough for this animal to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list. LADY GOT AWAY - Not easy to back any steed in a short distance event if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last 60 days. Finished fourth in her most recent race with a common speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - I WILL RULE - Posting a better speed rating each of her last couple of races. This mare is a prime candidate to win today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 I WILL RULE to win at post-time odds of 9/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
7 with 8 with [2,4,5] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 08:46 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 86

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 KOPPER WIRED 4/1

# 3 HAIL'S STATEMENT 8/1

# 6 FIFTH THIEF 5/1

KOPPER WIRED is the most respectable bet in this race. Has very good Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 86 - of his last effort. Has been running solidly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. HAIL'S STATEMENT - He has posted quite good figures under today's conditions and will most likely fare well versus this group. This handler has done soundly recently with entries racing at this distance and surface. FIFTH THIEF - Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 86 - of his last effort. Recent figs for the rider - 16 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this field.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 08:47 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
Remington Park - Race 6

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) (.50 Cent Minimum) Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) (.50 Cent Minimum)

Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 9:25P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * STAR IN CHARGE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MR. FINAGLER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JOHN ALLEN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
6
STAR IN CHARGE
2/1

9/2
1
MR. FINAGLER
12/1

5/1
8
JOHN ALLEN
7/2

7/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
JOHN ALLEN
8

7/2
Front-runner
76

73

79.4

59.6

53.1
7
RUNFORUSRUN
7

15/1
Front-runner
64

58

54.8

54.8

41.3
1
MR. FINAGLER
1

12/1
Alternator/Front-runner
77

68

60.7

66.4

56.9
9
BALLROOM KITTEN
9

5/1
Stalker
64

68

55.0

64.5

54.0
4
MISCHIEVOUS DANCER
4

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
74

62

91.3

50.0

44.0
5
WESTERN DRAWL
5

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
66

60

69.5

47.4

32.4
3
MR. NIGHT RIDE
3

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
60

60

56.9

19.0

9.5
6
STAR IN CHARGE
6

2/1
Trailer
82

75

59.7

69.2

65.2
2
UNCLE PUP
2

20/1
Trailer
64

56

46.5

57.4

44.4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 08:47 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turfway Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:11pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 G NINETEEN (ML=2/1)

G NINETEEN - Looking at today's class figure, this horse is encountering an easier group than last race out at Indiana Downs. Have to forget about that last turf race. This gelding should do better hitting the dirt in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 MATH MAJOR (ML=8/5), #1 BREAK THE DEAL (ML=6/1), #4 ST. RONANS (ML=6/1),

MATH MAJOR - You should normally bet against favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last two to three weeks. BREAK THE DEAL - Tough to keep stabbing at this sort of 'hanger' horse. This mount ran a most unsatisfactory rating in the last race. He shouldn't run better and will likely get beat in today's event running that rating. ST. RONANS - Speed ratings of 61/54/50 are in motion on a downward course.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #6 G NINETEEN on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 12:36 PM

NBA

Thursday, November 29

Warriors won their last three games but they lost last four road games, are 0-2 as AU. Four of their last six games went over. Raptors won their last six games; they’re 6-5 as HF. Toronto’s last four games went over. Golden State won its last eight games with Toronto but is 1-4-1 vs spread in last six; Warriors are 1-3-1 vs spread in their last five visits to Canada. Five of last six series games went over.

Clippers won eight of their last nine games; they’re 5-5 on road, 3-0 as AF. Seven of their last nine games went over. Sacramento lost four of its last six games; they’re 5-4 at home, 6-2-1 as HU. Kings’ last six games all went over. Clippers won eight of last nine games with Sacramento, covered four of last five; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits here. Four of last five series games went over.

Indiana won five of its last seven games; they’re 7-4 on road, 2-4 as AU. Four of their last five games went over. Lakers won seven of last ten games but lost last two; LA is 6-4 at home, 2-6 as HF. 11 of their last 13 games stayed under. Home side won eight of last nine Pacer-Laker games; Indiana is 1-3-1 vs spread in last five series games played here. Four of last five series games stayed under.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 12:36 PM

NBA

Thursday, November 29

Trend Report

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Golden State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games at home
Toronto is 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
Indiana is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Indiana is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
LA Lakers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
LA Lakers is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Indiana
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
LA Lakers is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games
LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Sacramento's last 21 games at home
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 12:37 PM

Inside the Paint - Thursday
Chris David

Game of the Night (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)
Golden State (15-7 SU, 9-13 ATS) at Toronto (18-4 SU, 11-10-1 ATS)

Thursday’s matchup from the Scotiabank Arena could very well be a preview of next year’s NBA Finals as both the Raptors (2/1) and Warriors (1/2) are listed as favorites to win the Eastern and Western Conferences respectively.

Unfortunately for tonight, this game won’t have as much drama since Golden State is still dealing with key injuries but nonetheless, I expect Toronto to make a statement.

Tony Mejia, senior writer and handicapper, offered up his thoughts on the game.

He said, “The Warriors have lost their last four road games and spent most of November at Oracle, leaving the state only for that ill-fated Texas trip that produced three setbacks. While Stephen Curry could return as early as this contest, Steve Kerr says it’s more likely that he’ll be returning on Friday against Detroit, so the degree of difficulty intensifies against the team with the league’s best record. Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green should make life difficult for Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson as catalysts right out of the gate and the Raps have a lot of length to throw at both of those guys to keep them from finding a rhythm. Three of the four occasions in which Golden State has failed to reach 100 points have come on the road.”

Curry (groin) is expected to miss and the offshore outfit 5Dimes.eu opened Toronto as a heavy eight-point home favorite over Golden State.

Toronto has won six straight games and that includes a 122-114 win over Memphis on Monday as a 5 ½-point road favorite. The Raptors rallied from a 17-point deficit to earn the cover.

At home, the Raptors have gone 9-2 this season but they haven’t been profitable for bettors (5-6 ATS). Offensively, they’re ranked third in scoring at 117 points per game and second in field goal percentage (49.3%). Golden State is first in shooting (49.4%) and fifth in scoring (116 PPG) but the absence of Curry is noted.

Without the All-Star the Warriors have gone 5-5 and they enter this game on a three-game winning streak. As Mejia mentioned, the road numbers (0-4) haven’t been good without Curry and the depth issue should play a factor in this game.

The Warriors have gone 7-1 (4-4 ATS) versus the East this season and the ‘over’ has gone 6-2 in those games with Golden State averaging 116.9 points per game. The lone loss came to the Milwaukee Bucks (134-111). The Raptors also own a 7-1 non-conference record (3-4-1 ATS) with the only setback coming to the Pelicans at home.

Golden State has won eight straight (3-4-1 ATS) in this series and four in a row at Canada. The Warriors were favored in all of those games and bettors should note that this year’s Golden State squad has been listed as an underdog three times this season and it’s 0-3 both SU and ATS. Also, the ‘under’ has cashed easily in all of those games as well.

Along with the top matchup between two contenders, there are two late-night games and below is my quick handicap.

Indiana (13-8 SU, 10-10-1 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (11-9 SU, 7-13 ATS)

The late-night TNT double-header is a nice non-conference matchup from the Staples Center. The Lakers (-4 ½) will try to snap a two-game losing skid while the Pacers will look to improve to 3-0 on their current four-game road trip.

Indiana blew the doors off Utah 121-88 on Sunday and escaped trouble on Monday with 109-104 win at Phoenix. While the Pacers are a solid club and certainly a team to watch in the playoffs, the oddsmakers have had a nice pulse on them. Indiana is 2-4 both SU and ATS as a road ‘dog this season, and it’s just 2-5 against teams at .500 and above. The ‘bully’ label is certainly in play when you see that they’re 11-3 against teams below .500. They did just beat the Jazz on Sunday but Utah and maybe Boston have been two of the biggest disappointments this season. Can the Pacers steal one at the Lakers?

Unlike Indiana, Los Angeles has been good versus teams above .500 (6-4) but it’s still weak on defense (113 PPG) and it can’t buy a shot from 3-point land (34.7%). They’re ranked in the bottom third of the league in both those categories, while the Pacers (102.2 PPG) are ranked second in scoring defense and fifth from distance (37.6%).

The Lakers aren’t in great form offensively, scoring 100.2 PPG in their last five games and that’s led to a 5-0 ‘under’ run. When you factor in the current play and the opponent, it’s tough to make a case for a Los Angeles team that has been pedestrian at home (6-4 SU, 3-7 ATS). And for whatever reason, the club has struggled against teams from the Eastern Conference (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) at the Staples Center.

The home team has won four straight games in this series and three of the victories came by double digits. The ‘under’ is 3-1 during this span.

L.A. Clippers (14-6 SU, 13-7 ATS) at Sacramento (10-10 SU, 12-7-1 ATS)

Surprising starts by both clubs and while I believe both will taper off as the season progresses, you have to be impressed with the pair. For this matchup, the public will lean to the Clippers (-3) because the line is short and they’re clearly the more talented than Kings. We all know it’s not that simple and there are reasons to fade or follow both clubs. What’s stood out this season for me on Los Angeles is its great record as a favorite (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS). The point-spread has only mattered in one game and with this line being so short, it’s unlikely to play a factor on Thursday.

L.A. is playing this game on no rest and it’s gone 1-1 both SU and ATS in that role this season. Another factor that could have me staying away is the Clippers production on the road (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS), and they’ve pulled some wild wins out of their hat too.

Sacramento has been decent at the Golden 1 Center this season, going 5-4 SU and 6-2-1 ATS but their recent form could have you pumping the breaks. The Kings are 2-4 in their last six games and the defense has surrendered 119.5 PPG during this span, which has directly attributed to a 6-0 ‘over’ mark. Thursday’s total opened at 235 and they haven’t seen a number this high since early November.

This will be the first meeting between the pair this season. The Clippers have gotten the better of the Kings recently, sweeping last year’s encounters (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) but the two road wins came by a combined eight points. The ‘over’ went 3-1.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 12:38 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 29

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GOLDEN STATE (15 - 7) at TORONTO (18 - 4) - 11/29/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (14 - 6) at SACRAMENTO (10 - 10) - 11/29/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (13 - 8) at LA LAKERS (11 - 9) - 11/29/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 62-46 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
INDIANA is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-29-2018, 12:38 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, November 29

Golden State @ Toronto

Game 501-502
November 29, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
114.995
Toronto
129.068
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 14
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-9); Under

LA Clippers @ Sacramento

Game 503-504
November 29, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
121.760
Sacramento
112.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 9
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 2 1/2
235
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-2 1/2); Under

Indiana @ LA Lakers

Game 505-506
November 29, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
114.706
LA Lakers
121.734
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 7
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 4 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-4 1/2); Under

Thursday 11-29-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 11-29-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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