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Thursday 5-24-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
May 24 '18, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | BOS vs TAM
Play on: UNDER 7½ -120
Free Pick on Red Sox/Rays UNDER
I'm recommending a play on the UNDER in Thursday's AL East showdown between the Rays and Red Sox. Each of the first two games in the series have gone UNDER the total set by the books and I see no reason given the pitching matchup that trend won't continue in the series finale.
Boston will send out Rick Porcello, who is having a big bounce back season after the disappointing showing in 2017 following his Cy Young campaign. Porcello is 6-1 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.052 WHIP in 10 starts. Not only will he be facing a Rays team that has scored 2 or fewer runs in each of their last 3 games, but he's owned Tampa of late. He's got a 3.23 ERA over 26 career starts against the Rays and is 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA in 3 outings against them this season.
Tampa will send out Blake Snell, who is without a doubt one of their best starters. Snell is 5-3 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 10 starts. Most of that success has come at home, where he owns a 1.07 ERA and 0.829 WHIP in 4 starts. He too has faced the opponent 3 times and Snell owns a 1.38 ERA in those 3 starts vs Boston this season.
UNDER is 41-19-4 in the Red Sox's last 64 when playing the 3rd game of a series, 8-2 in their last 10 following a win and 12-3 in their last 15 division road games. UNDER is also 9-2-1 in Tampa's last 12 after a loos, 21-7-2 in their last 30 during game 3 of a series and 5-0-2 in their last 7 at home. Take the UNDER!
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