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The team leading at the end of the third quarter has won 80.0% of the time.
Two of the last three Super Bowls have seen a team losing by double digits come back to win the game (these are the only two times this has happened in the Super Bowl). Both were Patriots comebacks.
Teams leading by seven points or more at the end of the third are 33-4.
Teams leading by three points or less at the end of the third quarter have NEVER won the Super Bowl.
Teams leading by more than three points at the end of the third are 40-6.
Team leading by less than seven points at the end of the third quarter are 7-6.
Not Leading at End of 1st Quarter ... 3-1 SU (+1.5)
Patriots
Leading at End of 1st Quarter ... 8-0 SU (+16.63)
Not Leading at End of 1st Quarter ... 5-1 SU (+8.83)
**The most points scored in the first quarter of a Super Bowl is 24 — Super Bowl 31, Patriots vs Packers. Despite being down 14-10 at the end of the first, Green Bay went on to win 35-21.
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