Super Bowl Betting Info

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  • New York Knight
    IWS Member
    • Aug 2017
    • 4965

    #31
    Eagles Bettors Should be Happy that Gene Steratore is Working


    Steratore was assigned the Super Bowl last week and brings 15 years of officiating experience into the game (12 years as referee) and it will be his first appearance in a Super Bowl.

    During the regular season, Steratore worked 15 games, with favorites going 12-3 straight up and 8-5-2 against the spread. OVERs had a slight edge in totals, going 8-6-1 in those contests. He worked two Pats games (Week 7 vs the Falcons, Week 13 at Buffalo) and one Eagles game (Week 9 vs the Broncos) with the two Super Bowl LII participants winning and covering the spread.

    As far as his playoff career is concerned, this will be his 10th game as referee. So far, underdogs have made out quite well, going 4-5 SU and 6-3 ATS.

    Perhaps more interestingly, though, is the Eagles’ success with Steratore working their games. The Eagles have played 13 games since 2007 with Steratore and have gone 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS. A more recent sample size reveals a five-game SU winning streak (4-1 ATS) and a mark of 9-1 SU since December 7, 2008.

    This referee data here goes back to 2012 and the Eagles’ 5-1 SU record in Steratore games is tied for the best among NFL referees (with at least five games worked) with Clete Blakeman. As far as the spread goes, Philly’s 4-2 ATS record ranks fourth behind Ed Hochuli’s 6-1 ATS, Blakeman’s 5-1 ATS and Walt Coleman’s 5-2 ATS records.

    As far as the Pats are concerned, there isn’t too much that pops off the page. The Pats have a SU winning percentage of 79.0 since the start of 2007 (regular season only) and an ATS winning percentage of 60.9. In Steratore’s games, the SU percentage dips a little to 73.3 (11-4 SU) while the ATS percentage drops to 57.1 (8-6 ATS with one push).

    Comment

    • New York Knight
      IWS Member
      • Aug 2017
      • 4965

      #32
      Thursday useless trend ...


      Brady 3-0 vs. bird teams in the Super Bowl

      Comment

      • New York Knight
        IWS Member
        • Aug 2017
        • 4965

        #33
        Early consensus picks:


        61% OVER 48.5 (5dimes)

        54% Eagles +5 (Intertops)

        Comment

        • New York Knight
          IWS Member
          • Aug 2017
          • 4965

          #34
          Nevada sportsbooks have won money on 25 of the last 27 Super Bowls.

          They lost roughly $2.5 million in 2008 (Giants beat Patriots 17-14 as 12-point underdogs) and roughly $400,000 in 1995 (49ers beat Chargers 49-26 as 18.5-point favorites).

          Comment

          • New York Knight
            IWS Member
            • Aug 2017
            • 4965

            #35
            The team that has won the Super Bowl has covered the game outright 88% of the time. That’s 45 of 51 Super Bowls. The normal NFL average for teams that cover when they win is around 80%.

            Comment

            • New York Knight
              IWS Member
              • Aug 2017
              • 4965

              #36
              New England has played in two of the six Super Bowls where teams won but did not cover.

              Those came in 2005 (24-21 win over Philadelphia at -7) and in 2004 (a 32-29 win over Carolina at -7).

              Both were very big wins for the house of 17% and 15.3% respectively.

              Comment

              • New York Knight
                IWS Member
                • Aug 2017
                • 4965

                #37
                Since 1984, the NFC has gone 6-2 SU and ATS when No. 1 conference seeds face off in the Super Bowl (5-3 OU).

                The team that won the game also covered the spread all eight times.

                Comment

                • New York Knight
                  IWS Member
                  • Aug 2017
                  • 4965

                  #38
                  Yards per play is a common stat viewed by professional bettors to handicap football games.

                  The Eagles have a +0.5 net yards per play, which is slightly better than the Patriots at +0.3 net yards per play.

                  Comment

                  • New York Knight
                    IWS Member
                    • Aug 2017
                    • 4965

                    #39
                    Brady has averaged 296 passing yards in his seven Super Bowls.

                    The OVER/UNDER on his passing yards this Super Bowl is set at 285.5 (-125 over)

                    Comment

                    • New York Knight
                      IWS Member
                      • Aug 2017
                      • 4965

                      #40
                      New England hasn't scored in the 1st quarter of any of their Super Bowls

                      Comment

                      • New York Knight
                        IWS Member
                        • Aug 2017
                        • 4965

                        #41
                        Sports Insights‏ ...

                        Eagles continue to get the majority of bets. ... Now up to 60% at our contributing books.

                        25,335 bets and counting

                        Comment

                        • New York Knight
                          IWS Member
                          • Aug 2017
                          • 4965

                          #42
                          Orange has been the Gatorade bath color of choice in four of the last eight Super Bowls.

                          Yet, somehow, it is only the 2nd fave this year at +250. Yellow is favored at +225 (Bovada).

                          Comment

                          • New York Knight
                            IWS Member
                            • Aug 2017
                            • 4965

                            #43
                            CG Technology ...


                            Pats open -6, now -5

                            "On the pointspread, we've taken 2.5X more bets on the Eagles, and the money is 1.6X more on the Eagles."

                            Moneyline opened NE -220 / PHI +180 ... Now -200 / +175

                            "Moneyline is an even bigger spread, which is not surprising, because fewer people want to lay the favorite on the moneyline."

                            Moneyline betting ... "Tickets are running 4X more on the Eagles. The money is slightly more on the Patriots, but that still means our liability is significantly more on the Eagles, because of the plus price.”

                            Comment

                            • New York Knight
                              IWS Member
                              • Aug 2017
                              • 4965

                              #44
                              William Hill's 108 sports books across Nevada including their phone wagering ...


                              69% of all the cash taken on the point spread coming on the Patriots, who they have favored by 5-points

                              Only 51% of the tickets written are slanted to the Eagles.

                              Comment

                              • New York Knight
                                IWS Member
                                • Aug 2017
                                • 4965

                                #45
                                Boyd Gaming / Westgate SuperBook & Station Casinos all join MGM Resorts by dropping Patriots to -4.5 today

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