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Brady and Patriots ranked in top 2 in points and yards/game in regular season
Eagles defense 4th against both
Eagles defense 4th against both
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Eagles trying to become first team since 2013 Ravens to win 3 straight playoff games as underdogsComment
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Random trend ...
The Winning Team in 12 of the last 13 Super Bowls has worn their White Game JerseysComment
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Pats are -5.5 at most spots and -5 at a couple others ...
5 is no longer a so-called dead number and the data tells us so.
Between 1984 and through the 2016 season, 2.57 percent of all NFL games were decided by exactly a five-point margin. That only makes it the fourth-least common final score margin among single digits. The numbers 2 (2.56 percent), 8 (2.32 percent) and 9 (1.13 percent) are all less common, or more dead, numbers than 5.
What’s more is that wins of five points appear far more often since the NFL moved the extra-point attempt back to the 15-yard line in 2015. We’ve seen 40 games decided by exactly five points since then, which is five percent of games and nearly double the percentage we saw with this margin previously. We also saw 16 of them this past season, or in 6.1 percent of games.
(That’s astonishing when you consider that 7 is the most common margin of victory in the NFL with 7.17 percent of games finishing on this number from 1984 to the start of 2017.)
The change to more five-point win margins comes from the result of more missed extra-point attempts, which has also led to more two-point attempts after a touchdown. Teams haven’t averaged better than 94.2 percent on extra-point attempts in the three seasons since the rule change, compared to 99 percent or better in eight of the nine seasons previous to that.
It all means oddsmakers have to treat the number 5 a little more seriously than they did previously and bettors would be wise to do the same. It’s worth shopping around when the spread hovers around this number whereas before 2015, many recreational bettors wouldn’t have given this line a second thought.
Point being, keep the five-point data in mind if that number arises again and also when you see those 5-point spreads pop upComment
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Over the last 2 seasons, the Patriots failed to cover the spread in consecutive games just once, vs Houston and Carolina this season.
They're 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games after an ATS loss.Comment
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The national anthem over/under is set at 2 minutes but the OVER will cost you between -140 to -180
The average for the last 12 years ... 1:58.6Comment
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ATS wearing white ...
10-3 last 13 ... 6-0 last 6Comment
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Since 2002, teams that won in the conference round as an underdog are 9-0 ATS in the Super Bowl.
EaglesComment
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OddsShark consensus numbers say 57% of the early tickets are on the Eagles.
BetOnline reported 55% of bets there are on the Eagles.
South Point is seeing early money on the Eagles in Vegas and moved the line from 6 to 5.5.
Early money is also on the OVER and the total moved from 47.5 to 48 and 48.5 at some spots.Comment
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5Dimes is still the only book offering Patriots -4.5 right now.
Everywhere else at -5/-5.5Comment
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RJ Bell ...
"Famous World Series Let-It-Ride bettor in negotiations with MGM to make BIGGEST sports bet in Las Vegas HISTORY on Eagles"
(upwards of 8 FIGURES expected on this historic bet)
The bettor is picking the Eagles to WIN ... the negotiations are how big of bet they will take, what ML they will offer.Comment
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Brady led the NFL with 4,577 passing yards this season
No player to lead the NFL in pass yards has ever won the Super Bowl in that season (0-5 record)
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MGM Race And Sports is first Vegas book to drop to Patriots -4.5Comment
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MGM has publicly confirmed "multi-million dollar" bet on Eagles to win SB
It was the "Let-It-Ride bettor" ... $3 Million
And he's looking to bet millions MORE ...Comment
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