Thursday 11-2-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • bmd1803
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2017
    • 1415

    #16
    Red Wings at Senators 11/2/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

    by Thomas

    Latest Odds : OTT -145 Total 5.5

    The Detroit Red Wings are 6-6-1 on the season as they head to Ottawa on Thursday to take on the Senators. The Red Wings are 4th in the Atlantic and beat the Coyotes 5-3 on Tuesday. Detroit has won two straight games and are 4-4 on the road this season.

    Jimmy Howard will make his 11th start of the season for the Red Wings on Thursday. Howard is 5-4 on the season with 24 goals allowed. Howard carries a 2.57 goals against average and a .927 save percentage.


    The Ottawa Senators has now lost two straight games heading into Thursday. The Senators lost to Montreal on their home ice 8-3 on Monday. Ottawa is 5-2-5 on the season and 2nd in the Atlantic. The Senators are 5-2-3 over their last ten games and are 2-2-4 on their home ice.

    Craig Anderson will make his 10th start of the season for the Senators. Anderson is 4-2-3 on the season with one shutout. Anderson has allowed 28 goals on the season and carries a 3.14 goals against average and a .895 save percentage.

    Recent Betting Trends:
    Red Wings are 5-16 in their last 21 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
    Senators are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
    Under is 7-2-1 in Red Wings last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
    Under is 9-4-1 in Senators last 14 games playing on 2 days rest.
    Free Betting Pick: Detroit Red Wings +135
    The Red Wings show a ton of value as a road underdog on Thursday. Detroit has won two straight and have played good hockey as of late while the Senators cannot find the win column. The Red Wings have won nine of their last twelve played in Ottawa. Red Wings win 4-3.

    Comment

    • bmd1803
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2017
      • 1415

      #17
      Islanders at Capitals 11/2/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

      by Thomas

      Latest Odds : WAS -150 Total 5.5

      The New York Islanders have won two straight games as they get set to take on the Capitals in Washington on Thursday night. The Islanders are 7-4-1 on the season and 3rd in the Metro. New York beat Vegas 6-3 on Monday night on their home ice. The Islanders are 3-4 on the road this year.

      Jaroslav Halak will make his 8th start of the season for the Islanders. Halak is 5-2 on the season with 20 goals allowed. Halak carries a 2.66 goals against average and a .916 save percentage.


      The Washington Capitals lost in Calgary on Sunday 2-1 and now will be at home to take on the surging Islanders. Washington is 5-6-1 on the season and 3-6-1 over their last ten games. The Capitals are 1-3 on their home ice this season.

      Braden Holtby will make his 9th start of the season for the Capitals. Holtby is 5-3 on the season with 21 goals allowed. Holtby carries a 2.76 goals against average and a .919 save percentage.

      Recent Betting Trends:
      Islanders are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
      Capitals are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
      Over is 5-2 in Islanders last 7 Thursday games.
      Under is 4-1 in Capitals last 5 home games.
      Free Betting Pick: New York Islanders +140
      The Islanders are a solid road underdog on Thursday night. New York has some momentum with winning two straight games. The Islanders have won seven of their last eight games against a team from the East. Back NY in this one. The Islanders win 4-2.

      Comment

      • bmd1803
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2017
        • 1415

        #18
        Golden Knights at Bruins 11/2/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

        by Thomas

        Latest Odds : BOS -210 Total 6

        The Las Vegas Golden Knights have now lost two straight games heading into Thursday. The Golden Knights are 8-3 on the season and will visit Boston to take on the Bruins. Las Vegas is 7-3 over their last ten games and are 2-2 on the road.

        Maxime Lagace will get his 2nd start of the season for Vegas. Lagace is 0-2 on the season with 9 goals allowed. Lagace carries a .813 save percentage and a 6.35 goals against average.


        The Boston Bruins have also lost two straight games heading into this one. Boston is 4-3-3 on the season and 5th in the Atlantic. The Bruins lost 4-3 in overtime in Columbus on Monday and are 3-1-2 on their home ice. The Bruins average 3.00 goals per game which ranks 16th in the NHL.

        Tuukka Rask will make his 7th start in the net for the Bruins on Thursday. Rask is 1-3-2 on the season with 17 goals allowed. Rask carries a 2.93 goals against average and a .896 save percentage.

        Recent Betting Trends:
        Golden Knights are 8-3 in their last 11 overall.
        Bruins are 15-6 in their last 21 vs. Western Conference.
        Over is 4-0 in Golden Knights last 4 overall.
        Under is 5-1 in Bruins last 6 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
        Free Betting Pick: Las Vegas Golden Knights +200
        Both team have lost two straight games but Las Vegas has been the better team so far this season. The Golden Knights have to figure out their goalie situation but their offense can save them. Grab Las Vegas as a quality underdog in this one. The Golden Knights win 3-2.

        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 352458

          #19
          Arthur Ralph Sports

          THURS Portland NBA -8
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 352458

            #20
            Jim Feist

            Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, November 2, 2017

            NBA (501) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS (502) SAN ANTONIO SPURS

            Take: UNDER

            Reason: Your free play for Thursday, November 2 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Golden State Warriors and the San Antonio Spurs. The Warriors are off to a 5-3 S/U start and just a 2/6 ATS record. On the road the club is 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS. In addition, the Warriors have covered just two of their last 10 games Tonight they play at the San Antonio Spurs, who are 4-3 S/U on the season and 2-0 at home. The Warriors are NO 1 in the league in scoring (121 ppg) and also tops in assists (30.9). The Warriors defense isn't very good, 27th in scoring defense allowing 114 ppg. The Spurs look to snap a three game losing streak here tonight after starting the season 4-0. The Spurs are playing shorthanded and that's a problem against a team like the Warriors. SA is without Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker, which is a big reason why they are 27th in scoring offense. As long as Leonard is out of the lineup we can't expect much scoring from this Spurs club. That means they can't get into a run and gun affair with a team like the Warriors. I expect the Spurs to try and slow the tempo as much as possible here. Play the UNDER.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 352458

              #21
              JEFF BENTON

              Your Thursday freebie is the Under in the Navy-Temple game.

              Thursday night in Philly low will be the way to go when Navy and Temple take the field.

              Let's start with the fact the Midshipmen and the Owls last pair of meetings - last season and in 2014 - have both held Under the total.

              Let's continue with the fact the Middies are 5-2 Under the total in their 7 games played this year, with all 3 of their road games landing Under the posted price. As for Temple, the Owls did manage to squeeze Over the total last time out against Army, but Temple had been Under the price in 6 in a row prior to that Over. The Owls are also 4-0 Under in their 4 games played at home for the year.

              Based on the total, I am sure this one is going to be pretty damn close to the price established, but in the end these teams will hold just shy of cracking the Over.

              Navy-Temple land Under here on Thursday.

              3* NAVY-TEMPLE UNDER
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 352458

                #22
                JOEY JUICE

                These two teams have remained atop the Western Conference standings for the past few years now, and quite honestly, they are showing no signs of slowing down. In fact, once Leonard gets back in the lineup the Spurs should return to form but needless to say at this point without him they've got some serious problems.

                As always, Golden State will push the tempo and run the transition to try and force San Antonio to keep pace.

                No team in the league shoots better than the Warriors, and we've seen them Crush teams this season.

                A look inside the numbers tells us all we need to know about betting this total.

                When the Warriors get rest, the Warriors score big. The over is 5-0 in the Warriors’ last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. When the Warriors play good teams the score always goes over, as the over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

                Additionally, when the Warriors play West Coast teams it's always a score-fest. The over is 9-1 in their last 10 vs. Western Conference opponents. And finally when the Warriors are on the road the game always goes over, the over is 12-2 in their last 14 road contests.

                As for the Spurs, all their games have been going over lately as well, especially at home against good road teams. San Antonio has gone over 5 of the last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. In fact, the Spurs always go over at home , the over is 7-1 in their last eight at home.

                Nothing but points in this one, bet the total over.

                4* GOLDEN STATE-SAN ANTONIO OVER
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 352458

                  #23
                  BIG AL

                  Our complimentary selection for Thursday, Nov 2 is:

                  Boston Bruins over Vegas Golden Knights.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 352458

                    #24
                    CAPPERS ACCESS
                    Toledo
                    Temple
                    Warriors
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 352458

                      #25
                      MARC LAWRENCE

                      Play - Idaho (Game 315).

                      Edges - Vandals: 11-3 ATS away with revenge, including 5-0 the last five… Trojans: 1-10 ATS at home following a double-digit win. With Troy just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in weekday games, and the Vandals going all-out to become bowl eligible in their final FBS season, we recommend a 1* play on Idaho. Thank you and good luck as always. We recommend a 1* play on Idaho. Thank you and good luck as always.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 352458

                        #26
                        BEN BURNS
                        NCAA-F | Nov 02, 2017
                        Ball State vs. Eastern Michigan
                        Ball State+24

                        The best thing you can say about Ball State football is that basketball season is right around the corner. The grid Cardinals have lost four straight, by an average score of 50-8, and are down to their fourth quarterback this season. But a 24-point spread is unusual this late in the season, and Eastern Michigan (2-6 SU) has plenty of issues of its own. Plus, there were some good offensive signs in Ball State’s last game. The Cards may have found their QB of the future in Drew Pitt, and Caleb Huntley has developed into a solid workhorse running back. Take the points in this one.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 352458

                          #27
                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.

                          Race 4 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 78

                          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 2, 2017. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).


                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          The Walker Group Picks

                          # 6 WHISKEY SOUR 4/1

                          # 4 VALDINA CROSSING 7/5

                          # 2 J W RACER 5/1

                          WHISKEY SOUR looks to be a very good contender. Has respectable early lick and will most likely fare soundly against this field. Could beat this field given the 73 speed rating put up in his last outing. With a nice class rating average of 90, has one of the most competitive class advantages in this field. VALDINA CROSSING - Could best this group here, showing respectable figs of late. This gelding with Ho in the saddle makes him a key contender. J W RACER - Strong average Equibase Speed Figs in dirt sprint races make this animal a solid contender. He has a decent distance/surface win record - 3 for 19.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 352458

                            #28
                            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

                            Finger Lakes - Race 7

                            EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA * DAILY DOUBLE(Races 7-8)


                            Allowance • 1 Mile 40 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $19,200 • Post: 4:04P
                            FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
                            Contenders

                            Race Analysis
                            P#
                            Horse
                            Morn
                            Line

                            Accept
                            Odds


                            Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SIDEWAYS VISION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MIROC: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ST PATRICKS APPEAL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. A MARKED MAN: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. IT MUST BE NICE: Horse has the highest average Eq uibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                            4
                            SIDEWAYS VISION
                            4/1

                            6/1
                            1
                            MIROC
                            5/1

                            7/1
                            2
                            ST PATRICKS APPEAL
                            2/1

                            7/1
                            3
                            A MARKED MAN
                            3/1

                            8/1
                            5
                            IT MUST BE NICE
                            6/1

                            8/1
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 352458

                              #29
                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                              Bar

                              Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 3:14pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 94

                              Rating: 4

                              #2 CLASSY LADY LIZ (ML=8/1)
                              #5 KISS MY LULU (ML=8/5)
                              #3 DEVIL'S BEAUTY (ML=4/1)


                              CLASSY LADY LIZ - This thoroughbred could be tough in today's race, especially since Antongeorgi rode in the last race and now should be acquainted with this one. This mare should get a 'dream' trip in this spot. She looks like the only 'stalker' in this event. Antongeorgi and Winick perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +248 ROI for a jockey and handler. This mare's last figure is good enough to score here, I'll wager on her right back this time. KISS MY LULU - After the contest aboard this animal on August 25th, the jockey is going to 'know' the filly much better. DEVIL'S BEAUTY - Ranked number one in EPS (earnings per start). Another indication that this horse has the class to win today.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #8 TIZ DELITEFUL (ML=9/2), #4 LACEY'S RAINBOW (ML=6/1),

                              TIZ DELITEFUL - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to back a contender that has been sharp in sprint races of late. Pedestrian fig last out at Golden Gate Fields at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't feel this horse will improve too much in today's event. LACEY'S RAINBOW - This horse didn't show any early speed in the last race. Now she is trying a sprint. Tough chance at the shorter distance. Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a short distance event to be worth the chance at modest odds in a sprint.

                              Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CLASSY LADY LIZ - This racer has recorded gains in her speed figures over her last two events. Don't overlook this mare in your gambling.





                              STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                              #2 CLASSY LADY LIZ is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better

                              EXACTA WAGERS:
                              Box [2,3]

                              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                              Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6

                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                              Skip
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 352458

                                #30
                                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                                Bar

                                Gulfstream Park West - Race #6 - Post: 4:02pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 83

                                Rating: 3

                                #7 BEST CONCERT (ML=10/1)
                                #2 OVER LIMIT (ML=5/1)
                                #5 CLEARLY A DEMON (ML=6/1)


                                BEST CONCERT - When Medina and Laurin team up on horses the ROI has been great at +305. OVER LIMIT - This horse could be tough in this race, especially since Reyes rode last out and now should be familiar with this one. CLEARLY A DEMON - Last ran at Gulfstream Park West and finished eighth. Reviewing his handicapping information, I see he was close at the wire, within 5 of the winner. Looking at today's class rating, this horse is encountering an easier bunch than in the last race at Gulfstream Park West. Closed a ton of ground in that last effort at 7 1/2 furlongs. Wouldn't be astonished to see him win today.

                                Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CHOVANES (ML=6/5), #6 TEMPIETTO (ML=6/1), #3 FLYING ROCKET (ML=8/1),

                                CHOVANES - The chalk horse is vulnerable here with the lack of morning drills. TEMPIETTO - Hard to put your dough on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as often as this entrant does. Don't feel this horse will do much running in today's event. That last speed figure was common when compared with today's Equibase class figure. FLYING ROCKET - The effort last time around the track on September 21st probably won't hold up against stronger competition when they turn for home.



                                STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                                Putting our cash on #7 BEST CONCERT to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though

                                EXACTA WAGERS:
                                Box [2,5,7]

                                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                                Box [2,5,7] Total Cost: $6

                                SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                                None

                                SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
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