Sunday 10-29-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351014

    #46
    When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 29, 2017
    Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida

    Preview: Panthers at Buccaneers

    Gracenote
    Oct 27, 2017

    The Carolina Panthers are reeling from back-to-back losses and their star quarterback caused yet another round of controversy this week, but they’re still in better shape than the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both teams need something positive when they square off in an NFC South matchup Sunday at Tampa Bay.


    Despite both clubs’ recent struggles, the Panthers are just one-half game behind division-leading New Orleans, and the Buccaneers can put themselves right back in the mix in the wide-open NFC South with a win on Sunday. Tampa Bay has lost three straight, and the defense has struggled during the skid. ”The only thing you can do right now is, you've got to get one game," Tampa Bay coach Dirk Koetter told reporters. "It is a factor (that) we have not played division games, and those games can move you up fast. You've got to get one. You've just got to get one win." The Buccaneers swept the season series last year by winning a pair of defensive struggles – 17-14 at Carolina and 17-16 at home.
    TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Buccaneers -2. O/U: 46


    ABOUT THE PANTHERS (4-3): Carolina managed only 293 total yards and committed three turnovers – two of which were returned for touchdowns – in a 17-3 loss at Chicago last week. Star quarterback Cam Newton didn’t respond well, walking out of a press conference on Wednesday after being asked about the struggling offense, which ranks 19th in the league. The Panthers boast one of the league’s best defenses, however, ranking fourth against both the run and pass and third in total defense despite forcing only four turnovers through seven games.
    ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (2-4): Tampa Bay is the opposite of Carolina, struggling on defense but possessing a prolific passing game led by quarterback Jameis Winston and receiver Mike Evans. The team hasn’t gotten much going on the ground despite the return of running back Doug Martin, as it has topped 100 yards rushing only twice in six games. Tampa Bay’s biggest concerns are on defense - particularly in the secondary as they rank 30th against the pass and have given up at least 260 yards in every contest.


    EXTRA POINTS
    1. Panthers DE Julius Peppers has 150 career sacks and needs one to surpass Hall-of-Famer Chris Doleman (150.5) for fourth place on the all-time list.
    2. Winston has averaged 255.4 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions while going 6-1 in his last seven home games.
    3. Evans has recorded seven touchdown receptions in his last eight home contests.


    PREDICTION: Panthers 27, Buccaneers 24



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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 351014

      #47
      Trends - Carolina at Tampa Bay


      ATS TRENDS

      Carolina
      • Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
      • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
      • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.
      • Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
      • Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
      • Panthers are 1-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
      • Panthers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
      • Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
      • Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
      • Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South.
      • Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
      • Panthers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

      Tampa Bay
      • Buccaneers are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
      • Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
      • Buccaneers are 22-47-1 ATS in their last 70 home games.
      • Buccaneers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 8.
      • Buccaneers are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
      • Buccaneers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
      • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
      • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
      • Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
      • Buccaneers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
      • Buccaneers are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
      • Buccaneers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
      • Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
      • Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
      • Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
      • Buccaneers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
      OU TRENDS

      Carolina
      • Over is 9-1 in Panthers last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
      • Over is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games in October.
      • Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games overall.
      • Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
      • Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a straight up loss.
      • Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games in Week 8.
      • Over is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
      • Under is 9-3-1 in Panthers last 13 games on grass.
      • Over is 20-7-2 in Panthers last 29 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

      Tampa Bay
      • Over is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
      • Under is 5-1-1 in Buccaneers last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
      • Under is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 home games.
      • Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games overall.
      • Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
      • Under is 6-2-1 in Buccaneers last 9 games on grass.
      • Over is 6-2 in Buccaneers last 8 games following a straight up loss.
      • Over is 19-7 in Buccaneers last 26 games in October.
      HEAD TO HEAD

      • Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay.
      • Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
      • Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
      • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
      • Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Tampa Bay.
      • Favorite is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 meetings.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 351014

        #48
        When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, October 29, 2017
        Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington

        Preview: Texans at Seahawks

        Gracenote
        Oct 27, 2017

        The Seattle Seahawks aim for their fourth consecutive victory Sunday as they attempt to slow down the potent offense of the visiting Houston Texans. Seattle lost two of its first three contests but has bounced back with three straight wins, including a 24-7 road triumph over the New York Giants last week.

        The Seahawks trailed at halftime, but Russell Wilson threw three touchdown passes in the second half while the defense limited New York to 177 total yards. Seattle will need a repeat performance as Houston has scored at least 33 points in each of its last four games, although two of those contests were losses. The Texans hope their bye week doesn't slow down their offense after they registered a 33-17 victory over Cleveland in Week 6. Quarterback Deshaun Watson has been on fire for Houston, becoming the first rookie in NFL history to throw at least three touchdown passes in three consecutive games.

        TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Seahawks -5.5. O/U: 46

        ABOUT THE TEXANS (3-3): Watson is tied for the AFC lead with 15 TD passes, which is the most ever by a rookie in his team's first six contests. The 22-year-old Clemson product also has recorded the most scoring tosses by a rookie in a three-game span with 12 and ranks second among NFL quarterbacks this season with 202 rushing yards. DeAndre Hopkins has five touchdown catches over the past three straight games and is tied for the league lead with six.

        ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (4-2): Last week's effort marked the 30th time in his career that Wilson has thrown multiple touchdown passes (three) and no interceptions, the most by a quarterback in his first six seasons in the NFL. The 28-year-old also spread the wealth against the Giants, completing passes to 11 different receivers. Seattle helped fill the void created by the neck injury that landed Cliff Avril on injured reserve when it agreed to terms with fellow defensive end Dwight Freeney on Tuesday.

        EXTRA POINTS

        1. Seahawks CB Jeremy Lane, who has missed the last two games with a groin injury, was a full participant in Wednesday's practice.

        2. Houston signed LB Jelani Jenkins on Wednesday and released CB Marcus Burley.

        3. Seattle LB Bobby Wagner has made 434 tackles since 2014, the most in the NFL, while CB Richard Sherman leads the league with 26 interceptions since 2012.

        PREDICTION: Seahawks 31, Texans 21


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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 351014

          #49
          Trends - Houston at Seattle


          ATS TRENDS

          Houston
          • Texans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 8.
          • Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
          • Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
          • Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
          • Texans are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
          • Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
          • Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
          • Texans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
          • Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

          Seattle
          • Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
          • Seahawks are 24-6-2 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
          • Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
          • Seahawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf.
          • Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
          • Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
          • Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
          • Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
          • Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
          • Seahawks are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 8.
          • Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
          OU TRENDS

          Houston
          • Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games overall.
          • Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games on fieldturf.
          • Over is 8-0 in Texans last 8 games following a ATS win.
          • Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
          • Under is 7-1 in Texans last 8 games in Week 8.
          • Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
          • Under is 10-3 in Texans last 13 games following a bye week.
          • Over is 16-5 in Texans last 21 games in October.
          • Over is 6-2 in Texans last 8 games following a straight up win.
          • Under is 8-3 in Texans last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
          • Over is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
          • Under is 15-6 in Texans last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

          Seattle
          • Under is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games in Week 8.
          • Over is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
          • Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
          • Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
          • Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games in October.
          HEAD TO HEAD

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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 351014

            #50
            When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, October 29, 2017
            Where: FedEx Field, Landover, Maryland

            Preview: Cowboys at Redskins

            Gracenote
            Oct 26, 2017

            The Ezekiel Elliott drama will last at least one more week with another hearing scheduled for Monday, but at least that means he'll be available for the Dallas Cowboys this week. The Cowboys will try to make the most of their time with Elliott and follow up a big win when they return to NFC East play by visiting the Washington Redskins on Sunday.

            Elliott, who has been fighting a six-game suspension in court, enjoyed his best game of the season last week at San Francisco, when he rushed for 147 yards and two touchdowns and added a 72-yard receiving score in a 40-10 win. The victory snapped a two-game slide for Dallas, which dropped home games to the Los Angeles Rams and the Green Bay Packers despite scoring at least 30 points in each contest. The Redskins squandered an opportunity to make up some ground in the NFC East with a 34-24 loss to the first-place Philadelphia Eagles on Monday and are dealing with a long list of injuries. Four of the five starting offensive linemen sat out practice to rest injuries on Thursday, including left tackle Trent Williams (knee).

            TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Cowboys -2. O/U: 50

            ABOUT THE COWBOYS (3-3): Dallas' offense is making the most of its opportunities and recorded a touchdown on 14 of its last 17 trips inside the red zone. "If you can attack defenses in different ways all over the field, particularly down there it really presents some challenges for them," Cowboys coach Jason Garrett told reporters. "It starts with our ability to run the football and obviously handing the ball to No. 21 (Elliott) makes a difference." Any field-goal opportunities inside or outside the red zone this week will be attempted by Mike Nugent, who was signed this week to take the place of Dan Bailey (groin).

            ABOUT THE REDSKINS (3-3): Washington is hoping for at least one injury return in the form of cornerback Josh Norman, who missed the last two games with an ailing rib but was a light participant in practice on Thursday. "I turned finally for the first time and actually got active," Norman told reporters. "It feels a little sore, but that comes with the territory of that injury. But I felt fine. I don't see any problems or reasons why I can't go this week." The Norman-less Washington defense allowed Philadelphia quarterback Carson Wentz to throw four TD passes on Monday.

            EXTRA POINTS

            1. The Cowboys released No. 3 QB Kellen Moore on Thursday and added TE Blake Jarwin to the active roster from the practice squad.

            2. Washington TE Jordan Reed recorded his first two TD catches of the season on Monday.

            3. Dallas took both meetings last season and six of the last eight in the series.

            PREDICTION: Cowboys 27, Redskins 24


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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 351014

              #51
              Trends - Dallas at Washington


              ATS TRENDS

              Dallas
              • Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
              • Cowboys are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
              • Cowboys are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games on grass.
              • Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
              • Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
              • Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
              • Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
              • Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
              • Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

              Washington
              • Redskins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
              • Redskins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
              • Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
              • Redskins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 8.
              • Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
              • Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
              • Redskins are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
              • Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
              • Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
              • Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
              • Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
              • Redskins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
              OU TRENDS

              Dallas
              • Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games in October.
              • Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games overall.
              • Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
              • Under is 15-5 in Cowboys last 20 road games.
              • Under is 11-4 in Cowboys last 15 games on grass.
              • Over is 36-16-3 in Cowboys last 55 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

              Washington
              • Over is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
              • Over is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games in October.
              • Over is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
              • Over is 12-1 in Redskins last 13 games following a straight up loss.
              • Over is 10-1 in Redskins last 11 games following a ATS loss.
              • Over is 13-3 in Redskins last 16 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
              • Over is 17-4 in Redskins last 21 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
              • Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 home games.
              • Over is 8-2 in Redskins last 10 vs. NFC East.
              • Over is 21-6 in Redskins last 27 games overall.
              • Over is 21-6 in Redskins last 27 games on grass.
              • Over is 12-4-1 in Redskins last 17 games in Week 8.
              • Over is 19-7 in Redskins last 26 vs. NFC.
              • Over is 7-3 in Redskins last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
              HEAD TO HEAD

              • Road team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
              • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
              • Underdog is 29-9 ATS in their last 38 meetings.
              • Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Washington.
              • Cowboys are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 351014

                #52
                When: 8:30 PM ET, Sunday, October 29, 2017
                Where: Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan

                Preview: Steelers at Lions

                Gracenote
                Oct 26, 2017

                Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger hopes to leave his penchant for throwing interceptions this season in his rear-view mirror on Sunday night, when he faces the aggressive defense of the Detroit Lions. Roethlisberger has answered a five-interception performance with efficient showings in back-to-back wins over Kansas City and Cincinnati.

                "They're very opportunistic, a lot of turnovers. ... Doesn't seem like a ball that's in the air ever hits the ground," Roethlisberger told reporters of the Lions, who have forced an NFL third-best 14 turnovers - including nine interceptions. Roethlisberger would be wise to lean on former Michigan State star Le'Veon Bell, who has amassed at least 180 yards from scrimmage in three of his last four games. Detroit's Matthew Stafford took last week's bye to work his way past hamstring and ankle injuries while also soothing his mind after getting intercepted three times in a 52-38 loss to New Orleans on Oct. 15. "I needed to take care of myself physically and mentally refresh, get away for a little bit and think about something other than football for a couple days," Stafford told reporters.

                TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Steelers -3. O/U: 45.5

                ABOUT THE STEELERS (5-2): Antonio Brown continues to reign supreme among all wide receivers, leading the league with 52 catches for 765 yards. Rookie JuJu Smith-Schuster likely will get the start in place of disgruntled wideout Martavis Bryant, who was demoted to the practice squad and ruled out of Sunday's contest. Smith-Schuster has gone as far as to say he'd give Roethlisberger his game check - approximately $27,000 - should the quarterback join himself, Brown, Bell and others as part of a choreographed celebration. "The ultimate celebration is to get Ben in there," Smith-Schuster told reporters. "If Ben gets in there, I'll give Ben my next check. Obviously, he doesn't need it."

                ABOUT THE LIONS (3-3): Golden Tate was spotted with his right arm in a sling last week as he dealt with a shoulder injury, but the determined wideout remains intent on playing versus Pittsburgh. The 29-year-old practiced this week - at least during individual drills - and looks to continue his strong showing at home, as he has registered at least five receptions in each of his last six games at Ford Field. Running back Theo Riddick's 23 catches trail only Tate on the team, although wideout Marvin Jones Jr. has five receptions of 20-or-more yards this season. Rookie Kenny Golladay is battling a hamstring injury but is expected to return to play his first game in over a month.

                EXTRA POINTS

                1. Detroit's Ameer Abdullah has recorded 90 of his team's 143 rushing attempts, with Riddick next in line at 18.

                2. Pittsburgh LB T.J. Watt is tied among rookies with four sacks.

                3. Lions S Glover Quin (concussion) was a full participant in practice this week and is on track to make his 123rd consecutive start on Sunday.

                PREDICTION: Steelers 31, Lions 28


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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 351014

                  #53
                  Trends - Pittsburgh at Detroit


                  ATS TRENDS

                  Pittsburgh
                  • Steelers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  • Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                  • Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                  • Steelers are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games in October.
                  • Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
                  • Steelers are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
                  • Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

                  Detroit
                  • Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
                  • Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
                  • Lions are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  • Lions are 15-34-2 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
                  • Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
                  • Lions are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
                  • Lions are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf.
                  • Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
                  • Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                  • Lions are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
                  • Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 8.
                  OU TRENDS

                  Pittsburgh
                  • Under is 8-1 in Steelers last 9 games in Week 8.
                  • Under is 13-2-1 in Steelers last 16 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                  • Under is 12-2 in Steelers last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
                  • Under is 6-1 in Steelers last 7 games on fieldturf.
                  • Under is 8-2 in Steelers last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                  • Under is 20-6 in Steelers last 26 road games.
                  • Under is 20-6 in Steelers last 26 games in October.
                  • Under is 22-8 in Steelers last 30 games overall.
                  • Under is 8-3 in Steelers last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                  • Under is 8-3 in Steelers last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  • Under is 20-8-1 in Steelers last 29 games following a ATS win.
                  • Under is 11-5 in Steelers last 16 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  • Under is 35-16-1 in Steelers last 52 games following a straight up win.

                  Detroit
                  • Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games following a bye week.
                  • Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 home games.
                  • Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
                  • Under is 8-1 in Lions last 9 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                  • Over is 6-1 in Lions last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
                  • Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
                  • Over is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games in Week 8.
                  • Under is 22-9 in Lions last 31 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  • Over is 28-13 in Lions last 41 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  HEAD TO HEAD

                  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
                  • Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 351014

                    #54
                    NFL Opening Line Report: Sharp action bloats Bucs spread vs. Carolina
                    Patrick Everson

                    The Tampa Bay Buccaneers find new ways to lose each week. They've dropped three in a row but sharp bettors are backing Jameis Winston and Co. to cover against the Panthers.

                    Week 8 of the NFL season doesn’t have any truly eye-catching matchups, but a couple of NFC East rivals could spice things up a bit. Patrick Everson checks in on the opening lines and early action for a quartet of games, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

                    Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (no line)

                    Dallas put a two-game losing skid in its rearview mirror, and in convincing fashion in Week 7. The Cowboys (3-3 SU and ATS) went to San Francisco as 6.5-point road favorites and left with a 40-10 rout to climb back to .500.

                    Washington (3-2 SU and ATS) still has Week 7 work to do, traveling to Philadelphia for Monday Night Football this evening. In Week 6, the Redskins beat the 49ers, too, albeit in a much tighter game, 26-24 as a 12-point home chalk.

                    Since Washington plays tonight, Bookmaker.eu is holding off on posting an opening line, though Cooley has an idea of where it will land.

                    “We’ll wait until Monday Night Football concludes, but look for this to surface around a pick ‘em,” he said. “No doubt we’ll get public money on the Cowboys, so if the sharps don’t get involved, expect the spread to trend in Dallas’ direction.”

                    Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1)

                    Carolina just can’t seem to figure out what it is yet. Earlier this month, the Panthers (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) won outright as an underdog at New England and at Detroit. Cam Newton & Co. then lost their next two games, including Sunday’s dismal 17-3 setback to Chicago as a 2.5-point road fave.

                    Tampa Bay won two of its first three games, but has since dropped three in a row. The Buccaneers (2-4 SU, 1-4-1 ATS) had to swallow a bitter pill Sunday at Buffalo, taking a 27-20 lead on a touchdown with 3:14 remaining, then giving up 10 points those final minutes to lose 30-27 catching 3 points.

                    “Two of the more mercurial teams in the league, so we opened with basically a pick ‘em,” Cooley said. “Early smart money has come in on the Bucs. We all know that the Panthers defense is a different unit without Luke Kuechly.”

                    That early sharp play on Tampa drove the line up to -2.5.

                    Kuechly, Carolina’s standout linebacker, sat out against the Bears and remains under concussion protocol.

                    Pittsburgh Steelers at Detroit Lions (+3)

                    Pittsburgh just might be getting back on track, winning and cashing the past two weeks. The Steelers (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) dropped Cincinnati 29-14 Sunday as a 4-point home favorite.

                    Detroit won three of its first four games, but enter this contest having lost two in a row. The Lions (3-3 SU and ATS) had a bye in Week 7 and probably needed it after giving up a 50-burger-plus in Week 6 – a 52-38 road loss to New Orleans as a 6-point pup.

                    “We’re definitely expecting the classic divide here, with sharps on Detroit and squares on the Steelers,” Cooley said. “Has Pittsburgh finally found its offensive footing? We’ll certainly find out against what seems to be a bleeding Lions defense.”

                    Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks (-6)

                    Seattle has won and cashed for bettors in its past three games, though surprisingly is still looking up at the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC West. The Seahawks (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) made a successful cross-country trip in Week 7, dropping the New York Giants 24-7 as a 4-point chalk.

                    Houston, coming off its bye week, hopes to keep pace with Tennessee and upstart Jacksonville in the middling AFC South. Prior to that bye, the Texans (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS) topped Cleveland 33-17 giving 7.5 points at home.

                    “Wiseguys are on the Texans early here,” Cooley said, alluding to the line dropping from -6 to -5.5 at Bookmaker.eu. “Houston obviously lost an edge on the defensive front (J.J. Watt injury), but it’s still sound, and the offense has more than made up for it. Outside of Andy Reid, nobody is calling better plays than Bill O’Brien right now. It will be a great test against Seattle’s D.”
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 351014

                      #55
                      NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 8
                      Monty Andrews

                      The Bears, Packers and Ravens have gone a combined 13-for-45 on third downs during Minnesota's three-game winning streak. The Vikings' D should feast on the Browns in Week 8.

                      Minnesota Vikings at Cleveland Browns (+9.5, 37.5)
                      Vikings' third-down shutdown D vs. Browns' offensive struggles

                      The Cleveland Browns approach the midway point of the NFL's regular season still looking for their first victory - and Week 8 presents as big a challenge as they've faced all year as they welcome the vaunted Minnesota Vikings defense to town. Cleveland nearly came away with win No. 1 last week but ultimately fell short 12-9 in overtime - and it was yet another shoddy performance on third down that played a major role in the Browns remaining winless. They'll get no relief in that regard this week.

                      The Vikings have done plenty of things well this season en route to a 5-2 record and sole possession of top spot in an NFC North division that is completely up for grabs. And third-down defense has the centerpiece of the Vikings' defensive effort, with Minnesota allowing teams to score or extend drives on just 27.3 percent of their opportunities - the second-lowest rate in football. The Bears, Packers and Ravens have gone a combined 13-for-45 on third downs during Minnesota's three-game winning streak.

                      That run of dominance on third-down plays should continue against a Browns offense that can't seem to figure anything out. Cleveland is converting an abysmal 28.7 percent of third-down opportunities, the worst rate in football; going 3-for-13 on Sunday against the visiting Tennessee Titans cost the Browns their shot at a first victory. With the quarterback situation up in the air - yet again - for this weekend, look for Cleveland to struggle extending drives against a tough Minnesota defense.

                      Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills (-2.5, 45.5)
                      Raiders' wretched rush attack vs. Bills' top-flight run D

                      Last week's last-second victory over the Kansas City Chiefs might have bought the Oakland Raiders some goodwill, but they'll need a much better effort if they hope to extend their fortunes this weekend in Buffalo. The Raiders rode a Michael Crabtree touchdown reception on the last play of the game to a 31-30 triumph over the Chiefs, but if they can't get their running game going, they'll face an uphill battle moving forward - and this will be a tough matchup to make inroads on the ground.

                      Oakland was forced to do without Marshawn Lynch after the veteran running back was ejected early in Thursday's thrilling victory. And while Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington fared well in his absence, the Raiders still mustered just 88 rushing yards on the evening. Acquiring Lynch was supposed to shore up the running game, but Oakland ranks 24th in rushing yards per game (92.9) and will need to find a way to be more reliant on the ground game in the future.

                      That future, however, might not start this week. The Bills own one of the most punishing run defenses in football, limiting opposing teams to 84.5 yards per game on the ground. That dominance was on full display in last week's 30-27 win over visiting Tampa Bay, as the Buccaneers mustered just 69 yards on 25 carries. Buffalo's 3.4 yards-per-carry-average against is the fourth-best rate among NFL defenses - and with Lynch suspended for Sunday's game, that rate could sink even lower.

                      Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (+2.5, OFF)
                      Cowboys' red-zone rampage vs. Redskins' defensive doldrums

                      The Cowboys had been scuffling going into last week's game in San Francisco, but they took out all of their early-season frustrations on the winless 49ers in a 40-10 rout. The Dallas defense still has a long way to go to become Super Bowl-calibre, but it's hard to argue with the assertion that the Cowboys' offense is already there. Dallas has been one of the most dangerous red-zone teams in the league, and will look to continue that downfield dominance against a Washington team struggling to prevent red-zone scores.

                      Dallas finished with a top-five red-zone touchdown rate last season and has picked up right where it left off, going into Week 8 ranked second in the league in red-zone visits resulting in six points (66.7 percent). Only the Green Bay Packers (73.9 percent) have been better - and with Aaron Rodgers on the shelf indefinitely, it shouldn't be long before the Cowboys own top spot. Ezekiel Elliott has been a major factor in this regard, tied for fourth in the NFL with four rushing touchdowns.

                      The Redskins' defense struggled all night long in a 34-24 loss in Philadelphia on Monday, and has been one of the most charitable units in football when it comes to red-zone offense. Washington has permitted teams to score touchdowns on 64.7 percent of their trips inside the Redskins' 20-yard line; only Miami, Green Bay and Cleveland have been worse. With Elliott already cleared to play in Week 8, it could be another long day for Washington's beleaguered red-zone defense.

                      Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Detroit Lions (+3, 45)
                      Steelers' drive-killing prowess vs. Lions' first-down follies

                      The Steelers might have a claim as the best team in the AFC after rolling to a 29-14 victory over the rival Cincinnati Bengals. Pittsburgh is now 5-2 on the season and appears to have put its early-season drama behind it. Yet, for all the attention paid to the dynamic duo of Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown, it has been the Pittsburgh defense that has made the real difference so far - and when it comes to first downs, the Steelers own a decided edge over an inconsistent Lions team.

                      Pittsburgh has quashed opponents' drives better than almost anyone over the past three games, limiting foes to an average of 12.7 first downs - the second-fewest of any team over that stretch. The Bengals managed a meager 11 first downs in Sunday's loss, which dropped the Steelers' average first downs allowed to 15.4 on the season - behind only the Denver Broncos and Carolina Panthers, considered two of the top overall defenses in football.

                      The Detroit offense hasn't been firing on all cylinders quite yet; sure, it produced 38 points in the final game prior to the Week 7 bye, but that was only because the Lions were in catch-up mode for the entire game. Detroit is averaging a modest 18 first downs per game so far, good for 23rd in the league. That leaves the Lions near the middle of the pack in time of possession - another tick in favor of the Steelers, whose drive-killing defense has them ranked third overall in TOP.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 351014

                        #56
                        Wiseguys are advising that these Week 8 NFL lines are going to move

                        The Dolphins and Ravens meet on Thursday night football and thanks to a pair of inept offenses, we've got a total that's as rare as a UFO sighting.

                        Game to bet now

                        Minnesota at Cleveland (+9.5)

                        The Browns went 1-15 in 2016 and it’s possible they’re worse this year.

                        How bad is it? A Browns promotion to give a prize to one fan went awry when the seat chosen at random was unoccupied. Oh, and their best lineman (tackle Joe Thomas, who hasn’t missed a game since 2007, looks lost for the year with a triceps tear.

                        Money is already heavy on the Vikings, moving the line a full two points from 7.5. Expect more Minnesota money to change the line even more, so if you like Minnesota, best jump now.

                        Game to wait on

                        Dallas at Washington (+1)

                        Ten of the 16 teams in the NFC, including these two, have either two or three losses. Catching the 6-1 Eagles is hardly out of the question, but this division game is vital for both.

                        The Cowboys are an early season disappointment, and they’ll have to get their act together immediately to get back in the playoff picture. Dallas plays Kansas City, Atlanta and Philadelphia in its next three games.

                        Washington, meanwhile, has a slightly easier schedule and would like nothing better than to slap down the ‘Boys and take a giant step toward turning the East into a two-team race with Philadelphia.

                        Total to watch

                        Miami at Baltimore (37.5)

                        Totals this low used to be as rare as UFO sightings recent years but they seem to be coming back.

                        The Dolphins are the second-lowest-scoring team in the league and their 1-5 record against the over reflects that. Still, there are signs that things might be moving in the right direction.

                        The Fins have won three in a row they been able to move the ball in their last two games (Atlanta, Jets). Miami (4-2 SU) is in the thick of it in a rejuvenated AFC East. Baltimore’s offense has been all over the map, and inconsistent QB Joe Flacco is being asked questions like “Is the offense completely broken?”

                        Yikes.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 351014

                          #57
                          NFL
                          Long Sheet

                          Week 8


                          Sunday, October 29

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          MINNESOTA (5 - 2) vs. CLEVELAND (0 - 7) - 10/29/2017, 9:30 AM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          MINNESOTA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                          MINNESOTA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                          MINNESOTA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
                          MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
                          CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
                          CLEVELAND is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                          CLEVELAND is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                          CLEVELAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                          CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
                          CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                          CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                          CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
                          CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          CHICAGO (3 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 2) - 10/29/2017, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          CHICAGO is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
                          CHICAGO is 47-73 ATS (-33.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
                          NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                          NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
                          NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          ATLANTA (3 - 3) at NY JETS (3 - 4) - 10/29/2017, 1:00 PM
                          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          CAROLINA (4 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 4) - 10/29/2017, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          CAROLINA is 110-82 ATS (+19.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
                          CAROLINA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
                          CAROLINA is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
                          CAROLINA is 81-49 ATS (+27.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
                          TAMPA BAY is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in October games since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
                          TAMPA BAY is 2-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 1) - 10/29/2017, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          OAKLAND (3 - 4) at BUFFALO (4 - 2) - 10/29/2017, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          OAKLAND is 50-80 ATS (-38.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
                          OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
                          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 5) at CINCINNATI (2 - 4) - 10/29/2017, 1:00 PM
                          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          LA CHARGERS (3 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (5 - 2) - 10/29/2017, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
                          LA CHARGERS is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
                          LA CHARGERS is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
                          LA CHARGERS is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
                          LA CHARGERS is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          HOUSTON (3 - 3) at SEATTLE (4 - 2) - 10/29/2017, 4:05 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          SEATTLE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
                          SEATTLE is 35-60 ATS (-31.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
                          SEATTLE is 42-65 ATS (-29.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          DALLAS (3 - 3) at WASHINGTON (3 - 3) - 10/29/2017, 4:25 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          WASHINGTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                          WASHINGTON is 84-114 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
                          WASHINGTON is 84-114 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
                          WASHINGTON is 84-114 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                          DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                          3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          PITTSBURGH (5 - 2) at DETROIT (3 - 3) - 10/29/2017, 8:30 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          PITTSBURGH is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
                          PITTSBURGH is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 351014

                            #58
                            NFL

                            Week 8


                            Trend Report

                            Sunday, October 29

                            MINNESOTA @ CLEVELAND
                            Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 15 games
                            Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

                            CHICAGO @ NEW ORLEANS
                            Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
                            New Orleans is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
                            New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

                            OAKLAND @ BUFFALO
                            Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Oakland
                            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 11 games at home

                            INDIANAPOLIS @ CINCINNATI
                            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indianapolis's last 11 games on the road
                            Indianapolis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Cincinnati
                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
                            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 10 games

                            LA CHARGERS @ NEW ENGLAND
                            The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
                            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing New England
                            New England is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
                            New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Chargers

                            ATLANTA @ NY JETS
                            Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                            The total has gone OVER in 19 of Atlanta's last 25 games
                            NY Jets is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                            NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

                            SAN FRANCISCO @ PHILADELPHIA
                            The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
                            San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                            Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                            Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                            CAROLINA @ TAMPA BAY
                            Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                            Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
                            Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home

                            HOUSTON @ SEATTLE
                            Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
                            Seattle is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
                            Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                            DALLAS @ WASHINGTON
                            Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
                            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
                            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Dallas

                            PITTSBURGH @ DETROIT
                            Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
                            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
                            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 351014

                              #59
                              NFL

                              Week 8


                              Sunday's games
                              Vikings (5-2) vs Browns (0-7) (in London)— Kessler is third QB to start for Browns this year; he is 0-8 as an NFL starter, was 26-14 at USC. Cleveland has 18 turnovers (-12) in their last six games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in those games- four of their seven losses are by exactly three points. Minnesota won its last three games, allowing 14.3 pts/game; they’re 1-1 on road, with 26-9 loss at Pittsburgh, 20-17 win in Chicago. Under Zimmer, Vikings are 4-4 vs spread as a favorite away from home— they’re 2-1 vs Cleveland, losing 31-27 at home to Browns in last meeting, in 2013. NFC North teams are 11-8 vs spread outside their division, 3-2 if favored. AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 4-2 against the spread.

                              Bears (3-4) @ Saints (4-2)—New Orleans defense is way improved; Saints won last four games, allowing 6 TD’s on 38 drives, while scoring 3 of their own- they ran ball for 193-161 yards in last two games. NO is +40 in plays run in their last three games. Saints split their two home games. Chicago scored two defensive TD’s early in game LW, then sat on lead; they’re 2-1 in Trubisky starts, winning 27-24 in OT at Baltimore in his only road start. Saints won last three series games by 17-8-16 points; this is first series meeting since 2011, Bears’ first visit here since ’11- they lost last four visits here, with last win in Superdome in 1991. NFC North road underdogs are 3-4 vs spread outside their division; NFC South one favorites are 3-6.

                              Falcons (3-3) @ Jets (3-4)— Atlanta lost its last three games after a 3-0 start; they’ve got only one takeaway (-6) in last four games. Falcons were 13-33 (39.4%) on 3rd down in last three games; they were 14-30 (46.7%) in first three. Jets lost last two games despite leading both games 14-0; three of their last four games were decided by exactly 3 points. Gang Green is 4-0-1 vs spread in their last five games; they’re 2-1 at home (3-0 vs spread). Atlanta leads this series 6-5; they’re 3-2 in road games against the Jets. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 6-10 vs spread, 3-4 on road. AFC East underdogs are 7-2 vs spread, 2-0 at home. Last three Falcon games stayed under total; under is 4-3 in Jet games, 2-1 at home.

                              Panthers (4-3) @ Buccaneers (2-4)— Carolina lost 17-3 in Chicago LW; both Bear TD’s were scored by defense. Panthers turned ball over six times (-5) in losing last two games after a 4-1 start; they’re 3-1 on road. Carolina is -8 in turnovers in its three losses, -1 in its four wins. Bucs lost last three games, by 5-5-3 points, giving up 30-38 points in last two games- they’re 2-1 at home, with only home loss 19-14 to Patriots. Tampa Bay swept Carolina 17-14/17-16 LY, after losing previous six series games; Panthers won three of last four visits here. Five of last seven series totals were 36 or less. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 6-9-2 vs spread. Over is 3-1 in last four Carolina games, 4-1 in Buccaneers’ last five games.

                              49ers (0-7) @ Eagles (6-1)— Philly is on serious roll, but lost LT Peters for year Monday, a big blow to offense. Eagles won last five games, covered last four; they’re 11-9 vs spread in last 20 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year, with home wins by 3-27-10. Iggles allowed 23+ points in five of their last six games. 49ers are 0-7, but 4-3 vs spread; they’re 3-1 vs spread as road underdogs, with road losses by 3-3-3-2 points. SF was outscored 37-10 in first half of their last two games. Niners won last two series games by 1-5 points; teams split last four meetings played here. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 1-5 vs spread; NFC West non-divisional underdogs are 4-7 vs spread, 3-4 on road. Over is 4-1 in 49ers’ last five games.

                              Raiders (3-4) @ Bills (4-2)— Buffalo is 4-2 with a +10 turnover ratio; Bills are 3-0 at home, with wins by 9-10-3 points. Buffalo is 22-42 on 3rd down in its last three games. Oakland snapped 4-game skid with Thursday win over Chiefs, has three extra days to prep; Raiders are 1-2 on road, losing 27-10/16-10 at Washington/Denver in last two road tilts- their last two games were both decided by a point. Home side won last six series games; Oakland lost 24-23/38-35 in last two visits here- Raiders’ last win in Buffalo was in ’02. AFC West underdogs are 4-0 vs spread outside their division, 3-0 on road. AFC East home favorites are 1-3-1 against the spread. Under is 4-2 in Buffalo games, 3-0 in Raider road games.

                              Colts (2-5) @ Bengals (2-4)— Indy is 0-3 on road, losing by 35-28-14 points (0-3 vs spread); four of their five losses are by 14+ points- they’ve been outscored 134-44 in second half of games this year, have one TD on 19 drives in last two games. Bengals were held to 179 yards in 29-14 loss at Pittsburgh LW; they allowed 7-16 points in their two wins, are 0-3 when giving up more than 16 points. Cincy ran ball for only 74 yards/game in their last three games. Colts are 9-2 in last 11 series games; last meeting was 26-10 Indy win in 2014 playoff game. AFC South road teams are 2-4 vs spread, 2-2 as road dogs. AFC North favorites are 2-5 vs spread, 2-3 if at home. Under is 4-2 in Bengal games, 2-5 in Indy games.

                              Chargers (3-4) @ Patriots (4-2)— Chargers won last three games after an 0-4 start; they’re 3-0 vs spread as a road underdog, losing by 3 at Denver, winning SU at Giants/Raiders. Last five TD’s Chargers allowed all came on plays of 23+ yards. Patriots won last three games, by 5-7-16 points; they’re 1-3 vs spread as home favorite this year. NE stayed under their team total the last four weeks. Bolts lost last three series games, by 3-14-9 points; they lost last three visits to to Foxboro by 24-9-14 points- their last win was in ’05. AFC West underdogs are 4-0 vs spread outside their division, 3-0 on road. AFC East non-divisional home favorites are 1-3-1 vs spread. Last three Patriot games, last two Charger games stayed under the total.

                              Texans (3-3) @ Seahawks (4-2)— Houston won/covered five of its last six post-bye games; they scored 33+ points in last four games, with rookie QB Watson under center. Texans are 2-0 as a road dog- the two games were decided by total of 7 points- this is their first road game in over a month. Seahawks won/covered their last three games; they’re 2-0 at home, allowing two TD’s on 22 drives, but those games were against 49ers/Colts. Seattle is 2-1 in this series, winning 42-10 in Texans’ only visit here, in 2005; Seahawks won last meeting in OT in ’13. AFC South road teams are 2-4 vs spread, 2-2 as road dogs. NFC West teams are 7-10 vs spread outside their division, 2-1 as a home fave. Under is 4-2 in Seattle games, 0-4 in last four Texan games.

                              Cowboys (3-3) @ Redskins (3-3)— Dallas allowed 3-17-10 points in its three wins, 42-35-35 in its three losses; they’re 2-1 on road- since 2014, they’re 9-4 vs spread as a road favorite. Cowboys have 611 rushing yards in their last three games. Short week for Washington after physical loss to Iggles Monday night; Redskins scored 20+ points in last five games, are 2-1 at home- they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine games as a home underdog. Road team won six of last seven series games; Dallas is 6-2 in last eight series games, winning last four visits here, by 1-27-3-4 points. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 6-9-2 vs spread. Four of last five Dallas games went over total; over is 3-1-1 in last five Redskin games.

                              Steelers (5-2) @ Lions (3-3)— Detroit won/covered its last five post-bye games; they were dog in 3 of the 5 games. Lions lost three of last four games overall; their OFFENSE gave up three TD’s in last game, a 52-38 loss in Superdome. Detroit is 1-2 at home; all three games went over the total. Pittsburgh is 3-1 on road, allowing 15.8 pts/game; all four games stayed under total. Pitt is 4-0 when they run ball for 100+ yards. Steelers won four in row, 12 of last 14 games vs Detroit; they won 28-20 in last visit here, in ’09. AFC North non-divisional favorites are 2-5 vs spread, 0-2 on road. NFC North non-divisional home underdogs are 5-2 vs spread. Five of last six Steeler games stayed under total; over is 3-1 in last four Detroit games.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 351014

                                #60
                                NFL
                                Dunkel

                                Week 8


                                Sunday, October 29

                                Minnesota @ Cleveland

                                Game 251-252
                                October 29, 2017 @ 9:30 am

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Minnesota
                                130.722
                                Cleveland
                                126.966
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Minnesota
                                by 4
                                42
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Minnesota
                                by 10 1/2
                                37 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Cleveland
                                (+10 1/2); Over

                                Chicago @ New Orleans


                                Game 253-254
                                October 29, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Chicago
                                131.256
                                New Orleans
                                143.244
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                New Orleans
                                by 12
                                42
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                New Orleans
                                by 8 1/2
                                48
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                New Orleans
                                (-8 1/2); Under

                                Atlanta @ NY Jets


                                Game 255-256
                                October 29, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Atlanta
                                135.970
                                NY Jets
                                125.315
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Atlanta
                                by 10 1/2
                                38
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Atlanta
                                by 4
                                46
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Atlanta
                                (-4); Under

                                Carolina @ Tampa Bay


                                Game 257-258
                                October 29, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Carolina
                                131.155
                                Tampa Bay
                                130.857
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Carolina
                                Even
                                55
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Tampa Bay
                                by 2 1/2
                                44 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Carolina
                                (+2 1/2); Over

                                San Francisco @ Philadelphia


                                Game 259-260
                                October 29, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                San Francisco
                                125.974
                                Philadelphia
                                135.842
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Philadelphia
                                by 10
                                52
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Philadelphia
                                by 13
                                47
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                San Francisco
                                (+13); Over

                                Oakland @ Buffalo


                                Game 261-262
                                October 29, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Oakland
                                132.705
                                Buffalo
                                132.309
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Oakland
                                Even
                                43
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Buffalo
                                by 3
                                46
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Oakland
                                (+3); Under

                                Indianapolis @ Cincinnati


                                Game 263-264
                                October 29, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Indianapolis
                                123.022
                                Cincinnati
                                130.033
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Cincinnati
                                by 7
                                39
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Cincinnati
                                by 11
                                41 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Indianapolis
                                (+11); Under

                                LA Chargers @ New England


                                Game 265-266
                                October 29, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                LA Chargers
                                131.983
                                New England
                                140.903
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                New England
                                by 9
                                40
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                New England
                                by 7
                                49
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                New England
                                (-7); Under

                                Houston @ Seattle


                                Game 267-268
                                October 29, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Houston
                                134.180
                                Seattle
                                144.655
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Seattle
                                by 10 1/2
                                36
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Seattle
                                by 5
                                46
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Seattle
                                (-5); Under

                                Dallas @ Washington


                                Game 269-270
                                October 29, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Dallas
                                132.888
                                Washington
                                134.559
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Washington
                                by 1 1/2
                                45
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Dallas
                                by 2 1/2
                                50 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Washington
                                (+2 1/2); Over

                                Pittsburgh @ Detroit


                                Game 271-272
                                October 29, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Pittsburgh
                                137.222
                                Detroit
                                136.710
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Pittsburgh
                                by 1
                                38
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Pittsburgh
                                by 3
                                45
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Detroit
                                (+3); Under

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