Saturday 10-28-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[bmd1803]

FIU at Marshall 10/28/17 - College Football Picks & Predictions

by Mike

Latest Odds : MRSH -17 Total 45.5

Florida International is coming off a solid 23-10 win over Tulane and has been a surprise Conference USA contender in veteran coach Butch Davis' first season. They'll have their hands full against East Division leader Marshall, which has reeled off five impressive victories in a row since dropping a 37-20 game at nationally ranked N.C. State. Marshall routed Middle Tennessee State 38-10 last week.

FIU is using a strong defense (25.7 points per game allowed) to offset a weak offense (19.7 ppg). Alex McGough is a solid game manager at quarterback, tossing five touchdowns and six interceptions while completing 60 percent of his passes for 1,336 yards. Alex Gardner leads the ground game with 385 yards but as a team FIU has only seven rushing TDs on the season. Thomas Owens has caught 33 passes for 314 yards and three TDs to lead the receiving corps.


The big strong junior QB Chase Litton has looked sharp throughout the 2017 campaign, completing 61 percent for 1,550 yards with 13 touchdowns and only three picks. Keion Davis leads the Marshall running game with 433 yards and three touchdowns an Tyler King has contributed 406 yards and four TDs. Tyre Brady has 593 yards receiving and six TDs.

The Marshall defense has been outstanding, holding opponents to 14.3 points per game (8th in the nation) and keeping three foes out of the end zone. The offense is plenty strong, scuffling for 28.1 points per game as the Thundering Herd eyes the CUSA title.


Recent Betting Trends:
Golden Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Thundering Herd are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 10-4 in Golden Panthers last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in Thundering Herd last 7 home games.


Free Betting Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd -17


This Marshall team is by far the most dominating team in Conference USA and the Thundering Herd show it again this week. FIU is much improved this year but still not in the same class as this Marshall team. Final Score Prediction, Marshall Thundering Herd win and cover ATS 38-17.

[bmd1803]

UNLV at Fresno State 10/28/17 - College Football Picks & Predictions

by Mike

Latest Odds : FRES -20.5 Total 54.5

Fresno State has pulled together quite a turnaround as they are 5-2 and closing in on the west division title at 4-0 in the Mountain West conference. The Bulldogs host a 2-5 UNLV team next weekend. Already this year the Bulldogs have more wins than they had combined in the previous two seasons. Over the past four years, the home team has won when these teams have met.

Fresno State's only losses have been to Alabama and Washington, and they have not had a close game in the Mountain West. The Bulldogs have a fairly balanced offense, averaging 249 yards passing and 172 rushing. Fresno State is averaging 32 points per game, and they are 17th nationally on defense, giving up 17.6 per game.

Marcus McMaryion has thrown for 1142 yards, seven touchdowns, and one interception. He has completed 65 percent of his passes. He has also run for 135 yards. Ronnie Rivers has rushed for 344 yards and Jordan Mims has run for 335.


UNLV has lost two games by four points or less. The Rebels have a good offense but have trouble stopping other teams. UNLV is averaging 30.6 points and giving up 36.1 per game.

The Rebels are led by Armani Rogers, who has passed for 1063 yards, five touchdowns, and four interceptions. He has also rushed for 535 yards and six more scores. Lexington Thomas has rushed for 877 yards, 12 touchdowns, and is averaging 7.82 yards per carry. The Rebels are 11th nationally running the ball, averaging 281 yards per game on the ground.


Recent Betting Trends:
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Bulldogs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Over is 11-4 in Rebels last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in Bulldogs last 7 games in October.


Free Betting Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs -20.5


How much has changed in one year for this much improved Fresno team, last year UNLV crushed Fresno 45-20. But this year Fresno is in the driver seat to win the Mountain West and keep that rolling with another easy win this week. Bulldogs have also been money for bettors going 6-0-1 ATS on the year. Final Score Prediction, Fresno State wins and covers ATS 43-17.

[bmd1803]

New Mexico at Wyoming 10/28/17 - CFB Picks & Predictions

by Thomas

Latest Odds : WYO -1 Total 48

New Mexico (3-4, 1-3) has suffered back-to-back losses. The first came by 38 points against Fresno State, and the second was a 27-24 result against Colorado State last week. Other losses for the Lobos this season have come against New Mexico State and Boise State.

Against the Rams last week, New Mexico outgained Colorado State but couldn't come out with the win. A turnover doomed the Lobos despite 318 rushing yards and 6.6 yards per carry. Junior running back Tryone Owens led the way with 159 yards on 16 carries and a touchdown. It's the first time this season he's gone for more than 100 yards.

So far, New Mexico hasn't found a quarterback its had confidence in to lead the way for the rest of the season. None of the three signal callers used by the Lobos has thrown for more than three touchdowns.


Wyoming (4-3, 2-1) has one of the best quarterbacks in the country in Josh Allen, but last week the Cowboys and Allen had a rough time against Boise State. Allen was picked off twice and completed less than half his passes in a 24-14 loss.

Scouts are watching Allen closely, and he's now completed less than half of his passes in three games. In the last two games, he's thrown two touchdown passes with three interceptions.

Sophomore receiver C.J. Johnson has been good in the red zone for Wyoming. He's grabbed four touchdowns on the season and has three in the last three games.


Recent Betting Trends:
Lobos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Under is 7-1 in Lobos last 8 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.


Free Betting Pick: Wyoming Cowboys -1


This Wyoming team has very balanced team and even though their start QB Josh Allen gets all the hype it's the solid defense that is key most weeks. New Mexico great running game will struggle this week as Wyoming defense continues to impress. Final Score Prediction, Wyoming Cowboys win and cover ATS 23-17.

[New York Knight]

SCOTT VAN PELT

wake forest +3
iowa state +6.5
maryland +4.5
arizona +3
illinois +26.5
mississippi state -1
nc state +7.5
ohio state -6.5

[New York Knight]

Stanford Steve Coughlin

Best Bet
penn state +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's Week 9 NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet and odds


Rutgers Scarlet Knights at (25) Michigan Wolverines (-24, 43.5)

* The Scarlet Knights' 4.2 yards per play against FBS opponents ranks fifth-worst in all of Division I. Only five teams have fewer sacks than Rutgers (seven), while its 36 total sack yards rank second-worst nationally.

* The Wolverines are one of 10 Division I teams to score points on 95 percent of their red-zone visits. Michigan leads the nation in passing yards allowed (158.6) and averages 3.14 sacks per game, 12th-most in the country.

LINE HISTORY: The Wolverines opened as 23.5-point home faves and money coming in on the home team bumped it up to an even 24. The total opened at 43.5 and was quickly bet up to 44.5, before fading back to 44.

TRENDS:

* Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

* Wolverines are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

* Over is 5-1 in Wolverines last 6 games following a straight up loss.

(12) Oklahoma State Cowboys at (22) West Virginia Mountaineers (+7.5, 73.5)

* The Cowboys lead the nation in total offense (584.6 yards per game) but have only scored points on 81.6 percent of their red zone trips, good for 83rd in the country. Oklahoma State ranks ninth in third-down conversion rate (49.5 percent).

* The Mountaineers average 70 penalty yards per game, 16th-most in Division I. West Virginia QB Will Grier leads the nation in passing touchdowns (26) and already has three five-TD games to his credit this season, with two coming in his past two games.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Cowboys as 8-point road chalk and within hours of opening was dropped to 7.5 and has held there all week. The total opened at 73.5 and has yet to move off the opening number.

TRENDS:

* Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

* Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 road games.

* Under is 8-2 in Mountaineers last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

* Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

(8) Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels (+20, 54)

* The Hurricanes have scored points on 23 of their 24 trips to the red zone, good for a 95.8-percent success rate that ranks sixth nationally. The Miami defense holds FBS opponents to just 5.3 yards per pass attempt, the third-best rate in the country.

* The Tar Heels convert just 27.7 percent of their third-down opportunities; only Charlotte, New Mexico and Georgia Southern have been worse among Division I teams. North Carolina QB Brandon Harris has eight interceptions on just 71 pass attempts.

LINE HISTORY: Miami opened this ACC Coastal showdown favored by 20.5 and have been bet down slightly to the current number of Miami +20. The total hit the board at 50.5 and money rolling in on the over has pushed it up to 54.

TRENDS:

* Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

* Tar Heels are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

* Under is 5-0 in Hurricanes last 5 road games.

* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

(5) Wisconsin Badgers at Illinois Fighting Illini (+26, 49)

* The Badgers trail only TCU in third-down conversion percentage on the season, extending drives or scoring at a 55.2-percent clip. RB Jonathan Taylor has scored a rushing TD in all seven games and has three 200-yard efforts so far this season.

* The Fighting Illini are one of only six Division I schools to have thrown at least 12 interceptions in 2017. Illinois' 4.8 yards-per-play average against FBS teams ranks outside the top 100 nationally.

LINE HISTORY: The Badgers hit the board at most books as 26-point road chalk and that’s where the number currently sits. The total opened at 49 and has been bet down slightly to 48.5 at some books but can still be found at 49 at others.

TRENDS:

* Badgers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.

* Fighting Illini are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

* Over is 5-1 in Fighting Illini last 6 games following a ATS win.

* Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

* Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

(15) NC State Wolfpack at (10) Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-7, 58.5)

* The Wolfpack join Georgia Tech as the only teams in the nation that have yet to throw an interception. RB Nyheim Hines has rushed for 352 yards and four touchdowns over his last three games.

* The Fighting Irish rank second in the nation in yards per carry (7.1), and four different players have at least four rushing scores. Notre Dame passers complete just 50.8 percent of their attempts, good for 118th in Division I.

LINE HISTORY: The Irish hit the board at most books as 7.5-point home favorites and is down slightly to a converted touchdown. The total opened at 60.5 and is down two-full points to 58.5.

TRENDS:

* Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.

* Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

* Over is 4-0 in Wolfpack last 4 non-conference games.

* Over is 4-1 in Fighting Irish last 5 non-conference games.

(18) Michigan State Spartans at Northwestern Wildcats (+2.5, 40.5)

* The Spartans have allowed opponents to score points on nearly 93 percent of their red-zone visits, ranking them 115th nationally in that category. QB Brian Lewerke has passed for just 399 yards with two TDs and an interception over his past three games.

* Wildcats RB Justin Jackson averages 123.5 rushing yards in his team's four wins, and just 36.3 yards in its three defeats. Northwestern scores on 92.3 percent of its red-zone trips, tied for 15th in Division I.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Spartans as 2-point road faves and has bet down to +1, before money came rolling in on the road team and pushed the line up to 2.5. The total opened at 40.5 and has yet to move off the opening numbers.

TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

* Under is 7-1 in Wildcats last 8 games following a ATS win.

* Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Northwestern.

(3) Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida Gators (+13.5, 43.5)

* The Bulldogs are one of five teams in the nation with points on all of their red-zone visits, going a perfect 29-for-29 through their first seven games. Georgia runs the ball on nearly 70 percent of its plays vs. FBS foes, the seventh-highest rate in Division I.

* The Gators are also perfect in the red zone so far, with 11 touchdowns and four field goals in 15 visits inside the opponents' 20-yard line. Florida is allowing 3.33 sacks per game; only six teams have fared worse.

LINE HISTORY: The SEC East-leading Bulldogs hit the board at most books at 14 and is down slightly to +13.5. The total opened at 43.5 and remains at the opening number.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 neutral site games.

* Under is 8-2 in Gators last 10 games on grass.

* Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

* Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

(2) Penn State Nittany Lions at (6) Ohio State Buckeyes (-6.5, 56.5)

* The Nittany Lions rank second in the country in both total turnover margin (plus-12) and turnover margin per game (plus-1.71). RB Saquon Barkley has scored five touchdowns over his past two games.

* Buckeyes QB J.T. Barrett has thrown 18 touchdown passes in five games since being held without a scoring strike in a 31-16 loss to Oklahoma. Ohio State ranks in the top 10 in both yards per carry (6.0) and yards per pass (8.9) vs. FBS opponents.

LINE HISTORY: The Buckeyes opened as a converted touchdown home chalk against the undefeated Nittany Lions and money on the road team drove that number as low as -5.5, and has rebounded to -6.5. The total opened at 56.5 and under money pushed that number as low as 54.5 before fading back to an even 56.

TRENDS:

* Nittany Lions are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games.

* Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

* Over is 5-0 in Buckeyes last 5 conference games.

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

* Nittany Lions are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Ohio State.

(4) TCU Horned Frogs at Iowa State Cyclones (+6.5, 48.5)

* The Horned Frogs convert third-down opportunities at a Division I-best 56.2-percent clip and rank 19th in time of possession. TCU QB Kenny Hill has 13 TD passes in wins over Jackson State, SMU and Kansas, and just two TDs in his other four games.

* Senior QB Kyle Kempt has thrown for 657 yards with seven touchdowns and just one interception in leading the Cyclones to three straight impressive victories. Iowa State averages just 36.6 penalty yards per game, 10th-fewest in the country.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened this matchup with the Horned Frogs as 6.5-road faves and briefly went down to 6 before returning to the opening number. The total opened at 52 and bettors have been pounding the under lowering the total down to 48.5.

TRENDS:

* Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

* Cyclones are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

* Under is 6-1 in Horned Frogs last 7 conference games.

* Under is 4-0 in Cyclones last 4 games following a ATS win.

UCLA Bruins at (11) Washington Huskies (-17.5, 59.5)

* The Bruins' minus-8 turnover differential for the season is eighth-worst among Division I teams. UCLA QB Josh Rosen went without an interception in last week's win over Oregon after getting picked off eight times over his previous four games.

* The Huskies allow a nation-low 2.2 yards per carry and have surrendered just three rushing touchdowns, sixth-fewest in Division I. Washington has turned the ball over six times; only eight other teams have fewer turnovers.

LINE HISTORY: The Huskies opened this Pac-12 showdown as massive 17-point home chalk and the total hit the board at 59.5, neither number has moved.

TRENDS:

* Bruins are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.

* Under is 8-1 in Huskies last 9 games following a straight up loss.

* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Houston Cougars at (14) South Florida Bulls (-11, 56.5)

* Kyle Postma should get most of the snaps under center again and the senior has completed 67.3 percent of his passes 1,120 yards - 315 last time out - but has thrown five scoring strikes as opposed to six interceptions.

* Senior Darius Tice has led the productive rushing attack with 634 yards (6.2 per carry) and nine touchdowns while Flowers (613, seven) and D’Ernest Johnson (569, five) have also been difficult to contain.

LINE HISTORY: USF hit the board at most books as 10.5-point favorites and has been bet up to the current number of -11. The total opened at 57.5 and briefly went up to 58.5 before money on the under dropped the number to 56.5.

TRENDS:

* Cougars are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 conference games.

* Bulls are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Duke Blue Devils at (13) Virginia Tech Hokies (-15.5, 48.5)

* The Blue Devils have scored touchdowns on just three of nine red-zone visits during their four-game losing streak. Duke ranks fourth in the country in interceptions (12) and is tied for the Division I lead in interceptions returned for TDs (four).

* The Hokies have limited opponents to a 23.7-percent conversion rate on third down; only Michigan has been better. The Virginia Tech defense has allowed a total of four punt return yards through seven games.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened this matchup with the Hokies as 17-point home favorites and money coming in on the road team lowered that number to VT-15.5. The total opened around 48 and briefly went down to 47.5 before jumping up to the current number of 48.5.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-0 in Blue Devils last 6 games overall.

* Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games following a ATS win.

* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at (7) Clemson Tigers (-14, 49)

* Yellow Jackets QB TaQuon Marshall had 163 rushing yards and two scores in last week's win over Wake Forest, and ranks fourth among signal callers with 11 rushing touchdowns. Georgia Tech sits fifth in the nation in third-down success rate (51.1 percent).

* Tigers head coach Dabo Swinney said QB Kelly Bryant was "looking really good" in practice as he recovers from an ankle injury; Bryant ranks third in the ACC in completion percentage (67.6). Clemson has a Division I-high 28 sacks so far this season.

LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened this matchup as 14.5-point chalk at most book and has been bet down to an even 14. The total hit the betting board at 48.5 and at most books has settled at 49.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in Yellow Jackets last 6 conference games.

* Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games overall.

* Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

* Yellow Jackets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Clemson.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at (9) Oklahoma Sooners (-20, 73.5)

* Red Raiders QB Nic Shimonek is coming off season lows in passing yardage (207) and touchdowns (zero) in last week's defeat vs. Iowa State. Texas Tech has scored points on just 70.3 percent of its red zone visits, ninth-worst in the country.

* Sooners QB Baker Mayfield has thrown for 300 or more yards and multiple touchdowns in six of seven games this season. Oklahoma's 74.9-percent completion rate leads the nation, as does its 8.2 yards per offensive play.

LINE HISTORY: Oklahoma opened this Big 12 showdown favored by 18.5-points and that wasn’t enough for bettors as money on the home team pushed this number to OKLA -20. The total opened at 73 and has been bet up a half to the current number of 73.5.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Sooners last 4 games following a straight up win.

* Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

* Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma.

* Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Oklahoma.

(16) Washington State Cougars at Arizona Wildcats (+3, 64.5)

* The Cougars pass on nearly 67 percent of their offensive plays against FBS opponents, the highest ratio in the nation. Washington State has turned the ball over 18 times, more than all but four Division I teams.

* The Wildcats are one of five FBS teams to register at least 40 touchdowns so far in 2017. Arizona QBs Brandon Dawkins and Dillon Tate have combined for 1,138 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns.

LINE HISTORY: The Cougars hit the board at most books as 3-point road chalk and the number briefly moved to 2.5, before returning to the opening number. The total opened at 64.5 and has yet to move off that number.

TRENDS:

* Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

* Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games overall.

* Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

(21) USC Trojans at Arizona State Sun Devils (+3.5, 59)

* The Trojans' offensive line has already surrendered 15 sacks - three more than it allowed all of last season. Only San Jose State has racked up more turnovers than USC's 19; the Trojans have allowed 35 points off turnovers in their past two games.

* The Sun Devils have converted 23 of their 24 trips to the red zone, scoring 18 touchdowns and adding five field goals. Arizona State averages 128.4 rushing yards per game, ranking outside the top 100 nationally.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened this PAC-12 matchup with the Trojans as 3-point road faves and briefly dropped to USC +2.5, before returning to the opening number. The total opened at 58 and has been bet up to 59.

TRENDS:

* Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

* Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

* Under is 5-0 in Sun Devils last 5 games on grass.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 28, 2017
Where: Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, North Carolina


Preview: Miami at North Carolina

Gracenote
Oct 25, 2017

Miami is one of eight undefeated FBS teams -- and the only perfect one in the ACC -- but the Hurricanes are living dangerously, surviving three straight nail-biting victories, including last week's 27-19 triumph over Syracuse. But despite the win, Miami's 11th straight dating back to last season, Mark Richt's Hurricanes head into Saturday's matchup at downtrodden North Carolina down one spot in the USA Today Coaches Poll to No. 8.

For Miami, the biggest key may be not overlooking a one-win North Carolina team coming off a 59-7 thrashing at Virginia Tech -- the Tar Heels' worst defeat since 2002 -- especially with home games against 13th-ranked Virginia Tech and 10th-ranked Notre Dame looming in the coming weeks. But these Hurricanes have had too many close calls, with their last three wins by a combined total of 13 points, and they are quick to remember last year's 20-13 loss to the Tar Heels, when Miami came in ranked 17th and ready to challenge for their first ACC Coastal title. "We owe them from last year," defensive lineman Demetrius Jackson told reporters. "They beat us on our home field last year. That game was a difference for us going to the ACC Championship and going to the Orange Bowl. We're just preparing and knowing that we owe them." Still, with 16 starters and key reserves out for the year with injuries, Larry Fedora's Tar Heels hardly look like the team that went bowling the last four years and earned a trip to the ACC championship game just two seasons ago.

TV: 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2. LINE: Miami -20

ABOUT MIAMI (6-0, 4-0 ACC): Malik Rosier engineered yet another clutch drive down the stretch Saturday and he finished with a personal-best 344 yards passing and two touchdowns, becoming the first Hurricane starting quarterback to open his career with a 7-0 record since Brock Berlin (2003). Christopher Herndon IV, who leads the team in receptions (28 for 271 yards), has emerged as yet another star tight end for the Hurricanes and was named the ACC Receiver of the Week after a career outing against Syracuse in which he hauled in 10 catches for 96 yards with a touchdown. The ground attack continues to flourish with Travis Homer filling in for an injured Mark Walton and the Tar Heels' struggling run defense may not have the answers as it is ranked 112th in the country, giving up an average of 223.4 yards per game.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (1-7, 0-5): The Tar Heels have been forced to go with youth due to all their injuries, resulting in the once-potent offense managing just 38 points total in the last four games, but Fedora still believes in his team and the players' effort. "You've got to put your nose down and your head down and keep grinding, keep doing it and keep doing it and eventually good things are going to happen," Fedora said. A good start would be cutting down on mistakes as quarterbacks Brandon Harris (eight) and Chazz Surratt (three) have thrown a total of 11 interceptions this season and they are facing a ball-hawking Miami defense that picked off Syracuse quarterback Eric Dungey four times in the first half Saturday.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Tar Heels own a 10-9 series advantage over the Hurricanes, who have lost two in a row to North Carolina.

2. The Hurricanes are 4-0 in ACC play for the first time since joining the conference in 2004.

3. The Hurricanes have outscored opponents 359-164 in the second half in 19 games under Richt, and have held an opponent to 10 points or fewer in the second half in 14 of 19 games.

PREDICTION: Miami 40, North Carolina 13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 8 Miami at North Carolina

ATS Trends

Miami

Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games. Hurricanes are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Hurricanes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Hurricanes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Hurricanes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass. Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Hurricanes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

North Carolina

Tar Heels are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Tar Heels are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Tar Heels are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Tar Heels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Tar Heels are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Tar Heels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Tar Heels are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

OU Trends

Miami

Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games overall. Under is 5-0 in Hurricanes last 5 road games. Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games following a straight up win. Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games in October. Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games on grass. Under is 5-0 in Hurricanes last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 conference games. Under is 7-3 in Hurricanes last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

North Carolina

Under is 8-1 in Tar Heels last 9 games in October. Under is 5-1 in Tar Heels last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Under is 13-3 in Tar Heels last 16 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 games overall. Under is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 games on grass. Under is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 6-2 in Tar Heels last 8 home games. Under is 9-3 in Tar Heels last 12 conference games. Under is 7-3 in Tar Heels last 10 games following a ATS loss. Under is 9-4 in Tar Heels last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.

Head to Head

• Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in North Carolina.
• Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
• Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in North Carolina.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 11:30 AM ET, Saturday, October 28, 2017
Where: InfoCision Stadium, Akron, Ohio

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

• The Akron Zips are ranked 117 on offense, averaging 326.6 yards per game. The Zips are averaging 114.9 yards rushing and 211.8 yards passing so far this season.
• The Buffalo Bulls are ranked 60 on offense, averaging 404.0 yards per game. The Bulls are averaging 138.1 yards rushing and 265.9 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

• The Akron Zips are 2-1 at home this season, 3-1 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.
• At home the Zips are averaging 32.3 scoring, and holding teams to 15.7 points scored on defense.
• The Buffalo Bulls are 1-3 while on the road this season, 1-3 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.
• On the road, the Bulls are averaging 16.2 scoring, and holding teams to 18.8 points scored on defense.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Buffalo at Akron

Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.
ATS Trends

Buffalo

Bulls are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Bulls are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Akron

Zips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Zips are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Zips are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Zips are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Zips are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Zips are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Zips are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. Zips are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

OU Trends

Buffalo

Under is 9-0 in Bulls last 9 road games. Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games in October. Under is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 conference games. Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games following a ATS loss. Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 11-4 in Bulls last 15 games overall. Under is 11-4 in Bulls last 15 games on fieldturf.

Akron

Under is 5-0 in Zips last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-0 in Zips last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 12-1 in Zips last 13 games on fieldturf. Under is 8-1 in Zips last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Under is 12-2 in Zips last 14 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Zips last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Zips last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 5-1 in Zips last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 16-5 in Zips last 21 home games. Under is 25-9 in Zips last 34 games following a straight up loss. Under is 25-9 in Zips last 34 games following a ATS loss. Under is 13-5 in Zips last 18 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 36-15 in Zips last 51 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Under is 38-16 in Zips last 54 conference games. Under is 45-19 in Zips last 64 games overall. Under is 35-16 in Zips last 51 games in October.

Head to Head

• Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
• Underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 28, 2017
Where: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois


Preview: Wisconsin at Illinois

Gracenote
Oct 25, 2017

Penn State's Saquon Barkley is rocketing to the top of the Heisman Trophy race, but Wisconsin freshman Jonathan Taylor might be the best running back in the Big Ten. Taylor will try to lead the undefeated, fifth-ranked Badgers to another win when they visit Illinois on Saturday.

Taylor became the fifth true freshman in FBS history to reach 1,000 yards rushing in seven games when he rumbled for 126 yards in a 38-13 win over Maryland last week, joining a list that includes Emmitt Smith, Marshall Faulk and Adrian Peterson. "As a freshman, how hard he plays is impressive," Badgers left tackle Michael Dieter told reporters of Taylor. "He is super talented and all that, but the work he puts in, that's what makes him go. He breaks a lot of tackles and just outworks guys. With his talent and his work ethic, he could be one of the best backs in the country." This week, Taylor will be going up against a Fighting Illini run defense surrendering an average of 210.7 yards, 108th out of 130 FBS teams. Illinois surrendered 292 yards on the ground in a 24-17 loss at Minnesota last week and is still looking for its first Big Ten win.

TV: Noon ET, ESPN. LINE: Wisconsin -26

ABOUT WISCONSIN (7-0, 4-0 Big Ten): The Badgers defense allowed only three touchdowns in the second half of games this season and enters the week sixth in FBS with an average of 265 yards allowed. That defense is helping to cover over some turnover woes from quarterback Alex Hornibrook, who threw six interceptions in the last four games and recorded only one 200-yard passing performance in that span. "Whenever we take the field, our mentality is the same -- just stop them," linebacker Alec James told reporters. "No matter if it is off a turnover or anything -- it is the same every time. We just go out there and do our job no matter where the ball is or what the situation is."

ABOUT ILLINOIS (2-5, 0-4): The Fighting Illini might have some reason to be optimistic despite being winless in the Big Ten thanks to the emergence of freshman quarterback Cam Thomas, who saw his first action last week. Thomas replaced an ineffective Jeff George Jr. and impressed with his legs, rushing for 79 yards on 10 carries while completing two of his four pass attempts. "Cam is a smart player and his preparation has always been there," Illinois coach Lovie Smith told reporters. "Preparation for a freshman has been good, but there's a lot he hasn't seen. There's a lot of situations he still needs to be in, but it's that way with a lot of freshman."

EXTRA POINTS

1. Wisconsin's current streak of 10 straight Big Ten wins is the longest in school history.

2. Fighting Illini freshman WR Ricky Smalling caught a TD pass in each of the last two games.

3. The Badgers took the last seven and 11 of the last 12 in the series, including a 48-3 thumping at home last season.

PREDICTION: Wisconsin 45, Illinois 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 5 Wisconsin at Illinois

ATS Trends

Wisconsin

Badgers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games. Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Badgers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in October. Badgers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 conference games. Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Badgers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall. Badgers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Badgers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Badgers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

Illinois

Fighting Illini are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Fighting Illini are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win. Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. Fighting Illini are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. Fighting Illini are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Fighting Illini are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

OU Trends

Wisconsin

Over is 6-0 in Badgers last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 5-0 in Badgers last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in Badgers last 8 conference games. Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games overall. Over is 8-2 in Badgers last 10 games following a straight up win. Over is 7-2 in Badgers last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Badgers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 10-4-1 in Badgers last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Over is 7-3 in Badgers last 10 games on fieldturf.

Illinois

Under is 5-0 in Fighting Illini last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 6-1 in Fighting Illini last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Fighting Illini last 6 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-1 in Fighting Illini last 5 home games. Under is 4-1 in Fighting Illini last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Fighting Illini last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Fighting Illini last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 14-5 in Fighting Illini last 19 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-2 in Fighting Illini last 7 games on fieldturf.

Head to Head

• Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Illinois.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 28, 2017
Where: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Michigan


Preview: Rutgers at Michigan

Gracenote
Oct 26, 2017

No. 25 Michigan looks to put its recent setbacks in the rearview mirror when it hosts Rutgers on Saturday. The Wolverines have dropped two of their last three games, including a 42-13 loss to second-ranked Penn State in Week 8, to tumble in the national polls, and hope to get back on track by downing the Scarlet Knights for the third straight time.

Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh revealed that senior quarterback John O'Korn will remain the starter despite growing calls for freshman Brandon Peters to get his shot at breathing life into a moribund offense, which has been held to 16.6 points over its last three contests. Rutgers is on a roll after holding off Purdue 14-12 to notch back-to-back victories for the first time since joining the Big Ten in 2014. The Scarlet Knights have lost 19 straight games to ranked opponents, including a demoralizing 78-0 defeat to Michigan last season, but hope to extend their conference winning streak to three games for the first time in five years, when they were a member of the Big East. "We're not worried about last year and that's not even in our thoughts or conversations," Rutgers head coach Chris Ash told reporters. "It wasn't a very good game but it happened and we can't change it so we're not going to talk about it."

TV: Noon ET, BTN. LINE: Michigan -24

ABOUT RUTGERS (3-4, 2-2 Big Ten): Giovanni Rescigno was limited to 87 yards and a touchdown on 9-of-18 passing, but he did not throw an interception in the win against Purdue to help the Scarlet Knights improve to 2-0 since he took over as the starter. "The passing game has to be a big part of what we do," Rescigno told reporters. "We have to get better and I have to help the receivers out." Gus Edwards rushed for a 74-yard touchdown en route to a career-high 94 yards as Rutgers ran the ball on 67.2 percent of its offensive plays against the Boilermakers.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (5-2, 2-2 Big Ten): O'Korn completed 16-of-28 passes for 166 yards and was sacked seven times as he finished without a touchdown toss for the third consecutive contest. There is no timetable for Wilton Speight's return as the junior quarterback remains sidelined for the foreseeable future with a cracked vertebrae but Harbaugh did reveal that his "bone is healing back together" and he's "chomping at the bit." Defensive end Chase Winovich, who has recorded 43 tackles and 5 1/2 sacks this season, hurt his knee against the Nittany Lions and is questionable for Saturday's homecoming clash.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Michigan has outscored Rutgers 127-16 in their last two meetings.

2. The Wolverines have won 10 of their last 11 home games.

3. Rutgers has registered nine interceptions in seven games.

PREDICTION: Michigan 30, Rutgers 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Rutgers at No. 25 Michigan

ATS Trends

Rutgers

Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Scarlet Knights are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Scarlet Knights are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Scarlet Knights are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Scarlet Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Michigan

Wolverines are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Wolverines are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. Wolverines are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Wolverines are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Wolverines are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Wolverines are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Wolverines are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wolverines are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Wolverines are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Wolverines are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Wolverines are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.

OU Trends

Rutgers

Under is 4-1 in Scarlet Knights last 5 games following a ATS win. Under is 5-2 in Scarlet Knights last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Scarlet Knights last 7 games following a straight up win. Under is 5-2 in Scarlet Knights last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Scarlet Knights last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Scarlet Knights last 7 conference games. Under is 7-3 in Scarlet Knights last 10 games overall.

Michigan

Over is 5-0 in Wolverines last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Wolverines last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Wolverines last 6 games following a straight up loss. Over is 13-3-1 in Wolverines last 17 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Over is 10-3 in Wolverines last 13 games following a ATS loss. Under is 3-1-1 in Wolverines last 5 home games. Over is 20-7-1 in Wolverines last 28 games overall. Over is 16-6-1 in Wolverines last 23 games on fieldturf. Over is 13-5 in Wolverines last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 10-4 in Wolverines last 14 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Over is 17-7-1 in Wolverines last 25 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Over is 12-5 in Wolverines last 17 games in October. Over is 14-6 in Wolverines last 20 conference games.

Head to Head

No trends available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 28, 2017
Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi


Preview: Arkansas at Ole Miss

Gracenote
Oct 25, 2017

Two SEC teams enduring disastrous seasons will look for some semblance of positivity Saturday afternoon as Arkansas visits Ole Miss. The Razorbacks have been pummelled in conference play, while the Rebels begin life without star quarterback Shea Patterson.

Arkansas continues to look for answers on defense after surrendering a whopping 191 points in SEC losses to Texas A&M, South Carolina, Alabama and Auburn; the Tigers were the most recent team to feast on the Razorbacks, racking up 629 yards of total offense in a 52-20 evisceration. And if that weren't enough, Arkansas learned this week that standout center Frank Ragnow will miss the rest of the season with a high-ankle sprain. Ole Miss can feel the Razorbacks' pain - literally - after losing Patterson to a torn posterior cruciate ligament in last weekend's 40-24 loss to LSU. Patterson was enjoying a terrific season under center, throwing for nearly 2,300 yards with 17 touchdowns.

TV: Noon ET, SEC Network. LINE: Ole Miss -3.5

ABOUT ARKANSAS (2-5, 0-4 SEC): The loss of Ragnow is a significant one for an Arkansas offensive line that doesn't boast much top-level talent, having surrendered an average of 3.43 sacks through seven games - the sixth-highest rate in Division I. Junior Jake Rogers will take over as the starter, while senior Jake Raulerson will also be called upon to help replace Ragnow. Quarterback Austin Allen wasn't featured on the Razorbacks' depth chart release, suggesting he'll miss a third consecutive game with a shoulder injury; Cole Kelley is tabbed to get the start after going 15-for-26 for 163 yards against the Tigers last week.
ABOUT OLE MISS (3-4, 1-3): The Rebels offense now belongs to junior quarterback Jordan Ta'amu; the Hawaii native went 7-for-11 for 78 yards while adding three rushes for 20 yards in relief of Patterson last week. Look for Ole Miss to lean more heavily on bellcow running back Jordan Wilkins, who has racked up 365 yards and three touchdowns on the ground over his last four games despite not getting more than 18 carries in any of them. That said, Ole Miss throws the ball on 57.3 percent of its offensive plays against FBS foes - the ninth-highest rate nationally - so Ta'amu should see plenty of work under center.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Ole Miss has scored points on 92.3 percent of its red-zone trips, the 15th-best success rate in the country.

2. Arkansas has allowed foes to convert 45.2 percent of their third-down opportunities, good for 110th in the nation.

3. Wilkins ran for 101 yards against Alabama on Sept. 30, making him the first player to reach triple digits against the Crimson Tide since Georgia's Nick Chubb in 2015.

PREDICTION: Ole Miss 34, Arkansas 31



Stats and Records