Saturday 10-21-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[bmd1803]

Arizona State at Utah 10/21/17 - College Football Picks & Predictions

by Thomas

Latest Odds : UTAH -8.5 Total 56.5

The Utah Utes get set to host the Arizona Sun State Devils on Saturday afternoon. The Utes are 4-2 on the season and have lost two straight games after winning four straight. Utah lost last week 28-27 to USC on the road. Utah is 3-1 on their home field.

Utah was led by QB Troy Williams who threw the ball 27 times last week for 262 yards. Williams had one touchdown pass and one interceptions. The Utes has Z. Moss rush for 141 yards and Williams have a rushing touchdown.


The Arizona State Sun Devils are 3-3 on the season and coming off of a huge victory. Arizona State beat Washington last week who was rank #5 in the country 13-7. The Sun Devils are coming off of a huge win and are in a spot to lost on the road against a tough team.

The Sun Devils have not covered the spread in their last four tries against Utah. Arizona State only had one offensive touchdown last week and their defense allowed only 7 points. The Sun Devils QB Wilkins threw the ball 41 times for 245 yards.
Recent Betting Trends:
Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Utes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Sun Devils last 5 conference games.
Under is 7-2 in Utes last 9 games overall.
Free Betting Pick: Utah Utes -8.5
Utah has lost two straight but they have played two back-to-back very good teams. Arizona State won a bit game at home but Utah is a good team on their home field and hungry for a win. Lets back the Utes in another impressive PAC 12 win. Final Score Prediction, Utah Utes win and cover ATS 30-17.

[bmd1803]

Troy at Georgia State 10/21/17 - College Football Picks & Predictions

by Jim

Latest Odds : TROY -9 Total 45.5

Troy has been playing all over the place this season. The Trojans have went from losing some games, like the upset this past week to South Alabama, to picking up wins against top 25 teams like they did over LSU. However, the loss to the Jaguars was unexpected and not something the team really wanted to have happen.

Brandon Silvers is the quarterback who has been playing for the Trojans a lot this year. Silvers has thrown the ball for a total of 1504 yards and 2 touchdowns on the season.


Georgia State has been on a roll lately. The Panthers were able to come out and pick up some big time wins over the opponents here lately after settling down from the losses they had early on in the season. So this is definitely something the Panthers are going to need to keep in mind as they continue to play some strong football here, but against a lot better teams like the Trojans who are coming in here upset after the loss they had.
Recent Betting Trends:
Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Panthers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
Under is 9-1-1 in Trojans last 11 road games.
Under is 14-5 in Panthers last 19 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Free Betting Pick: Troy Trojans -9
This Troy team has been on a roller coaster ride the last two games - big road upset over LSU was followed up by ugly home loss to South Alabama. Trojans get back to focus and dominate this Sunbelt game. Final Score Prediction, Troy Trojans win and cover ATS 27-16.

[bmd1803]

Kent State at Ohio 10/21/17 - College Football Picks & Predictions

by Jim

Latest Odds : OHIO - 19.5 Total 49

Can the Golden Flashes really turn the season around this time? The Kent State team has been able to pick up an impressive win in the last game over the Redhawks and that is definitely going to be something the Golden Flashes will have as being seen as a good thing.

The Golden Flashes have been able to only throw for 106 yards a game, but are rushing for a total of 155 yards a game. The Golden Flashes have only scored for a total of 12 points a game and are giving up 30 points a game.


The Bobcats have only dropped 2 games on the year so far. However, the first loss was expected when they played the Boilermakers and the second game was a close battle to Central Michigan. So it should be fairly easy for the Bobcats to come into this game as a heavily favorite team.

The Bobcats have thrown for a total of 184 yards a game and have rushed for 230 yards per game. Scoring has seen the Bobcats have a chance to get 40 points a game, but are giving up 29 points a game.
Recent Betting Trends:
Golden Flashes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Bobcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
Under is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-2 in Bobcats last 7 games on fieldturf.
Free Betting Pick: Ohio Bobcats -19.5
Last 3 head to head games have been dominated by Ohio going 3-0 straight up and ATS - last years game was 14-10 road win by Ohio. This year the Bobcats offense is much more explosive and don't see this ending well for struggling Kent State. Final Score Prediction, Ohio Bobcats win and cover ATS 34-10.

[bmd1803]

Northern Illinois at Bowling Green 10/21/17 - CFB Picks & Predictions

by Thomas

Latest Odds : NIW - 13 Total 49.5

Northern Illinois recently survived a very scary game as they barely beat the Bulls. This was a game the Huskies seen as a back and forth battle almost the entire time, but the Huskies were able to be the team that held out to get the win, which was a nail biter for the Huskies fans.

Jordan Huff is the player who has led the Huskies with rushing. Huff has carried the ball 85 times for 450 yards and a single score on the season so far.


Bowling Green is coming into this game after returning to the old form of the Falcons of getting the losses. The Falcons were a team that has only managed to pick up a single game on the year and that was against Miami of Ohio and that was 2 weeks ago and that was a big time win for the Falcons.

Josh Cleveland is the player who has led the Falcons for rushing. Cleveland has carried the ball 94 times for 490 yards on the season with 2 touchdowns.
Recent Betting Trends:
Huskies are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Huskies last 6 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 home games.
Free Betting Pick: Northern Illinois Huskies -13
The struggles of Bowling Green continues this week as the much more talented NIU dominate this one. Falcons also have been death for bettors going just 1-6 ATS on the year. Final Score Prediction, Northern Illinois Huskies win and cover ATS 34-16.

[bmd1803]

Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan 10/21/17 - CFB Picks & Predictions

by Mike

Latest Odds : WMU - 4 Total 48.5

Eastern Michigan is going to take on Western Michigan here and that is going to be something that can be a good game between these cross state rivals. Granted, the programs are not nearly as big as the games of Michigan vs Michigan State, but they are definitely a good smaller school battle that the teams are going to want to know about with these two schools that are playing against each other here.


Coming into this game the Eagles have relied on the passing attack to do the dirty work of the offense. The Eagles offense has managed to get a total of 268 yards a game, but when it comes to grinding out the clock they have struggled with only 84 yards a game.

The Broncos offense is a little more balanced, but favors a strong rushing attack. The Broncos passing attack has managed to get 177 yards a game, but the rushing attack is up to 236 yards a game.
Recent Betting Trends:
Broncos are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Over is 6-2 in Broncos last 8 conference games.
Under is 14-3 in Eagles last 17 games overall.
Free Betting Pick: Eastern Michigan Eagles +4
This EMU team is much improved over last decade of struggling teams and for bettors have been money going 5-1 ATS on the year. Another close game that ends with ATS cover for Eastern Michigan but still think WMU gets tight win. Final Score Prediction, Western Michigan Broncos win but fall short ATS 27-26.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #2 - BELMONT PARK - 12:55 PM EASTERN POST
The Maid of the Mist Stakes
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT TWO YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $250,000.00 PURSE

#4 PURE SILVER
#6 HELD ACCOUNTABLE
#8 BERNING ROSE
#3 I STILL MISS YOU

Here in the 21st running of this stakes race named after a famous "tour boat" that brings visitors to the edge of Niagara Falls, #4 PURE SILVERis the only entry in this field not taking a step-up in class, and has scored with a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" in her four career starts to date. Jockey John Velazquez was in her irons for those 3 wins, and is back this afternoon here in Elmont for another ride, gunning for a "Grand Slam Win!" #6 HELD ACCOUNTABLE, a 5-1 shot, is the pace profile leader, and is undefeated in a 2 race career to date, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - SO - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 96

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 ANGEL AT WAR 8/5

# 4 FILLUPCOHENSAPIKER 5/2

# 5 CODE NAME TAURUS 15/1

ANGEL AT WAR looks quite good to best this field. Like the finishing positions in the last couple of events. She has posted decent figures under today's conditions and will most likely fare well versus this group. Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. FILLUPCOHENSAPIKER - Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this lot. Has been consistently racing well lately. CODE NAME TAURUS - Is a solid choice - given the 81 speed fig from her most recent race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Hawthorne - Race #8 - Post: 6:26pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating: 3

#8 SHOW'EM POP (ML=6/1)
#5 HEART STOPPER (ML=5/1)
#3 WILDWOOD'S AFLEET (ML=9/2)


SHOW'EM POP - Felix should have him moving solid on the turn. This gelding is in nice form. Ended up third on Oct 7th. HEART STOPPER - Trainer Domenosky moves this horse down the class scale to face a lower class field. Look for a good performance at this level. WILDWOOD'S AFLEET - I am keen on that latest effort on October 7th at Hawthorne where he finished second. This gelding looks good today. Hasn't done much lately, but did win a $5,000 Claiming race on April 29th. You have to like that last race speed figure, 87, which is the highest last race speed fig of this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SANDIA CREST (ML=7/2), #7 CRUACHAN (ML=6/1), #1 NOBLE MASTER (ML=8/1),

SANDIA CREST - I can't play this habitual non-winner. Gets the job fulfilled occasionally. Didn't do alot last time. Probably won't do much running in today's race. The speed rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this racer as a vulnerable competitor. CRUACHAN - If you keep playing these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disillusioned often. NOBLE MASTER - I cannot play this frequent non-winner. Gets the job fulfilled once in a while. Common speed figure last race out at Hawthorne at 1 1/16 miles. Don't think this mount will improve too much in today's race.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - WILDWOOD'S AFLEET - I like the switch from the outer post position last time to an inner post this time. Should make a move along the rail.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #8 SHOW'EM POP on the nose if you can get odds of 4/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,5,8] with [3,5,8] with [2,3,5,6,8] with [2,3,5,6,8] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings

Hastings - Race 4

Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta


Claiming $4,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 3:20P
(PLUS UP TO $3,000 THRIF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * EBONY WARRIOR: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BROTHER BRIAN: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. INSTANT CASH: Horse has a T rackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BROTHER ROD: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6
EBONY WARRIOR
7/2

9/2
5
BROTHER BRIAN
3/1

5/1
4
INSTANT CASH
10/1

9/1
1
BROTHER ROD
5/1

9/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:43pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,400 Class Rating: 68

Rating: 3

#12 TALITHA KOUM (ML=5/1)
#10 CHANGE AGENT (ML=8/1)
#11 CHEVERIE (ML=4/1)


TALITHA KOUM - Nice return on investment for this rider and conditioner duet. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (sixth). Should improve in this race, with some pretty decent odds. CHANGE AGENT - I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough races since the layoff and should be fit. This filly likes to be near the lead. Today's contest is a shorter distance and should aid her winning probability. Should do well right here. Weight shift of -5 from October 6th race at Penn National. CHEVERIE - This horse is number one in earnings per start. She looks strong in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 REDHOT CHEERLEADER (ML=7/2), #6 LA SALAZAR (ML=5/1),

REDHOT CHEERLEADER - Last ran on Aug 11th at Penn National, finishing sixth. Not likely to move up off of that performance in today's race. Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance events in order to bet on her. Latest speed figure of 59 may not be legitimate since it was in the slop. LA SALAZAR - In the last race this pony finished fifth. Doesn't look good for her chances this time.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #12 TALITHA KOUM on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
12 with [10,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [10,11,12] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[10,11,12] with [10,11,12] with [1,2,10,11,12] with [1,2,10,11,12] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Parx Racing

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Parx Racing, Race 1 (Saturday October 21, 2017)

PROMISE THE SKY
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

PRX-1 1mile DIRT Seven Horses
"A" CLM 7,500 3YUP $20,500
P# dd ex p3 t s ML WP TVL

5 PROMISE THE SKY 7/5 45% 6/5 Strong Favorite icon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14850 Class Rating: 59

FOR MAIDEN, TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 12 ROYAL HILLBILLY 7/5

# 9 DUNDON 2/1

# 2 UNDERCOVERCLASS 12/1

I've got to go with ROYAL HILLBILLY. Is tough not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been very good - 53 avg - of late. Ought to be considered in this contest if only for the solid Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last race. Will probably come out sharp - I have liked the way this gelding has moved speedily to the lead recently. DUNDON - He has been moving solidly lately while recording strong speed figs. Lately Asmussen has provided wagerers with a respectable winning percentage with horses racing in dirt route races. UNDERCOVERCLASS - Laviolette should be able to get this gelding to break out early for this race. Sharp profits over time for this jock and trainer duo.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

Will Rogers Downs - Race 6

Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 59 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 2:05P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * B UNSTOPPABLE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. IVORY MISSION: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster P ower Rating. SHAZOOMN PHOEBE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1
B UNSTOPPABLE
7/2

5/2
2
IVORY MISSION
3/1

5/1
6
SHAZOOMN PHOEBE
4/1

8/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Purdue at Rutgers
Gracenote
Oct 18, 2017

Two improving teams with bowl aspirations must put this one in the win column to reach their goal when Purdue visits Rutgers for Big Ten matchup on Saturday afternoon. Purdue attempts to even its league record after playing No. 5 Wisconsin tough in a 17-9 loss last week and starts a stretch of four straight games against teams at .500 or worse while the Scarlet Knights are coming off an important victory at Illinois.

The Boilermakers lean on a defense that has forced 15 turnovers, including nine fumble recoveries (tied for second in the country), and has allowed just 20 total points in two road games - none in the second half. “The rest of the season has to be about everybody digging deeper and grinding and finding a way to win,” Purdue coach Jeff Brohm told reporters. “If everybody gives forth more effort and tries to do their part, hopefully, good things will happen.” Rutgers rushed for 274 yards and rolled to a 35-24 victory over the Illini to snap a 16-game Big Ten losing streak last week and coach Chris Ash is hoping for consistency. “The challenge now for us is to be able to reset our focus and get ready for the next opportunity. … and be able to go play with the same energy, same passion, same physicality, and just execute better in certain situations,” Ash told reporters. “When a team is really on the hunt and really chasing to try to improve and be the best they can be, that’s what good teams do.”

TV: Noon ET, Big Ten Network. LINE: Purdue -9

ABOUT PURDUE (3-3, 1-2 Big Ten): Brohm told reporters he will keep using two quarterbacks even though sophomore Elijah Sindelar (52.9 completion percentage) has gotten most of the snaps of late while junior David Blough (68.9) did not attempt a pass last week. Sophomore running back Tario Fuller (foot) is expected to miss his fourth straight game after rushing for 261 yards in the first three contests. Senior linebacker Ja’Whaun Bentley had 12 of his team-high 46 tackles against Wisconsin and sophomore linebacker Markus Bailey boasts 41 (career-high 10 solo tackles last week) to go along with three sacks.

ABOUT RUTGERS (2-4, 1-2): Junior Giovanni Rescigno replaced senior Kyle Bolin (three TD passes, six interceptions) at quarterback last week and threw for 89 yards while running for 41, but suffered an apparent knee injury and is considered day-to-day. Senior Gus Edwards rushed for a season-high 91 yards with two scores and freshman Raheem Blackshear gained 87 yards on just six carries, including a touchdown, against Illinois. Whoever is under center will be looking for top targets senior wide receiver Janarion Grant (15 catches, 162 yards, one TD) and junior tight end Jerome Washington (16, 141, one).

EXTRA POINTS

1. Grant needs 41 all-purpose yards to pass Brian Leonard (4,643) for third on the school’s all-time list.

2. Only seven teams in FBS have allowed more sacks per game (3.33) than the Boilermakers, who meet Rutgers for the first time.

3. Purdue’s junior TE Cole Herdman has gained a first down on all 11 of his receptions this season.

PREDICTION: Purdue 31, Rutgers 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Purdue at Rutgers

ATS Trends
Purdue

Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Boilermakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Boilermakers are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 road games.
Boilermakers are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games on fieldturf.
Boilermakers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Boilermakers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Boilermakers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss.
Boilermakers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in October.
Boilermakers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Boilermakers are 8-17-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Rutgers

Scarlet Knights are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
Scarlet Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Scarlet Knights are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Purdue

Under is 4-0 in Boilermakers last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 5-0 in Boilermakers last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Boilermakers last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-1 in Boilermakers last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Boilermakers last 8 games in October.
Under is 5-2 in Boilermakers last 7 games overall.
Over is 20-8 in Boilermakers last 28 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-2 in Boilermakers last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Boilermakers last 14 conference games.

Rutgers

Under is 4-1 in Scarlet Knights last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Scarlet Knights last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 12-5 in Scarlet Knights last 17 games in October.