Service Plays Sunday 10/22/17

[BettingBruiser]

Strike Point 6-Unit Play. Take #467 Arizona (+3.5) over Los Angeles Rams (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 22)

This Cardinals team was one of our favorites before the season started, but then David Johnson got hurt. Arizona quickly became one dimensional and Carson Palmer started throwing the ball 1000 times a game. That is absolutely not a recipie for success. Palmer, at this stage in his career is not the type of QB that can consistently win games without a solid running game. Enter Adrian Peterson...Will AP be as good as he was in his first game each and every week? No, probably not, but he is better than what they had and he at least makes opposing defenses have to deal with both the run and the pass. Arizona will slowly get back to the team we thought they were and we will jump right back onto the bandwagon we were so ready to be on. Look for the Cardinals offense to be extremely efficient this weekend and for them to win this game outright by more than a touchdown. If this game was in LA, we may be just a bit hesitant, but overseas we like the Cards to take this one. With an offense that can strike by the ground and the air, Arizona is just a better team. The Rams are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games versus the NFC, and 0-5 ATS in their last five versus the NFC West. Take the Cards in this one.

[BettingBruiser]

Jason Sharpe 5 Unit Play Take #473 Denver pick'em over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25pm est):

The Denver Broncos come in off an embarrassing loss last week at home to the winless New York Giants. The Broncos were nearly two touchdown favorites going into that game and they out-gained the Giants by nearly 150 yards in the contest but still found a way to lose. I expect a much more focused and intense effort here from what is a talented Broncos squad.

The Chargers started this season off 0-4 but are now up to 2-4 on the year with back to back wins and despite coming in with two wins in a row I haven't been impressed by what I've seen from this Chargers team overall. They scored a late touchdown to beat a bad New York Giants team two weeks ago and last week kicked a game winning field goal as time ran out to get the win over a Oakland Raiders squad who appeared to have a quarterback (Derek Carr) who wasn't himself in that contest.

The Broncos have beaten the Chargers 7 of the last 8 times they've faced them including a week one win earlier this season in a game that wasn't as close as the final score shows as Denver dominated most of that contest. Take Denver in this one.

[BettingBruiser]

Harris 5 Unit Play. Take #473 Denver Broncos +1 over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25 PM, Sunday, October 22)

The Denver Broncos will look to bounce back from an embarrassing home loss to the Giants last week when they hit the road to take on the Los Angeles Chargers at the Stub Hub Center in Carson, CA on Sunday afternoon. The Broncos have posted a 5-2 ATS record in their last seven games following a straight up loss and they have gone an excellent 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against the Chargers. Los Angeles, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here as they have gone just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games where they faced an AFC West Division rival and they are an awful 4-12 ATS in their last sixteen games following a straight up win. They have also failed to cover the number in 16 of their last 21 home games where they faced a team with a winning record going back to their days in San Diego and they are an awful 7-19 in their last 26 home games overall. Throw in the fact that the road team has gone a lights out 11-3-1 ATS in the last fifteen head to head meetings between the two teams and we're going to take the point or so here with the Broncos in a game that we have them winning outright in LA on Sunday afternoon.






6 Unit Play. Take #477/478 Washington Redskins vs Philadelphia Eagles Over 48.5 (8:30 PM, Sunday, October 23, ESPN)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Washington Redskins hit the road to take on the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA on Monday night. The Redskins have posted a perfect 8-0 record to the over in their last eight games following an ATS loss and they are also a perfect 5-0 to the over in their last five road games where they faced a team with a winning record at home. They have also gone up and over the number seven of their last nine games where they faced an NFC East Division rival and they are 20-6 to the over in their last 26 games overall. The Eagles have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Monday as they have gone 4-1 to the over in their last five games overall and they are an impressive 9-2 to the over in their last eleven games versus a team from the NFC East. They have also gone over the total in four of their last five when facing a team with a winning % of .500 or higher and they are 9-4-1 to the over in their last fourteen Monday Night Football games. Throw in the fact that these two teams have gone 4-1-1 to the over in their last six head to head meetings at The Linc and that's where we'll have our play as we our numbers have this one turning into a shootout in Philly on Monday night.

[BettingBruiser]

Mike Davis 7-Unit Play. Take #463 Carolina -3 over Chicago (Sunday, October 22nd at 1:00 p.m.)

Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers have played really bad football at home this season. However, they have looked really good on the road and that's exactly where they will be this Sunday when they play the Chicago Bears. The Panthers have defeated San Francisco, New England, and Detroit on the road this year. The San Franciso game wasn't really close and that's the team Chicago most resembles. Don't get me wrong, I am a Trubisky fan and I like the direction of this Bears' team. But, this is a bad spot for them as Cam and the Panthers are coming off of an embarrassing performance on Thursday Night Football that saw them lose to the Eagles at home. I look for them to respond in a big way against the Bears. They will shut down the run and force the Bears' wide receivers to beat them. Quick note: the Bears don't have any wide receivers. This line will move to 3.5, 4.0, or 4.5 by gametime but we are on it early on Thursday and we are happy to be on it. This is a big game for the Panthers and I am rolling with them this week in the Windy City. I look for Cam to really play well.

Take Carolina

[BettingBruiser]

Eastman 6-Unit Play. Take #463 Carolina (-3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 22)

This play is from my NFL 411 System.

Carolina had extra time to rest up and to prepare for this game against Chicago. That will make a big difference as the Panthers were nursing some injuries. This Carolina team went to the Super Bowl two years ago and they are going to be in a fight with Atlanta for the NFC South all season long. They are much better than the Bears. Chicago is coming off a rare win at Baltimore. Both of Chicago's wins this year came in overtime and this team could very easily go 0-6 right now after winning just three games last year. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS on the road and they are 4-0 ATS following a loss and I think that Carolina's defense will dominate the weak Bears offense. Chicago is starting a rookie quarterback and he is going to struggle against one of the league's best defenses. Chicago is 1-6 ATS after a win and they have not fared well against Carolina in the past. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last five games in Soldier Field. Cam Newton has a big edge over Mitch Trubisky and I see the Panthers forcing Chicago into several turnovers to give Newton and the offense the advantage. Carolina should win this one and I have the score at 30-10.

[BettingBruiser]

Ferringo 7-Unit Play. Take #467 Arizona (+3.5) over L.A. Rams (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 22)

I think that people jumped on the Rams bandwagon way too quickly. When it comes down to it, the Rams have wins over the Colts (2-4), 49ers (0-6), Cowboys (2-3) and Jaguars (3-3). Besides the Cowboys, those other three teams stink. Jared Goff has struggled against the two best secondaries that he faced, Washington and Seattle, and I expect the Cardinals back line to give him some problems. Arizona looked like a team with new life last week. Adrian Peterson has really given this roster a jolt and he is having a psychological impact on this group as much as he is having an on-field impact. They really looked like a different team last week against the Bucs in a game that wasn't as close as the final score suggested. The Cardinals are 5-2 SU in their last seven games against the Rams and 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. I think they are the better team. Either way, I think that's where the value lies. I will take the experience advantage - at coach, quarterback, running back and on defense - and the points in this one

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Double Dragon Sports

6-UNIT TOPS
DOLPHINS -3 (-120)
RAMS -3 (-125)
PACKERS +4
49'ERS +6
BRONCOS +PK
FALCONS +3 (even)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

66-37 ATS NFL NON-CONF GAME OF THE WEEK
Ravens

14-1 ATS NFL ULTIMATE CONF WAGER OF THE MONTH
Cowboys

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big E

10* Atlanta +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* Sunday night TOTAL OF YEAR

New England / Atlanta over 55

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SixthSense

Tampa Bay +3
Tampa Bay/Buffalo (Over 44)
Atlanta +3.5
Cincinnati/Pittsburgh (Under 41.5)
Denver/Los Angeles Chargers (Under 41.5
Atlanta/New England (Over 55

[sportscrazy]

Randall the Handle

BEST BETS
Jaguars (3-3) at Colts (2-4)
LINE: JACKSONVILLE by 3
Perhaps the Jaguars are unreliable with their win-lose-win-lose pattern, but they have at least shown that they can blow out a team or two (Baltimore and Pittsburgh). Sure, Jax QB Blake Bortles may cause you to shake your head most days, but a ninth-ranked defence and the top rushing offence in the league can cover up Bortles’ inadequacies. Colts don’t have such fallbacks. Indianapolis is dead last in points allowed, 31st in yards allowed and 30th in passing yards permitted. Yes, Indy has a couple of wins, but those victories have been against the league’s only two winless team as Cleveland and San Francisco are a combined 0-12. Each of those victories were by a field goal. Now the feeble Colts must play on a short week after watching a 19-9 lead over Tennessee quickly turn into a 36-22 defeat on Monday night. Jacksonville is 3-0 vs. spread after a loss and should up that stat here.
TAKING: JAGUARS –3
Cardinals (3-3) at Rams (4-2)
at London, England
LINE: LA RAMS by 3½
One win does not change the course of the hideous Cardinals. Arizona is an old and slow team that is resting on its 2015 laurels. The ages of its three marquee players (Carson Palmer, Larry Fitzgerald, Adrian Peterson) totals 103 years. No wonder the team has so much trouble scoring. The Cards did manage to rack up 38 points last week, but that was against the gutless Buccaneers. Arizona has faced one team currently above .500 and that game resulted in a 34-7 crushing by the Eagles. The Cardinals needed overtime to take down both the Colts and Niners before last week’s win over Tampa. Let’s just say the wins lack merit. Now Arizona, which ranks 28th in points allowed, will face the top scoring offence in the league and will do so with key guys out of lineup and others on the limp. The Cards’ first trip to London figures to be an unpleasant one.
TAKING: RAMS -3½
Broncos (3-2) at Chargers (2-4)
LINE: LA CHARGERS by 1
The Giants caught Denver flat-footed in front of a national audience with the Broncos on short end of an embarrassing 23-10 home defeat after being favoured by as many as 13 points. Hours earlier saw the Chargers trip up Oakland in a 17-16 win. The oddsmakers knows the “what have you done for me lately” mentality that accompanies bettors and after Denver’s colossal failure, they had to make the Bolts chalk here. That’s just wrong and we’ll gladly take back what is offered with the superior team. The Chargers are at home, but that’s hardly an advantage in their neutral-crowd soccer stadium. More importantly, the Broncos will be focused on stopping the run here after the G-Men cracked Orange’s previously impenetrable run defence and, without Melvin Gordon taking pressure off Philip Rivers, the Chargers could be in for a long afternoon. Do note, teams that lost their previous game as a 10 or more favourite have covered 34-of-53 in following game.
TAKING: BRONCOS +1

[sportscrazy]

THE REST
Titans (3-3) at Browns (0-6)
LINE: TENNESSEE by 5½
Cleveland continues to churn out losses and, without being offered an abundance of points, they simply have to be avoided. We don’t expect you to risk your cash on a team that has one win its previous 25 games and even with points allotted in almost all of those games, the Browns have managed just five covers in that same span. The quarterback horror movie continues as Cleveland will send rookie QB DeShone Kizer back out as its starter after being benched for Kevin Hogan. Kizer’s start in the NFL has been atrocious with a completion rate of 51% which includes just three touchdowns compared to nine interceptions in four starts. Tennessee DC Dick LeBeau is 21-3 lifetime against rookie throwers. Titans can ill afford to look past Browns as they are in three-way dead heat for division.
TAKING: TITANS –5½
Bengals (2-3) at Steelers (4-2)
LINE: PITTSBURGH by 5
Steelers’ nation is all giddy again after Pittsburgh knocked off only remaining unbeaten team with 19-13 victory at Kansas City. It could be a short lived celebration. We’ve seen the acute inconsistency of the Steelers this year after losing to the Bears, being lambasted at home by the Jaguars, but then taking down aforementioned Chiefs. We’re not willing to trust them here when spotting points to a Cincinnati team that is feeling good about itself after turning a 0-2 start into a 3-2 mark currently. Having made a change at offensive co-ordinator, along with return of defensive leader Vontaze Burfict after suspension, has the Bengals back in the thick of things in the AFC North. Pittsburgh offence not scaring anyone these days having surpassed 19 points only once in past four while Cincy defence shutting down opposing foes. Too many points in what figures to be a close one.
TAKING: BENGALS +5
Ravens (3-3) at Vikings (4-2)
LINE: MINNESOTA by 5½
Watching the Ravens play can hurt your stomach. Even so, we’ll take some antacids here and try to get through it. Baltimore’s offence is one of the weaker units in the league right now. Fortunately, they are playing a team that mirrors the Ravens in that way as the Vikings have lost both their starting quarterback and running back and points will be coming at a premium as a result. While Baltimore’s Joe Flacco has struggled this season, he still trumps Minny backup Case Keenum, the latter being a game manager at best. The Vikings could also be caught napping here as they come off big win against Packers and will fly to England after this game for game in London next week. For whatever reason, teams heading over there have covered just 14 of the past 38 in game prior. Blimey!
TAKING: RAVENS +5½
Jets (3-3) at Dolphins (3-2)
LINE: MIAMI by 3
The first current-season revenge game has the Jets visiting southern Florida after New York took down the Dolphins 20-6 in Week 2. Yes, the Jets have been a surprise with their competitive nature despite a subpar roster while the Fish are an enigma that few can figure out. At least the Jets have the decency to be at .500 after being outscored 130-109 on the year, unlike Miami which sits at 3-2 even though it has been out-pointed 84-61. Miami also has the dubious distinction of being the league’s lowest-scoring club, averaging just over 12 points a game. Do we really want to be spotting any points with a club with such offensive limitations? We’ll say “yes” to that question as Fins home for only second time this season. They beat Tennessee on this field and they return to it after a confidence-building win at Atlanta last week.
TAKING: DOLPHINS –3
Panthers (4-2) at Bears (2-4)
LINE: CAROLINA by 3
Another one of many teams this year that you don’t know what you’re getting has the erratic Panthers visiting Chicago. Have to admire an undermanned Bears team this year for a pair of gritty wins, but at this small price, the talent levels between the clubs has us giving away the few required points. Carolina has had 10 days rest after loss to ascending Eagles. While you never know which Cam Newton shows up, we do know that Carolina’s stodgy secondary should have little trouble controlling rookie QB Mitch Trubisky. Despite an overtime win last at Baltimore, the neophyte pivot was just eight of 16 for 113 yards passing. That’s simply not going to cut it against this opponent. Good to be the road team where Panthers are involved as the visitor is 6-0 against the spread (ATS) this season in Carolina games.
TAKING: PANTHERS –3
Saints (3-2) at Packers (4-2)
Randall the Handle

LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 5½
We use the “overreaction” term quite frequently in this space and this is a classic case. When preliminary lines were released for this game, prior to last week’s game and the Aaron Rodgers injury, the Packers were a 6½-point choice in this game. Of course, the loss of arguably the league’s best quarterback is impactful, but to have this spread swing 12 points is simply overdoing it. Backup Brett Hundley will get his first ever start here. He has had a good mentor, having been in Green Bay since being drafted in 2015. The precocious quarterback has had impressive pre-seasons, which followed a stellar college career at UCLA. Linemakers know that John Q. Bettor believes that the Packers have no chance now with Rodgers out and have inflated this line in response. At Lambeau and against Saints’ suspect defence, we’ll expect a competitive effort from the host.
TAKING: PACKERS +5½
Cowboys (2-3) at 49ers (0-6)
LINE: DALLAS by 6
San Francisco has set some sort of ineptitude record by losing five straight games by three points or less. While some may reason that taking the near touchdown here makes sense based on the unusual feat, we’re thinking the opposite. If five times has never happened before, what are the odds that it happens a sixth consecutive time? Let’s also not ignore the amount of times that San Fran has had double-digit deficits before scoring some garbage time points to make it look close. Of course, the Niners could always win this game to break the streak but that seems like a longshot against a rested Cowboys squad who will be facing a rookie QB for San Francisco as C.J. Beathard will make his first career start.
Note that road favorites after a bye are on a 49-23 (68.1%) ATS run.
TAKING: COWBOYS –6
Seahawks (3-2) at Giants (1-5)
LINE: SEATTLE by 5½
Giants fresh in everyone’s minds after pulling off major upset in Denver last week while the Seahawks have been off for a couple of weeks after enjoying their bye. Outta sight, outta mind, let us remind you that Seattle has a stingy run defence and that the Giants don’t have front-line receivers after their top guys have all been shelved with injuries. Seattle’s previous game was a win against the Rams, holding the league’s top-scoring team to a mere 10 points. While the Seabirds’ offensive capacity raises concerns, we don’t see how the G-Men score enough points here to stay within range. Hard to imagine this battered host can succeed vs. Broncos and Seahawks on consecutive weeks. Inconsistent Giants also 1-4 ATS in past five games following both a straight up win and a spread cover.
TAKING: SEAHAWKS –5½
Falcons (3-2) at Patriots (2-3)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 3½
Maybe Atlanta has stunk out the joint this season in anticipation of this one after blowing the infamous 25-point lead in last year’s Super Bowl? Unlikely, but we are expecting the Falcons to rise to this occasion considering how vulnerable the Patriots have become defensively. New England is dead last in the NFL in both total yards and passing yards allowed. Every quarterback that the Pats have faced this season has passed for at least 300 yards which includes last week’s contest against aerially challenged Jets. Even journeyman QB Josh McCown was able to rack up 354 yards through the air in that game after not reaching 250 yards in any game this year. Atlanta may be struggling but Matt Ryan and Co. should be able to take advantage. New England also not feared at home these days where they are 0-3 vs. spread this season.
TAKING: FALCONS +3½
Redskins (3-2) at Eagles (5-1)
LINE: PHILADELPHIA by 4½
A rematch after the Eagles defeated the Redskins 30-17 on opening week. While the Redskins have shown improvement since then, Philadelphia has proven to be a top club in the NFL. Home after a big win in Carolina and on 10 days rest, these Eagles should be even stronger with the return of stalwart RT Lane Johnson after sitting out last week with a concussion and the Redskins suffering a blow to its defensive front four when impressive rookie Jonathan Allen broke his foot last week. Washington is playing well, having won three of past four, but were manhandled in opener when QB Kirk Cousins was under siege most of the game and the Eagles were able to force four turnovers. The Eagles are making money for their backers, currently on a 7-2 run vs. the number and they get the nod here.
TAKING: EAGLES –4½
Buccaneers (2-3) at Bills (3-2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

5* Rivalry G.O.Y. :

ATLANTA + the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL (19-13 +7.63) client solution sports
10/22
Minnesota Vikings -5.5 Baltimore Ravens (1pm)
Miami Dolphins -3 New York Jets (1pm)
Arizona Cardinals +3 Los Angeles Rams (1pm)
Atlanta Falcons +3.5 New England Patriots (830pm)