Saturday 10-14-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 14, 2017
Where: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, Mississippi

Preview: BYU at Mississippi State
Gracenote
Oct 12, 2017

After one of the most brutal three-game stretches any Division I team will encounter this season, Mississippi State gets a bit of a reprieve Saturday afternoon with a home date against BYU. The Bulldogs are coming off three straight games against teams ranked in the top 13 nationally, coming away with a statement win and a pair of blowout losses for its trouble.

A 37-7 drubbing of LSU was supposed to give Mississippi State some momentum - but that didn't happen at all, as the Bulldogs went on to lose to Georgia and Auburn by a combined 67 points. Mississippi State committed seven false start penalties in last week's 49-10 drubbing at the hands of the Tigers, prompting head coach Dan Mullen to say afterward: "We did everything you shouldn't do when you come on the road to win." Now well out of the top 25 rankings, the Bulldogs will look to bounce back against a BYU team that has dropped five straight games since its season-opening victory over Portland State. The Cougars managed just 238 total yards and 12 first downs in last week's 24-7 loss to Boise State.

TV: Noon ET, SEC Network. LINE: Mississippi State -24

ABOUT BYU (1-5): The Cougars boast one of the most anemic offenses in the nation, averaging a paltry 11.7 points per game - ahead of only Kent State in all of Division I - and 97.7 rushing yards per contest, good for 121st in the country. Quarterback Tanner Mangum has completed just over 54 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and six interceptions so far this season, and BYU has thrown 12 picks as a team, the most in Division I. Ula Toluatau and Squally Canada pace the Cougars rushing attack, averaging a combined 4.6 yards per carry while accounting for all three of the team's rushing scores.

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI STATE (3-2): Consider this a get-right game for Bulldogs quarterback Nick Fitzgerald, who opened the season with a 7-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in his first three games but had just one TD toss against four INTs in the losses to Georgia and Auburn. You can also expect Mississippi State to lean heavily on a potent ground attack that averages 5.7 yards per carryand has produced eight touchdowns. The Bulldogs will also look to improve their pass pressure, having registered just nine sacks through five contests.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Fitzgerald has accounted for 13 scores through five games, but just one has come in the previous two contests.

2. The Bulldogs average 252.8 rushing yards per game, 17th-most in the nation.

3. Only 13 Division I schools have forced fewer turnovers than BYU (five).

PREDICTION: Mississippi State 45, BYU 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Brigham Young at Mississippi State

ATS Trends
Brigham Young

Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week.
Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Cougars are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. SEC.
Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Mississippi State

Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Brigham Young

Under is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Under is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 games in October.
Under is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 vs. SEC.
Under is 6-1 in Cougars last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 11-2 in Cougars last 13 non-conference games.
Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 games on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 11-3 in Cougars last 14 games overall.
Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-2 in Cougars last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 15-7 in Cougars last 22 games following a bye week.

Mississippi State

Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 7-1 in Bulldogs last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Under is 8-2 in Bulldogs last 10 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 12-4 in Bulldogs last 16 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 20-8-1 in Bulldogs last 29 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 9-4 in Bulldogs last 13 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 14, 2017
Where: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Preview: North Carolina State at Pittsburgh
Gracenote
Oct 10, 2017

North Carolina State fifth-year coach Dave Doeren got his signature road win at Florida State earlier this season and added a matching home triumph last week against Louisville. Now the No. 20 Wolfpack seek their first six-game winning streak in 15 years when they visit struggling Pittsburgh on Saturday.

“I told our team it was coming, I told y’all it was coming. Some of you believed me, some of you didn’t,“ Doeren told reporters after the Wolfpack knocked off then-No. 17 Louisville 39-25 on Oct. 5. “You can just feel it right now in our locker room. They believe they’re the best team. And they’re playing hard and they’re playing together and they’re tough and it’s fun … a lot of fun.” Junior Ryan Finley threw for 367 yards, Nyheim Hines ran for 102 yards and two TDs and Jaylen Samuels had seven catches for 104 yards against the Cardinals as the Wolfpack won their fifth straight game - the longest win streak since the 2002 team started 9-0. The defense sacked reigning Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson four times and returned an interception for a score that put the game away. Pittsburgh is in serious jeopardy of not qualifying for a bowl for the first year since 2007 after falling 27-24 at Syracuse last week, being outgained 500-358 while going only 3-of-13 on third down.

TV: Noon ET, AT&T SportsNet. LINE: North Carolina State - 12.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA STATE (5-1, 3-0 ACC): Finley is completing 71 percent of his passes - second in the ACC and seventh in FBS - with 10 touchdowns against no interceptions and ranks third in ESPN’s QBR metric (84.4) behind Baker Mayfield of Oklahoma and Mason Rudolph of Oklahoma State. Samuels, classified as an H-back, has scored a touchdown in five of six games, has at least five catches in every game and is the only player in FBS with at least 15 career rushing touchdowns and 15 receiving touchdowns. Edge rusher Bradley Chubb leads all Power-5 conference defenders in tackles for loss with 14 and is tied for third in FBS with 6.5 sacks for a defense that yields 23.7 points and 387 yards per game - but only 90.7 yards on the ground.

ABOUT PITTSBURGH (2-4, 0-2): Quarterback Max Browne (997 yards, five TDs, two interceptions), who leads the ACC in completion percentage (71.1 percent), will not play this week after leaving the Syracuse game in the second half with an undisclosed injury. Sophomore Ben DiNucci, who has played in five games and started earlier this season against Georgia Tech, completed 6-of-10 passes for 55 yards against the Orange and will get the start. Safety Jordan Whitehead had nine tackles and a pass breakup on defense last week and scored on a 35-yard run while gaining 73 yards on seven carries to lead the ground attack.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Pittsburgh leads the all-time series 5-3-1, but this is the first meeting since the Wolfpack beat the Panthers 38-31 in 2009.

2. Pitt PK Alex Kessman tied a school record with a 56-yard field goal last week and also converted from 49 and 42 yards out.

3. Hines is coming off the first two 100-yard efforts of his career and has at least 90 yards rushing in each of his last four games - good for 5.6 yards per carry and four TDs over that span.

PREDICTION: North Carolina State 45, Pitt 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 20 NC State at Pittsburgh

ATS Trends
NC State

Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Wolfpack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Wolfpack are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Pittsburgh

Panthers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Panthers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games.
Panthers are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Panthers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Panthers are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

OU Trends
NC State

Under is 8-0 in Wolfpack last 8 conference games.
Under is 9-2 in Wolfpack last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 4-1 in Wolfpack last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Wolfpack last 5 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Wolfpack last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Wolfpack last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Wolfpack last 12 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Wolfpack last 8 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-2 in Wolfpack last 7 games following a ATS win.
Under is 9-4 in Wolfpack last 13 games on grass.

Pittsburgh

Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 7-1-1 in Panthers last 9 home games.
Over is 7-1 in Panthers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1-1 in Panthers last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-1-1 in Panthers last 7 games overall.
Over is 8-2 in Panthers last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games in October.
Under is 4-1-1 in Panthers last 6 games on grass.
Over is 8-2 in Panthers last 10 conference games.
Over is 9-4 in Panthers last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Eastern Michigan at Army

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 14, 2017
Where: Michie Stadium, West Point, New York
Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Army Black Knights are ranked 80 on offense, averaging 393.5 yards per game. The Black Knights are averaging 372.7 yards rushing and 20.8 yards passing so far this season.
The Eastern Michigan Eagles are ranked 101 on offense, averaging 351.0 yards per game. The Eagles are averaging 74.2 yards rushing and 276.8 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Army Black Knights are 3-0 at home this season, 0-0 against conference opponents and 4-2 against non-conference opponents.
At home the Black Knights are averaging 40.0 scoring, and holding teams to 14.7 points scored on defense.
The Eastern Michigan Eagles are 1-2 while on the road this season, 0-2 against conference opponents and 2-1 against non-conference opponents.
On the road, the Eagles are averaging 17.0 scoring, and holding teams to 19.0 points scored on defense.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Eastern Michigan at Army

ATS Trends
Eastern Michigan

Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Eagles are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Eagles are 9-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Eagles are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games.
Eagles are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. INDEP.

Army

Black Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Black Knights are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
Black Knights are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
Black Knights are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs. MAC.
Black Knights are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

OU Trends
Eastern Michigan

Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 road games.
Under is 6-0 in Eagles last 6 non-conference games.
Under is 6-0 in Eagles last 6 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 vs. INDEP.
Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 10-1 in Eagles last 11 games following a ATS win.
Under is 6-1 in Eagles last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 16-5 in Eagles last 21 games overall.
Over is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Eagles last 14 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Army

Under is 6-1 in Black Knights last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Under is 4-1 in Black Knights last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Black Knights last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 16-5 in Black Knights last 21 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 14-6 in Black Knights last 20 vs. MAC.

Head to Head

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 14, 2017
Where: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee

Preview: South Carolina at Tennessee
Gracenote
Oct 11, 2017

South Carolina’s defense is coming off an impressive performance and hopes to produce another when it visits struggling Tennessee on Saturday. The Volunteers are trying to avoid an 0-3 start to SEC play, with a trip to top-ranked Alabama looming next week.


The Gamecocks scored a school-record three defensive touchdowns in the second half of a 48-22 home victory over Arkansas last week, and they should be licking their chops at the thought of facing a Tennessee offense that hasn’t scored a touchdown in six quarters. Coach Butch Jones announced redshirt freshman Jarrett Guarantano will take over as the starting quarterback after Quinten Dormady went 5-of-16 for 64 yards with two interceptions in a 41-0 loss to Georgia in Tennessee's most recent game on Sept. 30. “You’re always looking for what you feel gives you the best opportunity to win the football game,” Jones told reporters. “You need to score points in this conference.” The Vols have dominated the all-time series, but the last five meetings have been decided by three points or fewer.

TV: Noon ET, ESPN. LINE: Tennessee -2.5


ABOUT SOUTH CAROLINA (4-2, 2-2 SEC): The Gamecocks’ defense has taken a big step forward this season, holding all six opponents below their season scoring averages. South Carolina has forced 13 turnovers – tied for the most in the SEC — after recording four takeaways against the Razorbacks. Quarterback Jake Bentley has thrown five touchdown passes and no interceptions over the last two games despite the absence of star receiver Deebo Samuel, but the Gamecocks will need their inconsistent ground game to be effective against the Vols.

ABOUT TENNESSEE (3-2, 0-2): Despite the recent offensive struggles, the team has a solid running back in John Kelly, whose 494 rushing yards are the most by a Tennessee player through five games since Montario Hardesty gained 575 in 2009. Tennessee also possesses the best pass defense in the SEC and the third-best in the nation, allowing just 129.2 yards per game. That’s due at least in part to the fact the Vols have had a tough time stopping the run, as opponents have piled up an average of 252.6 yards on the ground.


EXTRA POINTS

1. South Carolina coach Will Muschamp is 5-0 against Tennessee, including a 4-0 mark while at Florida and a win with the Gamecocks last season.

2. Tennessee P Trevor Daniel ranks second in the nation in punting average (47.3 yards) and leads the SEC with 13 punts inside the 20.

3. Gamecocks TE Hayden Hurst has 75 career receptions and needs four to overtake Danny Smith for the program’s all-time lead at the position.


PREDICTION: South Carolina 27, Tennessee 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - South Carolina at Tennessee

ATS Trends
South Carolina

Gamecocks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Gamecocks are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Gamecocks are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Gamecocks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.

Tennessee

Volunteers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Volunteers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Volunteers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Volunteers are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Volunteers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.

OU Trends
South Carolina

Under is 4-0 in Gamecocks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 13-3 in Gamecocks last 16 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-1 in Gamecocks last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Gamecocks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 7-2 in Gamecocks last 9 road games.
Under is 16-5 in Gamecocks last 21 games following a ATS win.
Under is 16-5 in Gamecocks last 21 conference games.
Under is 11-4 in Gamecocks last 15 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Tennessee

Under is 4-0 in Volunteers last 4 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Volunteers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Volunteers last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Volunteers last 5 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Volunteers last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Volunteers last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 12-4 in Volunteers last 16 games following a bye week.
Over is 8-3 in Volunteers last 11 conference games.
Under is 18-7-1 in Volunteers last 26 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Volunteers last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-2-1 in Volunteers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 36-17-2 in Volunteers last 55 vs. a team with a winning record.

Head to Head

Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Tennessee.
Road team is 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 14, 2017
Where: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa

Preview: Kansas at Iowa State
Gracenote
Oct 12, 2017

One week after posting one of the biggest wins in school history, Iowa State tries to avoid an epic letdown Saturday against Kansas. The Cyclones went on the road to defeat No. 3 Oklahoma last weekend and now return home to face lowly Kansas, which hasn't won in its last 42 road contests.

Iowa State was a 28-point underdog against Oklahoma and trailed by two touchdowns in the first half before stunning the nation with a 38-31 victory. "We came in telling our whole team you have to believe for four quarters," quarterback/linebacker Joel Lanning told reporters. "Believe you can beat a top-five team in the country. That's what we did today." Iowa State now is in the opposite position as a big favorite this weekend against a Jayhawks squad that has allowed an average of 52 points during a four-game slide. Kansas coach David Beaty told reporters he's going to use Iowa State's upset win as motivation for his team. “I think there is a lot more parity in college football maybe than there has been over the last 10, 15 years," he said. "And the thing about it is, it’s still going to come down to who executes the best. Who executes at the highest level, the best, for the longest.”

TV: Noon ET, FSN. LINE: Iowa State -21.5

ABOUT KANSAS (1-4, 0-2 Big 12): The Jayhawks are facing a bit of a quarterback dilemma, as Peyton Bender and Carter Stanley both saw action - with limited success - in last week's 65-19 loss to Texas Tech. Bender has thrown as many interceptions as touchdowns (eight), while Stanley threw a pick as part of a forgettable 19-pass performance. “It’s one of those deals where we’re evaluating them every day anyway,” Beaty told reporters. “You’re only as good as your next. It doesn’t matter who you are. You’d like to have some consistency there, but hey, listen, the truth is, you’ve got to go with who you see in practice and how they’re progressing.”

ABOUT IOWA STATE (3-2, 1-1): The Cyclones had lost two of their previous three games - both at home - before dismantling the Sooners last weekend. Kyle Kempt passed for 343 yards and three touchdowns in his first career start, caused by Jacob Park's leave of absence for an undisclosed medical reason. David Montgomery scored his fifth rushing touchdown of the season, although his yards per carry is down over the last two games after three strong outings to begin the campaign.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Iowa State has won six of the last seven matchups.

2. Under coach Matt Campbell, the Cyclones are 0-9 when losing the turnover battle.

3. Kansas K Gabriel Rui is 8-for-9 on field-goal attempts and has not missed on 16 extra-point tries.

PREDICTION: Iowa State 44, Kansas 19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Kansas at Iowa State

ATS Trends
Kansas

Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Jayhawks are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games following a straight up loss.
Jayhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Jayhawks are 6-14 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jayhawks are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 games in October.
Jayhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 11-31-1 ATS in their last 43 road games.
Jayhawks are 8-24 ATS in their last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Jayhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Iowa State

Cyclones are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Cyclones are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cyclones are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cyclones are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cyclones are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Kansas

Over is 6-0 in Jayhawks last 6 games overall.
Over is 5-0 in Jayhawks last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Over is 5-0 in Jayhawks last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Jayhawks last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Jayhawks last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-0 in Jayhawks last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Over is 5-0 in Jayhawks last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Jayhawks last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 5-1 in Jayhawks last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Jayhawks last 6 conference games.
Over is 5-2 in Jayhawks last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Jayhawks last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 17-7 in Jayhawks last 24 road games.
Under is 9-4 in Jayhawks last 13 games in October.

Iowa State

Over is 10-1-1 in Cyclones last 12 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-1 in Cyclones last 6 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Cyclones last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Cyclones last 5 games in October.
Over is 4-1 in Cyclones last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Cyclones last 5 conference games.
Over is 6-2 in Cyclones last 8 games overall.
Under is 6-2-1 in Cyclones last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 20-7 in Cyclones last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 16-7-2 in Cyclones last 25 games following a ATS win.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Iowa State.
Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Jayhawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Iowa State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 14, 2017
Where: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, Kansas

Preview: TCU at Kansas State
Gracenote
Oct 11, 2017

TCU knocked off a pair of top-25 teams in its last two games and suddenly has the inside track at the Big 12 regular-season title if it can manage the minefield at the back half of the schedule. That begins on Saturday, when the seventh-ranked Horned Frogs visit a Kansas State squad that has yet to lose at home.

TCU is the only undefeated team left in the Big 12 after winning at Oklahoma State and escaping with a 31-24 win over West Virginia despite giving up 508 yards of offense last week. "I would bet that every game is going to be like this," Horned Frogs coach Gary Patterson told reporters after the win. "If you are going to win a championship, there is a general rule, every year I have been here for 17 years as a head coach, you win about three or four of them that are going to be ugly." TCU lost an ugly one last season at home against the Wildcats, who blasted the Horned Frogs 30-6 in the 2016 regular-season finale. "The way I look at it, (Big 12 teams) are all top-25 teams to me," Kansas State coach Bill Snyder told reporters. "I guess it is hard for people to understand that, but that is what makes college football so great. ... It is all about the same thing – who prepares the best, who plays the best and who coaches the best. That will never change."

TV: Noon, ET, Fox Sports 1. LINE: TCU -6

ABOUT TCU (5-0, 2-0 Big 12): Horned Frogs quarterback Kenny Hill struggled mightily in the loss to the Wildcats last season, completing just 5-of-11 passes for 52 yards while the team was held without a touchdown for the first time since 2006. Hill is much stronger in 2017 while completing 69 percent of his passes and is coming off a performance against West Virginia in which he threw a TD pass, ran for a score and caught a TD pass. Hill has some offensive help in the form of running back Kyle Hicks, who returned last week from an undisclosed injury that kept him out of the Oklahoma State game and delivered 71 yards on 11 carries.

ABOUT KANSAS STATE (3-2, 1-1): Wildcats quarterback Jesse Ertz ran for 170 yards and a score in addition to his 159 passing yards and a TD in last season's demolition of Kansas State and again leads his team in passing (930) and rushing (336) yards. The senior threw for 224 yards and two scores in last week's 40-34 double-overtime loss at Texas before missing the fourth quarter with a knee injury but is expected to start on Saturday. Sophomore Alex Delton is the backup and he ran for 79 yards and two TDs in relief of Ertz last week.

EXTRA POINTS

1. TCU is 2-3 against Kansas State since joining the Big 12 in 2012.

2. The Wildcats own a plus-six turnover differential.

3. Horned Frogs P Adam Nunez was named the Big 12's Special Teams Player of the Week after averaging 43 yards on seven punts last week.

PREDICTION: TCU 31, Kansas State 27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 7 Texas Christian at Kansas State

ATS Trends
Texas Christian

Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Horned Frogs are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Horned Frogs are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Horned Frogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Horned Frogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Kansas State

Wildcats are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Wildcats are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss.
Wildcats are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games in October.

OU Trends
Texas Christian

Under is 4-0 in Horned Frogs last 4 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 conference games.
Under is 6-2 in Horned Frogs last 8 road games.
Under is 6-2 in Horned Frogs last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 9-4 in Horned Frogs last 13 games overall.

Kansas State

Over is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Wildcats last 8 games on fieldturf.
Over is 8-3 in Wildcats last 11 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 conference games.
Over is 19-8 in Wildcats last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 45-19 in Wildcats last 64 games following a straight up loss.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 14, 2017
Where: Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, West Virginia

Preview: Texas Tech at West Virginia
Gracenote
Oct 11, 2017

Two big offenses will collide Saturday when Texas Tech visits West Virginia in a Big 12 matchup. The teams - two of the six tied at 1-1 early in conference play - have two of the top offenses in the country thanks to solid quarterback play.

Nic Shimonek and the visiting Red Raiders are second nationally with 46.8 points while ranked fourth in passing offense. Will Grier and the Mountaineers are ninth in scoring (43.8) and third in total offense. The big difference could be on defense, where the Red Raiders are much improved and lead the Big 12 with a plus-9 turnover margin. "We've been on the plus-side of things this year and that's really helped swing some games, put some momentum on our side," Texas Tech coach Kliff Kingsbury told the media Monday. "And hopefully that continues."

TV: Noon ET, ESPNU. LINE: West Virginia -3

ABOUT TEXAS TECH (4-1, 1-1 Big 12): Shimonek (1,811 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, three interceptions) has connected with Keke Coutee (39 catches, 586 yards, five TDs) for three touchdowns of at least 40 yards. Justin Stockton (385 rushing yards, four TDs) and Desmond Nisby (197 rushing yards, six TDs) helped Texas Tech establish a ground game last week at Kansas, combining for 254 yards and five scores in the 65-19 win. Linebacker Dakota Allen has two interceptions and 39 tackles while lineman Tony Jones has two fumble recoveries to lead Texas Tech, which has lost three straight to West Virginia.

ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (3-2, 1-1): Grier (1,740 yards, four INTs) is tied for third nationally with 16 touchdown passes while quarterback-turned-receiver David Sills (33 catches, 512 yards) leads the country with nine TD catches. Justin Crawford leads the Big 12 in rushing with 562 yards and six touchdowns and Grier adds 140 yards and two scores on the ground. Linebacker Al-Rasheed Benton leads a solid defense - allowing 26.4 points and 227.2 passing yards - with 44 stops, seven tackles for loss and an interception.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Texas Tech's 14 turnovers gained - seven interceptions and seven fumbles - is one more than it collected during the 2016 season.

2. West Virginia is 23-4 under coach Dana Holgorsen when scoring at least 40 points.

3. Holgorsen spent seven seasons (2000-07) on Mike Leach's staff at Texas Tech, including three seasons with Kingsbury (2000-02) as their quarterback.

PREDICTION: West Virginia 38, Texas Tech 27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Texas Tech at West Virginia

ATS Trends
Texas Tech

Red Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Red Raiders are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.
Red Raiders are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Red Raiders are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall.
Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

West Virginia

Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Mountaineers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games in October.
Mountaineers are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Mountaineers are 5-14 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Mountaineers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.
Mountaineers are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

OU Trends
Texas Tech

Over is 5-0 in Red Raiders last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Red Raiders last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Red Raiders last 5 conference games.
Over is 6-2 in Red Raiders last 8 road games.
Over is 6-2 in Red Raiders last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 12-4 in Red Raiders last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 19-7 in Red Raiders last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-2 in Red Raiders last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Over is 20-8 in Red Raiders last 28 games in October.
Over is 20-9 in Red Raiders last 29 games following a straight up win.

West Virginia

Over is 4-0 in Mountaineers last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 12-2 in Mountaineers last 14 games in October.
Over is 4-1 in Mountaineers last 5 home games.
Under is 17-5 in Mountaineers last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Mountaineers last 5 games overall.
Under is 21-7 in Mountaineers last 28 conference games.
Under is 23-8 in Mountaineers last 31 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-2 in Mountaineers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 12-5-1 in Mountaineers last 18 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 15-7 in Mountaineers last 22 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:20 PM ET, Saturday, October 14, 2017
Where: Papa John's Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, Kentucky

Preview: Boston College at Louisville
Gracenote
Oct 10, 2017

While Lamar Jackson has done a reasonable job of maintaining the production that helped him earn the Heisman Trophy as a sophomore in 2016, Louisville has struggled to maintain the pace that had it in the running for a College Football Playoff spot throughout most of last season. The Cardinals attempt to brush off another loss to an ACC foe Saturday when they host Boston College.

Louisville's early aspirations to unseat Clemson as the top team in the conference were dashed with a 47-21 loss to the Tigers on Sept. 16, and whatever hopes the Cardinals had of challenging for an Atlantic Division title likely came to an end with last Thursday's 39-25 loss at North Carolina State. "We're not playing well enough defensively - certainly. … Offensively, we're doing a lot of good things, but we're not consistent enough. … It's almost like … you've got to go score every single time right now, and that's hard to do," coach Bobby Petrino said. The opposite has mostly been true for the Eagles, who have held Clemson and Virginia Tech below their season scoring averages but managed only 27 total points in three conference games - all losses. "They're going to get better, and they're going to grow. Sometimes it's never on exactly the timetable we want it on, but ... it'll come together, and it'll be beautiful," BC coach Steve Addazio told reporters after last weekend's 23-10 loss versus the Hokies.

TV: 12:20 p.m. ET, ACC Network. LINE: Louisville -22.

ABOUT BOSTON COLLEGE (2-4, 0-3 ACC): The Eagles boast a wealth of talent on defense, including 2016 FBS sack leader Harold Landry, who has five sacks and became only the third player nationally since 2014 to record three in a game three times after reaching the benchmark again last weekend. Fellow defensive end Zach Allen has four sacks, is tied with Landry for the team lead in tackles for loss (eight) and paces BC with 55 tackles after setting a career high with 14 versus Virginia Tech, while safety Lukas Dennis is tied for the FBS lead with five interceptions. Michael Walker is among four Eagles with at least 15 receptions and leads the nation in combined kick-return yardage with 626.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (4-2, 1-2): Jackson ran for two touchdowns versus the Wolfpack to set the conference mark for most career rushing scores by a quarterback (39) - a mark that also moved him into a tie with Michael Bush for the second-highest total in school history regardless of position. Dez Fitzpatrick finished with career highs of 10 catches - matching Ibn Green’s freshman school record set in 1996 - and 134 receiving yards - the highest mark by a Louisville freshman since Mario Urrutia had 138 in 2005 and the fourth-highest tally by a freshman in school history. Sophomore receiver Seth Dawkins also tallied career highs with five receptions - extending his streak of catching at least three passes to six games - and 134 yards in the loss.

EXTRA POINTS

1. With 73 yards rushing last week, Jackson became only the sixth player in FBS history to run for 3,000 yards and pass for over 7,000 passing yards in a career.

2. Opposing quarterbacks have combined for an ACC-low 101.57 pass-efficiency rate against the Eagles (11th nationally), who have allowed four passing touchdowns and recorded eight interceptions.

3. The Cardinals have created a FBS-high 138 plays of at least 10 yards this season, 21 more than second-place Colorado State and nearly twice as many as the Eagles (72).

PREDICTION: Louisville 34, Boston College 20