Tuesday 9-12-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 352936

    Tuesday 9-12-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 352936

    #2
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

    Fort Erie - Race 7

    WPS, Exactor, Triactor, 20 Cent Superfecta, Late Daily Double


    Optional Claiming $12,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $18,600 • Post: 4:18P
    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE AUGUST 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JULY 12 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $12,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PURE PURITY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PURE PURITY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OUR GABRIEL LE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NO SOUP FOR YOU: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    2
    PURE PURITY
    5/2

    3/1
    7
    OUR GABRIELLE
    4/1

    4/1
    3
    NO SOUP FOR YOU
    10/1

    8/1
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 352936

      #3
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 1 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19500 Class Rating: 79

      FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO STATE BRED RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 5 LOVE YOU BABE 3/1

      # 4 FABULOUS DREAM 2/1

      # 6 DEBUTANT GIRL 5/2

      I've got to go with LOVE YOU BABE. The Equibase speed fig of 76 from her most recent contest looks competitive in here. Must be given consideration given the class of races run recently. This filly obviously likes the distance, going 4 / 22 in her races lately. FABULOUS DREAM - Boasts sound Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses. Had one of the most competitive Speed Figures of this group of horses in this race in her last race. DEBUTANT GIRL - Last time out, this filly was up against a rougher bunch. Has to be given consideration against this group of animals displaying competitive figs recently and an average speed figure of 74 under similar conditions.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 352936

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park

        Fairmount Park - Race 6

        $1.00 Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta ($1.00 Minimum Wager) / .10 Cent Superfecta


        Optional Claiming $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:20P
        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR IBF OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 12 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE IN 2017 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
        Contenders

        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line

        Accept
        Odds


        Race Type: Lone Front-runner. WILDWOOD DEJAVU is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * INFINITE MISCHIEF: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" d esignation or an "L" designation. WILDWOOD DEJAVU: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. B TWO SPECIAL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designat ion or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
        1
        INFINITE MISCHIEF
        2/1

        5/2
        5
        WILDWOOD DEJAVU
        5/2

        9/2
        2
        B TWO SPECIAL
        15/1

        5/1
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 352936

          #5
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

          Bar

          Louisiana Downs - Race #5 - Post: 5:03pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 88

          Rating: 4

          #7 TRUE FLAT (ML=8/1)
          #5 ZARB'S GIFT (ML=4/1)
          #3 TEE BROWN (ML=7/2)


          TRUE FLAT - Horse's last race was at Louisiana Downs in a race with an Equibase class figure of 95. Dropping a significant amount in Equibase class figure this time around puts him in a solid position in this race. In my opinion, you need 'class' to be successful on the turf. This one has the highest average class figure in the field. ZARB'S GIFT - This gelding is in nice form. Ended up third on August 23rd. Racing at a similar level as last race on August 23rd at Louisiana Downs. I think Foster has found a good spot for him, and I like his chances right here. Horse has improved at least 2 speed figure points in last two races. I look for that to continue to trend in a positive direction in this race. TEE BROWN - This racer ran out of the money at Evangeline Downs last race out on an off track. He should improve right here on a fast track. Green and Harris teamed up together are a handicapper's friend.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #4 QUIET CONCERT (ML=2/1), #1 FOUR LEAF CHIEF (ML=9/2), #2 FIRE LAKE (ML=6/1),

          QUIET CONCERT - This favorite hasn't visited the track in awhile. No drills since last race. This thoroughbred likes to hit the board, but doesn't usually get the job done. Forget the top spot. FOUR LEAF CHIEF - Doubtful that the speed fig he recorded on July 3rd will hold up in this clash.



          STRAIGHT WAGERS:
          Have to go with #7 TRUE FLAT on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds

          EXACTA WAGERS:
          Box [3,5,7]

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Box [3,5,7] Total Cost: $6

          SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
          None
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 352936

            #6
            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.

            Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6100 Class Rating: 49

            FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            The Walker Group Picks

            # 7 CACTUS LEAGUE 3/1

            # 2 ICAMEFROMBARRY 4/1

            # 6 RULICA 8/5

            CACTUS LEAGUE looks competitive to best this field. With a competitive 52 speed rating last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the strongest class figs of this group. He has garnered strong numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well against this group of horses in this race. ICAMEFROMBARRY - Has to be used in the exotic offerings. RULICA - The drastic drop in company can only help out this one this time out. Clouston and Paucar have won 25 percent of their races giving this horse a formidable chance.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 352936

              #7
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

              Bar

              Presque Isle Downs - Race #7 - Post: 7:55pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 74

              Rating: 4

              #1 SUPER CAUSEWAY (ML=2/1)


              SUPER CAUSEWAY - This pony coming off a solid try in the last month is a strong challenger in my opinion. This horse should be in tip-top shape, this far into his form cycle.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BLUE SKY'S ABOVE (ML=9/5), #4 WILD RIDER (ML=3/1), #7 WHISPER BARROW (ML=5/1),

              BLUE SKY'S ABOVE - Hasn't raced or had any morning drills since August 20th. Not much value on this probable favorite. WILD RIDER - Don't believe this vulnerable equine is worth 3/1 in this race. WHISPER BARROW - Run-of-the-mill speed figure in the last race at Presque Isle Downs at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this steed will improve too much in today's race.



              STRAIGHT WAGERS:
              Bet on #1 SUPER CAUSEWAY to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds

              EXACTA WAGERS:
              None

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              None
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 352936

                #8
                Arthur Ralph Sports

                TUES Colorado w/Gray + 120
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 352936

                  #9
                  JOE WIZ

                  Over 41 Jets and Raiders
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 352936

                    #10
                    BIG AL

                    Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, Sept. 12 is:

                    Cincy Reds and St. Louis Cardinals 'under' 8.5 runs.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 352936

                      #11
                      ERIC SCHROEDER

                      My free winner is on the San Francisco Giants over the struggling Los Angeles Dodgers. I don't care about the pitchers, so even though I'm going to make mention of both Clayton Kershaw and Johnny Cueto, I don't want you listing them.

                      Look, I know we're talking about the last-place Giants, and a Dodgers team that not too long ago was considered the best in baseball, this is also one of the best rivalries in baseball. And anything can happen.

                      I'm not sure if the Dodgers are going to shake this funk, or if we're headed toward an all-time collapse. But the fact remains this team came into this series after finishing an 0-7 homestand, and mired in a 10-game losing streak - its longest in 25 years - and it had lost 15 of 16.

                      One of those losses was Kershaw's last start - his second since coming off the disabled list - and he struggled against the Colorado Rockies. His team's plight is contagious, and he could struggle today.

                      Cueto is not a bad pitcher, and could be sparked by the challenge of opposing Los Angeles' ace.

                      The Dodgers opened a 10-game trip just nine games in front of the Arizona Diamondbacks in the National League West and four ahead of the Washington Nationals for the overall best record in the N.L.

                      The Giants would love nothing more than to add to Los Angeles' woes. I'll take the home dog.

                      5* SAN FRANCISCO
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 352936

                        #12
                        CHRIS JORDAN

                        My free winner is on the Over in the Cleveland Indians-Detroit Tigers game.

                        I would love to tell you to play the Indians on the Run Line in this game, but that number is sky high, given the Tribe is laying more than $4 to Detroit. So, we're playing the total for the second night in a row. Last night it was my premium play, tonight it is my comp winner.

                        The streaking Indians are going to force the Tigers into a high-scoring game, one I see tallying more than 10 runs once again.

                        MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. But with this game I am not concerned with who goes for either team tonight and want you playing this game on the Run Line regardless. That being said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by re-wagering the game if that takes place.

                        As Cleveland is looking for its 20th straight victory - including its last two meetings with the Tigers by a combined final of 22-1 - the balanced attack has been most impressive. During the Indians' 19-game spree, they've averaged 6.9 runs per game.

                        As I said, the line on this game is so big, that even the Run Line is untouchable. But it indicates the Indians could score plenty of runs, especially against a Tigers team that has gone over in seven of its last eight, and is riding a three-game skid after losing to the Blue Jays in Toronto on Sunday, 8-2, and then last night's series-opener, 11-0.

                        These two have gone over in 30 of the last 37 meetings in Cleveland, and in 40 of the last 57 battles. Play this one high.

                        1* OVER Indians-Tigers
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 352936

                          #13
                          JACK BRAYMAN

                          My free winner for Tuesday is on the Angels, as they welcome the Houston Astros to Anaheim. And with Justin Verlander toeing the slab for the 'Stros, the Halos are the home pup. But don't worry about the pitchers in this one, play it straight and take the plus-price.

                          Don't look now, but the Angels are in second place in the American League West, 13 back of these Astros. And while that may not be easy to overcome, make note the Halos are just one game back in the American League wild card race.

                          This is an important series for the Halos, who are 38-31 at home and should be rested after returning from Seattle following Sunday's 5-3 win and taking last night off.

                          Play the home pup here.

                          1* ANGELS
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 352936

                            #14
                            SCOTT RICKENBACH
                            MLB | Sep 12, 2017
                            Tigers vs. Indians
                            Tigers+378

                            Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Tuesday MLB Free Pick Detroit Tigers Money Line (+) @ Cleveland Indians @ 7:10 ET - Yes the Indians are on an amazing 19-game winning streak but they are 4 to 1 favorites here against a division rival who has a pitcher going on the mound that has given them some trouble. In fact, Tigers southpaw Matt Boyd has a solid 2.41 ERA in his 3 starts versus the Indians this season. Boyd has allowed the same amount of earned runs (5) COMBINED in his 3 starts versus the Tribe as Corey Kluber has (5 earned runs) in ONE start versus the Tigers earlier this season. Now, don't get me wrong, the Indians are as red hot as a team can get and Kluber is certainly in great current form but, the point is, if there was such a thing as a "slippery slope streak-buster game" this is it. One thing is for certain, under normal circumstances, this match-up would never be priced at 4 to 1 odds. This is insane big dog value being offered and, keep in mind, only one team in the modern era of baseball (say the past 80 years or so) has ever won 20 straight games. Oakland in 2002 won 20 straight and that is where their streak ended. I am forecasting Cleveland's streak to end at 19. Look for the huge upset in this one and consider making a small play on the Tigers on the money line. Free Pick on DETROIT TIGERS on the money line early Tuesday evening. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 352936

                              #15
                              DUSTIN HAWKINS

                              Free Play on Diamondbacks -124
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