Service Plays Saturday 9/16/17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #139. Take Northern Illinois +14 over Nebraska (12pm est)
3-Unit Play. #208. Take Over 71.5 California vs. Ole Miss (10:30pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence
Playbook data play
kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo
SATURDAY
3-Unit Play. Take #112 South Carolina (-6.5) over Kentucky (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
South Carolina is the only team in the country with two road wins over Power 5 teams. They took out North Carolina State in Charlotte and then went to Missouri and beat down the Tigers last week. Now USC returns home for their opener in a night game against another SEC East rival with a chance to go 2-0 in league play. Further, South Carolina has triple-revenge after losing to the Wildcats three years in a row. I don't see them losing to UK four years in a row. The Wildcats have not been impressive in either of their two games against lower-tier competition, while the Gamecocks have gotten it done in two tough spots. I think South Carolina makes a statement here that they are legit and gets a double-digit win.

1-Unit Play. Take #105 Massachusetts (+14.5) over Temple (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 16)
1-Unit Play. Take #116 Boston College (+13.5) over Notre Dame (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
2-Unit Play. Take #131 Oklahoma State (-13) over Pittsburgh (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 16)
2-Unit Play. Take #148 Louisville (+3) over Clemson (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
2-Unit Play. Take #149 Central Michigan (+10) over Syracuse (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
2-Unit Play. Take #153 Wisconsin (-16.5) over BYU (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
1-Unit Play. Take #155 Purdue (+7.5) over Missouri (4 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
3-Unit Play. Take #178 Alabama (-28.5) over Colorado State (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)

5-Unit Play. Take #185 Oregon (-14) over Wyoming (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
Either Oregon is for real or they aren't. We are going to find out. Because Wyoming is not for real. Not by a long shot. The word is out on Josh Allen, who is now one of the most overhyped players in the West. Allen is a really solid quarterback. But he is not a potential No. 1 overall pick in the NFL draft like some bobbleheads have proclaimed. Allen is adjusting to life without any of last year's weapons (leading rusher, three leading receivers, etc.) and so far it hasn't gone that well. Iowa trampled Wyoming by three touchdowns in the opener. I know that game was on the road. But Oregon certainly isn't worse than the Hawkeyes. And I think that Oregon is going to be able to exploit a defense that allowed 34 points per game last season and gave up 52 to Nebraska (in 2016). Oregon is a team on a mission this year. They scored 42 points in the first half against Nebraska before taking a horrible backdoor beat in a game they outgained the Huskers by over 200 yards. I don't think that Oregon will have a letdown in this game because, honestly, I think that they letdown in the second half of the Nebraska game and Willie Taggart is going to let them hear about it. I think the Ducks pour it on in this one against an inferior opponent. And while this game might be close for a half or even three quarters I don't think that the Cowboys have enough physical talent on defense to prevent that one trademark Oregon avalanche quarter in which the Ducks explode for 21 or 24 points. Allen will do what he can. But he won't be able to keep up in a shootout. I have this one at 48-28.

2-Unit Play. Take #191 Kansas State (-3.5) over Vanderbilt (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 50.0 Kansas State at Vanderbilt (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
I think that Kansas State is a legit sleeper team to make it to the Big 12 championship game. And if I believe that they I have to believe that they are good enough to go on the road and beat an inferior Vanderbilt squad. The Commodores are no pushovers. This is a very veteran team that has played really well at home under coach Derek Mason. They play a tough, physical brand of football and they won't get pushed around here. But I just think that K-State is better. And there is never a situation in which I regret backing Bill Snyder, one of the best coaches in college football history. Snyder's teams are always mentally tough so I don't worry about them as much on the road. They don't lay eggs. And if Vanderbilt wins this game, frankly, it will be because they got a little bit lucky and they just made a few more plays than the Wildcats. But I think that K-State is legit and I think that they have more talent. I have this game played in the 20's but the Wildcats find a way and win 27-20 in a grinder.
1-Unit Play. Take #201 Texas (+16) over USC (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
1-Unit Play. Take #206 Washington (-33) over Fresno State (9:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)

3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 56.0 Washington at Fresno State (9:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)
Tough task for Fresno. Last week they had to travel to Tuscaloosa and get bashed over the heads by Alabama. Now this week they have to travel up to Spokane to face the speed freaks for Washington. I feel for them. Jeff Tedford was a great hire and he will get the Bulldogs back on track in the Mountain West. But they are completely outmatched in this one.

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #209 Stanford (-2) over San Diego State (10:30 p.m.) AND Take #174 Washington State (-14) over Oregon State (5:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #153 Wisconsin (-9.5) over BYU (3:30 p.m.) AND Take #155 Purdue (+14.5) over Missouri (4 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 16)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Early College Football Perfect System Club Play!

Memphis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

42-23 ATS NCAA NON-CONF GAME OF THE WEEK
Northwestern

21-5 ATS NCAA TOP 25 POWER GAME OF THE MONTH
Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

newworldinsiders

NCAA INSIDER: Iowa OV 53.5

BIG 12 INSIDER: Pittsburgh +14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lawrence/Pref Picks:


"Underdog CFB GOM"


Louisville


This is his weekly top "advertised" play (Underdog, False Favorite, GOM, etc. marketing type picks)

He is off to a slow start this year and was awful last year in football so be careful but these types of top plays actually did pretty well and I will get them weekly.

[swaminator]

Hi CPAW. I had Preferred LTS direct LY. If it helps, here's how he did . with gratitude- Swami

MLwrnce col 3* 16-21-1 4* gom 5-4 4* goy 2-0 5* gom 3-0 10*goy 0-1
MLwrnce nfl 3* 11-15-1 4* gom 3-6 4* goy 1-1 10* goy 0-1 mnfb 1-1-1

Lawrence/Pref Picks:
"Underdog CFB GOM"Louisville
This is his weekly top "advertised" play (Underdog, False Favorite, GOM, etc. marketing type picks)
He is off to a slow start this year and was awful last year in football so be careful but these types of top plays actually did pretty well and I will get them weekly.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

2* Wyoming / Oregon over 59.5

2* Tulsa / Toledo over 67.5

1* Kansas st / Vanderbilt under 50

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fred faour

2* Smu + 19.5

3* South Carolina -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Point train

7* South Carolina


Maximum sports
Underdog GAME OF THE WEEK
5* Memphis +3

[golden contender]

GC: NCAAF Play

Saturday card has the 6* ACC 100% Power play and 4 more best bets including 100% dog and blowout system plays as well as big 5* total. Football ranks #1 overall over the last 3 years. NCAAF Comp play below.


The College football free play is on Pittsburgh at 12 noon eastern. The Panthers are taking nearly 2 touchdown here and we note they have covered 9 of 10 with non conference revenge which they have from last seasons close loss to Oklahoma St. They are 6-0 ats with revenge vs a team off a win and cover. The Cowboys have won and covered the first 2 games but may be looking ahead to a big one next week with TCU. Pittsburgh has covered 8 of 9 as a home dog of 12 or more. For our system we are playing against game 3 road favorites at -10 or more that won and covered the first 2 games as they have failed to cover 17 of 21 times long term. Look for the panthers to get the cover. On Saturday another massive card takes center stage led by the 100% Top 6* play in the ACC. The SEC Game of the month, a 5* total and a big dominator early side play. Football ranks #1 overall the last 3 years. Message to jump on. For the free play. Play the Pittsburgh Panthers plus the 13 points. GC

[Johnny Capone]

Hey fellas...trying to get the Open Order plays today 1 or 2 for the day from "The Lovely Michele" which is Brian Mac ( RIP) girl that worked with him for 15 yrs and Auggie his right hand man for a long time...no sh*" though they are 5-0 ytd on the Open Orders this year with them being dogs to where B Mac was always laying the wood in previous years??? If anyone gets them ALREADY please post, I just don't wanna buy obviously if someone already gets?? TIA!!! JC

[txlonghorn90]

CPAW - So glad to find you again. The "other guys" are doing their best to keep you hidden but that site is on life support since you left. Thanks for helping all of us degenerates out!

[bmd1803]

Stephen Nover's CFB Total of the Month
Sep 16 '17, 3:30 PM
Virginia Tech vs East Carolina

OVER 59 (-115)
East Carolina ranks 128th out of of 129 FBS teams in defense giving up an average of 616.5 yards in its two games. The Pirates just fired their defensive coordinator, Kenwick Thompson, after losing 56-20 to West Virginia last week. East Carolina surrendered 49 points in the first half so West Virginia called off the dogs in the second half. Virginia Tech smashed East Carolina, 54-17, at home last year. The 16th-ranked Hokies play at a fast tempo and freshman quarterback Josh Jackson is proving to be an excellent fit for their offense. Here's the thing about East Carolina. The Pirates also have a quick tempo offense. I expect the Pirates to contribute to going Over this total regardless if quarterback Thomas Sirk, who made his first start for the Pirates last week, plays or not due to a concussion he suffered last week. The Pirates figure to be throwing a lot here, which puts the pick-six for Virginia Tech very much in play. These teams shouldn't have a problem at least matching the combined 71 points scored in last year's game.


Stephen Nover's CFB Sides Play of the Week

Sep 16 '17, 6:00 PM
Tulane vs Oklahoma

Tulane +36 (-110)

Oklahoma certainly can be forgiven if it takes Tulane lightly. The Sooner, after all, are coming off a monster road win against Ohio State. Baker Mayfield is in serious Heisman Trophy contention after that game. But Tulane can cause some problems for the Sooners, enough to hang in and get this spread cover. The Green Wave should be improved after their young players took their lumps with a 4-8 record last year. The Green Wave have a decent pass rush and secondary. They also can chew up clock with their triple option running attack. This isn't an offense the Sooners are used to facing being in the wide-open, pass-crazy Big 12.


Sep 16 '17, 12:00 PM
Air Force vs Michigan

OVER 48.5 (-110)
The marketplace reacted way too violently betting this game down too low. This sets up a value play on the Over. Yes, Air Force is a running team and Michigan didn't play that well versus Cincinnati last week. But the Wolverines have a balanced offense and are capable of putting up plenty of points here especially if they cut back - as they will - on turnovers. The Falcons have just one starter back on defense from last season. Air Force piled up 457 yards on the ground in a 62-0 blanking of VMI two weeks ago. The Falcons were idle last week so they should be fresh. Michigan, like Air Force, only returns one defensive starter from last season.


Sep 16 '17, 12:00 PM
UL-Lafayette vs Texas A&M
OVER 59.5 (-110)

Texas A&M isn't taking its foot off the gas after blowing a 44-17 lead against UCLA and only beating Nicholls State, 24-14, last week. Make no mistake about it either, the Aggies have the firepower and are facing a horrendous defense that they have the capabiity of putting up 50 points themselves here. Louisiana-Lafayette is averaging 46.5 points in its two games, while surrendering an average of 57 points a game. The Ragin' Cajuns have a balanced attack, a bombs away quarterback in Jordan Davis and a dangerous kick return game.



Sep 16 '17, 4:00 PM
Purdue vs Missouri
Under 77 (-115)

Purdue is coming on offensively under Jeff Brohm and Missouri's defense remains a work-in-progress trying to get back to its form of two years when it finished 15th in the nation in total defense. But this total is too high. The Boilermakers aren't going against Lamar Jackson here. The Tigers should be fired-up defensively after getting rid if defensive coordinator DeMontie Cross. Missouri has a very good punter and a questionalbe field-goal kicker. So that's another plus for the under.


Sep 16 '17, 7:00 PM
Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky

OVER 61 (-115)


A little more than 10 months ago, these two teams were playing in the Conference USA title game. The total was lined at 78 1/2 and it flew Over with Western Kentucky winning, 58-44. That's a combined 102 points. Now, just into Week 3 of this season, oddsmakers are projecting these teams to barely reach more 60 points. It's a wrong calculation. Yes, Western Kentucky's offensive numbers are way down from last year. But much of that is skewed from last week's 30-7 road loss to Illinois. The Hilltoppers aren't playing a Big Ten opponent this week. They are much more in their element taking on fellow Conference USA rival, Louisiana Tech. Western Kentucky's Mike White is one of the top QB's in the conference. Look for a strong bounce back from the Hilltoppers offense facing a Bulldogs defense that ranks 120th in scoring defense allowing 40 1/2 points per game. Louisiana Tech has been strong offensively the past three years under Skip Holtz and that's the case again this season. The Bulldogs just reload on offense. They are a top-50 team in scoring averaging 35 1/2 points and should keep improving. These tems have met three times the last two years. The average point total from those three games is 96 points.


Sep 16 '17, 7:00 PM
Idaho vs Western Michigan

OVER 53.5 (-110)

I have to question Idaho's defense after the Vandals surrendered 44 points and 550 yards to UNLV at home last week. Idaho has forced just one turnover this season. Western Michigan is stepping way down in class after opening with road games against USC and Michigan State. P.J. Fleck didn't leave the cupboard bare for Tim Lester as the Broncos have great running back depth and all-MAC tight end Donnie Ernsberger. Idaho should be able to trade points with its star quarterback, Matt Linehan.