Thursday 8-31-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Thursday, August 31 is:

Baltimore Ravens and New Orleans Saints 'over' 37.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE WIZ

Over 43 Browns and Bears

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 1


Thursday, August 31

Ohio State @ Indiana

Game 133-134
August 31, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio State
109.910
Indiana
92.035
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 18
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 21
58
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+21); Over

Buffalo @ Minnesota

Game 135-136
August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
69.254
Minnesota
92.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 23
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 25
51
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+25); Under

LA-Monroe @ Memphis

Game 137-138
August 31, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
64.142
Memphis
95.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 31 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 25 1/2
69 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-25 1/2); Under

New Mexico St @ Arizona State

Game 139-140
August 31, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
59.324
Arizona State
88.256
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 29
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 23
71 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona State
(-23); Over

FIU @ Central Florida

Game 169-170
August 31, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
70.223
Central Florida
84.452
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 14
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 17 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(+17 1/2); Under

Tulsa @ Oklahoma State

Game 199-200
August 31, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
96.552
Oklahoma State
110.217
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 13 1/2
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 18
73 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(+18); Under

Presbyterian @ Wake Forest

Game 215-216
August 31, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Presbyterian
45.365
Wake Forest
88.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 43
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 40
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(-40); Under

Austin Peay @ Cincinnati

Game 217-218
August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Austin Peay
40.011
Cincinnati
80.410
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 40 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 34 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-34 1/2); Over

Tennessee St @ Georgia State

Game 219-220
August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee St
58.100
Georgia State
64.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia State
by 7
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 14 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee St
(+14 1/2); Over

Elon @ Toledo

Game 221-222
August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Elon
44.688
Toledo
80.787
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 36
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 39
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Elon
(+39); Under

Rhode Island @ Central Michigan

Game 223-224
August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rhode Island
49.593
Central Michigan
73.141
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 23 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 27
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Rhode Island
(+27); Over

Holy Cross @ Connecticut

Game 225-226
August 31, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Holy Cross
50.781
Connecticut
64.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 13 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 21
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Holy Cross
(+21); Under

North Dakota @ Utah

Game 227-228
August 31, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Dakota
71.780
Utah
99.276
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 27 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 19 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-19 1/2); Under

Florida A&M @ Arkansas

Game 229-230
August 31, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida A&M
41.537
Arkansas
93.139
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas
by 51 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas
by 48 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(-48 1/2); Over

Sacramento St @ Idaho

Game 231-232
August 31, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento St
49.963
Idaho
86.811
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho
by 37
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Idaho
by 24 1/2
67
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho
(-24 1/2); Over

Delaware St @ Delaware

Game 313-314
August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Delaware St
28.928
Delaware
59.742
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Delaware
by 31
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Delaware
by 34 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Delaware St
(+34 1/2); Under

Western Illinois @ Tennessee Tech

Game 315-316
August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Illinois
66.188
Tennessee Tech
66.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Illinois
Even
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee Tech
by 1 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Illinois
(+1 1/2); Over

Kennesaw St @ Samford

Game 317-318
August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kennesaw St
55.956
Samford
68.913
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Samford
by 13
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Samford
by 8 1/2
67
Dunkel Pick:
Samford
(-8 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ Mercer

Game 323-324
August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
31.171
Mercer
59.542
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mercer
by 25 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mercer
by 20
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mercer
(-20); Under

Eastern Illinois @ Indiana State

Game 327-328
August 31, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Illinois
64.383
Indiana State
60.329
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Illinois
by 4
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana State
by 1 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Illinois
(+1 1.2); Over

Maine @ New Hampshire

Game 331-332
August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maine
64.770
New Hampshire
63.605
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maine
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Hampshire
by 7 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Maine
(+7 1/2); Under

Duquesne @ South Dakota St

Game 333-334
August 31, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duquesne
58.637
South Dakota St
83.880
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota St
by 25
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Dakota St
by 22 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Dakota St
(-22 1/2); Under

McNeese St @ Nicholls St

Game 335-336
August 31, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
McNeese St
67.749
Nicholls St
57.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
McNeese St
by 10 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
McNeese St
by 3 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
McNeese St
(-3 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Thursday, August 31

Thursday's NCAAF Game of the Day: Ohio State at Indiana

Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana Hoosiers (+21, 57)

Ohio State goes into another season with high expectations and will be tested right out of the gate on the road, as the second-ranked Buckeyes visit Indiana on Thursday for an early Big Ten matchup. J.T. Barrett returns at quarterback for Ohio State with Heisman Trophy aspirations after completing 61.5 percent of his passes, throwing for 24 touchdowns and running for nine scores last season.

“His accuracy and just his energy level now are incredible,” Buckeyes coach Urban Meyer told reporters of Barrett. “He’s providing that energy for everybody. He’s always done that, but … he’s got complete ownership of everything going on in that offense.” Tom Allen, who begins his first full season as coach at Indiana, hopes to end Ohio State’s 22-game winning streak in the series on the way to leading the Hoosiers to their third straight Bowl appearance. Indiana has the benefit of a productive senior quarterback in Richard Lagow (3,362 passing yards in 2016) and an All-American caliber senior linebacker in Tegray Scales (33.5 career tackles for loss). The Hoosiers will have to contain a talented Buckeyes offense that will be led by first-year offensive coordinator Kevin Wilson, who was fired as Indiana’s coach in December after going 26-47 over six years in Bloomington.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: The Buckeyes opened as 20.5-point favorites and by Wednesday evening that number was bumped slightly to 21. The total hit the betting boards at 53 and has been bet way up to 57.

INJURY REPORT:

Ohio State - WR T. Grimes (Probable, Knee), RB M. Weber (Probable, Hamstring), TE M. Baugh (Probable, Toe), QB J. Burrow (Out Indefinitely, Hand), TE A. Alexander (Out For Season, Knee), DT M. Hill (Out Indefinitely, Suspension).

Indiana - WR S. Cobbs Jr. (Questionable, Possible Suspension), DB B. Fitzgerald (Out For Season, Eligibility), DL N. Sykes (Out For Season, Undisclosed).

WEATHER REPORT: Weather condition should be pretty good for football with cloudy skies and temperatures in the low-70's to upper-60's.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (2016: 11-2 SU, 6-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U): Barrett rushed for 100 yards three times while throwing just seven interceptions last year, but he will have to be even better with the departure of his top three receivers from 2016. Parris Campbell could step up to a key swing role on offense and the Buckeyes will depend a lot on sophomore running back Mike Weber (1,096 yards, nine TDs), who is expected to play after being slowed by a hamstring injury in the preseason. Three high draft picks from the secondary must be replaced on a defense that is led by lineman Tyquan Lewis (eight sacks last year) as Ohio State opens the season against a Big Ten team for the first time since 1975.

ABOUT INDIANA (2016: 6-7 SU, 6-7 ATS, 4-9 O/U): Allen will be looking for more efficiency from Lagow, who completed 57.8 percent of his passes in 2016 and had 19 touchdown tosses but also threw 17 interceptions - four in his last two games. The Hoosiers do not have a running back returning that gained at least 250 yards, although they have a talented receiving corps that is led by junior Nick Westbrook (54 catches, 995 yards, six TDs in 2016). The status of junior Simmie Cobbs, who missed most of last season with an injury after registering 1,035 yards on 60 catches in 2015, is uncertain for the opener after he was arrested last month.

TRENDS:

* Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
* Hoosiers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
* Over is 4-1 in Buckeyes last 5 games on fieldturf.
* Under is 7-3 in Hoosiers last 10 games overall.
* Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The road chalk Buckeyes are picking up 62 percent of the action from Covers users and the Over is picking up 67 percent of the totals wagers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF Week 1 opening line report: Several high-profile battles highlight opening weekend

There were a handful of lesser-lights college football games last weekend, but this week truly kicks off the season, with dozens of games, including a couple very high-profile matchups. We check in on the opening lines and early action for four of those games, with insights from Dave Mason, sportsbook brand manager for offshore shop BetOnline.ag.

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. No. 3 Florida State Seminoles (+7)

These perennially strong teams open the season Saturday with a neutral-site contest at the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, in prime time with an 8 p.m. ET kickoff.

Alabama has played in the last two national championship games, earning a split against Clemson in both cases. Last season, the Crimson Tide rolled up a 13-0 SU record in the regular season (9-4 ATS), then bounced Washington 24-7 as a 12.5-point favorite in the College Football Playoff semifinals. But it was a bitter end to the season, as ‘Bama gave up a last-second touchdown to lose the final to Clemson 35-31 giving 6.5 points.

Florida State had a bumpy first eight weeks of the 2016 season, going 5-3 SU (4-3 ATS), but the Seminoles didn’t lose the rest of the way, finishing 10-3 SU (8-4 ATS). Florida State capped the year with a thrilling 33-32 victory over Michigan in the Orange Bowl.

“This line is currently exactly where we opened – Alabama 7-point chalk,” Mason said, noting this game first went up on the board back in June. “Not too much movement one way or another. No surprise this game is getting more early action than any other. Action so far has been pretty even, with 52 percent of the early bettors backing ‘Bama.”

No. 16 Florida Gators vs. No. 9 Michigan Wolverines (-5)

It’s another big neutral-site non-conference game on opening weekend, with both these teams looking to make a big early splash in this 3:30 ET kickoff on Saturday at AT&T Stadium in Dallas.

Michigan got out of the gate 9-0 SU (5-4 ATS) in 2016, but lost three of its last four, including the aforementioned 33-32 Orange Bowl setback to Florida State to finish at 10-3 SU (6-7 ATS). Florida went 9-4 SU (5-7-1 ATS) in 2016, ending the regular season with a loss at Florida State, followed by a 54-16 blowout setback to Alabama in the SEC title game. But the Gators got it back together for the Outback Bowl, drubbing Iowa 30-3 as a 1.5-point favorite.

“This game is shaping up to be our biggest decision of the weekend,” Mason said, noting the line is now Michigan -3.5. “Sixty-nine percent of the early bettors are on the Wolverines. Michigan is taking on more bets than any other team on the betting board so far.”

Florida will be without star wideout Antonio Callaway, who was among seven Gators suspended for this game a couple of weeks ago.

Louisiana State Tigers vs. Brigham Young Cougars (+12)

This neutral-site game, set for 9:30 p.m. ET Saturday, took on more intrigue Monday when it was moved from Houston’s NRG Stadium to New Orleans’ Superdome, due to Hurricane Harvey. That forced BetOnline.ag to take it off the board for the moment to reassess.

LSU is coming off an 8-4 SU campaign (6-6 ATS) that included the firing of Les Miles, who was replaced by interim coach Ed Orgeron, who now heads up the program. The Tigers capped the season with a 29-9 victory over Louisville laying 3 points in the Citrus Bowl.

BYU won its last five games and eight of its last nine in 2016 to finish 9-4 SU and ATS. The Cougars edged Wyoming 24-21 giving 10 points in the Poinsettia Bowl.

“Some significant movement since opening LSU as 12-point favorites, with BYU currently getting 14.5,” Mason said, just before the game was taken down. “This one is getting very lopsided action from the public, with 81 percent on the Tigers minus the points.”

Texas A&M Aggies at UCLA Bruins (-3)

UCLA is coming off a dumpster-fire season in which it went 4-8 SU and ATS. The Bruins lost six of their last seven games, including the last two to Pac-12 rivals Southern California (36-14 at home getting 13 points) and California (36-10 laying 3 points on the road).

Texas A&M had a better 2016, but hit the skids after a stout 6-0 SU start (4-2 ATS), finishing the season 8-5 SU (4-9 ATS) and failing to cash in its final nine games. That included a 33-28 loss to Kansas State as a 4-point favorite in the Texas Bowl.

“After opening as a field-goal favorite, UCLA is currently - 3.5 (-118),” Mason said of action on this 7:30 p.m. ET Sunday night kickoff at the Rose Bowl. “About 57 percent of early bettors are on the Bruins so far.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF's biggest betting mismatches: Week 1

Each week, Monty Andrews breaks down some of the underlying betting mismatches on the college football slate, giving you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule and setting your daily fantasy lineup.

Florida State Seminoles vs Alabama Crimson Tide (-7, 49.5)

Seminoles' unimpressive TO margin vs. Crimson Tide's ball-hawking prowess

There is no bigger game on the opening-week calendar than Saturday's tilt between the No. 3 Seminoles and the top-ranked Crimson Tide at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. And while the game is expected to be a tightly-contested affair - at least, relative to the rest of Alabama's schedule - both teams have advantages they will look to exploit in the season opener. One of the biggest ones, based on last year's performances, could put Florida State in a bad position this weekend.

The Seminoles were merely ordinary at taking care of the football last season, averaging 1.7 turnovers for and 1.6 turnovers against for a net differential of +0.1 - good for 51st in Division I. Florida State was even worse at taking care of the football late in the campaign, recording a net turnover differential of -4 over its last three games of the season. And while those miscues didn't prevent the Seminoles from an Orange Bowl victory, the story could be much different against the relentless Crimson Tide.

Alabama's regular-season turnover differential was elite - at 1.9 turnovers forced and 1.3 turnovers allowed, the Crimson Tide's +0.6 differential ranked 19th nationwide - but it was down the stretch when the Crimson Tide really flexed their muscles. 'Bama was sensational at ball control over the final three games of last season, forcing eight turnovers while committing zero. And if the turnover battle skews that way on Saturday night, the Crimson Tide should cruise.

Florida Gators vs Michigan Wolverines (-3.5, 45)

Gators' road third-down woes vs. Wolverines' stout D

Oddsmakers are expecting a low-scoring defensive showdown at AT&T Stadium this weekend in college football's other marquee matchup between the 16th-ranked Gators and No. 9 Wolverines. Florida's offense is in flux - surprise, surprise - and with question marks at quarterback and on the offensive line, there's no telling how well the Gators will be able to move the ball. If last season is any indication, Florida's punter might see a lot of screen time Saturday.

The Gators have struggled to find consistency at quarterback since Tim Tebow became a pro; four different quarterbacks have at least 100 pass attempts in two years with Jim McElwain at the helm. Florida's offensive struggles last season were summarized in how poorly the team performed on third down, converting at a pedestrian 41.7-percent clip. That rate drops even lower if you only count road games, with Florida making good on just 33.6 percent of third downs away from Gainesville.

That won't play well at all against Michigan. The Wolverines are set to build upon last year's promising start to the season - and atone for last year's crushing loss to Florida State in the Orange Bowl. The Wolverines were the stingiest team in the nation last year when it came to third-down conversion, allowing opponents to make good at an absurd 21 percent clip.

LSU Tigers at BYU Cougars (+14.5, 47.5)

Tigers' red-zone struggles vs. Cougars' downfield dominance

Coming off a solid showing in SEC play and a decisive win over Louisville in the Citrus Bowl, LSU opens its 2017 campaign as more than a two-touchdown favorite over a BYU team that kicked off its season last weekend with a one-sided victory over Portland State. Yet, while the Cougars aren't expected to put up much of a fight, they do own a decided advantage in red-zone play based on last year's results - and that could keep things closer than fans and oddsmakers expect.

The Tigers were slightly below average last season when it came to converting trips inside the opposition's 20-yard line into touchdowns or field goals, scoring points on five out of every six visits in games against fellow FBS opponents. It was a slight decrease from the 84.8-percent conversion rate LSU posted a season earlier. The 13th-ranked Tigers averaged 27.8 points per game last season, and will need to be sharper in the red zone if they hope to finish among the leaders in that category.

Perhaps LSU can learn a thing or two from its weekend opponent. The Cougars were one of the best teams in the country last season at turning red-zone trips into digits on the scoreboard, converting at a 95.9-percent rate; only Florida State was better. That is nothing new for BYU, which converted at a 93.6-percent clip in 2015. The Cougars are also elite at preventing red-zone scores, limiting teams to a 73.5-percent success rate - the eighth-best mark in Division I.

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Virginia Tech Hokies (-4, 51.5)

Mountaineers' ordinary pass protection vs. Hokies' sack-happy home D

This hotly anticipated matchup features two teams ranked in the top 25 who haven't faced each other in 12 years - and much of the focus will be on new Mountaineers' quarterback Will Grier, who last played with the Florida Gators in 2015. Grier looked good in Gainesville, but he had better hope his offensive line is better than it was last year. The Hokies boasted one of the best defenses in the nation in 2016.

The Mountaineers were an average pass-protection unit last season, ranking 63rd out of 128 qualifying teams in sacks allowed per game (2.1) in games against other FBS foes. They were worse down the stretch, giving up eight sacks over their final three games of the season - and now have to deal with the loss of All-American center Tyler Orlosky to the NFL. Grier will need to work fast or risk winding up on his back more than a couple of times Sunday night.

The Hokies defense will be licking its chops after putting together one of the most dominant showings in the nation last season. With a secondary ranked in the top five in Division I coming into the season, the Hokies are in great position to make life miserable for Grier and the rest of the West Virginia passing game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

Free Pick Thursday NCAAF

Florida International (FIU) vs. UCF, 08/31/2017 18:00 EDT

Point Spread: +17/-107 Florida International (FIU)

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick NCAAF Thursday: Florida International Golden Panthers (+) @ Central Florida Knights @ 6 ET - The Golden Panthers were thoroughly embarrassed at home by the Knights last season. Not only do they have revenge on their minds, they also return most of their starters and lettermen from last year's team. Florida International's players remember the embarrassment of that game and they also have some added "pep in their step" with a new head coach, Butch Davis, who certainly was a win for this program. Bringing in a long-term winner who had some big seasons at the University of Miami certainly was a big add for FIU. While they are not at the talent level of Central Florida, I expect the revenge angle and some extra hunger and rejuvenation with coach Davis on the sidelines to lead to the Panthers keeping this one closer than many expect. Yes UCF went from a winless season to a bowl trip last season in the first year under head coach Scott Frost. However, they also could get caught looking ahead to their conference opener on deck for next week. While the Knights have an American Athletic Conference opener on deck for a week from Saturday, the Golden Panthers only have Alcorn State on deck. Look for FIU to go hard here as they seek revenge and the points are big enough to make the Panthers worth a look in this spot. FIU is on a long-term run of 9-4-1 ATS as a road dog and also has gone 4-1 (80%) as a road dog in a range of 14.5 to 17 points. Central Florida is 0-3 SU and ATS in their last 3 Thursday games! Free Pick on FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL early Thursday evening. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Brunson

Thursday free play is Baltimore at home against the heartless Toronto Blue Jays.

The Orioles are very much alive in the jammed-up American League Wild Card race, as they just completed a 3-game sweep at home over the Seattle Mariners to extend their winning streak to 7 in a row.

The Blue Jays laid down like they have done all season long, dropping all 3 at home to the Red Sox, as Toronto is now 1-6 overall their last 7 games played.

Baltimore has won 4 of the 5 season series meetings played at Camden Yards, and they will send Jeremy Hellickson to the mound to look to continue their winning ways against Toronto's Marco Estrada.

The O's have won Hellickson's last pair of starts, and they have backed him in those starts with a total of 25 runs plated. The Jays conversely have lost 2 of Estrada's last 3 starts, with 21 runs plated against in those 3.

Toronto has not shown the heart needed to at least try and play spoiler, so expect Baltimore to notch another on their quest for a Wild Card ticket.

4* BALTIMORE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, August 31

National League
Mets @ Reds
deGrom is 2-4, 3.92 in his last six starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten starts. New York is 9-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-9-1

Stephenson is 2-0, 2.76 in his last three starts (under 3-2). Reds split his two home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-1-1

Mets are 5-12 in their last 17 games; four of their last five games went over. Cincinnati lost six of last nine games; under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Phillies @ Marlins
Lively is 0-4, 6.49 in his last five starts (under 6-2-1). Phillies are 1-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-8-1

Despaigne is 0-1, 7.59 in two starts this season (over 1-1). Miami won his only home start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-1-1

Phillies are 2-5 in last seven road games (over 5-2)- they’re 8-14 in road series openers. Marlins lost their last three games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Miami is 7-14 in home series openers.

Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Maeda is 6-1, 2.84 in his last eight starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. He is 0-0, 5.00 in two starts against Arizona this season. Dodgers are 6-5 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 14-5-2

Greinke is 2-2, 4.13 in his last four starts (under 4-0). He is 0-2, 6.17 against the Dodgers this season. LA is 15-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-6-4

Dodgers lost four in row for first time this year; five of their last seven games stayed under. Arizona won eight of last nine games; their last three games went over.

Braves @ Cubs
Newcomb is 1-2, 4.44 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Atlanta is 2-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-10

Hendricks is 1-0, 2.19 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Cubs are 5-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-3

Atlanta is 5-3 in its last eight road games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 road games. Braves are 12-7 in last 19 road series openers. Cubs won four of last five games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Chicago is 10-12 in home series openers.

Nationals @ Brewers
Gonzalez is 5-0, 1.05 in his last five starts; under is 7-4 in his last 11 starts. Washington is 9-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-5-5

Davies is 2-1, 1.37 in his last three starts; under is 7-0-1 in his last eight. Milwaukee is 7-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-8-5

Washington won its last four games; five of their last six games went over. Nationals are 14-9 in home series openers. Milwaukee won five of their last six home games; eight of their last ten games stayed under. Brewers are 12-10 in home series openers.

Cardinals @ Giants
Wacha is 0-3, 10.22 in his last three starts; over is 4-0 in his last four. St Louis is 4-6 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 10-10-4

Bumgarner is 2-1, 2.77 in his last four starts; under is 4-2 in his last six starts. Giants are 2-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-7-3

Cardinals lost four of last six games; over is 4-1 in their last five. St Louis is 9-12 in road series openers. Giants lost five of their last six games; eight of their last ten games overall stayed under. SF is 7-14 in home series openers.

——————————–

American League
White Sox @ Twins
Gonzalez is 2-0, 1.29 in his last four starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Chicago is 4-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-2

Colon is 4-1, 3.21 in his last five starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Minnesota split his four home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-3

White Sox lost three of last four games; six of their last eight games stayed under. Minnesota won its last six home games; under is 5-3 in their last eight games overall.

Boston @ New York
Rodriguez is 0-1, 6.23 in his last three starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight. Boston lost his last four road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-9

Sabathia is 1-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; under is 13-2 in his last 15 starts. New York is 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-10-1

Red Sox won five of last six road games; four of their last five games stayed under. Boston is 10-12 in road series openers. New York lost its last three games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 home games. NY is 13-8 in home series openers.

Blue Jays @ Orioles
Estrada is 1-1, 6.61 in his last three starts (over 3-0). Toronto lost four of his last five road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-15-3

Hellickson is 1-2, 7.54 in his last four starts, last three of which went over. Baltimore is 2-0 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-2-1

Toronto lost nine of last 11 games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Blue Jays lost their last five road series openers. Orioles won eight of last nine games; seven of their last 11 games stayed under. Baltimore is 15-7 in home series openers.

Rangers vs Astros (@ St Petersburg)
Hamels is 4-1, 3.51 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Texas is 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-1-2

McHugh is 2-0, 0.75 in his last two starts; his last six starts stayed under. Houston is 2-3 in his starts away from home— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-3-1

This is series is in the Trop where the Rays normally play. Rangers lost four of last seven games (over 6-1). Houston lost three of last four games; over is 4-0 in their last four games.

__________________________

Interleague



______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
NY-Cin: deGrom 16-10; Stephenson 3-2
LA-Az: Maeda 15-6; Greinke 18-8
Phil-Mia: Lively 2-7; Despaigne 1-1
Atl-Chi: Newcomb 4-10; Hendricks 15-12

American League
Chi-Minn: Gonzalez 9-12; Colon 4-4
Bos-NY: Rodriguez 10-8; Sabathia 14-7
Tor-Balt: Estrada 12-15; Hellickson 3-2
Tex-Hst: Hamels 10-7; McHugh 3-4

Interleague

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
NY-Cin: deGrom 8-26; Stephenson 1-5
LA-Az: Maeda 7-21; Greinke 3-26
Phil-Mia: Lively 3-9; Despaigne 1-2
Atl-Chi: Newcomb 3-14; Hendricks 7-27

American League
Chi-Minn: Gonzalez 6-21; Colon 1-8
Bos-NY: Rodriguez 4-18; Sabathia 5-21
Tor-Balt: Estrada 9-27; Hellickson 1-5
Tex-Hst: Hamels 7-17; McHugh 1-7

Interleague

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 76-55 AL, favorites +$103
AL @ NL– 71-65 NL, favorites +$164
Total: 141-126 AL, favorites +$267

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 65-65-3
AL @ NL: Over 71-59-7
Total: Over 136-124-10

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/30/17
Ariz 25-26-16……36-21–11……..61-47
Atl 25-31-9……23-35-7………..48-66
Cubs 30-30-7…….31-21-13………61-51
Reds 21-37-7……..25-36–7……….46-73
Colo 34-27-6…….35-26-4………..69-53
LA 30-21-12…….41-20-7……….71-41
Miami 28-32-8…….33-22-9………61-54
Milw 33-24-9…….32-27-8……….64-51
Mets 31-31-3……..25-36-6……….56-67
Philly 15-38-14……26-31-8……….41-69
Pitt 30-32-6…….26-28-11………57-60
St. Louis 26-29-8……35-24-9…………61-53
SD 20-39-8……..32-26–8……….52-65
SF 14-45-9……..27-28-11……….41-73
Wash 39-20-6……32-27-8………….71-47

Orioles 27-33-5……..30-31-6………57-64
Boston 29-29-10………30-33-2…….59-62
White Sox 21-37-9………24-36–4……..45-72
Cleveland 37-23-7……..31-24-8………68-47
Detroit 26-34-9…….27-29-8……..53-63
Astros 32-25-9……..40-24-4……..72-49
KC 24-30-9……..27-28-12…….51-58
Angels 25-31-8………29-27-13……..54-58
Twins 37-19-10………30-31-7……..66-49
NYY 28-36-6……….33-26-4…..…61-62
A’s 24-34-7……..28-30-11……..52-64
Seattle 26-35-9……..34-22-9………60-57
TB 34-24-10……..36-21-8……..70-45
Texas 32-24-11……..32-24-8……..64-48
Toronto 24-36-4……..27-31-10……..51-67

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/30/17)
Ariz 20-65……..24-66………..44
Atl 15-64……….18-66……….33
Cubs 18-67……..24-65………..42
Reds 24-65……..26-68………50
Colo 17-67……..24-65..……..41
LA 18-63……..24-67..……..42
Miami 29-68……..23-64………52
Milw 22-66……25-68…..…..47
Mets 29-65……..22-67……….51
Philly 16-67……..20-66……….36
Pitt 20-68……..21-66……….41
StL 14-64……..21-67………..35
SD 23-67……….20-65……….43
SF 15-69……….20-66……….35
Wash 25-65……..26-67……….51

Orioles 15-66……..21-68……….36
Boston 20-68……..14-65……….34
White Sox 21-67……16-64………..37
Clev 18-67……..21-65……….39
Detroit 16-68…….26-64………42
Astros 19-66……..26-67……….45
KC 16-64……..13-69……….29
Angels 23-66……..20-70……….43
Twins 15-64……..16-67……….31
NYY 16-69……..17-63……….33
A’s 15-65……..26-69………41
Seattle 21-70…….22-66………43
TB 20-68……..23-67……….43
Texas 25-68……..27-64………52
Toronto 22-64……..19-71………41

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, August 31

Trend Report

12:35 PM
NY METS vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
NY Mets are 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home

1:10 PM
TEXAS vs. HOUSTON
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games at home
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
Chi White Sox are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

3:40 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
LA Dodgers are 16-8 SU in their last 24 games
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
Arizona is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Arizona is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers

7:05 PM
TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

8:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. CHI CUBS
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

8:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home

10:15 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 11 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 10 games
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, August 31


Texas @ Houston

Game 969-970
August 31, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Mrtinez) 14.566
Houston
(McHugh) 15.790
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-150); Over

Toronto @ Baltimore

Game 967-968
August 31, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Estrada) 13.131
Baltimore
(Hllckson) 17.427
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 4 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-135
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-135); Under

Boston @ NY Yankees

Game 965-966
August 31, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Rdriguez) 15.404
NY Yankees
(Sabathia) 16.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-120); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota

Game 963-964
August 31, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Gnzalez) 14.233
Minnesota
(Colon) 17.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-155
10
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-155); Under

St. Louis @ San Francisco

Game 961-962
August 31, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wacha) 15.391
San Francisco
(Bmgrner) 13.040
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+100); Over

Washington @ Milwaukee

Game 959-960
August 31, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Gnzalez) 16.882
Milwaukee
(Davies) 14.384
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-105); Under

Atlanta @ Chicago Cubs

Game 957-958
August 31, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Newcomb) 15.502
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 18.032
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-220
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-220); N/A

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 955-956
August 31, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Lively) 13.160
Miami
(Despaigne) 14.648
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-165
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-165); Over

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 953-954
August 31, 2017 @ 3:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Maeda) 14.634
Arizona
(Greinke) 15.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-105); Under

NY Mets @ Cincinnati

Game 951-952
August 31, 2017 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(deGrom) 13.897
Cincinnati
(Stphnson) 14.608
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+110); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 31

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (58 - 74) at CINCINNATI (56 - 77) - 12:35 PM
JACOB DEGROM (R) vs. ROBERT STEPHENSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 58-74 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 12-26 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 46-54 (-15.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 24-31 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CINCINNATI is 48-51 (+4.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 110-88 (+36.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
NY METS are 23-14 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 220-169 (+40.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 402-369 (-85.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
DEGROM is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ROBERT STEPHENSON vs. NY METS since 1997
STEPHENSON is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (91 - 40) at ARIZONA (75 - 58) - 3:40 PM
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 18-30 (-13.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 118-115 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 29-36 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 75-58 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 36-20 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 18-9 (+9.1 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ARIZONA is 44-23 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 26-10 (+15.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 12-5 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
ARIZONA is 30-23 (+7.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 57-44 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 44-30 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
GREINKE is 34-18 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 13-2 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 67-26 (+34.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 91-40 (+29.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 62-28 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 7-8 (+0.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.3 Units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MAEDA is 3-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.162.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-4.9 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GREINKE is 3-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.491.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (49 - 83) at MIAMI (66 - 66) - 7:10 PM
BEN LIVELY (R) vs. ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-83 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-33 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-46 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-57 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-64 (-27.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-55 (-21.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MIAMI is 66-66 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 17-11 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
MIAMI is 54-51 (+6.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 34-31 (+7.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MIAMI is 41-34 (+7.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 24-11 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-5 (+0.7 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.3 Units)

BEN LIVELY vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (59 - 72) at CHICAGO CUBS (72 - 60) - 8:05 PM
SEAN NEWCOMB (L) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 127-165 (+2.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-27 (+17.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 67-79 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 47-51 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 54-57 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 61-82 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 72-60 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 893-815 (-160.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 276-323 (-67.5 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 36-35 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 2-7 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 820-771 (-159.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

SEAN NEWCOMB vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
NEWCOMB is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 2.064.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HENDRICKS is 0-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.218.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (81 - 51) at MILWAUKEE (69 - 64) - 8:10 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. ZACH DAVIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 69-64 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 44-40 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 44-32 (+22.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-32 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-19 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 33-33 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIES is 17-10 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 10-2 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 23-12 (+11.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
WASHINGTON is 41-24 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 56-25 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-19 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 27-13 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
MILWAUKEE is 77-100 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.408.
His team's record is 5-3 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-4.7 units)

ZACH DAVIES vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
DAVIES is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.241.
His team's record is 3-0 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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ST LOUIS (66 - 66) at SAN FRANCISCO (53 - 82) - 10:15 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 66-66 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 77-68 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 56-45 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 442-400 (+51.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 53-82 (-33.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-29 (-15.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 35-53 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-57 (-26.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BUMGARNER is 3-10 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUMGARNER is 2-8 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 (+1.6 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
WACHA is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BUMGARNER is 4-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.082.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+4.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (52 - 79) at MINNESOTA (69 - 63) - 1:10 PM
MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-41 (-17.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 69-63 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 19-10 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
MINNESOTA is 50-44 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 63-86 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 94-125 (-51.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 24-43 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-19 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 11-7 (+2.1 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.5 Units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.382.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
COLON is 11-8 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 12-11 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-10. (+0.9 units)

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BOSTON (76 - 57) at NY YANKEES (70 - 62) - 7:05 PM
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 56-54 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-20 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-36 (-8.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
RODRIGUEZ is 5-12 (-8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 41-22 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SABATHIA is 14-7 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 10-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 22-11 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 8-1 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 70-62 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 8-7 (+3.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.4 Units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 4-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 1.157.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.7 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. BOSTON since 1997
SABATHIA is 16-15 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.350.
His team's record is 19-21 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 24-14. (+8.6 units)

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TORONTO (61 - 72) at BALTIMORE (68 - 65) - 7:05 PM
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 61-72 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 23-34 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 34-48 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 22-37 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 67-65 (+0.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-17 (+14.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 41-26 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 29-22 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 48-44 (+3.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 109-97 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 38-29 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 64-31 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HELLICKSON is 30-27 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HELLICKSON is 7-2 (+7.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 9-3 (+7.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.0 Units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ESTRADA is 5-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.058.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.7 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
HELLICKSON is 5-5 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.289.
His team's record is 6-10 (-5.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-10. (-6.5 units)

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TEXAS (66 - 66) at HOUSTON (79 - 53) - 1:10 PM
NICK MARTINEZ (R) vs. COLLIN MCHUGH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 62-32 (+17.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MCHUGH is 15-3 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MCHUGH is 18-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MCHUGH is 15-2 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 66-66 (+2.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 80-61 (+30.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 73-77 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 50-42 (+21.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 52-31 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 28-17 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 72-56 (+19.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 122-102 (+20.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 90-70 (+18.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 28-22 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 13-5 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 80-69 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-17 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
HOUSTON is 9-21 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 7-8 (+1.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

NICK MARTINEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MARTINEZ is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.260.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.3 units)

COLLIN MCHUGH vs. TEXAS since 1997
MCHUGH is 4-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.687.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.1 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 10

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 10
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 10
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 10
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 10
-- The 'over' went 2-1-1 in Week 9

Analysis

Favorites went 3-1 both straight up and against the spread in Week 10 and the 'chalk' is now 7-1 both SU and ATS over the last two weeks. In the three non-divisional games, the West posted a 2-1 record over the East.

The scoreboard operator was working hard this week as the 'over' went 2-1-1 in Week 10 with five of eight teams scoring 30-plus points, and Saskatchewan lit it up with 54 points.

Team Betting Notes

-- Calgary (7-1-1) took over first place of the West Division on Saturday as it stifled Toronto 23-7 as a 10-point home favorite, improving to 4-0 at home this season. The Stampeders have won and covered five straight games and four of those decisions came by double digits. They've only allowed 169 points this season and that's the best scoring defense in the league.

-- Winnipeg (7-2) extended its winning streak to five games in Week 10 with a 34-31 road win over Montreal. The team is 4-1 ATS during this span and 7-2 overall versus the number, which is the best mark in the CFL. Including last week's win, the Blue Bombers are 3-1 this season with games decided by three points or less. The 'over' is 7-1.

-- After winning its first seven games of the season, Edmonton (7-2) suffered its second straight setback in Week 10 and the defense has contributed to the defeats. The unit was helpless in a 54-31 loss at Saskatchewan on Friday and helped the 'over' stay hot with a 5-1 run in the last six contests. This was the first home loss of the season for Edmonton.

-- British Columbia (5-5) is another team struggling in the West Divison, losers in three straight and four of their last five games. On Saturday, the club dropped a 31-24 road decision at Ottawa. The offense has been held to 49 points over the last three losses after averaging 31.4 points per game in their first seven games. The 'under' is on a 3-0-1 streak.

-- The week off helped Saskatchewan (4-4), who put up a season-high 54 points in its victory over Edmonton. The Roughriders cashed as road underdogs (+5.5) over the Lions and that victory was the first away win of the season for them. The club is 5-3 ATS overall.

-- Ottawa (3-6-1) showed some first for the second straight week as it defeated BC 31-24 as a short home favorite (-1). Despite putting up more than 30 points for the second straight week, total bettors saw the outcome push once again as it landed on the closing number of 55.

-- Defense continues to be a major issue for Montreal (3-6) lately and it showed on Thursday as the Alouettes lost a 34-31 home decision to Winnipeg. The team has allowed over 30 points in three of its last four games, which has led to a 1-3 record. Despite the loss, they only trail Toronto by one game in the East Division.

-- The Argonauts (4-6) haven't won back-to-back games all season and that trend continued on Saturday as the team was trounced 23-7 at Calgary. The Argos have gone 1-4 on the road this season and the 'under' is 3-2 in those games.

-- Hamilton (0-8) didn't win or lose in Week 10 as the club was on bye. The T-Cats will be returning on Sept. 4 versus Toronto.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 11

Thursday, August 31

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OTTAWA (3 - 6 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 6) - 8/31/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 11

Trend Report

Thursday, August 31

7:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games ,
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa