Tuesday 8-29-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358186

    Tuesday 8-29-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358186

    #2
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10440 Class Rating: 52

    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,500, IF FOR $4,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 3 THE OTHER BOLEYN 4/5

    # 4 I WANT S'MORES 3/1

    # 2 BRIDIE 4/1

    THE OTHER BOLEYN looks formidable to best this field. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last race. Looks to have a respectable class edge based on the most recent company kept. Earning some good money in dirt route races. BRIDIE - Reason to like this filly as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. This horse has to be in good condition coming back to race so soon.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358186

      #3
      Handicapped by Valuline at Finger Lakes

      Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
      Finger Lakes, Race 4 (Tuesday August 29, 2017)

      CHIEF ASSIGNMENT
      (For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

      FL-4 5.5f DIRT Five Horses
      "A" CLM 5,000 3YUP $9,000
      P# dd ex t s ML WP TVL

      5 CHIEF ASSIGNMENT 7/5 45% 6/5 Strong Favorite icon
      2 UNCOMMON GROUNDS 2/1 25% 3/1
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358186

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park

        Fairmount Park - Race 6

        $1.00 Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta ($1.00 Minimum Wager) / .10 Cent Superfecta


        Claiming $3,200 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 3:20P
        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 29, 2017. , 116 LBS.; , 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 29 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE APRIL 29 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.
        Contenders

        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line

        Accept
        Odds


        Race Type: Lone Front-runner. DEZIP is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DEZIP: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MAN OF QUALITY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. U S FREQUENTFLYER: Horse ha s run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TITIUS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FORAFEWDOLLARSMORE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
        2
        DEZIP
        8/1

        5/1
        6
        MAN OF QUALITY
        3/1

        6/1
        7
        U S FREQUENTFLYER
        5/2

        7/1
        5
        TITIUS
        10/1

        8/1
        4
        FORAFEWDOLLARSMORE
        7/2

        9/1
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358186

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

          Indiana Downs - Race 5

          Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)


          Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 49 • Purse: $34,000 • Post: 3:57P
          FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS SIRED BY REGISTERED INDIANA STALLIONS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS.
          Contenders

          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line

          Accept
          Odds


          Race Type: Lone Stalker. DIAMOND LILLIAN is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * WELL KNOWN FACT: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating . Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MOUNTAIN BROOKE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
          4
          WELL KNOWN FACT
          5/2

          8/5
          9
          MOUNTAIN BROOKE
          30/1

          7/1
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358186

            #6
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            Bar

            Louisiana Downs - Race #6 - Post: 5:30pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,500 Class Rating: 69

            Rating: 4

            #3 ZAR'S STAR (ML=2/1)


            ZAR'S STAR - My expertise says this is the sole stalker in the race. Munna drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more knowledge to believe this one will be one to beat at this level. Earnings per race is something that I believe can be a key handicapping factor. This mount is ranked at the very top in this group.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CANADIAN MAXIMUS (ML=5/2), #8 LOVE YOU TOO BABY (ML=9/2), #2 YES IM TRICKY (ML=6/1),

            CANADIAN MAXIMUS - This equine doesn't have a winning state of mind. Regularly finishes in the place or show spot. Thoroughbred ran a great speed figure last time out, but that was in the mud. LOVE YOU TOO BABY - You think this horse is going to finish first just because he's always close. Just doesn't finish on top frequently. YES IM TRICKY - The speed rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced equine.



            STRAIGHT WAGERS:
            Have to go with #3 ZAR'S STAR on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

            EXACTA WAGERS:
            3 with [2,6]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            None

            SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
            Pass
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358186

              #7
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.

              Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 72

              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 29, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              The Walker Group Picks

              # 7 ARBITER 9/5

              # 4 BLACKEYE WYNN 10/1

              # 2 BEAR TRACKS 2/1

              ARBITER should be supported as the bet in here. The speed fig of 72 from his latest contest looks very good in here. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group of horses in this race lately. Could best this group here, showing very strong numbers of late. BLACKEYE WYNN - Garnered a strong speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Is a very strong contender based on figures garnered lately under today's conditions. BEAR TRACKS - Has very good front speed and will most likely fare admirably versus this field.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358186

                #8
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                Bar

                Presque Isle Downs - Race #6 - Post: 7:30pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 80

                Rating: 4

                #2 HIGH MULTIPLE (ML=6/1)
                #5 WILLY SMILE (ML=7/2)


                HIGH MULTIPLE - He'll most likely come from deep to circle the field and should be in great shape to win this race. Morales comes to get aboard after getting to know the gelding in the last event. This gelding is in good condition. Finished second on August 8th. The 81 latest race speed rating looks strong in the TrackMaster PPs. Although I sometimes have doubts about a pony who was beaten as the public choice in his last race, this gelding got a solid speed figure and fits well here. WILLY SMILE - This jockey/handler duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +102.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CULLASAJA DRIVE (ML=2/1), #6 CONQUEST GIROBALL (ML=3/1), #3 DOUBLE ONTHE ROCKS (ML=4/1),

                CULLASAJA DRIVE - When checking today's class rating, he will have to register a better speed fig than last out to compete in this dirt route. CONQUEST GIROBALL - In the last race this racer finished sixth. Doesn't show much potential for his chances this time. DOUBLE ONTHE ROCKS - On a downward moving cycle. Speed figs keep decreasing.



                STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                Bet on #2 HIGH MULTIPLE to win if we can get at least 8/5 odds

                EXACTA WAGERS:
                Box [2,5]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                Pass
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358186

                  #9
                  TENNIS INSIDERS
                  Tennis | Aug 29, 2017
                  Leonardo Mayer vs. Richard Gasquet
                  Leonardo Mayer+299

                  Richard Gasquet has been carrying injuries since Roland Garros, and he's just 2-3 since Wimbledon, struggling to find his fitness & form. Leonardo Mayer is brimming with confidence, having won an ATP 500 title on the clay in Hamburg back in July, and was fortunate to enter the main draw here as a lucky loser. He certainly has the weapons to hurt Gasquet, and while he can struggle mentally he's no doubt going to get chances to win this match, leaving huge value in the moneyline. Gasquet has struggled with stanima & fatigue his entire career, and if this one goes the distance Mayer will hold the fitness advantage. Take to underdog to record the "upset" on Tuesday morning
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358186

                    #10
                    CAPPERS CLUB

                    Twins -1.5

                    This play just missed out on our premium card. The Minnesota Twins and the Chicago White Sox face off on Tuesday night, and with the Twins rolling coming into this game, they should win this game big.
                    On the mound for the Twins is Ervin Santana who was really good in his last start against the White Sox. He went seven innings and gave up three hits and one earned run.
                    He is facing a White Sox offense that has issues scoring runs and I think that will be the case in this game again.
                    The Twins bats are hot and that will continue in this game. I think they will get to James Shield early and often and cruise to a victory.
                    Back the Twins.
                    5* Cappers Club FREE Play on Twins -1.5
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358186

                      #11
                      SCOTT SPREITZER

                      Diamondbacks+113

                      I'm backing the Arizona Diamonbacks on Tuesday with Zack Godley over Rich Hill. Arizona has absolutely clobbered left-handed starters at home this season, posting an 11-3 record, while averaging 6.56 rpg. Rich Hill is 0-2 in his last three starts against the D-backs, including a very ugly performance at Chase Field a season ago. While there was some debate over whether or not Hill should have taken the mound in the 10th inning last time out, there is no debate that in all likelihood, at least 50 of his 99 pitches were highly stressful as he flirted with both a perfect game and a no-hitter. Arizona is back on track, winning four straight games and we expect the offense to give Godley enough support to win this game. Godley has nice numbers against the Dodgers and he has allowed just 51 base runners in 50 1/3 IP at home this season, along with a .174 BAA. We also note he has 40 strikeouts in his last 35 1/3 IP. Godley's numbers at night are phenomenal this season and we expect more of the same in this one. Besides the 4-0 overall run and the 11-3 mark at home against southpaws, the D-backs are also on a 4-0 run against lefties and they're 5-1 in Godley's last six against teams with a winning record. I'm backing the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358186

                        #12
                        BIG AL

                        Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, August 29 is:

                        Cincy Reds (Romano) over NY Mets (Flaxen).
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358186

                          #13
                          CAPPERS ACCESS
                          Royals
                          Dodgers
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358186

                            #14
                            Jesse Schule

                            The Iceman's Free Pick

                            LA Dodgers vs. Arizona, 08/29/2017 21:40 EDT

                            Point Spread: +1½/-148 Arizona

                            Sportsbook:
                            PinnacleSports

                            Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Free Pick August 29, 2017.

                            The Dodgers are coming off back to back home losses, and they only managed to score a pair of runs in those games. They play Game 1 of a new series at Arizona on Tuesday, and we could see a pitcher's duel in the desert.

                            Rich Hill will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and he's coming off a near no-hitter. He took a perfect game into the ninth inning, then lost the no-hitter in the 10th when the Pirates hit a walk-off home run. Hill has pitched well against Arizona this season, but is 0-1 with a 2.70 ERA in two starts.

                            The D'Backs hand the ball to Zack Godley, who is coming off three straight losses. He hasn't pitched that bad, allowing eight earned runs over 16 innings in those games. He also struck out 23 batters, but his team managed to give him a total of just seven runs in his last three starts. Godley's last win came against the Dodgers, allowing three runs on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 6-3 home win.

                            Arizona is 5-1 in Godley's last six home starts versus teams with a winning record.

                            Take ARI +1.5.

                            GL,

                            Jesse Schule
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358186

                              #15
                              Brian Bitler

                              Brian's 9* MLB Total Lock

                              San Francisco vs. San Diego, 08/29/2017 22:10 EDT

                              Total: +100/+8 Under

                              Sportsbook:
                              PinnacleSports

                              Both teams here have struggled to score runs Giants averaging 2.25 in their last 8 games and the Padres only 2.50 in their last 6. Both pitchers have been pitching well in their last few starts. Moore is 1-0 with a 2.21 ERA in his last 3 starts and Perdomo has shown flashes of becoming a very good pitcher as he has electric stuff. Love the value here on the Under take it for a 9 unit investment.
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