Monday 8-28-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358186

    Monday 8-28-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 08-27-2017, 08:00 PM.
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358186

    #2
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

    Camarero - Race 5

    Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quinella / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6


    Claiming $8,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 86 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 4:30P
    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 14, 2017 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 28, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 28, 2017 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * IT'S COTTON: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. EL SENSOR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. DRAKES'S FORTUNE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TROLOBUS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EIGHTY WATER ST: Horse's win percentage at today's distan ce(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
    6
    IT'S COTTON
    10/1

    9/2
    3
    EL SENSOR
    2/1

    7/1
    1
    DRAKES'S FORTUNE
    10/1

    7/1
    10
    TROLOBUS
    5/2

    9/1
    2
    EIGHTY WATER ST
    4/1

    9/1
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358186

      #3
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 67

      FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 7 COWBOY CHROME 7/2

      # 3 SLEEPIN N CHEATIN 5/2

      # 9 MY BOY LANE 4/1

      COWBOY CHROME is the strongest bet in this race. In this field, this entrant is highly ranked earnings per start in dirt sprint events. With a respectable 74 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this race. Is a solid contender based on numbers put up as of late under today's conditions. SLEEPIN N CHEATIN - Has to be given a shot against this group of horses displaying very good figures lately and an average speed figure of 58 under similar conditions. Overall, this conditioner has been money-making at this distance/surface. MY BOY LANE - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this racer look strong in this outing.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358186

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings

        Hastings - Race 4

        Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)


        Claiming $25,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 77 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 6:30P
        (PLUS UP TO $5,000 THRIF) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 117 LBS.; , 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 28 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 3 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).
        Contenders

        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line

        Accept
        Odds


        Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MORNING BLURS: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. JAZZ LADY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ASTARTOBE: Horse has run a Good Race withi n the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
        2
        MORNING BLURS
        5/2

        7/2
        1
        JAZZ LADY
        2/1

        9/2
        3
        ASTARTOBE
        3/1

        8/1
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358186

          #5
          Handicapped by Valuline at Louisiana Downs

          Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
          Louisiana Downs, Race 8 (Monday August 28, 2017)

          e-SUNNY SISTER
          (For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

          LAD-8 6.5f DIRT Thirteen Horses
          "A" CLM 5,000 F/M 3YUP $5,500
          P# ex t s h5 ML WP TVL

          1 e-SUNNY SISTER 9/5 42% 7/5 Strong Favorite icon
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358186

            #6
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            Bar

            Mountaineer Park - Race #9 - Post: 9:56pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,100 Class Rating: 53

            Rating: 4

            #6 POINTS IN INDY (ML=7/2)


            POINTS IN INDY - With a big class drop in class figure points from his August 15th race at Mountaineer Park. Based on that element, I will give this animal the advantage. Good return on investment for this jockey and handler tandem. (EPS) earnings per start is something that I think can be an extremely key handicapping factor. This horse is ranked numero uno in this field.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #7 WALTERSRAM (ML=3/1), #4 PRIME LOCATION (ML=4/1), #8 ZODIAC KOWBOY (ML=5/1),

            WALTERSRAM - Trying to beat this participant this time around at the reward of 3/1. PRIME LOCATION - Somewhat easily forgotten speed fig last time out at Mountaineer Park at 5 furlongs. Don't believe this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's race. ZODIAC KOWBOY - I'm prognosticating a lackluster effort out of him this time around.

            Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - POINTS IN INDY - This horse is getting the medication Lasix, this time around. Watch for a good one.





            STRAIGHT WAGERS:
            #6 POINTS IN INDY is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

            EXACTA WAGERS:
            Skip

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Pass

            SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
            Pass
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358186

              #7
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.

              Race 8 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 79

              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500


              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              The Walker Group Picks

              # 3 CHARMING COTTON 7/2

              # 5 OVER SAVER 9/2

              # 2 RSTEWBALL 8/1

              I think CHARMING COTTON is a very good choice. He has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the top in this field. Allen will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out early in this race. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figs of this group of animals in his last race. OVER SAVER - Should be considered a solid choice on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. RSTEWBALL - Dominguez ought to be able to get this gelding to break out sharply for this race. Must be in sound condition if the trainer is bringing him back so soon.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358186

                #8
                Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

                RACE #8 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 4:45 PM EASTERN POST
                The Better Talk Now Stakes
                8.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEAR OLDS STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

                #2 SNAP DECISION
                #3 HIEROGLYPHICS
                #1 BLIND AMBITION
                #7 HOLIDAY STONE

                This race honors the career of Better Talk Now who is best known for winning the Breeders' Cup Turf in 2004. His racing career stretched over nine seasons, during which he won 14 times, five of them Grade I stakes, with earnings of over $4.3 million. Here in the 4th running of this stake test, #2 SNAP DECISION" has hit the board in four of his last five outings, winning three times, with to of those "Circle Trips" also qualifying as "POWER RUN WINS!" Jockey Jose Ortiz and Trainer "Shug" McGaughey send him to the post for the "Monday Feature" ... they've hit the board with 53% of more than 80 entries saddled as a team to date. #3 HIEROGLYPHICS, the pace profile leader, has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of his last five starts, hitting the board in four of those "adventures," including a pair of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358186

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  Bar

                  Thistledown - Race #1 - Post: 1:40pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,500 Class Rating: 66

                  Rating: 4

                  #7 FABLED STAR (ML=6/1)
                  #1 RUSSIAN RHAPSODY (ML=10/1)


                  FABLED STAR - When a thoroughbred finishes in-the-money as often as this mare does, you will usually want to use her in your exotic wagers. This mare should run better today now that she's back facing here own gender. Taking a trip down the class scale; has the ability to make her presence felt. RUSSIAN RHAPSODY - This horse didn't run well on a sloppy track in her last race around the track at Indiana Downs. You should toss out that performance. This mare likes to be near the lead. Today's clash is a shorter trip and should help her likelihood of winning. This mare might as well call Thistledown home. Don't overlook how she races well over this racing venue.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #6 YOUR MOVE (ML=3/1), #8 SPITTIN' FEATHERS (ML=7/2), #5 BLACK SHERRY (ML=4/1),

                  YOUR MOVE - This mare gave a lackluster effort last time. Can't really bet on this kind of oft beaten chalk. SPITTIN' FEATHERS - Hard to put your money on the win end of any mount that finishes second and third as regularly as this entrant does. Recorded a mediocre speed rating last out in a $4,000 Claiming race on June 10th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that figure. BLACK SHERRY - The Brain always warns me to keep away from ponies in sprint races that haven't hit the board in sprint affairs recently. Don't think this vulnerable equine will do much running in today's race. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's class rating.



                  STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                  Put your money on #7 FABLED STAR on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

                  EXACTA WAGERS:
                  Box [1,7]

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  Skip

                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                  Pass

                  ** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358186

                    #10
                    TENNIS INSIDERS
                    Tennis | Aug 28, 2017
                    Rogerio Dutra Silva vs. Florian Mayer
                    Florian Mayer-185

                    Florian Mayer hasn't played on hard court for a number of months, but his hard court ability is still much stronger than his opponents. Dutra Silva is just 6-12 on hard courts at ATP World Tour/Grand Slam level in his career, opting to play the majority of his matches on slower clay courts. Mayer has great serving & variety in his game, mixing up the pace of the rally, a tough matchup for traditional clay court grinders like Dutra Silva who like the one set pace throughout the longer exchanges.
                    The courts in New York are playing very fast, and Mayer's best results have come on grass & very quick hard courts. Huge tournament for the German as he looks to climb the rankings for the latter end of 2017. Dutra Silva has no weapons to win points easily on this surface, a huge weakness in a best of 5 set match. Take Mayer to record a comfortable victory.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358186

                      #11
                      PURE LOCK

                      Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Monday 8-28-17

                      San Diego -110
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358186

                        #12
                        R&R TOTALS

                        R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 8-28-17

                        UNDER 8 1/2 Boston/Toronto
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358186

                          #13
                          BIG AL

                          Our complimentary selection for Monday, August 28 is:

                          Futures Wager: Pittsburgh Steelers to win the Super Bowl (currenly at 12-1 odds at Bovada).
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358186

                            #14
                            JEFF BENTON

                            Monday freebie is the Under at Yankee Stadium when Cleveland and New York meet for the second time this month.

                            It will be a pair of All-Stars handling the mound-work, as Corey Kluber and Luis Severino take to the bump, and I just cannot see either team mustering too much offensively this Monday night.

                            Kluber shutdown the New York attack back on August 3rd, as he worked ALL 9 innings with just 3 hits and 1 run allowed. He also struck out 11 batters in going the distance. Kuleber's ERA for the season stands at 2.65, and 4 of his last 5 starts (beginning with that Yankees effort) have landed Under the total.

                            Cleveland stands at 7-3-1 Under the total their last 11 on the road, and facing Severino this evening sure looks like another Under.

                            Severino has had one bad start since the All-Star break, as he has worked 7 of his 8 starts since the break with no more than 1 run allowed! His last start against the Tribe came on August 6th when he worked into the 7th inning and allowed just 1 run to score while fanning 9.

                            I see lots of goose eggs on that big scoreboard in the Bronx. Not too many crooked digits.

                            Indians-Yankees Under on Monday night.

                            4* CLEVELAND-N.Y. YANKEES UNDER
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358186

                              #15
                              CAPPERS ACCESS
                              Red Sox
                              Padres
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