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Greg Shaker | NBA Total Sun, 04/23/17 - 9:00 PM
double-dime bet
515 LAC / 516 UTA OVER 197.5 PinnacleAnalysis: We have played every game in this series and each time we have played Under. According to a number of things OVER is the right play tonight. That does include something we have discovered this season that has given us a large edge over the books. Not sure how much longer that can last but we will ride it out until it's obvious we don't have it anymore. The Venue Change certainly helped both teams find their offense. Very many people believe that Blake Griffin's Injury is reason enough to play this one Under, but this year's stats don't prove that out. The fact is the Clippers are 9-9 O/U this season when he has sat. We do have both teams is 1 day's rest which has produced good OVER results for each. Trend people will be happy to know that OVER is 4-1 last 5 between these two at this court. The Clippers D efforts has been NOT so good on the road this year as well as last. This game is certainly not about the Pace as they had less of that in the 3rd game as they did in 1 and 2. The difference was that each shot many more FT's and we expect the same tonight as well as continued Jazz OE improvement here on their home court. We have waited long enough to wait for the best number and will release now for you guys. But we do expect this number to drop based on betting percentages and overall observations about public betting on this game. In fact this is the unusual "Square Under" Game for Bettors. If you watch numbers closely you may want to wait it out. Of course as always we could be wrong about that movement...More details coming if needed..
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