If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Free play Wednesday is 3* Fordham -2 1/2:
Cheap price to go against Duquesne at 1-11 on the road with a defense yielding 80.9 points per game. Fordham has covered 7/8 and beat LaSalle and St. Joes in their last two home games limiting the Explorers to 48 and the Hawks to 55. Granted the Rams are in the rare favorite role but its justified considering Duquesne’s recent road efforts have resulted in a 17-point loss at St. Bonnie (allowed 92), a 15-point loss at UMASS (allowed 82), a 26-point loss at Davidson (allowed 95), a 31-point loss at Richmond (allowed 86), a 15-points loss at George Washington (allowed 74), and a nine-point loss at St. Louis (allowed 78). Meanwhile Fordham has only lost one game by double digits in their last eight. The home team has won the last 10 Duquesne games by margins of 17, 13, 10, 15, 8, 16, 26, 9, 31, and 15 points. I’ll be on the Rams at this short price. Fordham is allowing 14-points less per game at home than the Dukes yield on the road. Fordham is 7-1 ATS on Wednesdays while Duquesne is 0-7 ATS the last three years if their last game resulted in a shootout exceeding 165 or more points.
double-dime bet – 737 Duquesne 4.0 (-110) vs 738 Fordham
Analysis: Battle of also-rans, but no give up being shown by either the Dukes or Rams. So this could be a pretty good game between a pair of teams that appear very closely watched. This falls into the category that has been working for me really well lately. In games I consider to be tossups, I am grabbing the dog if they’re the better offensive team. The logic here is simple enough. Teams are having trouble scoring, more than I can ever recall, and it’s not beca†use of great defense, it’s crap offense. So in games like this, I’ll look to side with the squad that’s a little better at getting the ball to go in the basket. In tonight’s game, that should be the road team and since they’re the dog, I’ll take my shot with Duquesne.
Comment