12-10-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Detroit won nine of last eleven games. Maple Leafs won six of their last eight.
-- Ducks won last four games, scoring 17 goals.

Cold teams
-- Edmonton lost 12 of its last 13 games.

Series records
-- Red Wings won four of last five games with Toronto.
-- Ducks won seven of last nine games with Edmonton.

Totals
-- Five of last six Toronto games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Anaheim games.

Back-to-back
-- Toronto is 3-2 when it played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Clippers won their last eight games (5-1 AF).
-- Wizards won five of last six games (4-1 AF).
-- Celtics won three of last four games, covered last five (4-2 AU).
-- Atlanta won last seven games, covering six. 76ers won two of last three games, covered seven of last eight.
-- Spurs won 10 of last 12 games (3-5 HF).
-- Portland won 14 of last 15 games (2-5-1 vs spread in last eight).
-- New Orleans won three of last five games (2-6 AU).
-- Warriors won their last thirteen games (5-3 HF). Houston won seven of last eight games (4-2 U).

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost their last five games (0-3 HU).
-- Orlando lost last three home games, but is 3-2 in last five overall.
-- Hornets lost ten of their last eleven games (2-5 F).
-- Knicks lost last nine games, covered three of last four (5-5-1 AU).
-- Chicago lost last three home games (1-5 HF). Nets lost nine of their last thirteen games (4-4 AU).
-- Minnesota lost last six games, covering once.
-- Dallas lost two of last three games, after winning previous five (1-3 last four HF).
-- Nuggets lost last four games (3-1 last four F). Miami lost four of last five games (3-5 AU).

Series Records
-- Indiana won last three games with Clippers by 3-5-14 points.
-- Wizards won their last six games with Orlando.
-- Celtics won seven of last ten games with Charlotte.
-- 76ers lost five of last six games with Atlanta.
-- Knicks won three of last four games with San Antonio.
-- Nets lost four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Portland won last four games with Minnesota, three by 11+.
-- Mavericks won their last eight games with New Orleans.
-- Heat won three of last four games with Denver.
-- Rockets won three of last four visits to Oakland.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Indiana games went over total.
-- Five of last six Orlando games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Charlotte games went over.
-- Four of last five Atlanta road games went over.
-- Four of last five New York games went over.
-- Eight of last eleven Brooklyn games stayed under; five of last six Bull games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Portland games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six New Orleans road games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Denver games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Golden State games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- Knicks are 3-1-1 vs spread if they played night before; Spurs are 3-3.
-- Blazers covered two of three if they played night before.
-- Pelicans are 5-0 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Dallas is 1-3 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Miami is 3-2-1 vs spread if it played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | WASHINGTON at ORLANDO
Play Against - Home underdogs (ORLANDO) off a road win, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season
44-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.1% | 25.3 units )

NBA | LA CLIPPERS at INDIANA
Play On - Home underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home win
22-12 since 1997. ( 64.7% | 21.6 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.0 units )

NBA | PORTLAND at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Road favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (PORTLAND) after 1 or more consecutive wins, first half of the season
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 2.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Illinois (+4 1/2) on Tuesday and likes Iona on Wednesday.

The deficit is 1143 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Wednesday

Got back doored yesterday by Wichita State. Just one play in college basketball on my card for Tuesday. Best of luck!

-EZ

3* (526) Georgetown Hoyas -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Pelicans / Mavericks Over 210
100* Princeton Pk
50* Rider +11.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sample:

1U each:

Utah +8 / Kansas +7 (+101) 4.5TW
St. Peter's +5 / Col. St. +10 (+105) 4TW

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

529 Louisiana Tech -4.5
555 Princeton -1
560 Denver +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Kansas at Georgetown

The Jayhawks head to Georgetown tonight to face a Hoyas team that is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games versus Big 12 opponents. Georgetown is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoyas favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 10 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 521-522: Arkansas State at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 46.934; Purdue 67.151 Dunkel Line: Purdue by 20 Vegas Line: Purdue by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-16 1/2)

Game 523-524: Rhode Island at Providence (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 60.959; Providence 65.312 Dunkel Line: Providence by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Providence by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Providence (-2 1/2)

Game 525-526: Kansas at Georgetown (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 69.182; Georgetown 73.673 Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Georgetown by 2 Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-2)

Game 527-528: Columbia at Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 54.467; Kentucky 86.962 Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 32 1/2 Vegas Line: Kentucky by 24 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-24 1/2)

Game 529-530: Louisiana Tech at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 60.504; UL-Lafayette 58.017 Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+4 1/2)

Game 531-532: Towson at Temple (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Towson 49.979; Temple 56.103 Dunkel Line: Temple by 6 Vegas Line: Temple by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Towson (+8 1/2)

Game 533-534: Fresno State at Texas Tech (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 52.786; Texas Tech 59.986 Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 7 Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+9 1/2)

Game 535-536: Duquesne at Penn State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 54.705; Penn State 60.373 Dunkel Line: Penn State by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Penn State by 8 Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+8)

Game 537-538: Utah at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 70.284; BYU 69.870 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: BYU by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2)

Game 539-540: Wisconsin at WI-Milwaukee (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 71.993; WI-Milwaukee 56.027 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 16 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 19 Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+19)

Game 541-542: Colorado State at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 58.953; Colorado 67.432 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Colorado by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-5 1/2)

Game 543-544: Long Beach State at San Diego State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 58.002; San Diego State 72.097 Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 14 Vegas Line: San Diego State by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-10 1/2)

Game 545-546: Wyoming at California (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 61.221; California 62.101 Dunkel Line: California by 1 Vegas Line: California by 4 Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+4)

Game 547-548: UC-Riverside at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 50.496; UCLA 71.561 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 21 Vegas Line: UCLA by 18 Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-18)

Game 549-550: Washington State vs. Gonzaga (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 47.719; Gonzaga 74.498 Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 27 Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 24 Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-24)

Game 551-552: Monmouth at Fordham (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 53.906; Fordham 54.004 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Monmouth by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+3 1/2)

Game 553-554: Rider at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rider 51.564; Iona 64.943 Dunkel Line: Iona by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Iona by 11 Dunkel Pick: Iona (-11)

Game 555-556: Princeton at St. Peter's (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 54.244; St. Peter's 51.733 Dunkel Line: Princeton by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Princeton

Game 557-558: Southern Illinois at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 52.958; SE Missouri State 56.792 Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 4 Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (-1 1/2)

Game 559-560: Northern Iowa at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 62.851; Denver 56.088 Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 7 Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 4 Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-4)

Game 561-562: Davidson at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 63.835; Montana 56.645 Dunkel Line: Davidson by 7 Vegas Line: Davidson by 1 Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-1)

Game 571-572: High Point at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: High Point 53.950; Ohio State 70.342 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 19 1/2 Dunkel Pick: High Point (+19 1/2)

Game 573-574: North Carolina Central at Maryland (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina Central 58.854; Maryland 67.391 Dunkel Line: Maryland by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Maryland by 11 Dunkel Pick: North Carolina Central (+11)

Game 575-576: Fairleigh Dickinson at St. John's (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fairleigh Dickinson 46.461; St. John's 69.250 Dunkel Line: St. John's by 23 Vegas Line: St. John's by 18 Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-18)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Toronto at Detroit

The Maple Leafs head to Detroit tonight to face a Red Wings team that is 1-7 in its last 8 games versus Atlantic Division opponents. Toronto is the pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Maple Leafs favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+160). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 10 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Toronto at Detroit (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 12.469; Detroit 11.578 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-180); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+160); Over

Game 53-54: Edmonton at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 9.738; Anaheim 10.612 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-240); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-240); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo CBB:

2-Unit Play. Take #528 Kentucky (-26) over Columbia (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 10)
I don't think it is a stretch at all to expect Kentucky to win this game by 30. Yes, they could be looking ahead to their date with North Carolina this Saturday. And last time that happened they slept their way through a 19-point win over Buffalo. But that was just the second game of the year. And Buffalo is better than Columbia. Kentucky has beaten Top 10 teams (Kansas) by 32 points. They have easy double-digit wins over other Top 40 team Texas and Providence by 12 and 20, respectively. Their other home wins have been bloodbaths, winning by 33, 48, 58 and 23 points against bottom feeder teams. Columbia isn't a bottom feeder. But they don't exactly have the guns to keep up. Kentucky by 30
.
7-Unit Play. Take #522 Purdue (-17) over Arkansas State (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 10)
I say about plays like this: Either It Is Or It Isn't. If Purdue just comes to play and with all other things being equal they will win by 20 and cover this spread. Or they won't come to play, they'll dick around for 40 minutes, and they'll win by 8 or 9 and this one won't be close. I think the former. But that's the risk of trying to predict the movements of 20-year-old kids.
That said, there is a pretty good chance that Purdue wins by 100 tonight. Let's start with the Boilermakers. They have posted some huge blowout wins already this year and are coming off a 20-point beating of IUPU-Ft. Wayne. IP-FW is a decent team that was also very motivated to take down the big in-state team. Purdue also beat Missouri by 21, Grambling State by 52, IUPUI by 20 and Samford by 40. I really don't see how Arkansas State is appreciably different than any of those other teams. Purdue is very motivated to get back to the NCAA Tournament after back-to-back years below .500. I don't think they are taking any game lightly. They kind of already had that weird we-didn't-come-to-play-at-all lackluster game last Saturday, when they lost to North Florida 73-70. I think that one is still fresh enough in their heads where they won't take this game lightly and they won't take their foot off the gas. They are getting decent guard play and they have two quality big men in A.J. Hammons and Isaac Haas. They should completely dictate this game.
Arkansas State, on the other hand, is terrible. But we haven't had a chance to see just how terrible because they have not played. These guys have only played four games this year. Four! And one of those was against a D-II school. Another was against the No. 346 ranked team in the nation, Central Arkansas. The other two games were against UT-Martin and Lamar - and they lost. So, basically, they have played one game against a Top 300 team this year and that game was played on Nov. 17. They've only played twice since before Thanksgiving. All of this would be a problem for a normal team. For a team that is trying to replace five senior starters and seven of its top nine players from last year? It's devastating.
The Boilermakers stunk last season. But they played four games against teams ranked No. 250 or worse last year. We're talking the real dregs. On opening night they had a one-point win over Northern Kentucky. But their other three wins were by 36, 28 and 29 points. In 2012 they played three games against weak sisters. They won by 29, 26 and 33 points. In 2011, the last decent team they had, they played four more of these games against bottom-feeders. They won by 62, 21, 25 and 25. In the years prior they had much better teams so I don't think those results are pertinent. But the fact is they have routinely beaten the hell out of bad teams during this time of the year. And I think they'll do it on Wednesday to an Arkansas State team that is ripe. The Boilermakers will win this one by at least 21 points.

2-Unit Play. Take #526 Georgetown (-2) over Kansas (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 10)

1-Unit Play. Take #529 Louisiana Tech (-4) over UL-Lafayette (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 10)

2-Unit Play. Take #542 Colorado (-5.5) over Colorado State (9 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 10)
I will admit that Colorado has not been very sharp this year. But they bombed Air Force by 15 after their first loss of the year - an embarrassing defeat at Wyoming - and I think they will bounce back after a dud at Georgia last Sunday. The Buffs have dominated this series, going 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings, and the favorite is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Colorado State is undefeated and they are playing well. But they aren't the same on the road. And they are really just a two-man show with J.J. Avila and Dan Bejarano. I am a huge Avila fan. He's one of the best mid-major big men in the nation. But he is playing into a strength for the Buffs, who have Xavier Johnson and Josh Scott down low. It's 2-against-1. Last year the game was at CSU and as a result Johnson and Scott battled foul trouble all game long. But they still held Avila to 4-for-19 shooting and five turnovers. I'd think the whistles will go the other way this time around. And if Avila gets into foul trouble this one will be a blowout. In fact, I think that's what is going to happen. The Buffs have been resilient after nonconference losses. In 2013 they rebouneded from a tough loss against Wyoming with a 9-point win over Colorado State. They came back from an embarrassing loss to Kansas with a 7-point win over Fresno. Last year they lost to Oklahoma State and came home and beat Georgia by 14. That is exactly the type of game I see here. I think Colorado will shoot well and at least contain Avila and the Rams have no counterpunch. Colorado by 10.
1-Unit Play. Take #559 Northern Iowa (-3) over Denver (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 10)

2-Unit Play. Take #561 Davidson (Pk) over Montana (9 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 10)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #536 Penn State (-3) over Duquesne (9 p.m.) AND Take #532 Temple (-4.5) over Towson (8 p.m.)

I also like a 1-Unit Play on the 'under' in the Temple-Towson game. I think the total will be posted - if it is - around 123.
Carpe diem. Good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports CBB:

7-Unit Play. #561 Take Davidson (-1) over Montana (9 p.m., Wednesday, December 10)
This line is correct in that Davidson should be favored on the road, however it is still pretty soft. The Wildcats are expected to struggle for the most part in what is their first season as a member of the Atlantic 10. But perhaps oddsmakers are missing the point specifically with this match-up: this isn't A-10 competition. This is a Montana team from the Big Sky that is picked closer to the middle of the pack than the top of the league. And the fact remains that Davidson has been an established mid-major program for a while now as part of the Southern Conference. They have done well through the first month of the season, going 6- with their sole loss on a neutral court in Charlotte to in-state big brother North Carolina in a game where they actually played the Tar Heels pretty tough. This Wildcats team can score, and that is what will separate them from their opponent tonight. Davidson is scoring 87 points per game. They've scored 90 or more already four times, and twice came against teams (UCF and Charlotte) who are much better than Montana. Speaking of the Grizzlies, they only score 68 per game. They can't and won't keep up. I fully expect Davidson to handle business on this mini one-game road trip out west. Five Davidson players are averaging at least nine points per game. Depth and balance get it done for the Wildcats, and they come through minus a very modest number to best Montana.
3-Unit Play. #529 Take Louisiana Tech (-4) over Louisiana Lafayette (8 p.m., Wednesday, December 10)
One of the best mid-majors in the country is Louisiana Tech. They went 29-8 last season have have four starters back from that squad. Louisiana Lafayette won 23 games last season but the thing is they graduated three starters from that team. And the early records for each suggest these two are going in different directions. LT has produced more of the same winning ways with a 7-1 start. That loss came in the team's second game at Temple where the Owls went 34-49 from the free throw line. ULL is 3-4 and just lost last time out by ten to McNeese State. They don't have any business staying within single digits of the Bulldogs here. LA Tech has won every game this season by at least nine points, the last four all by double digits. That trend holds up as they take care of their in-state opponent.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWERPLAYWINS

POD

NBA: Washington Wizards -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella



triple-dime bet

HOU / GSW Over 201.0

Western Conference Total of Month

3* on GOLDEN ST/HOUSTON OVER 201