11-15-14

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Trev Rogers

Washington/ Arizona OVER 60.5
Appalachian State/ Arkansas State OVER 62
Miami FL +3

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Ben Burns

10* Personal Favorite - LA Kings

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Fat Jack

#336 TENNESSEE -9

#339 CLEMSON -3

#342 DUKE -4.5

#346 SMU +11

#352 ARKANSAS STATE -13.5

#373 GEORGIA SOUTHERN +3

#376 MARSHALL -21

#401 NORTH TEXAS +6

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Maddux Added
10* North Texas+7

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EZWINNERS

4* Georgia -135
4* Missouri +4
3* Virginia Tech +4
3* Mississippi St +10
3* Florida St -140

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Jeff Benton

5th Ever 200 DIME
College Football Lock of my Career

Texas

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | MINNESOTA at DALLAS
Play On - Underdogs of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=46% on the season, good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

NBA | PHOENIX at LA CLIPPERS
Play On - Any team vs the money line (LA CLIPPERS) off an upset loss as a home favorite, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days
143-86 since 1997. ( 62.4% | 54.3 units )

NBA | PHOENIX at LA CLIPPERS
Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (LA CLIPPERS) after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, first half of the season
62-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.9% | 31.2 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | MANHATTAN at FLORIDA ST
Play On - Favorites of 10 or more points (FLORIDA ST) good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season
39-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.6% | 23.6 units )

CBB | MONTANA at COLORADO ST
Play Against - Underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (MONTANA) good free throw shooting team from last season - made >=72% of their free throws, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season
54-24 since 1997. ( 69.2% | 27.6 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at EDMONTON
Play Against - Any team (EDMONTON) good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 40 YPG) after 9+ games, after allowing 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games
25-4 since 1997. ( 86.2% | 20.6 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

CFL | BRITISH COLUMBIA at MONTREAL
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the money line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss
27-22 since 1997. ( 55.1% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at EDMONTON
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (EDMONTON) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
38-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.0% | 24.8 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 3.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 12

Week 12 brings with it some high-profile matchups that will have major implications on the playoff picture. Saying that, the busy holiday season is closing in quickly and if you didn't get a chance to cap, we have all the news and notes you need for this weekends marquee contests wrapped up in a neat little bow.

(17) Clemson Tigers at (23) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+3)

*Clemson will be getting record-setting freshman QB Deshaun Watson back this week. Watson has been out the Tigers past three contests (3-0 SU/ 0-3 ATS) with a hand injury. Clemson is 4-2 SU and ATS with the freshman in the lineup this season.

*Only two teams have averaged more rushing yards per game than the Yellow Jackets this season. Georgia Tech is averaging 247.8 rushing yards per game and has rushed for 300 or more yards six times in 10 games on the year.

(7) Ohio State Buckeyes at Minnesota Golden Gophers (+12)

*Ohio State has won 12 consecutive games on the road (8-4 ATS), which is the longest active streak in the FBS. The stretch, that started in 2012, has seen the Buckeyes outscore their opponents by an average of 15 points per game.

*The Golden Gophers are 6-0 SU (4-2 ATS) at home this season, for the first time since 1977, thanks in large part to QB Mitch Leidner. The sophomore has a 8-2 TD/INT ratio at home this season while completing 57.3 percent of his passes.

Virginia Tech Hokies at (19) Duke Blue Devils (-5)

*Passing against the Hokies this season has been near impossible, with the defense only allowing opposing QBs to complete 47.42 percent of passes, which is the third-lowest rate in the country. However, the team only has five interceptions, three of which came in one game.

*Duke is only allowing .44 sacks per game, an average which ranks first in the nation. The Blue Devils have attempted 325 passes while allowing just four sacks to surrender one sack per every 81.25 passes

Rice Owls at (21) Marshall Thundering Herd (-21.5)

*Rice has recorded 27 sacks during their six-game win streak and is ranked fifth nationally with 3.6 sacks per game while Marshall is only allowing 1.1 sacks.

*Though there has been a lot made of Marshall's offense this season, their defense has been one of the tops in the country. The Thundering Herd are allowing a mere 17.8 ppg, while holding opposing offenses to 358.4 yards per game.

(5) TCU Horned Frogs at Kansas Jayhawks (+28.5)

*TCU QB Trevone Boykin is looking to become one of just three quarterbacks nationally since 2009 to average over 300 yards passing and 50 yards rushing. The other two were Heisman Trophy winners Robert Griffin III and Johnny Manziel. Boykin is at 299 yards per game passing and 60.7 rushing.

*“He’s a leader in the huddle and he’s a guy that has a presence about him that gives you confidence,” coach Clint Bowen said about QB Michael Cummings. “When he goes on the field, Mike is one of those guys that just makes you believe he’s going to get it done.”

Northwestern Wildcats at (16) Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-17.5)

*Wildcats QB Trevor Sieman has thrown 337 passes this season, but only has five touchdowns to go with eight interceptions. That means 1.5 percent of his passes have gone for scores while 2.4 percent went for picks.

*Notre Dame has intercepted at least one pass in each of its nine games this year and boasts an active streak of 12 consecutive games with an interception, last failing to pick off a pass on Nov. 9, 2013, at Pittsburgh

(24) Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Tech (OTB)

*Freshman QB Cody Thomas will get the start for the Sooners after Trevor Knight suffered a head injury during last week's game. Thomas has attempted 16 passes this season for 50 yards and one pick.

*Texas Tech LB Sam Eguavoen is set to return to action after missing two games with compartment syndrome in his right calf. The senior has 32 solo tackles and a sack this season.

Washington Huskies at (18) Arizona Wildcats (-9)

*As a conference, the Pac-12 has the most returns for touchdowns in the nation with 19 (11 punt returns, eight kick returns). But the Arizona Wildcats and Washington Huskies are just two of three teams in the conference which haven't allowed a special teams touchdown.

*Washington head coach Chris Petersen is hoping for more big plays from a passing game which he deemed "painful." "We just need to be able to throw the ball down field a little bit more and make some plays," Petersen said Monday. “It was nice, we got one to Brayden, a big chunk play. We had two other chances to Dante (Pettis) we couldn't quite get done. We need to hit a few of those."

(11) Nebraska Cornhuskers at (22) Wisconsin Badgers (-6.5)

*The status of Nebraska Cornhusker RB Ameer Abdullah is unclear after not practicing during the bye week. "I'm not a doctor," head coach Bo Pelini said Monday of Abdullah. "I don't know how it's going to play out." Abdullah, who's rushed for 1,250 yards and scored 19 touchdowns, was wearing a brace in practice and is officially listed as probable.

*It was announced Monday that the winner of the Nebraska-Wisconsin rivalry game wins the "Freedom Trophy". The Huskers joined the Big Ten in 2011 and have played Wisconsin three times since. The Badgers are 3-0 ATS and 2-1 SU heading into Saturday's meeting.

(1) Mississippi State Bulldogs at (3) Alabama Crimson Tide (-8.5)

*Mississippi State quarterback Dak Prescott is the only other player in the race for the Heisman Trophy. Oregon's Marcus Mariota is the -750 fave, with the Bulldogs' QB next at +500.

*No program does a better job at limiting opposing offenses' yardage at home than Alabama. The Tide allow just 195 yards per game in their home games this season. Next best is Arkansas at 241.7 yards per game - almost 50 yards more per game.

(9) Auburn Tigers at (14) Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)

*Georgia finally gets running back Todd Gurley back this week as the Bulldogs face Auburn. The Dogs were 4-1 SU and 2-3 ATS in Gurley's five games this season, but posted a record of 5-0 O/U.

*Auburn has struggled at Georgia recently and is 0-3 SU and ATS in its last three trips to Sanford Stadium.

(20) LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks (-2)

*LSU's offense has been heavily dependent on freshman this season. Eighteen of the Tigers' 37 offensive toucdowns (48 percent) have been scored by first-year players, with QB Brandon Harris tallying nine.

*Though just 4-5 SU this season, the Razorbacks have been one of the best bets in the land. The Razorbacks are 7-2 ATS and are a perfect 4-0 ATS at home - exactly where they will be this weekend when the LSU Tigers come into town. The Razorbacks are presently 2.5-point faves and are 3-0 ATS as faves this year.

(12) Michigan State Spartans at Maryland Terrapins (+12)

*The Spartans are currently on the outside looking in at the college football playoffs, but coach Mike Dantonio isn't going to just sit around. "A lot of (teams are) sitting around wondering, 'What do we do next?' That's competition at the highest level," Dantonio said. "Deal with it, be a man about it and move on."

*Terrapins leading WR Stefon Diggs, who was slated to serve a one-game suspension for his role in a pregame skirmish with Penn State, suffered a lacerated kidney in that Nov. 1 matchup and could be out until the end of the regular season.

(2) FSU Seminoles at Miami Hurricanes (+2.5)

*Florida State is 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS against in-state foes under Jimbo Fisher (since 2010). The Seminoles have won and covered their all four matchups versus Miami with Fisher at the helm.

*The Hurricanes were one of only two teams to intercept Jamies Winston more than once last season when they picked him off twice despite getting beat down 41-14.

(8) Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon State Beavers (+9)

*Sun Devils QB Taylor Kelly had his best performance since returning from a foot injury against Notre Dame. "Those first two games (back from injury), getting the timing down in your head with the rush and different routes (was difficult)." Kelly passed for 224 yards (17 for 28) and three touchdowns with one interception.

*It may seem like the first time this season the Beavers will have their entire starting defensive line healthy. Both DE Lavonte Barnett and LB Jaswha James played last week after missing two games and DL Jalen Grimble is expected to play for the first time in five games for the Sun Devils.

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Game of the Day: Mississippi State at Alabama

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide (-10, 52)

Even after wins over three teams ranked in the top 10 at the time and a month atop the rankings, Mississippi State travels to Alabama on Saturday as the underdog. "We know that role. We're going to be OK with that," coach Dan Mullen said at his weekly press conference. "Our guys are going to come in with a chip on their shoulder and play with great effort. No matter what everyone else is predicting, we want to play that way every week." The winner not only takes control of the SEC West race but also positions itself well for one of four spots in the inaugural College Football Playoff.

Despite holding the top spot in every poll, including the playoff rankings — in which Alabama is ranked fifth — the Bulldogs seemingly have lost the confidence of many pundits, in part because of narrow escapes against Kentucky and Arkansas in recent weeks. The Crimson Tide also had a close call last week, needing to drive for a tying field goal at LSU to force overtime and claim a 20-13 victory. Alabama has dominated the series, winning six straight and 11 of the last 13, and the Crimson Tide have won 13 straight home games overall, the second-longest active streak in the nation.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: The opening line saw Alabama -7 and briefly dropped to -6.5 Monday. Since then though the line has been steadily climbing upwards and currently sits at Alabama -10. The opening total of 52 saw a quick drop to 51 before rebounding to the original 52 line.

INJURY REPORT: Miss St. - WR Jameon Lewis (Prob-Undisclosed), OL Justin Malone (Prob-Undisclosed) Alabama - RB T.J. Yeldon (Prob-Knee), OL Alphonse Taylor (Ques-Concussion)

WEATHER REPORT: Skies are expected to be all clear in Tuscaloosa Saturday. Minimal winds with temperatures around 53.6°F should make it a perfect day for football.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Right off the bat, we took a sizable smart bet and moved the line to -6.5. Since then, we’ve gradually moved the spread upward with both sharp and square action on Alabama. There are some big touts siding with the Tide. We’ll have plenty of teaser liability on the home team as well. I still contend that MSU is a live dog, especially at double digits." - John Lester.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "This game is a perfect example of why oddsmakers and point spreads do a better job of ranking teams than the pollsters. Despite being the so-called #1 team in the nation, Mississippi State is a substantial underdog versus Alabama. In fact, the sharp money has continued to push this line higher all week as Alabama opened -6.5 last Sunday and hit -10 by Friday afternoon. While some line value is now gone, I definitely agree with the line move as Alabama is the #1 team in my power ratings, while Mississippi State is not even in my Top 10." - Steve Merril

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI STATE (9-0 SU, 5-4 ATS, 5-4 O/U): The Bulldogs are pinning their hopes on star quarterback Dak Prescott, who averages 247.9 passing yards and 86.6 rushing yards and has racked up 18 TDs through the air and 11 on the ground. "I think his experience helps going into a hostile environment," Mullen said. "He is going to walk on the field with confidence knowing that the situation is not going to be too big for him." The defense gives up 311.1 passing yards per game (124th nationally), though the fact the Bulldogs never trailed in six of their nine games contributed to opponents racking up passing yards.

ABOUT ALABAMA (8-1 SU, 3-6 ATS, 4-5 O/U): The Crimson Tide once again boast one of the top defenses in the nation, ranking third in the country against the run (89.2 yards per game) and fourth in total defense (274.8), but they have a tough assignment this week. "The balance that they have is almost equal in terms of rushing yards and passing yards," coach Nick Saban told reporters. "Those are the most difficult types of teams to defend, and I think that's largely because of the quarterback. Dak Prescott is a very talented guy in a lot of ways." Alabama's offense also has been more balanced than in recent years and has put up some big numbers, but it was limited to 315 total yards — its second-lowest total of the season — at LSU.

TRENDS:

*Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
*Crimson Tide are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
*Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
*Under is 4-0 in Crimson Tide last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

CONSENSUS: 64.88 percent are backing Miss St. +10 while the total is split with 50.1 percent taking the under.

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StatFox Super Situations

CFB | RICE at MARSHALL
Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (MARSHALL) off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in November games
41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

CFB | E CAROLINA at CINCINNATI
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (E CAROLINA) good passing team - with a completion pct of 58% or better
195-127 over the last 5 seasons. ( 60.6% | 0.0 units )
32-19 this year. ( 62.7% | 0.0 units )

CFB | TEXAS at OKLAHOMA ST
Play Against - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (TEXAS) off an upset win as a home underdog
67-31 over the last 10 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

CFB | CLEMSON at GEORGIA TECH
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEMSON) off a road win, with a winning record on the season
70-37 over the last 10 seasons. ( 65.4% | 0.0 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Sat Mississippi St + 10

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

LSU -1

Georgia -2.5

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Nuggets (+3) on Friday and likes Clemson on Saturday.

The deficit is 898 sirignanos.