10-30-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Saints

Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Smith

Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports System A:

Current Doc Sports Investment Level: Level 3

Play information:
#302 Take Carolina +3 over New Orleans (NFL Pointspread Bet)

(NFL Football) - Game Starts at 8:25 PM EST

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Doc Sports System B:
Current Doc Sports Investment Level: Level 3

Play information:

#306 Take Louisville +4 over Florida State (NCAA Football Pointspread Bet)

(NCAA Football) - Game Starts at 7:30 PM EST

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Doc Sports System C:

Current Doc Sports Investment Level: Level 2

Play information:

#501 Take Washington/Orlando UNDER 190.5 (NBA Total Points Scored Bet)

(NBA Basketball) - Game Starts at 7:05 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Oklahoma City at LA Clippers

The Clippers host an Oklahoma City team that is coming off a 106-89 loss at Portland last night and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing with 0 days rest. LA is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-10 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Washington at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 121.302; Orlando 112.877 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 8 1/2; 184 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 190 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: New York at Cleveland (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 108.091; Cleveland 129.121 Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 21; 205 Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 10 1/2; 198 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-10 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Detroit at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.872; Minnesota 120.412 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 199 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4; 204 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4); Under

Game 507-508: Utah at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 115.205; Dallas 122.764 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 208 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 202 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Utah (+10 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 114.219; LA Clippers 130.398 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16; 208 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10 1/2; 201 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-10 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Carolina Panthers +3 over New Orleans Saints
(System Record: 21-4, won last 5 games and a push)
Overall Record: 21-21-2

Rest of the Plays
Carolina Panthers + New Orleans Saints OVER 49
Louisville +3.5 over Florida St
Georgia Southern -25.5 over Troy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Tampa Bay Lightning -155 over Philadelphia Flyers
(System Record: 10-1, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 10-9

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Wild -140 over San Jose Sharks
New York Islanders +109 over Colorado Avs
Chicago Blackhawks -145 over Ottawa Sens

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Basketball Crusher
Orlando Magic +3.5 over Washington Wizards
(System Record: 1-0)
Overall Record: 1-0

Rest of the Plays
Detroit Pistons +4 over Minnesota Timberwolves
New York Knicks +12 over Cleveland Cavs
New York Knicks + Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 198.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Boca Juniors + Cerro Porteno UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 653-22, won last game)
Overall Record: 653-544-101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NHL | MONTREAL at VANCOUVER
Play On - Home Favorites against the money line (VANCOUVER) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
59-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.7% | 37.1 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

NHL | BOSTON at BUFFALO
Play On - Any team against the money line (BUFFALO) revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, off a road loss against a division rival
43-24 since 1997. ( 64.2% | 34.0 units )

NHL | MONTREAL at VANCOUVER
Play On - Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (VANCOUVER) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
58-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 36.1 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Florida State at Louisville

Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals (+4.5, 50.5)

One year after averaging a margin of victory of 39.5 points en route to a national title, No. 2 Florida State has proven it also can handle itself in tighter contests. The Seminoles, who hope to extend their winning streak to 24 games on Thursday at Louisville, have rallied from second-half deficits three times in 2014. Florida State edged then-No. 5 Notre Dame 31-27 on Oct. 18 after the Fighting Irish were called for offensive pass interference on a potential game-winning score in the final seconds.

The Seminoles haven’t come close to matching last season’s dominance – winning three of their contests by six points or fewer, including one in overtime – and could see their school-record streak snapped with another slow start against the Cardinals. Louisville leads FBS in total defense (243.8 yards) and ranks fourth overall in scoring defense (14.6 points). The Cardinals, who have held each of their six conference foes under their season scoring average, are coming off a 30-18 victory over North Carolina State on Oct. 18 and have won 22 in a row at home under coach Bobby Petrino.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Noles as 6.5-point road faves, but that has moved to 4.5. The total opened 50.5.

INJURY REPORT: Seminoles - DB Trey Marshall (Questionable, concussion), DT Demarcus Christmas (Questionable, ankle), QB Sean Maguire (Questionable, hand), RB Mario Pender (Doubtful, ankle).

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing across the field at 3 mph. There is a small 11 percent chance of rain.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Last tough test for the defending national champions who will need to bring their ‘A’ game against the Cardinals top-ranked defense. Plenty of hurdles for FSU to overcome here. The off-field distractions won’t help chances and Louisville’s 24-7 ATS mark against the ACC games makes laying points difficult. But if anyone can overcome obstacles it's certainly QB Jameis Winston." Marc Lawrence.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "As I stated in the opening line report, the home team is a very live dog here. Sharps have been all over Louisville, moving the spread from +7 to +4. We'll probably see some money come back on the Noles closer to kickoff so I doubt this gets to +3. The total has remained pretty constant and we've got decent two-way action on it." John Lester.

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (7-0 SU, 4-0 SU ACC, 1-6 ATS, 3-4 O/U): The Tallahassee Police Department announced on Monday that it is investigating Karlos Williams – the team’s leading rusher – for an alleged domestic assault. Rashad Greene, who leads the conference in receptions (52) and receiving yards (791), needs seven more catches to pass former Wake Forest receiver Michael Campanaro (229 from 2010-13) for fifth place on the conference’s all-time list. Reigning Heisman Trophy winner Jameis Winston became the first FBS quarterback since 2000 to begin his collegiate career 20-0 as a starter following the Seminoles’ win over Notre Dame.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (6-2 SU, 4-2 SU ACC, 5-3 ATS, 1-6-1 O/U): DeVante Parker, who had yet to play due to an August toe injury after leading the Cardinals in receiving last season, tied a personal best with nine catches for 132 yards in his season debut versus the Wolfpack. Former Auburn star and 2011 BCS championship game offensive MVP Michael Dyer enjoyed his finest effort with Louisville, posting career highs of 24 carries and 181 total yards. Linebacker Lorenzo Mauldin (hamstring) and receiver James Quick (ankle) left the Cardinals’ last victory and did not return, but both are expected to play versus the Seminoles.

TRENDS:

* Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last seven conference games.
* Cardinals are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last seven conference games.

CONSENSUS: 62 percent of bets are supporting the visiting Seminoles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at Pittsburgh

The Kings head to Pittsburgh tonight to face a Penguins team that is coming off an 8-3 win over New Jersey and is 1-5 in its last 6 games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Los Angeles is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+135). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Boston at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.843; Buffalo 11.775 Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-250); 5 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+210); Under

Game 3-4: Los Angeles at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.662; Pittsburgh 11.510 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-155); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+135); Over

Game 5-6: Winnipeg at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 10.367; New Jersey 11.776 Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-150); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-150); Under

Game 7-8: Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.095; Tampa Bay 11.136 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-165); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+145); Over

Game 9-10: Chicago at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.327; Ottawa 11.409 Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+130); Under

Game 11-12: Arizona at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 10.771; Florida 9.322 Dunkel Line & Total: Arizona by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-115); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); Under

Game 13-14: Anaheim at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.771; St. Louis 12.302 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-125); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Under

Game 15-16: San Jose at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.788; Minnesota 11.663 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+125); Over

Game 17-18: NY Islanders at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.275; Colorado 10.743 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-120); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+100); Under

Game 19-20: Montreal at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.441; Vancouver 12.109 Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-130); 5 Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-130); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFB | TROY at GA SOUTHERN
Play Over - Any team vs the the 1rst half total a very good team (>=+10 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (<=-10 PPG diff.) after 7 or more games, after a win by 21 or more points
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday Night Football: Saints at Panthers

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (+2.5, 49)

A vintage performance by Drew Brees has the New Orleans Saints back in the playoff picture in the woeful NFC South Division. The Saints, however, are going to have to prove they can win on the road to secure a spot and their next test comes Thursday night when they visit the Carolina Panthers. Brees passed for 311 yards and three touchdowns in Sunday night's win over Green Bay, but New Orleans has dropped seven straight regular-season road games.

Carolina has just one win since beginning the season with back-to-back victories but still finds itself percentage points atop the division thanks to its tie against Cincinnati three weeks ago. The Panthers blew a late lead last week against defending Super Bowl champion Seattle, squandering several opportunities in the red zone in a 13-9 loss. Carolina has won four of the last five games in the series.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: The Saints opened as 2-point road faves, but are now -2.5. The total opened 48.5 and is up to 49.

INJURY REPORT: Saints - C Jonathan Goodwin (Questionable, leg), RB Khiry Robinson (Questionable, forearm), RB Pierre Thomas (Doubtful, ribs). Panthers - RB DeAngelo Williams (Questionable, ankle), G Amini Silatolu (Questionable, calf).

POWER RANKINGS: Saints (-2) - Panthers (+1.5) + home field (-3.0) = Saints -0.5

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low-50s with clear skies.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Battle for the top spot in watered down NFC South. Despite a disappointing start, the Saints vault to the top of the division with a win tonight. To do so, they’ll need to overcome a sloppy 7-15 SU and 8-14 ATS mark away from the Superdome since 2012. On the flip side, Carolina is going downhill fast, having been outgained in each of its last seven games. A healthy Drew Brees gets the nod over a wobbly Cam Newton." Marc Lawrence.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened Carolina +1.5 and have been forced to adjust upward with more than 75 percent of the bets on New Orleans. I expect the public will be piling on the Saints so this will probably get back to the key number by kickoff. I actually like the Panthers here, Cam Newton often shows up when the world is watching. I don't foresee the total dropping any lower considering it's a primetime matchup." John Lester.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 6-1 O/U): Rookie receiver Brandin Cooks had his best game as a professional last week, rushing for one score and catching a touchdown pass in New Orleans' 44-23 victory. Cooks' performance helped take some of the pressure off tight end Jimmy Graham who is still slowed by a shoulder injury and is listed as probable. New Orleans is ranked second in the NFL in total offense and fifth in scoring, averaging 28.4 points.

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (3-4-1 SU, 5-3 ATS, 5-3 O/U): Running back DeAngelo Williams declared himself "ready to roll" for Thursday's game, the first time in four games since he injured an ankle. Williams rushed for 210 yards against the Saints in 2012 and will likely share duties with Jonathan Stewart in the backfield for the Panthers, who rank 27th in rushing offense. Defense has been a problem, however, as Carolina has surrendered at least 37 points four times this season.

* Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.
* Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last four Thursday games.
* Over is 4-0 in Saints last four games overall.

CONSENSUS: 64 percent of wagers are supporting the visiting Saints.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 9

Saints (3-4) @ Panthers (3-4-1)—Battle for first in NFC South between teams with sub-.500 records. Saints are 0-4 on road (were favored in three of four), with three losses by 3 or less points; they lost 26-24 (-6.5) at Cleveland in only other outdoor game so far this season. Carolina is 1-4-1 in last six games after its 2-0 start; they scored total of 26 points (2 TD’s on last 20 drives) in last two games, but are 2-2 at home, beating Lions/Bears. Panthers are 0-4 with even/negative turnover ratio, scoring 11.3 ppg in those four games. Saints lost last seven road games overall; they’re 0-7 in last seven games as road favorites. Panthers are 6-5 as home dog under Rivera. Five of last six Carolina games, three of last four Saint games went over total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NFL | NEW ORLEANS at CAROLINA
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CAROLINA) slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )