10-30-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole | NFL Total
double-dime bet 301 NOS / 302 CAR OVER 48.0 5Dimes
Analysis:
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
Now is not the time to ‘fade’ a Thursday night OVER. Especially since savvy OU players are already aware that since Week Four of last year, THURSDAY games in the NFL have gone a remarkable 18-3-1 O/U. Not only that, but NFL Thursday teams who are FAVORED in the road (NEW ORLEANS) have gone 8-1-1 O/U in the last two years. And finally, to wrap up our database query for this particular Day of the Week: THURSDAY games in the NFL with an OU line in the range of 47 to 50 points (like this one) have gone 10-1 O/U in the last three seasons.

Both of these teams come in with poor defenses. And as a result, both have trended OVER on the season. In fact. these teams are a combined 10-2 O/U in the last six weeks! New Orleans comes in as the 2nd best OVER team on the year (right behind Green Bay). The Saints have gone 6-1 O/U on the season. Avg OU line: 50.3…. Avg total points: 55.3. The offense has woken up in their last three games, with an avg of 60.7 ppg. The SAINTS have gone 18-4 O/U since 2002 as road favorites of < 6 points. Carolina comes in with a 5-3 O/U record on the season as their defense has regressed significantly. The Panthers were #2 in overall defense last year, allowing only 302 yards per game and only 15.5 points per game. In 2014, their defense is allowing 78 MORE yards per game… and 11 MORE points per game. And as a division home UNDERDOG, the Panthers have gone a PERFECT 5-0 O/U in the last four years.

Don’t be fooled by the Panthers’ low-scoring game last week against the Seattle Seahawks. The final score in that game was Sea 13 / Car 9… 9-1 O/U since 2008: All underdogs of 8 < pts off a SU home loss in which they scored AND allowed 13 < points (PANTHERS)… when the OU line is > 38 points.

So the host Panthers have scored only 9 and 17 points in their last two games… Already THIS season, NFL home teams who scored 17 < points in EACH of their last 2 games (CAR) have gone 11-2 O/U. In the last two years, these teams have gone 13-2 O/U versus an opponent who scored 28 > pts in THEIR last game (NORL).

This is Carolina’s second home game in a row… 9-1 O/U since 2007: All DIVISION home dogs of 6 < points playing off a SU home loss (CAROLINA)… when the OU line is 44 > points.

New Orleans just rung up 44 points at home against the GB Packers on Sunday night (a 3* OVER Play on our King Creole game day service)… 12-2-1 O/U s’1999 / 4-0-1 O/U L4Y: All NFL road favorites of 5 < pts who scored 44 or MORE points at home in their last game (SAINTS)… versus any opponent off a SU loss (PANTHERS).

The Saints hit the road off three STRAIGHT ‘homies’ in a row… 5-0 O/U last 3 years: All DIVISION road favorites playing off 3 or more HOME games in a row (SAINTS).

This season has been a great one for OVERS (after 8 weeks) when the road team has been a slight favorite (like in this one)… Already THIS season, ‘short’ road favorites of -3 or less points (SAINTS) have gone 16-4 O/U. That includes a PERFECT 8-0 O/U in ‘same division’ play.

Pick Made: Oct 29 2014 9:53AM PST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports

306 louisville +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

304 Georgia Southern -24.5
306 Louisville +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FSOTB - Fat Side Of The Bacon

BOSS HOG

SAINTS MONEY LINE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik:

306 Louisville +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GILZTIPS

Louisville plus 6 2 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NFL REPORT
THURSDAY OCTOBER, 30th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
______________________________________


***** National Football League Information - Week #9 *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014-15 National Football League season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
__________________________________________________ ____________

#301 NEW ORLEANS @ #302 CAROLINA
TV: 8:25 PM EST, NFL Network
Line: Saints -2.5, Total: 48

A vintage performance by Drew Brees has the New Orleans Saints back in the playoff picture in the woeful NFC South Division. The Saints, however, are going to have to prove they can win on the road to secure a spot and their next test comes Thursday night when they visit Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte to take on the Carolina Panthers. Brees passed for 311 yards and three touchdowns in Sunday night's victory over Green Bay, but New Orleans has dropped seven straight regular-season road games.

Carolina has just one win since beginning the season with back-to-back victories but still finds itself percentage points atop the division thanks to its tie against Cincinnati three weeks ago. The Panthers blew a late lead last week against defending Super Bowl champion Seattle, squandering several opportunities in the red zone in a 13-9 loss. Carolina has won four of the last five games in the series. Cam Newton has thrown four touchdowns, run for two and been picked off twice while going 2-1 at home versus New Orleans. Brees has two touchdowns, four interceptions and a 73.1 passer rating while losing the last two at Carolina.

•ABOUT THE SAINTS (3-4 SU, 3-4-0 ATS): Rookie receiver Brandin Cooks had his best game as a professional last week, rushing for one score and catching a touchdown pass in New Orleans' 44-23 victory. Cooks' performance helped take some of the pressure off tight end Jimmy Graham who is still slowed by a shoulder injury and is listed as probable. New Orleans is ranked second in the NFL in total offense - that's seventh in rushing (133.0 yards per game), second in yards per carry (5.1) and fifth in scoring, averaging 28.4 points. The Saints finished 26th in rushing over the previous two seasons, averaging 95.3 yards and slightly over four per attempt.

•ABOUT THE PANTHERS (3-4-1 SU, 5-3-0 ATS): Running back DeAngelo Williams declared himself "ready to roll" for Thursday's game, the first time in four games since he injured an ankle. Williams rushed for 210 yards against the Saints in 2012 and will likely share duties with Jonathan Stewart in the backfield for the Panthers, who rank 27th in rushing offense. The Panthers made three trips inside the Seattle 20 but came away with six points. Carolina's 46.2 percent touchdown efficiency in that area ranks 28th. Defense has also been a problem, as Carolina has surrendered at least 37 points four times this season.

•PREGAME NOTES: Carolina wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin is second among rookies with 571 yards receiving... Panthers quarterback Cam Newton has six rushing touchdowns against the Saints in six career games.... The Saints have been competitive this season away from the Superdome. New Orleans ranks 29th while yielding an average of 31.3 points in its four road contests, but it led late in the fourth quarter of three that were decided by a combined six points.... The Saints have gone 21 straight regular-season and playoff road games without a 100-yard rusher since Pierre Thomas gained 110 in a 35-27 loss at Carolina on September 16th, 2012.

Inside the Huddle Subscription...
2014-15 NFL and NCAAF Best Bets

Looking for an advantage every day, simply signup for our NFL & NCAAF Special offer. Lock up the best winning selections in the business today, from now through Super Bowl XLIX on Sunday, February 1st, 2015 at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ. From now, until kickoff of Week Nine on Thursday (10/30) with the Saints heading to Carolina to take on the Panthers, we're offering you the chance to get all our 'Top Rated Selections' from our team of expert handicappers for ONLY $899.

This offer includes everything we release on the Gridiron starting with the "Expert's 2014 Consensus" Five *Star Conference Game of the Year, along with our "HUGE *Six-Star NFL Mismatch" of the Season, all of our 1st Half Selections, and every Star-Rated release during the campaign.

Plus as an "added bonus for signing up today" you will receive the start of the NBA season FREE! Our daily (NBA, NFL and NCAACF) StatSystems Reports - the #1 Rated Betting Publication in the country today, along with our 2014 Football Yearbook, a Mega Guide of everything you need to know. "Remember, if you're going to invest your very hard earned dollars in November up until February, this is the package you need.... It's affordable, and its loaded with winning information!"

You may recall pros like Stan 'The Man, Vegas Insider Ryan Taylor, Systems Analyst's James Vogel, Larry Hertner and William Stillman, along with our Expert Handicapper Jude Ravo on an absolute tear on the Gridiron, Hardwood and MLB as we head into the second-half of Football Season! "You'll need to move quick on this one though." On Sunday (November, 2nd), the cost for this package will increase to $1199.00; which is a bargain itself, when considering the number of games involved, along with the net profit won by our team of Pro's at the #1 Rated Sports Site in the Industry today!

"Don't make a move without it.... You'll be Real Glad You Did!"

•KEY STATS
--NEW ORLEANS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 20.6, OPPONENT 25.9.

--NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 21.2, OPPONENT 28.0.

--NEW ORLEANS is 24-48 ATS (-28.8 Units) after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 23.1, OPPONENT 25.9.

--NEW ORLEANS is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=375 yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 28.8, OPPONENT 15.0.

--CAROLINA is 56-23 ATS (+30.7 Units) versus bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 25.2, OPPONENT 17.8.

--CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 25.6, OPPONENT 13.1.

--CAROLINA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=375 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 22.5, OPPONENT 19.0.

--CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 25.3, OPPONENT 15.1.

--CAROLINA is 14-4 against the 1rst half line (+9.6 Units) versus poor passing defenses - allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 13.3, OPPONENT 7.8.

--CAROLINA is 9-1 against the 1rst half line (+7.9 Units) after scoring 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 13.0, OPPONENT 8.6.

--CAROLINA is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 13.3, OPPONENT 12.2.

•COACHING TRENDS
--SEAN PAYTON is 7-25 ATS (-20.4 Units) after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 24.5, OPPONENT 24.9.

--SEAN PAYTON is 14-5 UNDER (+8.5 Units) in road games versus poor passing defenses - allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse in the second half of the season as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 24.8, OPPONENT 19.6.

--SEAN PAYTON is 20-8 against the 1rst half line (+11.2 Units) versus good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 17.8, OPPONENT 10.5.

--RON RIVERA is 28-15 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of CAROLINA.
The average score was CAROLINA 24.6, OPPONENT 22.1.

--RON RIVERA is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) versus very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game as the coach of CAROLINA.
The average score was CAROLINA 25.3, OPPONENT 29.7.

--RON RIVERA is 13-3 OVER (+9.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of CAROLINA.
The average score was CAROLINA 14.2, OPPONENT 11.4.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--CAROLINA is 22-15 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS since 1992.
--CAROLINA is 20-18 straight up against NEW ORLEANS since 1992.
--23 of 38 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--CAROLINA is 20-18 versus the first half line when playing against NEW ORLEANS since 1992.
--20 of 36 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.
--Saints are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
--Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
--Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Carolina.

•RECENT TRENDS
--NO is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
--NO is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week #9.
--Over is 5-0 in NO last 5 games in October.

--CAR is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
--CAR is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 versus the NFC South.
--Under is 4-1 in NO last 5 games in Week #9.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the underdog covered the spread 33 times, while the favorite covered the spread 24 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 36 times, while the underdog won straight up 25 times. 29 games went over the total, while 22 games went under the total. *No EDGE.

--In past games, the underdog covered first half line 60 times, while the favorite covered first half line 52 times. *No EDGE. 45 games went under first half total, while 39 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play On - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CAROLINA) - an average offensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against an excellent offensive team (>=27 PPG), after scoring 9 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game.
(51-21 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +27.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (40-33 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.7
The average score in these games was: Team 21.7, Opponent 20.9 (Average point differential = +0.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 28 (39.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-9).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (128-88).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAAF REPORT
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
______________________________________


***** NCAA College Football Information – Week #10 *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014-15 NCAA College Football season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
__________________________________________________ _________

Thursday's Week #10 Matchup
Systems Analyst Todd Smith

#305 FLORIDA ST @ #306 LOUISVILLE
TV: 7:30 PM EST, ESPN
Line: Florida St. -4, Total: 50.5

One year after averaging a margin of victory of 39.5 points en route to a national title, No. 2 Florida State has proven it also can handle itself in tighter contests. The Seminoles, who hope to extend their winning streak to 24 games on Thursday night at Papa John's Stadium versus Louisville, have rallied from second-half deficits three times in 2014. Florida State edged then-No. 5 Notre Dame 31-27 on October 18th after the Fighting Irish were called for offensive pass interference on a potential game-winning score in the final seconds.

The Seminoles haven’t come close to matching last season’s dominance – winning three of their contests by six points or fewer, including one in overtime – and could see their school-record streak snapped with another slow start against the Cardinals. Louisville leads FBS in total defense (243.8 yards) and ranks fourth overall in scoring defense (14.6 points). The Cardinals, who have held each of their six conference foes under their season scoring average, are coming off a 30-18 victory over North Carolina State on October 18th and have won 22 in a row at home under coach Bobby Petrino.

•ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (7-0, 4-0 ACC): The Tallahassee Police Department announced on Monday that it is investigating Karlos Williams – the team’s leading rusher – for an alleged domestic assault. Rashad Greene, who leads the conference in receptions (52) and receiving yards (791), needs seven more catches to pass former Wake Forest receiver Michael Campanaro (229 from 2010-13) for fifth place on the conference’s all-time list. Reigning Heisman Trophy winner Jameis Winston became the first FBS quarterback since 2000 to begin his collegiate career 20-0 as a starter following the Seminoles’ win over Notre Dame.

•ABOUT LOUISVILLE (6-2, 4-2 ACC): DeVante Parker, who had yet to play due to an August toe injury after leading the Cardinals in receiving last season, tied a personal best with nine catches for 132 yards in his season debut versus the Wolfpack. Former Auburn star and 2011 BCS championship game offensive MVP Michael Dyer enjoyed his finest effort with Louisville, posting career highs of 24 carries and 181 total yards. Linebacker Lorenzo Mauldin (hamstring) and receiver James Quick (ankle) left the Cardinals’ last victory and did not return, but both are expected to play versus the Seminoles.

•PREGAME NOTES: Florida State, which leads the all-time series 12-2, can tie Ohio State (2012-13) and Boise State (2009-10) for the fourth-longest winning streak in the FBS over the last 20 seasons with a victory.... Louisville S Gerod Holliman, who is tied for the FBS lead in interceptions (eight), is two shy of matching the school’s single-season record set in 2000 by Anthony Floyd.... In six career ACC road games, Winston has thrown for an average of 328.5 yards and 20 touchdowns while completing 72.1 percent of his throws.... The Cardinals are 15-1 versus the spread when facing a .600 or greater ACC opponent, including 13-0 ATS during the regular season.

Your Guide To Crushing The Books In NFL/NCAAF
With both the National Football League, and NCAA College Football regular seasons in full swing. Will you revert back to making questionable bets all season long and barely breaking even, if not losing money on the year? It's time you take control of your betting future and do it the right way. "Let the Experts here at StatSystems Sports guide you this season and help you crush the books like never before!"

Are you tired of those bad beats, the late back door covers which ruin your bet, along with the repeated mediocre or losing season? Well you've come to the right place and we are here to make sure that never happens again. Our team of Pro's are eagerly awaiting to smash the sportsbooks once again this year in both NFL and NCAAF.

"Why not join in on the profits with them and learn their secrets to success!"

•KEY STATS
--FLORIDA ST is 16-30 against the 1rst half line (-17.0 Units) as a favorite of 2 to 6 points versus the first half line since 1992.
The average score was FLORIDA ST 12.2, OPPONENT 12.2.

--LOUISVILLE is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 straight conference games since 1992.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 32.0, OPPONENT 25.1.

--LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 25.5, OPPONENT 17.7.

--LOUISVILLE is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 25.5, OPPONENT 12.5.

--LOUISVILLE is 16-5 against the 1rst half line (+10.5 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 18.8, OPPONENT 5.0.

--LOUISVILLE is 22-7 against the 1rst half line (+14.3 Units) in a home game where the first half total is between 25 and 28 since 1992.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 15.8, OPPONENT 8.1.

--LOUISVILLE is 6-0 against the 1rst half line (+6.0 Units) off 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 17.3, OPPONENT 5.5.

--LOUISVILLE is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor passing defenses - allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 17.8, OPPONENT 4.4.

--LOUISVILLE is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 18.8, OPPONENT 5.0.

--LOUISVILLE is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 14.1, OPPONENT 6.4.

--LOUISVILLE is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 14.7, OPPONENT 5.8.

--LOUISVILLE is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 15.1, OPPONENT 6.0.

•COACHING TRENDS
--BOBBY PETRINO is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was PETRINO 37.5, OPPONENT 18.8.

--BOBBY PETRINO is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was PETRINO 41.6, OPPONENT 22.2.

--BOBBY PETRINO is 17-4 against the 1rst half line (+12.6 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was PETRINO 23.1, OPPONENT 10.0.

--BOBBY PETRINO is 15-3 against the 1rst half line (+11.7 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was PETRINO 23.5, OPPONENT 10.3.

--BOBBY PETRINO is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) in home games versus good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was PETRINO 23.0, OPPONENT 8.9.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--LOUISVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST since 1992.
--LOUISVILLE is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1992.
--1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--LOUISVILLE is 2-0 versus the first half line when playing against FLORIDA ST since 1992.
--1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

•RECENT TRENDS
--FSU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
--FSU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
--Over is 9-4 in FSU last 13 conference games.

--LOU is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
--LOU is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games.
--Under is 19-6-1 in LOU last 26 games in October.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the underdog covered the spread 71 times, while the favorite covered the spread 44 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 62 times, while the underdog won straight up 52 times. 40 games went under the total, while 34 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

--In past games, the underdog covered first half line 65 times, while the favorite covered first half line 44 times. *No EDGE. 45 games went under first half total, while 27 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Against - Favorites of 2 to 6 points versus the first half line (FLORIDA ST) - with an excellent offense - averaging 6.1 or more yards/play, after being outgained by opponent by 125 or more total yards last game.
(49-18 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.8, Opponent 16.4 (Average first half point differential = +0.4)

The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (31-12).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (67-41).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

25* NFC South GAME OF THE YEAR

New Orleans Saints -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookieshunter

Thursday NFL 29 October 2014

Saints -2 (3*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob


(306) **Louisville (+5) 2-Stars at +3 or more


I’ve been waiting for a spot to go against Florida State. I nearly took Notre Dame plus the double-digit points a couple of weeks ago (I had FSU by only 5 in that game) but I also think the Irish are overrated. That game ended with Florida State rallying for a 31-27 win but the Seminoles were outgained 326 yards to 470 yards and season numbers just aren’t very convincing for the defending national champion. The biggest difference between this year’s Seminoles and 2013’s dominating squad is on the defensive side of the ball. Last season Florida State’s compensated defensive numbers were #1 in the nation, just barely ahead of Michigan State, as the Seminoles were 1.5 yards per play better than average. This season the Noles have been just 0.4 yppl better than average, allowing 5.3 yppl to FBS teams that would combine to average 5.6 yppl against an average defensive team (adjusted for facing Oklahoma State with Walsh at quarterback, facing Clemson with mostly Watson at QB, and facing the Syracuse backup quarterbacks). Florida State has allowed 5.4 yppl or more to every FBS opponent except Wake Forest, who has an offense worse than most FCS teams.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Predictions

4* Saints / Panthers Over 48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL Picks

New Orleans at Carolina

The Saints head to Carolina on Thursday night and face a Panthers team that is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 home games. Carolina is the pick (+3). according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30 Time Posted: 7:00 p.m. EST (10/29)

Game 301-302: New Orleans at Carolina (8:25 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 133.460; Carolina 133.769 Dunkel Line: Even; 52 Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 49 Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Game Picks

Florida State at Louisville

The Seminoles head to Louisville on Thursday night and come into the contest with an 0-4 ATS record in their last 4 road games. Louisville is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Seminoles favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+5). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (10/29)

Game 303-304: Troy at Georgia Southern (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Troy 50.779; Georgia Southern 85.430 Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 34 1/2; 57 Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 24 1/2; 63 Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (-24 1/2); Under

Game 305-306: Florida State at Louisville (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 104.655; Louisville 103.857 Dunkel Line: Florida State by 1; 46 Vegas Line: Florida State by 5; 50 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+5); Under