10-26-14

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DAVID GLISAN SPORTS

NFL:

(251) Detroit -3' over Atlanta <>
(262) NY Jets -3 over Buffalo
(263/264) Miami/Jacksonville UN 43

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Victor King
'London Calling': Part Two


The second of three NFL international games kicks off this weekend, as the Atlanta Falcons 'host' the Detroit Lions in Wembley Stadium in London, England. When last we spoke, we reviewed the Miami / Oakland game played on this field on Sept. 28th. That game had a low OU line of 41 points. Final score: Mia 38 - Oak 14. The OVER hit by +11 points. In the last three seasons, these London games have seen 52 pts... 52 pts... 61 pts... and 52 pts. The OVER (4-0 O/U) has hit by an avg of more than 2 TD's per game (+14.2 ppg). This week's line in the Falcons / Lions game opened at 36.5 pts and went up to 47. We will take a slight position on another HIGH-scoring outcome. But again, there are some elements to this game that scream 'caution'. Detroit comes in with the #1 defense in the league (290.3 YPG allowed and 15.0 PPG allowed). And Atlanta is so beat up with injuries, that their offense is in extreme REGRESSION mode (7 and 13 points in last two). Don't forget: Neutral Site FAVS (Lions) have gone 7-1 ATS L6Y!

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sportsinsights

10/26 1:00 PM 262 Play on NYJ -3+100
10/26 1:00 PM 268 Play on CIN 1.5-110
10/26 4:05 PM 270 Play on ARI Under 48.5-110
10/26 8:30 PM 276 Play on NO 0-110
10/27 8:30 PM 278 Play on DAL Under 50-110
10/27 8:30 PM 277 Play on WAS 10-105

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Fezzik
263 MIA / 264 JAC UNDER 43.0
Analysis: Mia/Jax UNDER 43, 3* Play
BAL / 268 CIN UNDER 45.5 2* Play

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Hitting Pay Dirt

Mays NFL: 8-5 +5.05
Falcons +4 * 2 units




AJ NFL: 8-9 -2.2u
Bengals -1 * 2 units

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Sixth Sense:

253 Minnesota +3 -120
258 Kansas City -7
259 Seattle -5
267 Baltimore +1

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Sheep

U43 dolphins jags

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Mike Davis

8* Jets -3
4* Lions -4

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Jason Sharpe

5* Saints -5.5
3* Bengals +1
3* Vikings +2.5

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Doc Sports



5 Unit Play. #276/#226 Take New Orleans Saints -1 over Green Bay Packers (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC)

TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEKEND.

Still not ready to write off the Saints this season, especially playing a night game at the Superdome. New Orleans is 2-4 this season but 2-0 at home, and as we all know this is a completely different team when playing at home. Green Bay is on a roll right now, winning four straight games, but all of them came against teams that will likely not be making the playoffs this season (Carolina still could win the AFC South). This is a must-win game for New Orleans in order to save their season, and I believe that they will come out hunger and ready to make a statement. New Orleans had Detroit beat last week (a team that beat Green Bay) before collapsing in the final 5 minutes of the fourth quarter. Tonight they take out their frustration on the Packers. New Orleans has won 10 straight home games (8-2 ATS), winning these games by an average of 16.4 points per game.



4 Unit Play. #260/#204 Take Carolina Panthers +5 over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 1 pm CBS)

We will again ride a NFL team that looked awful the previous week. Believe it or not, the Panthers are actually in better shape to make the playoffs than are the Seahawks. I always like to fade West Coast teams playing at 1 pm eastern, and I expect the Seahawks to lose three games in a row. Seattle is finding out how difficult it is to repeat in the NFL, as you get everybody's best shot during the regular season. This game will go down to the wire, and we will collect with whoever comes out on top by a field goal. Carolina is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against NFC teams.

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INDIAN COWBOY

7-Unit Play #255 Take Over 50 Chicago Bears vs. New England Patriots (Sunday @ 1pm est)

Thisis likely going to be a very high scoring affair and we want to take the overhere for a couple reasons. For starters, we like the 5.5 line as that alwaysindicates an active underdog and the Bears indeed will be an active underdoghere and given New England a lot to handle. With Marshall calling out hisquarterback in Cutler for a lackluster performance against his former team inthe Dolphins, this is a tema that comes off an ugly loss to Miami at home thatlooks to bounce-back against the elite Patriots. But the Patriots team isvulnerable on defense giving up 25 points to an anemic Jets team on primetimeFootball. With the Bears needing to be an active underdog, coming off an uglyloss and looking to bounce-back after a very poor performance offensively, lookfor them to be much better offensively. Plus, look for the Patriots to be downin this game early and then the typical Patriot way to claw back and make thisgame into a high scoring fashion in which it will be decided late. The Bearsare infamous for their ability to play down to mediocre teams and play up togood teams (i.e. winning at San Francisco earlier this year). A lot of pressureis on the Bears to do well here and Cutler usually performs well in thosecircumstances such as drilling Atlanta on the road earlier this year. Thereason this total is set in the 50 range is the Bears are going to come to playhere and with the Patriots playing catch up its likely a high scoring affair.The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 road game for the Bears and the Over is 15-3 forthe Patriots when they face a team with a losing road record at home (i.e theJets). Look for this contest to be around 54 or higher with a final score inthe range of 30-24 or 30-27.


3-Unit Play #270 Take Arizona-2.5 over Philadelphia (Sunday @ 4:05pm est)

Whatyou might not see outwardly in this game is how much these two coaches dislikeand hate each other. Which is what makes this game fun. Coach Arians calledChip Kelly's offense a gimmick and Kelly got the last laugh last year and ofcourse the NFL made sure these two coaches hooked up once again and in Arizonaagain. This is a decent public fade as the public is on the underdog here, butnote that Arizona nearly beat Philadelphia last year losing by a field goal onthe road and Arizona has covered this matchup the last 4 and 5 of 6 times theyhave played. With Philadelphia coming off such a big public win over the Giantsin a 27-0 fashion, look for them to have a much more difficult time scoring asthey face the most potent defense to date. If the Eagles struggled a bitagainst the Niners defense, the Cardinals defense is a notch better. The Eagleshave won some tight games but note that Arizona is one of the top 5 teams inpower rankings and their quality of wins are better as well. Outside of theblowout against Denver on the road, this team has beat the likes of theChargers and the Niners. Philadelphia has barely got past St. Louis,Washington, struggled against Jacksonville and lost to the Ninres. Their lucklikely runs out here as Arizona has revenge, the Eagles on a let down and adecent public fade to boot as well for Arizona.

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Allen Eastman


Take #271 Indianapolis (-3) over Pittsburgh
Take #267 Baltimore (Pk) over Cincinnati
Take #276 New Orleans (-1) over Green Bay
Take #263 Miami (-6) over Jacksonville
Take #253 Minnesota (Moneyline: +125) over Tampa Bay

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Strike Point

6*- Eagles +2.5
4*- Carolina +5.5

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Football jesus podcast : Saints

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GMC NFL Selections
254 Tampa Bay -2.5
272 Pittsburgh +3.5
268 Cincinnati +2
276 New Orleans -1.5