10-9-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

7-Unit Play. Take #101 Indianapolis (-2.5) over Houston (8 p.m., Thursday, Oct. 9)
This play is from my NFL 411 System. This game is for the Colts. I have Luck on my side! Andrew Luck and the Colts have gone 14-3 ATS in their last 17 divisional games. They have dominated the weak AFC South and they will continue to do so. The Colts are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games against all AFC teams and they are one of the favorites to win this conference. Indianapolis has the best offense in the AFC right now and I think they will score easily against the Texans defense. Luck gives the Colts a major advantage at QB over Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Texans had a tough game against Dallas on Sunday. This is a quick turnaround for them. Even though they are at home. Houston is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 home games and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four Thursday games. The Colts have been great in primetime. They are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Thursday night games. Indy is the better team in this one and they are confident after three straight wins. They will take the cash tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher - New Jersey Devils +100

Last season the Devils ranked 4th in Corsi% (5 on 5, Close). Only LA, Chicago, and Boston ranked higher in this advanced puck-possession metric. Chicago and Boston also ranked in the top-3 in total goals scored, while the Kings ranked 25th there. LA was able to compensate for poor ability to put goals in net by possessing the puck (keeping it away from the opponent) and of course defense and goal-tending, where they ranked 4th overall last year. By comparison, Devils ranked 27th in total goals. Unlike the Kings, they ranked 25th in Save%. Part of the reason is because Brodeur started 39 games for them last year. Brodeur has been a terrible goalie for the last 4 years now and last season he averaged a 2.5 GAA and only a 90.1% Sv%. Schneider, playing on the same team and starting 43 games last year, had a 1.97 GAA and a 92.1% Sv%. That’s an absolutely huge differential. For their careers, Brodeur has a 91.2% Sv% (which is right around the 91.5% mark that most goalies seem to be trending towards long-term) while Schneider’s career mark is 92.5%, which is even higher than Dominik Hasek’s career mark of 92.2%, the highest I’ve seen from all so-called ‘all-time great’ goal-keepers. I think it’s safe to assume that New Jersey’s defense and goal-tending should improve just due to the fact that Brodeur is gone. Strong ability to possess the puck, hopefully a few more goals in the net (Havlat and Cammalleri joined the team this year), and of course potentially the best goal-keeper in the league in the net for the Devils this year. Flyers weren’t that impressive yesterday and they’re on a back-to-back after facing a tough Boston team last night. Maybe all these factors is the reason why the odds dropped 20-cents at Pinny when Philly is getting about 60% of all the bets. I’ll follow this reverse-odds movement (ROM) and back the Devils tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

NFL MAIN EVENT Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley

3 Units Avalanche / Wild Over 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot Chicks PICKS

In NBA......

Take Detroit and Milwaukee to misfire tonight and stay UNDER 197!

Take Houston and Memphis to struggle to get off the launch pad and stay UNDER 197!


In college.....
Take BYU +3.5 to bite the Knights!

In NFL......

Take Houston and Indianapolis to battle to the UNDER 47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

NCAA CFB

#103/104: BYU/UCF: Under 44.5 (-105) (.5)


NFL

#102: Texans: +2.5 (+105) - Buy Half Point to +3.0 (-105) (1*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MILLIONAIRES CLUB
small
houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS BANK
pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RV3 wealth

UFC
Colts

NHL
Wash
Pitt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

$1000:
101 Under 47 Ind-Hou
67 Under 5.5 Chi-Dal

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster

central fla -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

scott delaney

60 dime afc south

total of the year

colts/texans over 47
*****correction****

under 47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Shark
colts -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner/NFAC
1103) OVER 22.5 BYU/UCF (1st H) (nfac $400)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsInsight

NFL Best Bets

Game Time (ET)

Play

Best Line

10/09 8:25 PM 102 Play on HOU Under 47-110