Tweet
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moran
SF-1(2x)
SDG+9.5
NOR+9.5(2x)
INDY+7.5(2x)
INDY U52.5(2x)
Teaser(1x)
DEN-2
INDY U59.5
NOR+15 -
LA Syndicate
NFL
Seahawks & Under
Over ColtsComment
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Chicago Syndicate
NFL
Playoff Total of the Year - Over Patriots
Regular Play Under SaintsComment
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H&H Sports
Added
NFL Dime Plays Over Saints, Under ColtsComment
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Norm Hitzges
DOUBLE PLAY: Seattle --New Orleans UNDER 46
SINGLE PLAYS: Seattle -8 New Orleans
New England -7 IndyComment
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Prediction Machine
Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
113 8:15 PM IND 
@ NE 7 -3.2 59.5 $75 
Box Analyze Live 112 4:35 PM @SEA NO -8 10.8 58.7 $66 Box Analyze Live
Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
112 4:35 PM @ SEA NO 27.7 17.0 77.2 Box Analyze Live 114 8:15 PM @ NE IND 27.6 24.4 58.0 Box Analyze Live
Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
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ALLEN EASTMAN
3-Unit Play. Take #111 New Orleans (+8) over Seattle (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)
AND
3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 46.5 - New Orleans at Seattle (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)
AND
3-Unit Play. Seattle Seahawks TEAM TOTAL 'Under' 27.0 Points
The Saints were embarrassed 34-7 when they went up to Seattle this year. But that gave them
valuable experience. They know what to expect. This is also the second road playoff game they
have played in at Seattle in the last few years. This team knows what that environment is all
about. And I do not think that they will be blown out twice in the same year. These are two very
strong defenses. New Orleans is just 6-11 against the total this year and Seattle is just 6-10
against the total and there were only 41 points scored in the first meeting. the Saints defense
has been improving all year and is better than people think. New Orleans is just 1-7 against the
total in the second half of the year. Drew Brees and Sean Payton are two of the best. They will
keep this game very competitive into the fourth quarter and this one won't be a blowout.
5-Unit Play. Take #114 New England (-7) over Indianapolis (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 11)
This is my Game of the Week and my favorite bet of the weekend.
The Colts are lucky to still be playing. But the Patriots won't mismanage the game the way the
Chiefs did. The fact is that Indianapolis had a great comeback. But they were still down four
touchdowns at home to Alex Smith and the Chiefs. I don't think that they are good enough to go
and get a win in Foxboro over Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. The Patriots beat the Colts 59-24 last
November and they have beaten the Colts three straight times over the past three years. The
home team has won six of seven in this rivalry and the Patriots will take advantage of that extra
week off. The Colts were blown out at Cincinnati and Arizona and they struggled on the road all
year. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games. They will win by two touchdowns and
beat this spread.
3-Unit Play. 14-Point Sweetheart Teaser: San Diego (+23.5), 'Under' 60.5 New Orleans at
Seattle, New Orleans (+22) and 'Over' 27.5 San Francisco at CarolinaComment
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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
NFL WILDCARD PLAYOFFS
4 Unit Play. #102 Take Under 46 ½ - New Orleans at Seattle (4:35p.m., Saturday, Jan 11 FOX)
Current weather forecast is calling for 100% rain and I'm also hearing wind could be a factor. What does that call for? Running the ball, conservative play calling and I see this game flying
under. The last time these two teams played in Seattle (Dec. 2) the Seahawks easily beat the
Saints and the game went under the total. I have no clue who will win this game but I do see the
scoring low. The Saints defense held the Eagles high flying offense last week to 24 points and the
Seahawks haven't given up more then 20 points in their last 5 games. Can't wait for this game
and again if the rain is falling down hard and the wind is blowing this game will stay under the
total. New Orleans is 0-5 O/U in their last 5 road games and the Saints are also 0-5 O/U following
a SU winComment
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DOC SPORTS
3 Unit Play. #111 Take New Orleans Saints +8 over Seattle Seahawks (Saturday 4:35 pm FOX)
The Hawks are the No. 1 seed but they will have their hands full on Saturday taking on one of the most explosive offenses in the league. New Orleans is coming off a win at Philadelphia and now
travel west to face the No. 1 team in the conference. The Hawks are not an explosive team on
offense and need to create opportunities on defense in order to blowout teams. I just do not see
Drew Brees giving them many chances. Seattle lost to Arizona at home down the stretch and that
showed that this team is not invincible at home like many though they were. New Orleans is 23-11
ATS in their last 34 games played on field turf.Comment
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EZWINNERS
5* Saints +8
5* 7 Point Teaser Patriots PK & Broncos -2.5Comment
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Football Outsiders
Colts
SaintsComment
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Seahawks favored heavily on Saturday vs. Saints
by Brian Graham
NFC Divisional Playoffs
Kickoff: Saturday, 4:35 p.m. ET
Line: Seattle -8, Total: 48
The Saints look for double payback when they visit the top-seeded Seahawks in the NFC Divisional playoff round on Saturday.
Not only did New Orleans lose its only playoff trip to Seattle, 41-36 three seasons ago, but it was clobbered 34-7 at CenturyLink Field on Dec. 2. Seahawks QB Russell Wilson threw 3 TD passes and totaled 357 yards in that win, which was nearly double the 188 total yards the Saints gained that night. Although New Orleans compiled 434 total yards, including 185 on the ground, in last week’s road win at Philadelphia, Seattle allows just 254 total YPG (4.4 per play) at home this season, where it is 7-1 SU (5-3 ATS) and outscores visitors by an average score of 29 to 14. The Seahawks are also 11-0 ATS versus good passing teams (7+ YPA), and 15-3 ATS (83%) coming off a home win in the past three seasons. But the Saints have also thrived versus good offenses (24+ PPG), going 19-7 ATS (73%) against such teams under head coach Sean Payton. And since 2011, they are 15-6 ATS (71%) after gaining 6.5+ yards per play in their previous game. Seattle is in great shape injury-wise after the week off, with WR Percy Harvin (hip) expected to play for the first time since Nov. 17. New Orleans is concerned about two players who are both considered questionable for Saturday. RB Pierre Thomas missed the win over the Eagles because of a chest injury, while CB Keenan Lewis suffered a head injury in that victory.
The Saints have averaged 25.9 PPG and 402 total YPG this season, but those numbers drop considerably on the road where they score just 18.7 PPG with 364 total YPG. This includes a pathetic 2.6 yards per carry and 3.9 yards per pass attempt when they visited Seattle in Week 13. But New Orleans was outstanding in all facets on offense in last week's win at Philadelphia, scoring 26 points with 5.1 yards per carry and 8.3 yards per pass attempt. QB Drew Brees finished with 250 passing yards and 1 TD, but was picked off twice. The interceptions were quite out of character considering he is 6-4 in his playoff career where he's thrown for 3,230 yards (7.7 YPA), 23 TD and only 6 INT in these 421 pass attempts. These numbers also include going 39-for-60 for 404 yards (6.7 YPA), 2 TD and 0 INT in the playoff loss in Seattle after the 2010 season. The key to the passing offense is TE Jimmy Graham, who gained 1,215 yards and 16 TD in the regular season, but caught just three passes for 44 yards in last week's win. The Seahawks did a nice job containing him on Dec. 2, limiting him to three catches for 42 yards, but Graham did score the lone touchdown for his team. But the three main running backs -- Mark Ingram, Pierre Thomas and Darren Sproles -- could go nowhere against the talented Seahawks front seven in that Week 13 meeting, as the trio combined for 33 yards on 15 carries (2.2 YPC). It was a much different story last week when Ingram rumbled for 97 yards on just 18 carries (5.4 YPC) and a touchdown versus Philly, while Sproles gained 7.2 YPC and finished with 60 total yards from scrimmage. The Saints will need to sustain some long drives to stay in this game, and that is something they have done well all season, ranking fourth in the NFL in first downs (22.4 per game) and third in the league in third-down conversions (44%), leading to a 32:40 time of possession (3rd in NFL). The New Orleans defense hasn't been too bad on the road this year, allowing 22.6 PPG and 332 total YPG, but the run defense has surrendered 124 rushing YPG on 4.4 YPC away from home, while opposing passers are completing 65% of their throws for 208 YPG (7.1 YPA) in these road tilts. The Saints have also been unable to create turnovers, tallying a mere four takeaways in their past 10 games combined. However, they did post 49 sacks this season, good for fourth in the NFL. If they fail to rattle Seahawks QB Russell Wilson, he will pick them apart like he did last month when he was sacked only once.
Wilson has been outstanding this season (3,357 pass yards, 8.3 YPA, 26 TD, 9 INT), especially at home where he has a 103.8 passer rating with 8.4 YPA, 14 TD and 5 INT. But despite their 26.1 PPG (T-8th in NFL), the Seahawks rank only 26th in the league in passing offense (202 YPG). The probable return of WR Percy Harvin should give the air attack a boost, as his versatility creates huge mismatches. Wilson did not have Harvin for his huge Monday night game against New Orleans though, as he completed 4+ passes each to TE Zach Miller and WRs Doug Baldwin and Golden Tate. While these players are all capable receivers, this Seattle team leans most heavily on its ground game (137 rushing YPG, 4th in NFL), which Wilson contributes greatly to with 539 rushing yards on 5.6 YPC. RB Marshawn Lynch has done the most damage with 1,257 rushing yards on 4.2 YPC and 12 touchdowns. Although Lynch found little running room against the Saints in Week 13, finishing with just 45 yards on 16 carries (2.8 YPC), he had a monster game when the teams last met in the playoffs in January 2011. That day he rushed for 131 yards on just 19 carries (6.9 YPC) including an unbelievable 67-yard touchdown run that put the game out of reach in the fourth quarter. Seattle's defense has been relentless this year, as the unit leads the NFL in total defense (274 total YPG, 4.4 yards per play), scoring defense (14.4 PPG), passing defense (172 YPG, 5.8 YPA) and red-zone defense (36% TD rate). In addition to all the gaudy yardage numbers, the Seahawks do a tremendous job of creating turnovers. They have racked up multiple takeaways in 12 of 16 games this season, forcing 39 turnovers overall (21 at home). This has been accomplished because of a lock-down secondary (CB Richard Sherman leads the league with 8 INT) and a pass rush generating 44 sacks (T-8th in NFL).Comment
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Colts and Patriots meet again Saturday night
by Brian Graham
AFC Divisional Playoffs
Kickoff: Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET
Line: New England -7, Total: 52.5
After erasing a 28-point, second-half deficit to open the playoffs, the Colts hit the road on Saturday night to face the Patriots for the 11th straight season, including the fourth playoff meeting during this stretch.
Indy is riding high after its improbable 45-44 comeback win over the Chiefs last week, marking its fourth straight victory (SU and ATS). But it hasn’t won in Foxboro since 2006, allowing 40.3 PPG during three straight losses there, including a 59-24 thrashing last season. Colts QB Andrew Luck threw for 334 yards and 2 TD that game, but also tossed three interceptions. Patriots QB Tom Brady threw for 331 yards, 3 TD and 0 INT that day, improving to 10-4 (2-1 in playoffs) with 247 passing YPG, 27 TD and 12 INT in his career in this series. This year, Indy is a strong 5-3 SU (4-3-1 ATS) on the road, but New England is a perfect 8-0 SU (6-2 ATS) at home. Last week's comeback bodes well for the Colts on Saturday, as NFL road underdogs after trailing in their previous game by 21+ points at half, against an opponent after scoring 25+ points in two straight contests, are 34-13 ATS (72%) since 1983. However, since becoming the head coach of the Patriots, Bill Belichick is 24-6 ATS (80%) after gaining 150 or less passing yards in the previous game, and 25-14 ATS (64%) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. The Indianapolis injury report is pretty bare, with only DE Fila Moala (knee) questionable, but New England has been ravaged by injuries all season, and may not have the services of four starters who are all considered questionable -- WR Aaron Dobson (foot), G Logan Mankins (ankle) and CBs Devin McCourty (concussion) and Alfonzo Dennard (knee).
Indianapolis entered last week with just 14 turnovers committed all season, but coughed up the football four times in its victory last week. But the offense still managed to score 45 points with 536 total yards, including 488 from Luck (443 passing, 45 rushing) who threw 4 TD and recovered a fumble for a fifth touchdown. Luck really struggled on the road in his rookie season (70.1 passer rating, 11 TD, 13 INT), but this season, he has a strong 86.7 passer rating on the road with 11 TD and just 3 INT. That has helped his team score 24.0 PPG with 339 total YPG away from home. Since losing star WR Reggie Wayne to a season-ending knee injury, Luck has relied heavily on second-year pros WR T.Y. Hilton and TE Coby Fleener. He targeted the duo 25 times last week, resulting in 18 catches for 270 yards and three touchdowns. Hilton also had a huge day last season in Foxboro, finishing with six catches for 100 yards and two scores. Although the Colts were forced to abandon the running game to erase their large deficit last week, they still managed to rush for 100 yards on just 19 carries (5.3 YPC). During their four straight wins, the team has gained 117 YPG on 4.0 YPC. After rushing for 5.3 YPC during the regular season (3rd-best in NFL), RB Donald Brown gained 55 yards on 11 attempts last week. Defensively, the Colts were atrocious last Saturday, surrendering 44 points and 513 total yards. That is the fifth time the team has given up at least 33 points in a game this year, but they have also held five opponents to 10 points or less. Indy's defense has struggled both in defending the run (127 YPG on 4.5 YPC) and the pass (240 YPG on 7.0 YPA and 61% completions), but has helped itself out with 11 takeaways over the past six weeks. But the Patriots rarely turn the football over on their home field.
New England has committed just 10 giveaways at Gillette Field this season, but QB Tom Brady has thrown 13 interceptions over his past nine playoff games where he carries a 4-5 record. Overall in his playoff career though, Brady is a robust 14-7 with 5,377 passing yards (6.8 YPA), 41 TD and 21 INT. But in his three postseason meetings with Indy, he has posted pedestrian numbers of 204 passing YPG on 6.3 YPA, 3 TD and 2 INT. But despite the multitude of long-term injuries to the Patriots' offense this season, Brady has been able to lead his club to 27.7 PPG and 385 total YPG, including 30.4 PPG and 392 total YPG at home. He has completed multiple passes to 14 players, but his most reliable (and durable) target has been WR Julian Edelman who caught 105 passes for 1,056 yards and 6 TD this season. RB Shane Vereen has also been a valuable weapon with 635 total yards (79 per game) and 4 TD this season. New England is not just a pass-happy attack, as it has also run the football effectively this season with 129 rushing YPG on 4.4 YPC. RBs Stevan Ridley (773 rush yards, 4.3 YPC, 7 TD) and LeGarrette Blount (772 rush yards, 5.1 YPC, 7 TD) have both been effective, with Blount capping off his season with a herculean performance against the Bills in Week 17 when he rushed for 189 yards on 24 carries (7.9 YPC) and 2 TD, while adding another 145 yards on two kick returns. While the offense is in good shape, the defense has major questions. The Patriots only give up 21.1 PPG, but they allow 373 total YPG including 385 total YPG at home. Opponents have not only thrown for 239 YPG on 6.5 YPA, but they have run for 134 YPG on 4.5 YPC, numbers that spike to 147 rushing YPG on 4.9 YPC at Gillette Stadium. The defense has done a poor job on third downs (42%, 26th in NFL) and is average in red-zone defense (56%, 16th in league). However, the unit has been opportunistic this year by forcing multiple turnovers eight different times this season, including five times at home.Comment
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NFL weather report: An early look at Divisional Weekend
If you thought the frigid weather had an affect on last weekend's games, just wait till you see what's on tap for all four games of the NFL's Divisional Round this Saturday and Sunday. It may not be as cold, but watch out for plenty of wind, rain and maybe a little more snow.
New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks (-8, 45)
There is a 98 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the high-40s. There will be an 18 mph wind blowing towards the Northeastern corner of the field.
Indianapolis Cots at New England Patriots (-7, 51.5)
There is a 93 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the low-50s. There will be a 21 mph wind blowing toward the N end zone.
San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers (Pick'em, 41)
There is a five percent chance of rain with temperatures in the mid-50s. There will be a five mph wind blowing across the field.
San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (-10, 54)
There is an eight percent chance of rain with temperatures in the low-40s. There will be a 16 mph wind blowing across the field.Comment
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