11-23-08

[Mr. IWS]

Ron Raymond's 5* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK
Pick # 1 Buffalo Bills (-3.5)




RON RAYMOND'S 5* NFL UNDERDOG SPECIAL BEST BET PICK!
Pick # 1 San Francisco 49ers (10.0)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

M@linsky Sund@y

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4* Buffalo/KC Over 42
4* New England +1
4* Baltimore -1
6* Washington -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

Spylock
NCAA
DateTime Game Pick Stars


11/23/08 Connecticut Connecticut +3 3
8:05 PM South Florida -3






NFL
DateTime Game Pick Stars


11/23/08 Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings +2.5 1
1:05 PM Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5


11/24/08 Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers +2.5 3
8:40 PM New Orleans Saints -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

Norm Hitzges


UConn +3 vs South Florida

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

DOC NFL

5 Unit Play. #106 Take Detroit Lions over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 1:00 pm Fox) The Lions remain the only winless team in the NFL but have been much more competitive in recent weeks. They played the NFC South leaders tough for most of the game and the final score was not an indication of how close it actually was. The Lions beat Tampa Bay, 23-16 last year and will put forth a solid effort in this game. Tampa Bay still has a strong defense but a questionable offense and that will allow the Lions to keep this one close. Tampa Bay 20, Detroit 17.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

Norm Hitzges


NFL

Triple Play--Green Bay +2.5 vs New Orleans

Double Plays

Tennessee -5.5 vs NY Jats
Arizona/NY Giants Over 48


Single Plays

Kansas City +3 vs Buffalo
Detroit +8 vs Tampa Bay
Chicago -8 vs St. Louis
Cleveland/Houston Over 50
St. Louis/Chicago Over 43
Green Bay/New Orleans Over 51.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

Hsw

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7* New England

3 team parlay
New England
Carolina
Jacksonville

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

Bryan Leonard's NFL Game of the Year!

New England at Miami
Revenge is sweet or payback is a bitch. Choose whatever cliche you prefer but the Patriots want this game badly. In the first meeting the Dolphins put in the Wildcat offense and it took the Pats completely by surprise in a 38-13 Miami victory. That was the Patriot's worst loss since 2005 and started all the talk about New England being past their prime. Since that game New England has improved on a week to week basis and they are in much better shape to take on the Dolphins this time around. QB Cassel was starting for the just his second game the last time these two tangled. Now he is becoming a solid option behind center for New England. The defense which was taken back by the inovative Miami play calling has had plenty of time to prepare for a team they overlooked in the first meeting. After all, the Pats had just played in the Super Bowl while Miami was coming in off a 1-15 season. Bill Belichick is a master motivator and he has been absolutely terrific off a loss posting a 13-1 spread mark in the following game. Also because the Pats played last Thursday they have three extra days to prepare for this divisional rival. That loss last week was to the rival NY Jets and the Patriots are 15-2 ATS off a divisional loss. New England knows that this is a must win game as they can't afford to lose to Miami twice in one season because of the divisional tiebreakers. New England who hasn't lost back to back games the past two years is a focused team in need playing with embarrassing revenge.
Miami has been a pleasant surprise this season but they are a much better team in the underdog role. As a favorite or in the pick 'em range this isn't a team to be trusted. They have not looked good as of late despite playing nothing but creampuffs the likes of Seattle and Oakland the past two weeks. They will really be stepping up in class and we certainly feel they will be out of their element.
PLAY NEW ENGLAND

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions - Sunday November 23, 2008 1:00 pm
Detail: IC'S BIG NFC UNDERDOG POD!
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: Detroit Lions +9 (-130)





Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos - Sunday November 23, 2008 4:05 pm
Detail: IC'S AFC UNDERDOG WINNER!
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Oakland Raiders +10 (-125)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday, November 23, 2008
$49.00 Guaranteed Selection:

NFL 3 Pack

Must go 2-1 or money will be refunded

#201 New England PK 1:00PM EST

#203 San Francisco +9.5 1:00PM EST

#214 Atlanta -1 1:00PM EST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

Here's WUNDERDOG
Game: Houston at Cleveland (Sunday 11/23 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Houston +3 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 50.5 -110

The playoff chase for these teams has become a long shot at best. Each have had disappointing seasons to date, and will be fighting for a win here to keep some hope alive. Houston has struggled to be the same offense from last year. They produced 30+ points four times last season, but just once this season. While the offense has been productive at home, where they average 26.3 ppg, they have managed to be an ordinary offensive team on the road, where they are scoring just 20.8 ppg. It has always been a problem for this team, as they have now managed just 18.6 ppg on the road in their last 12. This is the reason the Browns are laying a field goal in this game. But, do the Browns really deserve to be favored? They won a nailbiter vs. Buffalo on Monday Night but despite a 4-0 turnover advantage, they nearly lost the game. This team seems to find ways to lose this year (a total reverse from last year). The Browns are 1-4 at home and have the kind of defense that will allow Sage Rosenfels to get comfortable. I like the points in a game that can easily go either way. I also like the UNDER in this one. The Browns have produced high scoring games of late, but the numbers may be a bit misleading. It took late game flourishes in their last two to produce high finals as 27 and 28 points were scored in the 4th quarter. These teams played in Cleveland last year to a similar total over 50, and played to a 44-point finish. I look for a similar game here. I'll back the Texans and the UNDER here.

Game: New England at Miami (Sunday 11/23 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Miami -1 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

How things have changed in the AFC East. Last year Miami was 1-15 and New England was 16-0. This season, the teams are tied at 6-4 and Miami is going for the season sweep. New England was a 12-point favorite in the first game and lost 38-13. Now Miami is favored and I like their chances. Throw out the prior stats and perceptions. Right now Miami is at least as good as New England. And, at home, they have a big advantage. Bill Belichick has a tough task in this one - how much should he prepare for the Wildcat offense? In their first meeting, he had no answer for it, leading to Miami's convincing win. He'll be more prepared here, but that means less prep time for Miami's standard offense. The Pats are still smarting on defense as Adalius Thomas Rodney Harrison are out and Ty Warren, Eric Alexander, Terrence Wheatley and Lewis Sanders are all day-to-day. This is the biggest game in Dolphin Stadium in years. I expect the atmosphere to be electric and for the Dolphins to make a statement.

Game: New York Giants at Arizona (Sunday 11/23 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 48 -110

Everyone is waiting for the Giants to expose a weakness, but none has yet appeared. They grind down defenses with a punishing 3-headed running game and when needed, Eli Manning makes a play. The defense has allowed 14 points or less in six of their ten games, having recorded 31 sacks already. Arizona has not seen too many top defenses. The Cards pour it on vs. weak defenses, but against very good ones, it's a different story. In the games vs. the top two they have played (Washington #4 and Carolina #8), Arizona scored the fewest points of the season (23 and 17). The Giants defense is better than both Washington and Carolina. While the offense gets all the press, the defense is underated in that it ranks 11th overall. The Giants are going to run as much as possible to extend drives, and keep the high-powered Zona offense off the field.The Giants are one of the top teams in time of possession, as they play defense for just an average of 26:52 a game. The Cards will not be running up and down the field here vs. the Giants, and their drives will take time. New York is 11-1 UNDER in their last twelve road games played to a total over 45. I like this one to go UNDER the total.

Game: San Francisco at Dallas (Sunday 11/23 1:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Francisco +10 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Tony Romo is back and so are the Cowboys. Or so the story goes. When Romo went down, Dallas lost two of three, scoring 14 ppg in the process. Upon his return they won. But, the Cowboys continued to struggle offensively, scoring 14 again. The fact remains that after their 5-1 start in which they averaged 29.4 ppg, the Cowboys have averaged just 15.8 per game while allowing 23.6. It's not yet clear to me that Dallas is out of the woods, even with Romo back. Without Felix Jones who is done for the season, and with TO completely stalled, this Dallas offense has looked more mediocre than great. The Boys are just 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. San Francisco's offense has produced more points per game on the season than Dallas. They should be able to score against this Cowboys defense - at least enough to keep this game close. This is just too many points to lay for a team with this many question marks.

Game: Oakland at Denver (Sunday 11/23 4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Oakland +9 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Denver is laying near double-digits? Hmmmm. Denver is 6-4 but this is not a 6-4 team. They were handed a win by Ed Hoculi in September and recorded close wins vs. New Orleans, Tampa Bay and Cleveland - all three of which could have easily been losses. They have given up 30+ points four times already and on the season and have scored fewer points (248) than they have allowed (271). I'm not saying Denver is a horrible team. They are simply a .500 team that has gotten a bit lucky, and laying this many points in a division game is out of whack. Their upset win vs. Atlanta last week sets this game up nicely as it gives Broncos-backers reason to believe. And, no one wants to be on Oakland right now. The Raiders certainly have their issues, but they have usually played Denver close, even at Mile High, even when the talent difference is bigger than it is this year. In the earlier meeting, Denver won in a blowout which means the Broncos could be a little overconfident and Oakland will be motivated to atone. While they lost, I was impressed by Oakland's showing vs. Miami last week. I think their offense will have success against this porous Denver defense. Denver has lost 67% of their home games ATS the past decade vs. losing teams and dating back to last year, they are 3-12 ATS as a favorite. I like Oakland to keep this close.

Game: Washington at Seattle (Sunday 11/23 4:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle +3.5 (-115) (risk 3 to win 2.6)

What has happened to the Skins? They opened the season looking great, winning four of their first five with the only loss coming to the Giants. Since then they have gone just 2-3 however with wins coming over Cleveland and Detroit. In their last five games they have averaged just 14.4 points per game. Last week, despite Clinton Portis playing, they managed just 10 points against a weak Dallas defense. I was on Seattle last week, assuming with Hasselbeck, Branch and Engram back, the Seattle offense would again be clicking. That prediction was at least a week too early but this could be the week for the Seahawks. I do expect the offense to perform better here. The Skins are just 2-10 ATS the past three seasons vs. losing teams. In their last 15 games as a road favorite of a field goal or more, they are just 3-12 ATS. I just don't think a team that is struggling offensively as much as Washington should be favored on the road and I'll back the home dog here.

Game: Carolina at Atlanta (Sunday 11/23 4:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Atlanta -1 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Atlanta dropped a tough game at home vs. Denver last week. One thing this team has been able to do is shake off a loss and come storming back the next week. The Falcons are 3-0 SU and ATS after a loss with a margin of winning of 17 ppg. I expect the Falcons to bring it here, especially given that this game is a huge measuring stick against the 8-2 Panthers. Yes, the Panthers are 8-2, but they have not beaten anyone of significance on the road all season. In their last game against Oakland on the road they were lucky to come away with a win, as they turned the ball over continuously. Atlanta is not Oakland and a similar performance will get the Panthers blown out of the building. Carolina scored just 30 points in their last three road games at Minnesota, Oakland and Tampa Bay. The three-game offensive output is not pretty as the Panthers totalled 705 yards, or just 235 yards per game. The Carolina defense has been stiff, but allows nearly 4 yards per carry on the ground. The Falcons should be able to move the chains, as their running game at home has been unstoppable, producing 160.4 ypg. This is a statement game for the Falcons, and the Panthers have shown vulnerability on the road. I'll grab the Falcons to get it done here.

Game: Indianapolis at San Diego (Sunday 11/23 8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 49.5 -110

This total reflects reputation and perception more than current reality. When you think of Indianapolis and San Diego, you think of offense. The Colts offense has been a machine over the last five years. They have not finished lower than 5th best in each of the past five years. The Chargers, after three straight years with a top 10 offense, slipped out last year. But this year is different! This year the Colts are in the bottom half of the league and the Chargers are ranked 14th in total offense. Totals in this range in the NFL are reserved for top offenses, not the perception of top offenses. The Chargers have had their moments but five of their last six games have gone UNDER. They have managed to score 20 or less in four of them, and just 15 ppg in their last two. The defense has also allowed only 15 ppg in the last two as well. The Colts have scored 24 or less in seven of their ten games. Last year they scored 24 or more in 10 games, a mark they can't achieve this year even with six games remaining. This total is way too high, and isn't based on what these teams are doing this year. I'll back the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

RON RAYMOND'S 5* CFL GREY CUP PICK!

Pick # 1Montreal Alouettes (-2.0)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

Frank Patron

30000 Unit Lock #30

Denver Broncos -8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-23-08

atslocks.com

New England +1.5 @ Miami: New England +1.5 (15 unit play)

NY Jets @ Tennessee Over/Under 40.5: Over 40.5 (15 unit play)

Tampa Bay @ Detroit +7.5: Detroit +7.5 (5 unit play)

Houston @ Cleveland Over/Under 50.5: Under 50.5 (Free play)

Depaul @ UIC -3.5: UIC -3.5 (10 unit play)

Washington Wizards @ NY Knicks Over/Under 206: Under 206 (15 unit play)

[Guest]

Re: 11-23-08

Bob Balfe
Sunday NFL Comp Play (18-7 YTD!)
Buffalo -3 over Kansas City
On paper the Bills matchup unbelievable on offense against this KC defense. The offensive line has a huge size advantage which should help the Bills run the ball and pass the ball with ease today. This game is too important for Buffalo to lose. The Chiefs are a better team at home, but I do not think they can keep up scoring today. This should be a pretty entertaining game with more points then people think. Look for Buffalo to get a big win on the road. Take the Bills.