9-21-13

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Sports Betting Professor Original NCAAF
Games with an * next to them are the strict system bets.

1 PM
326. Eastern Michigan +10*
7:30 PM
382. San Diego St. +8.5*

Rest of Games
318. Army +2.5
329. Marshall +10
361. Louisiana Tech +10.5
370. Akron +6
347. Hawaii +7
386. UTEP +3
388. Indiana +2.5
344. Air Force +5

2013 Sports Betting Professor NCAAF Original System
System (3-gm chase): 6-1
Overall picks: 17-18-2, -2.8 units
System Plays straight up: 6-8, -2.8 units
'Other Plays straight up: 11-10-2, +0.0 units
Fade all plays straight up: 18-17-2, -0.7 units

2012 Sports Betting Professor NCAAF Original System
System (3-gm chase): 29-4
Overall picks: 96-104-6, -18.4 units
System Plays straight up: 29-30, -4.0 units
'Other Plays straight up: 67-74-6, -14.4 units
Fade all plays straight up: 104-96-6, -1.9 units
Fade System Plays straight up: -1.9 units
Fade 'Other Plays straight up: +0.3 units

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB CHI WHITE SOX at DETROIT

Play On - Any team (DETROIT) terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, in September games
174-105 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.4% 58.8 units )
42-45 this year. ( 48.3% -7.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB MINNESOTA at OAKLAND

MINNESOTA is 57-46 (+32.4 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.2)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA LOS ANGELES at PHOENIX

Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game
202-121 since 1997. ( 62.5% 68.9 units )
27-15 this year. ( 64.3% 10.5 units )

WNBA LOS ANGELES at PHOENIX

Play Against - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LOS ANGELES) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games
63-29 since 1997. ( 68.5% 0.0 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at WASHINGTON

Play Against - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (ATLANTA) an explosive offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good offensive team (72-76 PPG), after allowing 70 points or more in 4 straight games
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

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Bankroll Sports

2* Pittsburgh/Duke - Over 51 (CFB)

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LINE CHANGERS

CFB

5* San Jose State +4.5
5* Maryland -4
3* Michigan -19
3* LA Lafayette-6
1* Marshal +9.5
1* Wisconsin -22

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BOB BALFE

CFB
Pittsburgh -4.5 over Duke
Gamblers will look back to week 1 when the Seminoles and their freshman QB threw all over this Pitt Defense which actually is pretty good. People soon found out that is no ordinary freshman under center for FSU. Duke is a young football team that is now on their backup quarterback only 3 games into the year. Pitt has weapons on offense and they have a very capable quarterback. Again, this is a Duke team in a rebuilding year and the loss of Boone is going to slow things up. Take Pittsburgh.

Michigan -20 over UConn
You can breakdown Michigan’s close win against Akron as much as you would like. They simply just thought they had to show up to win that game and it almost cost them. UConn is not balanced. They are last in the nation at running the ball. This Huskies team has a couple decent receivers, but again when the defense knows the ball is going in the air it’s a different story. Simply put Michigan has too good of a coach to play down to the competition two weeks in a row. This is a statement game. If they are not covering this spread by the end of the half I would be shocked. Michigan will not let off the gas in this game. Take the Wolverines

Maryland -6 over West Virginia
WVU has owned Maryland in the past so why are the Terps a decent size favorite? Simple. They are the better team. Maryland gets after the QB and in fact has the most sacks in the nation. This is WVU offense that is in rebuild mode to begin with and the WVU defense is below average. Today is the day Maryland gets to beat their rival at home in front of their home fans. They have to win this game. The Terps have 5 or 6 running backs who are having very good seasons so far. They have the more dominate offensive weapons on the field and by far are the better defense. Take Maryland.

New Mexico State 42.5 over UCLA
UCLA has been on an emotional rollercoaster the last few weeks. They had a player pass away and came out flat in Nebraska only to turn it on and dominate that game the final 3 quarters. They now are back home and will be playing their first home game since their player’s death. It will be emotional and simply put this is a classic letdown game parlayed with UCLA probably allowing their freshman to get a lot of playing time If they do get a big lead they will pull their starters. There is no reason to run up the score today. New Mexico State will be going with a QB change today, but they really are not that bad in the air. This defense is brutal. I expect UCLA to run away with this early, but I think this point spread is just a little too high. Look for UCLA to run a basic vanilla offense just to get out of the game injury free. If New Mexico State can score a touchdown at some point I think they cover. Take New Mexico State.

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Betting As A Business

San Diego St. +8 / Oregon St. 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON San Diego St.)

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Ben Burns Breakfast Club Blowout

Georgia Tech

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Scott Spreitzer Dog Pound GOW

San Jose State

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RightSideValuePlays

Free play CFB

Ball St -10

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Matt Fargo 10* Ultimate Underdog

Airforce

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ATS Lock Club
7 units Penn State
7 units Cincinnati
1 unit parlay-Penn State/Cincinnati
6 units Texas
5 units Oregon st
5 units Troy

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Marc Lawrence

rice
colo st
sdst

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XpertPicks

SATURDAY BASEBALL

· Play Los Angeles Dodgers -160 over San Diego (TOP MLB PLAY)
8:40 PM EST

Clayton Kershaw has won 16 of the last 20 games when pitching on a Saturday and he has won 53 of the last 81 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less. Clayton Kershaw has won 57 of the last 89 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has an ERA of 1.94 in all starts this season.

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL -Saturday

4* Best Bet = MARYLAND
3* = BAYLOR
3* = SYRACUSE
2* = San Diego State
2* = Wyoming