9-1-13

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NCAA Football Game Picks

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 1 Time Posted: 2:00 p.m. EST (8/23)

Game 215-215: Ohio at Louisville (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 73.274; Louisville 96.430 Dunkel Line: Louisville by 23; 54 Vegas Line: Louisville by 20 1/2; 58 Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-20 1/2); Under

Game 216-217: Colorado vs. Colorado State (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 74.504; Colorado State 74.376 Dunkel Line: Even; 53 Vegas Line: Colorado State by 2 1/2; 48 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+2 1/2); Over

OTHER GAMES: Time Posted: 5:00 p.m. EST (8/26)

Mississippi Valley State vs. Florida A&M (11:45 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi Valley State 47.528; Florida A&M 49.598 Dunkel Line: Florida A&M by 2

Bethune-Cookman at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bethune-Cookman 63.042; Tennessee State 62.066 Dunkel Line: Bethune-Cookman by 1

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DCI College Football

The Daniel Curry Index
Week 1 Scores/Predictions

Sunday, September 1, 2013
FBS Non-Conference
Ohio at LOUISVILLE, 3:30 pm ET LOUISVILLE 35.7, Ohio 17.6
Colorado at COLORADO STATE, 6:00 pm ET Colorado State 32.0, Colorado 29.7

FCS Non-Conference
Mississippi Valley State at FLORIDA A&M, 11:45 am ET Florida A&M 13.4, Mississippi Valley State 9.6
Bethune-Cookman at TENNESSEE STATE, 8:00 pm ET Bethune-Cookman 24.8, TENNESSEE STATE 23.2

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CFL

Week 10

Winnipeg (1-7) @ Saskatchewan (7-1)—Mismatch here, as Bombers are in disarray while Riders having dream season so far; Winnipeg lost last six games (1-4 vs spread last five) getting housed by Hamilton 37-28/37-14 last two weeks. Bombers are 3-1 as road dogs, though, losing away games by 5-7-23 points—road team covered seven of their eight games this year. Saskatchewan won nine of last ten series games, streak that started with ’07 Grey Cup; Bombers lost last eight visits here by average score of 33-13 (lost 27-7/52-0 here last two years). Riders are 0-3 vs spread since their bye; they’re 2-1 as home favorites, winning on Taylor Field by 15-37-3 points. Over is 3-1-1 in last five Winnipeg games, 5-3 in Saskatchewan games, but 3-5 in last eight series games. Underdogs covered five of last six series games.

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Today's CFL Picks

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (8/27) Game 233-234: Winnipeg at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 106.192; Saskatchewan 118.035
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 12; 49
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 14 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+14 1/2); Under

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Stephen Nover | CFB Total - Sunday, Sep 1 2013 6:00PM
217 Colorado / 218 Colorado St.OVER49.0 Bookmaker.com double-dime bet

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Andy Iskoe CFB Side Sun, 09/01/13 - 3:30 PM

double-dime bet - 215 Ohio 20.5 (-110) vs 216 Louisville

Analysis:
Louisville is a fashionable choice to be this season's BCS Buster with a talented roster and favorable schedule. They are the clear favorite to win the watered down American Athletic Conference (formerly the Big East) and may well not face a ranked team until they travel to Cincinnati to end the regular season. They are well coached with coach Strong producing winning seasons in each of his three seasons at the helm, including 11-2 last season. They have an experienced QB with Bridgewater mentioned as a possible Heisman Trophy candidate. But unlike past seasons when Louisville was the hunter the Cardinals are now the hunted, burdened by the weight of those lofty expectations. Ohio U also has a talented QB (Tettleton) and a coach (Solich) who won a National Title back in the day (Nebraska). Ohio was on the verge of an outstanding season in 2012 before numerous injuries took a great toll. Still, the Bobcats went 9-4 which followed up their 10-4 2011 campaign. They've been to 4 straight Bowls, winning the last 2 and are projected to again be a contender in the MAC. Louisville deserves to be solid favorites in this game but Ohio will compete with a well balanced offense and competent defense.

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Sunday English Breakfast: EPL betting cheat sheet

Sunday's Premier League fixture list features a pair of the most hotly-contested rivalries in all of English football as Man United travels to Anfield and a new chapter will be written in the North London Derby.

We talk to Aron Black at bet365 to find where action is on some of the hotter fixtures.

Liverpool v Manchester United (+160, +240, +188)

Why bet Liverpool: The Reds have nabbed a full six points from their first two matches to open the season and the victories have been spearheaded by new keeper Simon Mignolet. The Belgian has not allowed a goal and has made some spectacular saves to begin live between the posts with Liverpool. Striker Luis Suraez is still out due to suspension, but the their attacking trio of of Daniel Sturridge, Iago Aspas and Philippe Coutinho always look threatening with the ball.

Key players out/doubtful: Luis Suárez, Kolo Touré, Sebastián Coates, Aly Cissokho, Joe Allen

Why bet Manchester United: Amid a flurry of transfer rumors, Wayne Rooney made his debut for the Red Devils versus Chelsea in the 0-0 draw Monday. He should figure in David Moyes' starting XI in the hole behind scoring-machine Robin van Persie Sunday. United have not lost any of their previous 13 away matches and will look to keep that streak alive versus their bitter rival.

Key players out/doubtful: Rafael, Javier Hernández, Nani, Darren Fletcher

2012-13 fixture result: Liverpool 1, Man United 2

Key betting note: The 2-1 victory at Anfield last season was the first game that United won away to Liverpool in five seasons.

Where the action is: "Nothing would suit the Anfield faithful more than taking three points from their bitter rivals, but the draw looks the bet here. United looked like they were afraid to lose against Chelsea at home, and it would appear that they may use the same tact Sunday. The action is siding with the bigger priced visitors, although Liverpool is seeing some support."


West Brom v Swansea (+170, +240, +180)

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies have mustered one point from their first two matches, but news has gotten worse. The club could be without keeper Ben Foster for up to three months so Luke Daniels could be making his debut here. On the plus side, new arrival Scott Sinclair could figure in this game to face his old club. Sinclair should provide a much-needed threat going forward for West Brom.

Key players out/doubtful: Zoltán Gera, George Thorne, Ben Foster

Why bet Swansea: The Swans currently rank dead last in the table after a pair of losses to United and Tottenham. The Welsh outfit were better against Spurs one week ago and will look to bank three points against the Baggies. The Swans are a much better side than their record would indicate and boast more firepower than their opponents.

Key players out/doubtful: Nathan Dyer, Neil Taylor

2012-13 fixture result: West Brom 2, Swansea 1

Key betting note: Dating back to last season, West Brom haven't scored a goal in their last five Premier League games.


Arsenal v Tottenham (+120, +250, +250)

Why bet Arsenal: The Gunners have won the last two home meetings with their North London rivals 5-2 each time. Despite a lengthy injury list, Arsenal are still capable of scoring with anyone. Striker Olivier Giroud has a pair of goals through the first two matches and is hitting his stride early.

Key players out/doubtful: Thomas Vermaelen, Vassiriki Abou Diaby, Lukas Podolski, Mikel Arteta, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain

Why bet Tottenham: With last year's hero Gareth Bale gone (though an announcement won't be made until closer to the close of the window), Spurs have a basically revamped squad. The club has done a shrewd bit of business using money to ensure depth all over the pitch. Spurs are off to a great start to the campaign with six points from their first two matches, but have yet to score from open play. The new signings need time to gel but Andre Villas-Boas will look at the NLD for pieces to click.

Key players out/doubtful: Benoit Assou-Ekotto, Aaron Lennon

2012-13 fixture result: Arsenal 5, Spurs 2

Key betting note: 13 of the previous 14 matches between these two clubs have gone over the 2.5 goal total.

Where the action is: "All in all, the price about Arsenal in such a big derby looks too short, so I expect Spurs to come down towards that +225 range by kickoff. One thing is for sure – the punters love the over 2.5 goals at -143 in this game as they have for every game that both Arsenal and Tottenham have played so far."

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60 Percent Guaranteed

CFB

Colorado St. -3

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Norm Hitzges

Single Play --- Ohio +20 1/2 Louisville

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Chicago Syndicate Top Plays

MLB Game of the Year - Detroit Tigers -155

Cardinals/Pirates Over 8
Reds -117
Orioles +105

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LA Syndicate Top Plays

CFB - Colorado/Colorado State Over 48.5

MLB
Diamondbacks
Mariners
Angels

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Bombers at Roughriders: What bettors need to know

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-14.5, 53.5)

The Saskatchewan Roughriders are off to their best start since 1970, when they won a franchise-record 14 regular-season games. On Sunday, Saskatchewan hosts the first game of a home-and-home series against the lowly Winnipeg Blue Bombers, who are mired in a six-game losing skid. Roughriders running back Kory Sheets surpassed 1,000 rushing yards faster than any player in CFL history last week and remained on pace to shatter the single-season rushing record with 139 yards and two touchdowns in a 30-27 victory over the Edmonton Eskimos.

Winnipeg is hoping a roster overhaul can salvage its season, which has already seen the dismissal of general manager Joe Mack. The Blue Bombers added former Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Mike Sims-Walker and released slotback Isaac Anderson and kicker Justin Palardy as coach Tim Burke vowed more changes could be on the way if play does not improve. New offensive coordinator Marcel Bellefeuille has his hands full fixing an offense that has produced a league-low 167 points and lacks a suitable starting quarterback - and the league-best Roughriders defense will not make things any easier for him.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (1-7): Quarterbacks Max Hall, Buck Pierce and Justin Goltz all took snaps during Winnipeg’s 37-14 loss to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last week. Hall started but left in the first quarter with an injury to his passing hand, while Pierce is also listed as day-to-day with an undisclosed ailment. Goltz is 50-for-88 passing with two touchdown passes and three interceptions this season. Defensive end Alex Hall has 11 sacks - four more than anyone else in the league.

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (7-1): Quarterback Darian Durant is having a career year with 17 touchdowns, no interceptions and a 67.7 completion percentage. Durant’s favorite target remains slotback Weston Dressler, who has 527 receiving yards. Slotback Chris Getzlaf is on pace to match his production from 2011, when he set career-highs in receiving yards (1,071) and touchdowns (10). Linebacker Renauld Williams leads the team in tackles (36) and sacks (six), while safety Tyron Brackenridge and defensive back Dwight Anderson have two interceptions apiece.

TRENDS:

* The Blue Bombers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* The Roughriders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
* The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Saskatchewan.
* The Blue Bombers are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Saskatchewan.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Roughriders are 4-0 against East Division opponents.

2. Saskatchewan LB Weldon Brown was fined an undisclosed amount for an illegal hit to the head of Edmonton QB Mike Reilly in last week’s game.

3. Winnipeg RB Chad Simpson has 552 rushing yards - 506 fewer than Sheets.

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Sunday's NCAAF betting cheat sheet

Ohio Bobcats at Louisville Cardinals (-20.5, 58)

With Heisman Trophy hopeful Teddy Bridgewater under center and a schedule that bodes well for the potential for an undefeated campaign, No. 9 Louisville begins the season with national championship aspirations when the Cardinals host Ohio in Sunday's season opener. The Cardinals enter the season with their highest preseason ranking ever, looking to build off a Sugar Bowl victory over Florida last January. The Bobcats, who are picked to win the Mid-American Conference East Division, might be Louisville's toughest non-conference test.

The Bobcats have opened the season with victories the past three years, including an upset of Penn State last year, but they haven't played a top-10 team since taking on then-No. 2 Ohio State in 2010. "This may be the most complete football team (we've played) since I've been here," Ohio coach Frank Solich told reporters. "They have a combination of things that I think we have not faced before in our time here at Ohio." The teams have split four all-time meetings but haven't clashed since Ohio's 22-15 victory in 1959.

Key betting stat: The Bobcats are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.

Weather watch: The forecast is calling for temperatures in the low-90s with a 45 percent chance of thunderstorms in Louisville.


Colorado Buffaloes at Colorado State Rams (-3, 48.5)

Mike MacIntyre, who led San Jose State to a 11-2 record and a Military Bowl victory over Bowling Green, makes his Colorado head coaching debut against Colorado State on Sunday in what is called “The Rocky Mountain Showdown.” MacIntyre, who replaced Jon Embree, takes over a Buffaloes’ team that finished just 1-11 a year ago with the only victory by one point - 35-34, at Washington State. The Buffaloes bring an eight-game losing streak into the contest, the fourth longest in the FBS.

Colorado State begins its second season under Jim McElwain, who was the offensive coordinator for Alabama’s 2011 national championship team before leaving to take over in Fort Collins. The Rams won last year’s meeting, 22-17, and are attempting to record back-to-back wins over their in-state rivals for the first time since 1999-2000. The Sunday afternoon contest is played at a neutral site, Sports Authority Park at Mile High in Denver, home stadium for the NFL's Denver Broncos.

Key betting stat: The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Weather watch: Temperatures in Arvada will be in the high-80s with a 21 percent chance of showers.

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Sunday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Sunday's American League games:

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees (-112, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Yankees left-hander Andy Pettitte has won three consecutive starts while surrendering just one earned run over 19 2/3 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: New York OF Curtis Granderson is just 1-for-8 with four strikeouts lifetime against Orioles left-hander Wei-Yin Chen.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 50 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Yankees are 10-1 in Pettitte's last 11 home starts against Baltimore.


Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays (+128, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Royals right-hander James Shields leads the American League with 22 quality starts, including one in each of his previous four starts.

Hot batting stat: Blue Jays DH Adam Lind has belted five home runs in 49 career at-bats against Shields, the most of any Toronto player.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-0 in Toronto starter J.A. Happ's last six home starts against a team with a winning record.


Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers (-152, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Justin Verlander is 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA and five home runs allowed over his last four starts.

Cold batting stat: Cleveland OF Nick Swisher and SS Asdrubal Cabrera have combined to strike out 42 times in 114 at-bats against Verlander.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Indians have won eight of their last nine Sunday games.


Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox (-225, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: Red Sox left-hander Felix Doubront has posted back-to-back quality starts, surrendering just three runs in 14 2/3 combined innings against San Francisco and Baltimore.

Hot batting stat: White Sox 2B Jeff Keppinger is 4-for-10 with a homer against Doubront.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 70 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The road team is 8-1 in umpire Angel Hernandez's last nine games behind home plate.


Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros (+132, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Hisashi Iwakuma is 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 19 innings against Houston this season.

Cold batting stat: Astros OF Chris Carter is 2-for-10 with five strikeouts against Iwakuma.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with a 20 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-1-1 in Iwakuma's last eight Sunday starts.


Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers (-200, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Twins right-hander Kevin Correia is 1-3 with a 4.25 ERA over his last six starts, all coming against American League Central opponents.

Cold batting stat: Rangers OF Alex Rios has just one hit in eight career at-bats against Correia, while OF Jeff Baker is 2-for-9 with five strikeouts.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-90s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Minnesota is 0-8 in Correia's last eight starts on four days' rest.


Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland A's (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Roberto Hernandez was solid in his previous outing against Oakland back on April 21, limiting the Athletics to a run on three hits over six innings of an 8-1 win.

Hot batting stat: Oakland OF Yoenis Cespedes has doubled in his only two at-bats against Hernandez.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-1 in Oakland starter A.J. Griffin's last 11 starts against a team with a winning record.


** Odds courtesy BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 8:29 p.m. ET Saturday.