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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat The two teams with the longest winning streaks in the NBA square off in an excellent non-conference contest on ESPN Friday when the Miami Heat (41-14, 29-26 ATS) host the Memphis Grizzlies (38-18, 32-23-1 ATS) at American Airlines Arena in Miami at 8:05 ET. The Heat own the league's longest winning streak right now at 12 straight games while the Grizzlies have the second longest at eight straight. With that said, only one of these teams has the hottest player on the planet and LeBron James probably gives the Heat the edge over any team in the league right now no matter how stiff the defense.James recently became the first player in NBA history to score at least 30 points and shoot at least 60 percent from the field in six straight games, and he had 40 points, 16 assists and eight rebounds in a double overtime win over the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. During the 12-game winning streak, James is averaging 29.8 points, 8.3 assists and 7.6 rebounds with two triple-doubles, and his shooting percentage for the entire season is now up to 56.8 percent. He has keyed a Miami offense that ranks fifth in the NBA in scoring with 103.9 points per game while leading the league in field goal percentage at 49.7 percent and ranking third in three-point shooting, and the Heat also lead the league in offensive efficiency with 110.9 points per 100 possessions. Miami has topped 100 points in all but two games during the winning streak, and it scored 99 points in one of the other games and the defense came up huge in the other in an 86-67 win at Chicago. Finally this is a revenge spot for the Heat, who lost 104-86 in Memphis way back in November.The Grizzlies have been winning with the polar opposite approach, as Memphis stresses defense. In fact, the Grizzlies have been going back and forth with the Indiana Pacers for the best scoring defense in the NBA, and Memphis is now back in first at 89.5 points per game following a 90-84 win over the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. The Grizzlies have allowed 100 points only once during their eight-game winning streak, and they have been especially suffocating over the last five games while allowing a microscopic 82.2 points per game on 41.3 percent shooting! The problem here though is that James and the Miami offense seem practically unstoppable right now and the Grizzlies lack the firepower to keep pace in a shootout, as they have not exceeded 90 points in any of their last four wins. Memphis improved a bit offensively immediately after Rudy Gay was traded, but their acquisition Tayshaun Prince is now down to 8.9 points per game in a Memphis uniform as the Grizzlies are 27th in the league in scoring at 93.3 points per game.The home teams are 15-5 ATS in the last 20 head-to-head meetings including the Heat going 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami. The Heat are 8-4 ATS during their 12-game winning streak.
Pick: OVER 186.5
4-STAR TORONTO +2 over Indiana - Following a nice winning streak, we don't see Indiana coming out overly motivated here. They had their big game in the spotlight last night and came up short. With a high seed in the East still well in hand, the Pacers can afford to take a couple nights off and we see this being one of them.
Indiana had won five straight games before falling last night, 99-91 to the Clippers. The Pacers are 0-14 ATS (-6.8 ppg) since January 15, 2007 off a home loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak.
Danny Granger scored 12 points coming off the bench but Indiana was led by David West with 22. The Pacers are 0-10 ATS (-11.0 ppg) since December 29, 2010 with no rest after a loss in which Danny Granger was not the Pacers' high scorer.
Toronto lost Wednesday night in Cleveland, 103-92. Playing their fourth game in five nights they shot a dreadful 2-of-20 on threes. The Raptors are 9-0 ATS (8.3 ppg) since January 17, 1997 with at least one day of rest after a double digit road loss in which they shot at least twenty three-pointers and made less than a 25% of them.
Amir Johnson had a solid game going 5-of-8 from the field but couldn't do enough. The Raptors are 6-0 ATS (3.6 ppg) since November 18, 2012 at home after a loss on the road in which Amir Johnson took fewer than 10 shots.
When these teams met in Indiana three weeks ago, Toronto pulled off the 100-98 upset in OT. The Pacers are 0-7 ATS (-7.1 ppg) since January 23, 2006 as a road favorite when facing a team they lost to at home in their previous same-season match-up.
Indiana had led that game most of the way including by six at halftime. The Pacers are 0-9-1 ATS (-10.7 ppg) since March 07, 2009 when seeking revenge for a home loss in which they led at the half.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: TORONTO 99, Indiana 90
4.5-STAR Detroit and New Orleans Under 193.5 - This should be a competitive game and both teams are going to want to crack down on defense for a chance to win. New Orleans in particular should look to play slow after the disaster last game and we see that being success for them at home.
There has been a precedent for these teams going under previously. The Hornets are 0-8-1 OU (-9.6 ppg) since February 06, 2004 at home versus the Pistons.
Detroit enters off a 96-95 win in Washington Wednesday. They pushed open a huge lead in the third quarter then held on for dear life in the fourth. Teams coming off a 1-2 point win where they had led by at least 15 points are 95-143 OU.
Detroit had just five offensive rebounds to extend possessions in that game. The Pistons are 0-6 OU (-21.2 ppg) since February 10, 2006 on the road after a win in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds.
They did a fantastic job of sharing the ball however, with 35 assists on 39 baskets. The Pistons are 0-6 OU (-17.6 ppg) since April 04, 2000 on the road after a game on the road in which they had at least thirty assists.
New Orleans enters off a 119-74 loss to Oklahoma City Wednesday. They shot just 35.1% from the field in the defeat. The Hornets are 0-6-1 OU (-11.6 ppg) since March 14, 2003 as a favorite after a double digit loss in which they shot at least 10 percentage points lower than their season-to-date average.
They also only grabbed 25 rebounds from a hot shooting Thunder team. Teams which grabbed 26 or fewer rebounds last game are 119-149-4 OU.
They weren't in the game very long and as such a starter like Greivis Vasquez played just 25 minutes. The Hornets are 0-6 OU (-11.2 ppg) since March 28, 2012 with at least a day of rest after a loss in which Greivis Vasquez played fewer than 30 minutes.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: NEW ORLEANS 92, Detroit 85
4-STAR Atlanta -4 over PHOENIX - Phoenix put everything they had into winning Wednesday night and it was an impressive one. However with a long break ahead after tonight's game we don't see them coming in focused here.
Phoenix does not play again until Wednesday after this game. The Suns are 0-10 ATS (-6.0 ppg) since December 25, 2008 home with 3+ days rest upcoming.
Wednesday night they pulled off likely the biggest upset of the year with a 105-101 overtime win in San Antonio as 15.5-pt dogs. They were led by Jermaine O'Neil with 22 off the bench. Marcin Gortat scored just seven. The Suns are 0-6 ATS (-5.0 ppg) since February 03, 2012 with at least a day of rest after a win on the road in which Marcin Gortat was not the Suns' high scorer.
Jared Dudley also started but scored just six points in the bench dominated game. The Suns are 0-9 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since February 04, 2011 at home with at least a day of rest after a win in which Jared Dudley took fewer than 10 shots.
Atlanta won Wednesday night impressively, 102-91 in Utah. They committed just nine turnovers in the game. The Hawks are 10-0-1 ATS (7.8 ppg) since April 08, 2009 as a road favorite after a win in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was at least eight.
Yet somehow, Al Horford had four of those while contributing just three of Atlanta's 23 assists. The Hawks are 9-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since April 12, 2010 on the road after a win in which Al Horford had more turnovers than assists. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Atlanta 102, PHOENIX 90
15 Units
Warriors (+4) over Celtics
Prediction: Golden State by 5-6
Comments: Golden State has had a rough month on the road in February, going 1-7, but I just have the gut feeling they will get it done tonight in Boston. Forward David Lee (19.04 points, 11.04 rebounds per game) returns from a one-game suspension and is in his best form of the season. Guard Stephen Curry has never been better, scoring 54 points at the Knicks in his last game and 38 in the game before that at Indiana. The Celtics should be well rested, having not played since a 110-107 overtime win at Utah, but that sometimes works against an aging teach such as Boston. My money says youth, offensive fire power and a much-improved defense gets it done for Golden State tonight.
25 Units
Harvard (+6) over Princeton
Prediction: Harvard by 4-5
Comments: This is another of those college basketball games in which each team grades out with a 50% chance to win straight up—and that makes taking Harvard +6 as an automatic. Harvard comes into this game 9-1 in the Ivy League and can all but wrap up the conference championship and the automatic bid to the NCAA that goes with it with a win. Meantime Princeton is in second place at 7-2 and certainly could make the race interesting with a win. When these teams played the first time this season, in Cambridge, Harvard won, 69-57, as a 1 ½-point favorite. It also is of note the Crimson has been tough on the road against top-flight competition this season. Harvard has signature road wins at California, 67-62, and at Boston College, 79-63. Even more impressive than those road wins were two losses where Harvard performed extremely well, losing 60-50 at Memphis (24-4) and three games before that at St. Mary’s (25-5), 70-69. Both teams will come to play but the edge belongs to Harvard.
NBA Game of Week
50 Units
Rockets (-8½) over Magic
Prediction: Rockets by 14-15
Comments: If ever a team was in the right spot at the right time, it is the Houston Rockets. They have everything but the home court going for them tonight and that has not proved to be any big edge for this dreadful Orlando team this season. Factor into the equation the fact Houston blew 17-point leads to lose each of its last two games and that means the Rockets are in one of the strongest bounce-back modes of the entire NBA season. The incentive factor is also driving Houston. They are just one-half game behind Utah for the 7th NBA West playoff spot and just a few games in front of the 9th-place Los Angeles Lakers for the 8th spot. Every single thing points to a giant Houston win tonight and I am confident of a blowout win.
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