12-7-12

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Lakers at Thunder: What bettors need to know

Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder (-7.5, 211)

Oklahoma City doesn’t have the NBA’s best record but the Thunder are certainly the hottest team in the league entering Friday’s home contest against the up-and-down Los Angeles Lakers. Oklahoma City is looking for its seventh consecutive victory and its record is tied for second-best in the league behind the Memphis Grizzlies. Los Angeles hasn’t discovered its groove under recently hired coach Mike D'Antoni and is just 2-5 on the road.

Lakers star Kobe Bryant became the fifth player in NBA history to reach 30,000 career points when he scored 29 points in Wednesday’s victory over the New Orleans Hornets. Los Angeles was expected to flourish with center Dwight Howard joining Bryant but has just one three-game winning streak all season. Oklahoma City notched a 117-111 road win over the Brooklyn Nets on Tuesday, shooting a season-high 60.6 percent while scoring 100 or more points for the 10th straight game. The Thunder are 9-2 at home entering the contest against the team they defeated in the second round of the playoffs last season.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, Time Warner Cable SportsNet (Los Angeles), Fox Sports Oklahoma

ABOUT THE LAKERS (9-10, 8-11 ATS): Bryant is averaging 34 points over the last three games and is carrying the offense. Interestingly, he is averaging just 20.2 points in Los Angeles’ nine victories while averaging 33 points in 10 defeats. His 28.0 overall average is tops in the NBA and his career point total stands at 30,016, trailing Hall of Famers Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Karl Malone, Michael Jordan and Wilt Chamberlain on the all-time list. “Whenever you hear those kinds of names, you think about the amount of players that have played this game,” said Bryant, “and then to be in that kind of company, it’s always extremely, extremely special.”

ABOUT THE THUNDER (15-4, 13-5-1 ATS): The top offensive team in the league really was on a roll by going 21-of-30 from the field to start the game against the Nets. Oklahoma City averages a league-best 105.7 points and its 49.2 percent field-goal accuracy rate is second behind the Miami Heat. Kevin Durant had 32 points against the Nets and Russell Westbrook added 25. Durant has been engaging his teammates early in the games but still is the top gun in the final quarter. “I always want to be a go-to guy in the fourth,” said Durant, averaging 26.5 points. “That’s what I live for.”

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Lakers are 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Lakers are 9-4 against the Thunder in regular-season games since the former Seattle SuperSonics relocated to Oklahoma City.

2. The Thunder are averaging 112.2 points per game during their six-game winning streak.

3. Lakers F Pau Gasol is expected to miss third straight contest due to tendinitis in both knees.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Xavier (-10 1/2) Thursday.

Friday it’s Connecticut. The deficit is 1403 sirignanos.

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won/covered six of last eight games. (4-2 as HF)
-- 76ers won five of their last seven home games. (1-1 as HU)
-- Hawks won seven of last eight games (1-6 as HF).
-- Bulls won three of last four games (3-1 as AF).
-- Warriors won/covered six of last eight games (4-2-2 as AU).
-- Minnesota won three of last five games (4-1 vs spread) but lost three of last four at home.
-- Grizzlies won 13 of last 15 games (3-0 as AF).
-- Houston won/covered five of last six games (0-4-1 last five as AU). Spurs won seven of last eight games (4-3-1 as HF).
-- Thunder won/covered their last six games (8-3-1 as HF).
-- Orlando covered its last four away games (6-2-1 as AU).

Cold Teams
-- Nuggets lost four of their last five games (4-3 as AU).
-- Celtics lost three of last four road games (2-2 as AF).
-- Wizards are 2-13, but won two of last three games (4-3 as AU).
-- Detroit lost three of last four games overall, but won five of last six at home (3-0 as HU).
-- Brooklyn lost last two games, but won six of last seven home games (3-0-2 as HF).
-- Cavaliers lost seven of last eight games (covered four of last five as an AU).
-- Hornets lost 10 of last 12 games (1-6 last seven as AU).
-- Milwaukee lost seven of its last nine games (1-3-1 as HF). Bobcats lost their last five games (3-2 as AU).
-- Raptors lost eight of last nine games (5-6 as AU). Utah lost three of last four games (0-3 in last three as AF, 4-3 for year).
-- Lakers are 2-6 vs spread in game following a win (0-2 as AU).
-- Kings lost three of last four games (0-4-1 as HF).

Totals
-- Last five Denver games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Boston games stayed under the total; five of last six Philly games went over.
-- Six of last seven Washington games went over the total.
-- Last seven Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Golden State games went over the total; nine of last ten Net games stayed under.
-- Six of last nine Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Memphis games.
-- Eight of last eleven Houston games went over the total.
-- Six of Bucks' last seven games stayed under the total. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Charlotte games.
-- Six of last eight Toronto road games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in Oklahoma City's last eleven games.
-- Five of last seven Orlando games went over the total.

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CBB

-- Old Dominion lost last six games, is unusually poor 1-7, losing by 27-7 points in its two top 100 games. VCU/ODU played in three of last four CAA tourneys, but now Rams are in A-16, so this is a non-league game; VCU is 8-6 in last 14 games vs ODU, winning last two visits here, 59-50/68-64. Monarchs played Tuesday; VCU last played Saturday.
-- Harvard is 3-3 vs D-I teams, losing by 3-19 in its two top 100 games (UMass/St Joe's). Crimson lost to UConn last three years, by 14-29-6 points. Huskies are 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with all three games decided by 6 or less points- they lost to NC State in NYC Tuesday. Big East single digit home favorites are 10-4 against the spread.

-- Milwaukee lost its last five games, getting beat by 20 at home by 3-7 Buffalo last game. Northern Illinois is 1-5 vs D-I teams, getting first win vs team ranked #300 last game; Huskies lost 59-57 at home to Panthers LY- this year, they're turning ball over 26% of time, making just 27% behind arc. Horizon League home favorites are 10-8 against spread.
-- Home side won eight of last nine Iowa State-Iowa games; State won last three by 10-3-10 points, winning 75-72 in last visit here, ending 3-game skid in this arena. Iowa is 7-2, losing by 12-16 in its two games vs top 100 teams; best team they beat is #140 WKU. #34 Cyclones lost by 12 at UNLV in only road game; they lost to Cincinnati on neutral floor.

-- Manhattan won eight of last 10 games with Marist, winning three of last four played here (wins by 19-1-17 points); Jaspers are 3-4; three of four losses are vs top 90 teams-- they're turning ball over 32.9% of time, worst in country. 2-5 Marist just lost by 34 at #233 Army; they lost by 3 to Stony Brook in only home game so far this season.
-- Siena won eight of last 11 games with Rider, winning three of last four regular season games here (wins by 10-22-4 points), but struggling Saints are 2-7, with only wins vs teams ranked #269-258-- they're 0-3 at home, scoring 57.7 ppg in losses by 1-1-13 points. 5-4 Rider is 0-3 on foreign soil, losing by 12-13-11 points, but they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200.
-- Fairfield won its last nine games with Canisius, winning last six here, winning by 11-19-3-2-15-18 points. First home game for 4-4 Stags, who are 1-4 vs teams in top 200. Canisius upgraded at coach by signing Jim Baron, old URI coach; 4-1 Griffins are #12 in country in experience, 1-1 on road, losing by 7 at Stony Brook, winning by 18 at UMBC.

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Harvard at Connecticut

The Huskies look to take advantage of a Harvard team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Connecticut is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-9). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 7 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 825-826: VCU at Old Dominion (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: VCU 70.965; Old Dominion 52.161 Dunkel Line: VCU by 19; 126 Vegas Line: VCU by 15; 131 1/2 Dunkel Pick: VCU (-15); Under

Game 827-828: Harvard at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 58.112; Connecticut 69.324 Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 11 Vegas Line: Connecticut by 9 Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-9)

Game 829-830: Northern Illinois at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 40.693; WI-Milwaukee 53.490 Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 13 Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (-12 1/2)

Game 831-832: Iowa State at Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 68.547; Iowa 66.789 Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 2; 160 Vegas Line: Iowa by 2; 151 Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+2); Over

Game 833-834: Manhattan at Marist (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 50.135; Marist 48.286 Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 2 Vegas Line: Manhattan by 5 Dunkel Pick: Marist (+5)

Game 835-836: Rider at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rider 53.842; Siena 51.120 Dunkel Line: Rider by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Rider by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Siena (+4 1/2)

Game 837-838: Canisius at Fairfield (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 48.657; Fairfield 58.851 Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 10 Vegas Line: Fairfield by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (-5 1/2)

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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/07/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 909-289 (.759)
ATS: 367-379 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 1405-1562 (.474)
Over/Under: 111-94 (.541)
Over/Under Vary Units: 162-158 (.506)

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
FAIRFIELD 74, Canisius 62
Manhattan 65, MARIST 64
Rider 69, SIENA 63

Non-Conference
CONNECTICUT 69, Harvard 59
Iowa State 76, IOWA 75
Lafayette 74, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 71
MOUNT ST. MARY'S 59, Navy 54
SOUTH CAROLINA 74, Jacksonville 63
Vcu 72, OLD DOMINION 56
WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE 64, Northern Illinois 52

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/07/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 174-85 (.672)
ATS: 123-140 (.468)
ATS Vary Units: 431-433 (.499)
Over/Under: 141-122 (.536)
Over/Under Vary Units: 270-210 (.563)

PHILADELPHIA 89, Boston 88
INDIANA 100, Denver 98
BROOKLYN 101, Golden State 98
ATLANTA 100, Washington 88
Chicago 91, DETROIT 88
Memphis 94, NEW ORLEANS 89
MINNESOTA 103, Cleveland 95
MILWAUKEE 103, Charlotte 90
SAN ANTONIO 111, Houston 98
UTAH 104, Toronto 94
OKLAHOMA CITY 108, L.A. Lakers 96
SACRAMENTO 99, Orlando 98

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Our Free Plays are 949-702 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

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Today's NBA Picks

LA Lakers at Oklahoma City

The Thunder look to take advantage of an LA team that is coming off a 103-87 win over New Orleans and is 6-21 ATS in its last 27 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Oklahoma City is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 12. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 7 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: Denver at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.146; Indiana 120.489 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 195 Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Boston at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 119.323; Philadelphia 116.588 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2 1/2; 193 Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 1; 189 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-1); Over

Game 805-806: Washington at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 112.528; Atlanta 123.053 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 192 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-9); Under

Game 807-808: Chicago at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.650; Detroit 114.337 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 185 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 182 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-2); Over

Game 809-810: Golden State at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 116.628; Brooklyn 125.670 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 9; 197 Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6; 193 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-6); Over

Game 811-812: Cleveland at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.945; Minnesota 117.651 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 187 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 813-814: Memphis at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 124.614; New Orleans 114.201 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 10 1/2; 186 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 7; 183 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-7); Over

Game 815-816: Houston at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 119.524; San Antonio 129.730 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 208 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 212 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-8 1/2); Under

Game 817-818: Charlotte at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 110.368; Milwaukee 120.080 Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 9 1/2; 194 Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 7 1/2; 198 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-7 1/2); Under

Game 819-820: Toronto at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 111.574; Utah 122.009 Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 10 1/2; 200 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 821-822: LA Lakers at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 120.059; Oklahoma City 131.971 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12; 207 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7 1/2; 211 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-7 1/2); Under

Game 823-824: Orlando at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 112.393; Sacramento 119.188 Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 7; 203 Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 2 1/2; 195 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-2 1/2); Over

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Cappers Access

Celtics
Thunder

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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Friday... In the NBA play Over 195 Sacramento and Orlando