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Winning Points
Best Bets
#326 Arkansas St.
#333 Alabama
Preferred
#306 Kent St.
#322 West Virgina
#311 Pittsburgh
#335 Florida St.
Best Bet = 13-9
PRE = 26-18-1
Sports Reporter
Best Bets
#316 Kansas St.
#335 Florida St.
Recommended
#306 Kent St.
Best Bet = 29-20
REC = 33-14
Red Sheet
89 #333 Alabama
89 #311 Pittsburgh
88 #316 Kansas St.
89 = 9-12-1
88 = 18-17
Power Sweep
Key Selections
3* #330 Hawaii
2* #316 Under - Texas/ Kansas St.
Underdog of the Week ---- CONNECTICUT (+6) over Cincinnati
Over the past 30 years this play has been a reader favorite hitting 208-155
3* = 12-10
2* = 14-16
Power Plays
4* #310 UCONN
4* #311 Pittsburgh
2* #317 Oklahoma St.
2* #330 Hawaii
4* #334 Georgia
1* #335 Florida St.
4* = 35-34-2
2* = 10-15
1* = 4-5
Pointwise
Key Releases
1* #311 Pittsburgh
3* #304 Rutgers
4* #316 Kansas St.
5* #318 Baylor
5* = 12-15
4* = 17-11
3* = 7-6
Playbook / Marc Lawrence
GOW ---- #314 TCU
Awesome Angle ---- #314 TCU
AA = 3-4
GOW = 6-7
Green Sheet
RATING 5 #316 KANSAS STATE (-10)
RATING 4 #310 CONNECTICUT (+6)
RATING 3 #307 UCLA (+10)
RATING 2 #313 OKLAHOMA (-7)
RATING 2 #304 RUTGERS (-2)
RATING 1 #328 FLORIDA ATLANTIC (+9)
RATING 1 #330 HAWAII (-4) -
The Eckman NY Daily News
YTD: 10-2-1
Nebraska -3Comment
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PREDICTION MACHINE
Against the Spread Picks
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS
333 4:00 PM ALA UGA -7 - +12.9 - 59.2% - PP
Straight-Up Picks
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Points For Points Against Win%
333 4:00 PM ALA UGA 35.0 - +22.1 - 68.7%
Over/Under Picks
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick%
334 4:00 PM ALA vs. UGA50 - 57.0 - Over 59.5%Comment
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WUNDERDOG SPORTS
CFB 72-64 Last 136 picks +$1080
Game: Boise State at Nevada (Saturday 12/01 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Nevada +9 (-110)
The Broncos have been living on the BCS Bowl bubble the last couple of years, but they lost a lot of talent in the skill positions from a year ago. This is still a good team, but not of the ilk we have seen in recent years. Defensively, the Broncos still get after it, but the offense is not any better than average. The Broncos are usually punishing the bad teams with their offense, but unless they get to 50 points here it will be the first time since 1996 that Boise State did not get to 50 points all season. That is something that they have done 46 times since 1997, and 14 of them came in the last three years. The Broncos have two losses and three wins by 10 points or less, so the respectable teams are staying with them this season. Nevada sure has a good chance of being the next one. The Wolfpack has four losses, but two of those came by just 1 point. Stefphon Jefferson has rushed for over 1,500 yards and Cody Fajardo has passed for over 2,300, so they should be able to score enough to hang around this one. The Broncos were once the kings of the line in NCAA football, but are now just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games. And since last season, the Broncops are just 1-8 ATS vs. good rushing teams like NEvada (teams getting 4.75+ yards per carry). Take Nevada and the points.Comment
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Brian Lewis
24-15 on his Best Bets 61.5%
ALL College Football
Rutgers
Cincy
PittComment
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College Football Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 14
If you're looking to get some action down but only have a few minutes to handicap, let our college football cheat sheet help you out. We grab the best quick-hitting betting info on each of Saturday’s games with odds available in Week 14 of the season.
(23) Oklahoma State at Baylor (4, 87)
This a matchup of two of the nation's most balanced offenses and it shows in the total - the highest ever for a major football game. Both teams are among four FBS schools that average more than 300 passing yards and 200 rushing yards (Louisiana Tech and Texas A&M are the others). The Bears have won two straight and three of four to gain bowl eligibility, and the offense has led the surge with 52 points in each of the past two games. But Baylor has lost 15 of the last 16 meetings and hasn’t beaten the Cowboys since 2005. Oklahoma State is coming off a 51-48 overtime loss to rival Oklahoma. The Cowboys are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
(11) Oklahoma at TCU (6.5, 60.5)
Oklahoma has won seven Big 12 titles since 2000 but needs a win and some help to secure another. The Sooners have won four straight, including a wild overtime victory over Oklahoma State last week. Landry Jones threw for 500 yards and three touchdowns on a school-record 71 pass attempts in the win. The Horned Frogs relied on their defense, which held the Longhorns to season lows in points and yards, in their 20-13 win last week over Texas. TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a win.
Central Florida at Tulsa (-2, 55)
The UCF Knights take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane in the 2012 Conference USA Championship game. Both schools finished with identical overall (9-3) and conference records (7-1). UCF is in position to earn a conference championship thanks to its stout defense, which ranks first in the league in scoring defense (21.6) and second in yards allowed (374.9). Tulsa is 6-0 at home this season and has played under the total in all six of those wins. The team is dealing with the off-field distraction of Tulsa A.D. Ross Parmley being named in a betting scandal this week. According to reports, Parmley admitted to the FBI he previously bet on college and NFL football.
Kansas at West Virginia (-19.5, 71)
Kansas will conclude its woeful campaign on the road against West Virginia. The Jayhawks are winless against Big 12 foes this season and have dropped 20 conference games in a row. West Virginia is likely looking at a bid to the Holiday Bowl in San Diego should it win Saturday's contest. A loss would likely put the Mountaineers in the Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium. West Virginia snapped a five-game losing skid with a 31-24 triumph over Iowa State last Friday but is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home contests.
Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State (-9.5, 62.5)
The Sun Belt Conference doesn’t have a championship game, but Week 14’s tilt between the Arkansas State Red Wolves and Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders will determine the conference champ. ASU, which is coming off a bye week, has won six straight games and has covered in each of its last four contests. The Blue Raiders have also been excellent against the spread recently, going 3-0-1 in their last four.
UL Lafayette at Florida Atlantic (9, 60)
Louisiana-Lafayette cruises into the final regular season game riding back-to-back wins and victories in three of four with the only blemish being a seven-point loss at Florida. FAU may have a 3-8 record, but the Owls have beaten both Troy and Western Kentucky in league play in the past four weeks. The Ragin’ Cajuns are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings and the Owls are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. a team with a winning record.
(20) Boise State at Nevada (10, 60)
A win by the Broncos would give them a share of the Mountain West Conference title with San Diego State and Fresno State. And Nevada has already accepted a bid to the New Mexico Bowl. Boise State’s defense has been stellar all season and has forced 32 turnovers – 16 interceptions and 16 fumbles. The Broncos are fifth in scoring defense (14.4 points per game) and eighth in rushing defense (293.3 yards). The Wolf Pack are the only team in the country to score 30 or more points in each game but a leaky defense has allowed more than 30 six times. Nevada has played over the total in four of its last five games and the over is 4-0 in Boise State’s last four road games. Nevada also needs a win to go over its season win total of 7.5 games.
Cincinnati at Connecticut (5, 40.5)
With a win here and a loss by Rutgers on Thursday, Cincy would gain a share of the Big East title for the fourth time in five years. Connecticut, meanwhile, is a win away from gaining bowl eligibility for the fifth time in six seasons. The Huskies scored a total of 33 points during a four-game losing streak from Oct. 6 to Nov. 3. They've scored 47 in two wins since, although 13 of those points came in overtime against Louisville. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between the schools.
New Mexico State at Texas State (-13, 57)
The first-ever meeting between a couple of disappointing WAC programs takes place on Saturday, as the Texas State Bobcats play host to the New Mexico State Aggies. Back on Aug. 30, the Aggies began the season with a 49-19 win over FCS Sacramento State at home, but have since dropped 10 straight. New Mexico State has struggled mightily on offense recently, having been limited to 14 points or less in its last five games. Texas State has also been brutal, dropping five straight contests, but showed some life in a 38-31 defeat to Texas-San Antonio last week. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four games.
(2) Alabama vs. (3) Georgia (7, 50.5)
A berth in the BCS Championship Game against Notre Dame is at stake when Alabama and Georgia clash in Saturday’s SEC title game in the Georgia Dome in Atlanta. Alabama leads the nation in points allowed (9.3) and total defense (233.7). The Bulldogs rank 17th in points allowed (17.7) but have been especially stingy the last five games, allowing an average of 8.6 points. The schools have played over the total in their last four meetings and the Crimson Tide are 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games.
Pittsburgh at South Florida (6.5, 46.5)
The Panthers have shown a tendency to play to the level of their competition this season. Pitt is coming off a huge victory over Rutgers (its second win against a ranked opponent at the time), just two weeks after taking Notre dame to triple overtime. The Panthers have an opportunity to become bowl eligible with a victory and won’t be lacking motivation this weekend. South Florida is devastated by injuries at the QB position. Freshman Matt Floyd has yet to throw a touchdown pass in two starts and has led the offense to a total of 19 points in back-to-back losses at Miami and Cincinnati. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
(18) Texas at (6) Kansas State (-11, 63.5)
The Wildcats need to beat the Longhorns to clinch their first BCS berth since the 2004 Fiesta Bowl and at least a share of their first Big 12 title since 2003. The Longhorns fell out of the conference title picture with a 20-13 loss to TCU on Thanksgiving and are now simply trying to improve their bowl pecking order and play spoiler for a Kansas State team that has won the past four meetings with Texas. The Longhorns have won their last five road games, including all four this season, and they've beaten two ranked teams away from home this campaign (then No. 22 Oklahoma State, then-No. 20 Texas Tech). The underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings.
(13) Florida State vs. Georgia Tech (14, 62)
Both teams are coming off disappointing losses to their in-state rivals, with Florida State losing 37-26 to Florida and Georgia Tech falling 42-10 against Georgia. The winner of this contest advances to the Orange Bowl on New Year's Day, possibly against the Big East champion. The Seminoles boast the nation’s second-best defense, allowing 249.42 yards per game, but they’ll be without senior DE Cornellius Carradine (ACL) for the rest of the season. The prognosis for Georgia Tech’s leading rusher Orwin Smith is unclear for Saturday’s ACC title game. Smith was held out of practice again Wednesday because of his ankle injury suffered in the Duke game Nov. 17. The Seminoles are 0-2-2 ATS in their last four meetings.
(12) Nebraska vs. Wisconsin (3, 49)
With a Rose Bowl berth on the line Saturday, the Badgers are the only obstacle that remains in the way of the Cornhuskers winning their first Big Ten conference championship. Wisconsin is appearing in this game only because Ohio State and Penn State are ineligible for postseason play this season. The Badgers have dropped three of their last four games, but all three were in overtime. In fact, all five of Wisconsin’s losses this season have been by seven points or less and have come by a combined 19 points. The Cornhuskers have played over the total in their last eight neutral site games.
South Alabama at Hawaii (-6.5, 52.5)
The South Alabama Jaguars are 0-6 on the road this season, allowing 35.2 points per game away from home. And now the Jaguars face a long and difficult road trip to Hawaii for their season finale. "We're going to lose a day in travel, so we have had to kind of tighten our belts coming straight off the last game and get the game plan in even earlier than we normally would,'' Jaguars defensive coordinator Bill Clark said Wednesday. "It's a different feeling this week. You're at the end of a long season; as a player, you just have to fight through that. From a preparation standpoint, it's a time crunch trying to get ready.” South Alabama has failed to cover in its last four games overall. Sharps and the public are on Hawaii and have driven this line up a field goal since it openedComment
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Where the Action is: NCAAF Mid-Week Line Moves
There may only be a handful of games on the college football slate but with conference championships highlighting the schedule, Week 14 is one of the most heavily-bet boards of the season.
We talk to Jay Rood, sportsbook director at the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas, about the biggest adjustments to the Week 14 odds and where those lines will end up come kickoff.
Central Florida Knights at Tulsa Golden Hurricane – Open: +1, Move: -2
Tulsa made headlines in the betting community Tuesday when athletic director Ross M. Parmley was placed on leave after admitting he gambled on pro and college football until he quit in 2010.
That controversy hasn’t scared off early money, which is all over the Golden Hurricane at home. Early bettors moved them from slight underdogs to favorites at some books. Some believe the move is just a ploy to beef up the spread before buying back on UCF, however, Rood says the betting trends don’t quite fit the usual practice by sharp bettors.
“Usually you get the half-hearted plays if they’re going to dummy up a line. So far it’s been all full-limit plays on Tulsa,” he says. “Tulsa is a lot like the (Seattle) Seahawks and play much better at home (6-0 SU, 3-2 ATS).”
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs – Open: +8.5, Move: +7
The SEC Championship not only carries conference bragging rights but also a trip to the national title game, to face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Jan. 7. This line has been bet down to an even touchdown, with early money on UGA. Since then, action has been steady on Alabama and books expect it to stay that way.
“We are getting more Alabama money now that we knocked the hook off,” says Rood, who went from +7.5 to +7. “I think we’ll get OK two-way action, but somewhere in the range of 60/40 in favor of Alabama. If it comes in too heavy we’ll make the move back to +7.5 but don’t want to have this thing land on seven.”
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Wisconsin Badgers – Open: +2.5, Move: +3
The early action on the Big Ten title game has been relatively split, with a slight lean towards Nebraska. Rood says it’s been pretty quick in terms of action but expects that to change as Saturday draws near.
“I would imagine Nebraska being the public side and wouldn’t be surprised to see this (spread) go up a little before or on game day,” he says.
South Alabama Jaguars at Hawaii Warriors – Open: -3.5, Move: -6
This Sun Belt versus Mountain West matchup is the late night degenerate special in Week 14, with its 11 p.m. ET kickoff making it the last bet on the board. These games usually don’t see moves like this until after all others have kicked off, but early sharp money is on Hawaii with South Alabama dealing with an injured rushing attack and a long trip to paradise.
“It is what it is – the get-out game. You either get out even or get even deeper,” says Rood. “Everything is on Hawaii right now. Sharps have bet this as much as they can and it will probably go to -7. It has the look of a 'runaway' game.”Comment
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Biggest. Total. Ever. And 'over' is the Trend for Big Totals
Oddsmakers made college football betting history this week, posting an 86.5-point total for the Big 12 showdown between Oklahoma State and Baylor Saturday.
That total has since been bet up to 87 points as of Thursday.
The massive number is the largest over/under of the season and could be the highest total ever posted for an FBS college football game.
It’s the biggest number posted since 1985 (as far back as our stats database goes) and talking with many Las Vegas veteran oddsmakers, none of them recall a total as large as this Week 14 behemoth.
While the monstrous OSU-BU total may send some bettors running for the under this weekend, the over has been the wise play when it comes to the largest totals in the college football history. Of the 20 highest NCAAF over/under numbers – ranging from 77 to 83 points – the over has posted a 12-7-1 payout.
When you just include totals of 80 points or more, the over/under is a stunning 5-2-1. The most profitable range of totals is numbers between 77.5 and 83, which has gone 11-4-1 over/under.
Baylor is no stranger to 80-point totals, having now been involved in the four biggest over/under numbers in the past 27 years. In fact, the Bears and Cowboys were the former record holders, pushing with an 83-point total in a 59-24 OSU win last October.
This season, Baylor and West Virginia warranted an 82.5-point total in Week 5 (WVU 70, BU 63) and the Bears met with Texas Tech last weekend with an 80-point closing total (BU 52, TTU 45 OT). Those two faced an 82-point over/under in Week 13 of last season.
Here’s a look at the five biggest totals in college football history, going back to 1985:
83 – Oklahoma State 59, Baylor 24 (Oct. 29, 2011)
82.5 – West Virginia 70, Baylor 63 (Sept. 29, 2012)
82 – Baylor 66, Texas Tech 42 (Nov. 26, 2011)
80.5 – Hawaii 53, New Mexico State 13 (Oct. 27, 2007)
80.5 –Houston 70, Tulsa 30 (Nov. 15, 2008)Comment
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Richard Saber @ Gaming Today
Saturday, Dec. 1
SEC
Alabama -7½ vs. Georgia: The last time these two met was back in 2008 when the Tide won 41-30 as a 6½ point dog. Both teams have one loss as the Bulldogs got whipped in South Carolina 35-7 and the Tide fell at Texas A&M 29-24. Alabama will get back to the championship game as their defense will rise to the occasion. ALABAMA.
ACC at Charlotte
Florida St -14 vs. Ga Tech: This is a championship game? The Seminoles are off a humiliating loss at home falling to Florida 37-26. GT is fresh off of getting hammered by Georgia 42-10. The Yellow Jackets (aka the Rambling Wreck) have had some good success against the Seminoles winning the last two times they played. The two TD’s look like a take in this game. GA TECH.
BIG TEN at Indy
Nebraska -3 vs. Wisconsin: These two met Oct. 29 in Lincoln and the Huskers as a 12-point favorite won a close game 30-27. They have won six straight coming into this one going 4-2 ATS. The Badgers have dropped three of four SU and ATS. Can’t back Wisky in this spot. NEBRASKA.Comment
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GOLDSHEET
★ ★ ★ ★KEY RELEASES ★ ★ ★ ★
NCAAB- OLE MISS by 22 over Rutgers
NCAAF- PITTSBURGH by 18 over South Florida
NBA- SPURS by 16 over GrizzliesComment
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Vincent Rizzo Sports
CFB
Pittsburgh -6 (1U)
Hawaii -6.5 (1U)Comment
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Info plays
georgia tech yellow jackets +14Comment
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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
CFB S ALABAMA at HAWAII
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 after a loss by 21 or more points against opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.
59-26 over the last 10 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
2-6 this year. ( 25.0% -4.6 units )
CFB LA LAFAYETTE at FLA ATLANTIC
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) solid team - outgaining their opponents by 1 or more yards/play, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games.
112-59 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.5% 0.0 units )
22-12 this year. ( 64.7% 0.0 units )
CFB MIDDLE TENN ST at ARKANSAS ST.
Play Against - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (MIDDLE TENN ST) in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG), after a win by 6 or less points
81-40 since 1997. ( 66.9% 37.0 units )
1-3 this year. ( 25.0% -2.3 units )Comment
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CAPPERS ACCESS
ALL CFB
TCU
Nevada
S. FloridaComment
Comment