5-30-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Elite Sports Picks
Chicago Cubs (Dempster) -140 over San Diego (Bass)

National Sports Service
4* Atlanta (Hudson) -120 over St. Louis (Lohse)
3* Miami -7.5 over Boston (NBA)

Insider Sports Report
4* Boston/Miami OVER 177 (NBA)
3* Philadelphia (Lee) -140 over N.Y. Mets (Gee)

Primetime Sports Picks
4 Unit --> Chicago White Sox (Quintana)/Tampa Bay (Cobb) UNDER 8
3 Unit --> Baltimore (Hammel) +135 over Toronto (Morrow)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Miami/ Boston Over 177: I'm going to go right back to the Over in this one, despite losing on the Over in game 1. For much of game 1 the teams were on pace for 180+ points as they were running a bit, but then from the later part of quarter 3 on the Celtics forgot how to score and the game landed at 172 points. That still not much off of tonight's total and I feel the game will also be a bit closer so we should get the FT's at the end as well. Miami home games have averaged 188.4 ppg this year, while Boston's road games have averaged 183.3 ppg, so 180+ is more than possible for this one. During the regular season, both games played here between these teams put up 222 points and while I don't expect that many points in this one, I do expect both teams to push tempo and have the scoring well into the 180's.

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Rays -135

50* Giants -120

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Texas (-240) over Seattle

50* Miami (-160) over Washington

50* LA Dodgers (-160) over Milwaukee

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

250,000♦ Boston Celtics

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

967 Royals +105 @ 12:05p
969 White Sox +120 @ 1:10p
971 A's Even @ 1:10p
952 Cubs -140 @ 2:20p
953 Reds -135 @ 7:05p
974 Jays -140 @ 7:05p
956 Marlins -168 @ 7:10p
960 Mets +125 @ 7:10p
975 Tigers +125 @ 7:10p
964 Dodgers -165 @ 10:10p
965 D-Backs Even @ 10:15p

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

***TOP PLAY*** Celtics/Heat 5* 9-0 Game 2 *BEST BET*
5* Boston Celtics +8

Boyd's 'Never Lost' 7-0 MLB Underdog Game of the Week!
3* Baltimore Orioles +115

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - MLB


Chicago +124 over TAMPA BAY Pinnacle
1:10 PM. The offering here makes no sense. The White Sox are the hottest team in baseball. They’ve won seven in a row and they’re demolishing every pitcher they face. James Shields was their latest victim in last night’s 7-2 romp. Over the course of this streak, the South Side has hit .320 with 15 home runs and has outscored opponents 61-27. Alex Cobb has an elite groundball rate of 59% but it is accumulated over a small sampling of 12 IP. He was in the minors and got the call up due to the injury to Jeff Niemann. Cobb has a poor BB/K ratio of 6/8 and it is not uncommon for him to throw an inordinate amount of pitches per inning as control issues remain. Jose Quintana doesn’t possess any eye-popping pitch or offer much in the way of projection, but he gets the job done by throwing strikes, mixing pitches and inducing ground balls. The Rays are hitting a wretched .191 over their past five games, which is the worst mark in the majors over that stretch. Tampa may have a slight edge on the hill but the White Sox have a huge edge at the dish and in the all-important state of mind category. Play: Chicago +124 (Risking 2 units).

San Diego +121 over CHICAGO Pinnacle
2:20 PM. The Cubs have won just one of Ryan Dempster’s eight starts and despite a 2.14 ERA, the righty remains winless. While Dempster has certainly deserved a better record, he remains a frustrated pitcher that is sure to see his unsustainable ERA rise. Not only is he irritated but his teammates are pressing at the plate when he’s out there in a desperate attempt to get him some run support. Now, Dempster will face a Padres club that has basically owned him. Current Padres batters have 33 hits in 97 career AB’s against Dempster for a combined BA of .340, a .396 OBP and a sick .912 OPS. Anthony Bass has had two rough outings in nine starts. His 3.55 ERA and 1.23 WHIP come with full skill support. He has a 50% groundball rate, 55 K’s in 58 innings and a 3.40 xERA. At the age of 24, Bass is a different pitcher this year. He’s gone from a two-pitch pitcher to a four pitch pitcher by adding a cutter and using his changeup more frequently (14.5 % this season as oppose to 7% last season) than he did a year ago. Clear signs of maturing and with his talent, the youngster offers value against a guy who simply cannot find the “W” column. Play: San Diego +121 (Risking 2 units).

Baltimore +117 over TORONTO Pinnacle
Brandon Morrow is as erratic as he is good. He goes from dominating a line-up to getting torched as frequently as any pitcher in the game. Morrow has given up six runs in two of his last three starts, including his latest outing where he didn't make it out of the first inning against the Rangers. His record at home over the years has been extremely unstable and this year is no different with a 2-2 mark and a 4.36 ERA. Current Orioles have 29 hits in 106 AB’s (.274) against Morrow and eight of those hits have gone yard. These two have already played eight games against one another this year and the O’s have outscored the Jays 16-1 in the eighth and ninth innings. Against Jason Hammel in 85 combined AB’s, current Jays hitters have one jack against him and a .241 BA. Hammel has an solid groundball rate of 57%. His 2.78 ERA is right in line with his 3.01 xERA and the Orioles have won seven of his nine starts. We’ll keep riding him when offered a tag. Play: Baltimore +117 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

4-STAR TORONTO over Baltimore - While both of these teams have far exceeded expectations in the early going, one of these teams is for real (at least with its top two starters going) and one is for not. For the second straight night you are getting one of those top starters at a very cheap price due to one bad outing against a starter in Jason Hammel who looks good on the surface but is falling back to Earth against good teams.
Baltimore has already started reeling a bit as losers of four straight games. The Blue Jays are 44-14 since September 16, 2006 at home vs a team that has lost at least their last three games and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $2555. They fell yesterday, 8-6. The Blue Jays are 21-4 since June 14, 2011 as a favorite after allowing 6+ runs for a net profit of $1548. However at one point it was an 8-1 game. Toronto eventually had to use five pitchers to slam the door on that one. The Blue Jays are 23-1 since June 24th, 2008 as a home favorite after a win in which they used at least five pitchers, as long as it is not the fourth game of a series. Baltimore had 13 hits total, stranded 26 men on base individually and 11 as a team. The Orioles are 4-22 since April 17, 2011 after a loss in which they left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1676 when playing against. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: TORONTO 6, Baltimore 2

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins - NATIONALS TO WIN (+146)
Listed Pitchers: Wang vs Johnson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.92 units)

Washington has dropped the first two games of this series, making it only their 4th series lost on the year. The Nationals are 29-20 on the year and 14-12 away from home. They have only been swept once this season back in April against the Dodgers in Los Angeles with a couple 1 run ball games, and I think they avoid the sweep tonight. Miami has had a great May and have improved their record to 28-22 on the season and 15-10 at home. On the mound for Washington is Chien-Ming Wang who has been named the club's 5th starter with Detwiler heading to the bullpen. Wang went 4-3 last season with a 4.04 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .272 opponents batting average. He pitched 3 innings of relief on Friday allowing 3 hits and 1 earned run giving him a 3.00 ERA on the season. The Marlins will have Josh Johnson on the mound tonight, who has been inconsistent this year back from an injury. It looked like JJ had it back going 7 innings in three straight starts giving up 2, 2, and 1 earned run against, but in his last start he went just 5 innings giving up 9 hits and 3 earned runs. He is just 2-3 on the season with a 4.87 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, and .313 opponents batting average. He has given up 71 hits in 57.1 innings pitched. Take note that the Nationals are 20-7 in their last 27 vs divisional opponents, and 22-7 in their last 29 games vs a starter with a WHIP higher than 1.30. The Nats are 13-6 in their last 19 game 3's of a series, 11-5 in their last 16 as an underdog of +110 to +150, and 5-2 in Wang's last 7 starts as an underdog. Not much bad can be said against this Marlins team right now, but with the inconsistencies that Johnson has been having on the mound and with the Nationals playing good baseball all year long I think we have some value here backing the Nats at a nice +146 price. Take Washington to avoid the sweep tonight as they look to protect their lead in the NL East.

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker | MLB Money LineWed, 05/30/12 - 7:05 PM •
double-dime betml 954 PIT (+115) 5dimes vs 953 CIN

Greg Shaker | MLB Money LineWed, 05/30/12 - 1:10 PM •
double-dime betml 971 OAK (+105) 5dimes vs 972 MIN

Greg Shaker | MLB Money LineWed, 05/30/12 - 8:40 PM •
double-dime betml 961 HOU (+157) 5dimes vs 962 COL

[Mr. IWS]

TEDDY COVERS
5/30/12
MLB
10* Boston -125 (976)

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Winning Crew
MLB 15 Dime Winner
Cleveland

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Detroit Tigers +120