11-12-08
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Re: 11-12-08
John Ryan
Temple vs. Kent (NCAAF) - Nov 12, 2008 8:00 PM EST
Play: Point Spread: 1/-108 Kent
Play Title: kent State
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Kent State - AiS shows a 72% probability that KSU will lose this game by 2 points or less and has a 55% probability of winning the game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 27-26 making 42 units with the average play being a +251 dog. Play against road favorites versus the money line in conference games off a road cover where the team lost as a dog. This is analogous to playing BJ at the casino and being paid +$2.51 for every winning $1.00 hand played. That will never be reality, but this system is certainly so and is a demonstrative example of why I NEVER play casino games. here is a second system that has gone 22-6 for 79% making 16.9 units since 1992. Play against road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 and is a poor passing team gaining 130-175 PYPG facing an average passing defense allowing 175-230 PYPG after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game. A complex system, but one certainly worth tracking and playing when qualifying. This is a bit of a reverse situation for my casino analogy. The system is like a casino game that would give you a 79% probability of winning the game and still paying you even money for every win. The point si that the combination of the Ai Simulator and the supporting cast of systems, angles, and game research si what has made my clients a ton of cash for more than 15-years and counting. Join me tonight and every day and you will be glad you did.
Take Kent State. -
Re: 11-12-08
Vegas Sports Experts
The VSE Football Power Plays for Wednesday are:
10* Take N. Illinois (-3.5) over C. Michigan (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST
N. Illinois
• 26-6 SU as a home favorite since 1992
• 4-1 SU in home games when the total is between 45.5 and 49 points
• 12-3 ATS coming off two or more losses against the spread
10* Take Temple (-1) over Kent State (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST
Kent State
• 0-6 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons
• 2-9 ATS vs. conference opponents the last 2 seasons
• 1-7 SU & ATS when playing in the month of NovemberComment
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Re: 11-12-08
Indiancowboy COMP
Central Michigan/Northern Illinois Under 50
You can make a case for either of these teams. On one end, you have a 7-2 team in Central Michigan that has been the traditional powerhouse over the years in this conference. Dan Lefevour has thrown for more than twice the yards as Northern Illinois leading passer and he has thrown for twice as many touchdowns going for 11 td's and just 3 interceptions. Central Michigan comes off 5 straight wins and nearly beat Purdue on the road. Northern Illinois is undefeated at home of course and come off an ugly loss to Ball State on the road and will be fired up at home after such an ugly loss in front of their fans as they lost to this team 10-35 on the road last year. The total has come down from 50 to 49 in this game as it is a conference game and the temperature is expected to be below 40 degrees. Look, I know the numbers state how this game is likely to go over, but I like the under here as I've always believed conference games such as this can typically lead to unders. Although it is not enough for me to make a play, games in Northern Illinois in this rivalry have gone under in the past such as the previous two times. The under is 7-1 for the Huskies when facing a team with a winning record meaning that they show up defensively against the better teams in the league.
Houston Rockets +3.5
Houston got spanked in their last game against the Lakers. Let's face it, they were embarrassed and have had some time to think about it. In fact, this would explain the line going backwards. Battier is listed questionable for this game. Remember, Phoenix struggled against the Hornets at home who is a very similar team to the Rockets. Man, I tell you what, I really want to take the Rockets here and frankly I think the only play here is the Rockets ML or you stay away from this game. But, the Suns have yet to lose back to back covers so far. But, I think the Rockets put forth a spirited effort today and likely win this game outright after the embarrassment at L.A. Bottom line, I think Houston comes back strong after a terrible performance and this is why the line is as low as it is. Rockets likel win this baby outright in my opinionComment
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Re: 11-12-08
Andre Gomes
NBA - 713 Los Angeles Lakers @ 714 New Orleans Hornets
The Lakershow continued yesterday with a win at Dallas, in a game who even though they trailed, they managed to win the game down the stretch and even cover the spread! Today they will face the Hornets in New Orleans, in a duel between the two most powerful teams in the West (in theory at least). I understand this spot may bring an offensive letdown for the Lakers, however this line is at 194 points, I know most part of the public is on the over, but sometimes the public and I think that’s the case on this game.
The Lakers are a team with conditions to score a lot of points in every game, as they have a lot of offensive solutions. They have Kobe, they have Gasol and Bynum on the frontcourt and a very strong bench who scores a lot of points.
We can say the same about the Hornets, with Chris Paul this team is a power club, the question is that we have 194 points in a game between two great offensive teams, which is a low line. On the four games of the series last season, the games ended with 211, 206, 189 and 222 points. And I see this game to have conditions to have at least 200 points.
The Lakers have been defending well on these six games, but they have had an easy schedule, with several days off to rest between games, which isn’t the case of today. This will be a back to back game for the Lakers and yesterday’s game was very intense. I’ve also noticed that the Hornets will try to raise the pace of today’s game.
Point guard Chris Paul said the Hornets have to push the tempo to be effective.
“They have two guys who are huge, Gasol and Bynum. Even though those guys are capable of running, we are going to try to keep them running for 48 minutes. Hopefully they will get tired.”
Come to this, I expect a good game with about 200 points being scored today. Take the over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on 713/714 Over 194,5Comment
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Re: 11-12-08
PROCAPPERSNETWORK / Oscarxena Sports
Northern Illinois -3 1/2 (3 Unit Play)
This game I almost decided to pass on but after looking at a few things as well as the injury reports I think I am on the right side of this one with the Huskies tonight. Northern Illinois is off of a humbling blowout against ranked Ball State last game and can't win the MAC West title but they do need just one win to become bowl eligible and beating a good Central Michigan team would enhance their possible bowl chances. The bottom line in this game comes down to defense in my opinion and Northern Illinois is very good defensively even with their bad game last week. Northern Illinois had went 6-1 ATS to open the season but has since dropped two games in a row but the Huskies are taking on a very beaten up Chippewas squad here tonight. CMU is hoping to have QB Dan LeFavour back for this game and he should play but I question how effective he will be in running the ball with his bad ankle. I think Northern Illinois will want to play a very good game here tonight and while I am sure CMU will be up for this game they do have Ball State at home next week and may be peeking ahead just a bit here.Comment
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Re: 11-12-08
BOB BALFE
College Football
Northern Illinois -3.5 over Central Michigan
CMU has a future NFL QB in Dan LeFevour, but he is coming off an injury where he missed some playing time and will have to get back into a groove tonight against the MAC Conference #1 rushing and passing defense. Northern Illinois is the home team and should play up to their #1 defensive ranking. This should be a good game, but you have to love home defense in a very big game. Take Northern Illinois.
NBA Basketball
Sixers +5.5 over Raptors
NCAA Basketball
Prarie View A&M +35 over UCLAComment
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