Ufc 130

[MMA_scientist]

I still question this reliance on props.

In my opinion straight bets should still--and should probably always--be the cornerstone of any betting system.

I agree, but only because of the limited availability. Value is value.

[MMA_scientist]

Not Maynard, Story, Rampage, Nelson, and Stann by sub is like -400. Thinking about adding Pac man to this if I go through with it. Stann by sub kinda worries me but I don't think Santiago will gas like Massenzio did. And I don't see Nelson subbing Mir.. I actually think that fight may go to decision

I would trade Maynard out for Edgar... that is what I had last time (Not Edgar by sub) and he scared me once with a guillotine, but the line difference is worth the risk IMO. Not Edgar by sub is -1750, not Maynard is -5400.

Also not sure not Not Ramage by sub is -2000 and Not Hammill is -6800. I guess Hammill could tap to strikes...

[MMA_scientist]

You can get "not edgar/rampage/nelson/stann by sub" for -416

If you add Story in it comes down to -338


I went ahead and pulled the trigger on the edgar/rampage/nelson/stann for a couple units just in case...

[MMA_scientist]

Nelson is not going to submit Mir. Mir might submit Nelson though. Edgar did scare me last time with a standing guillotine, but I think it is worth the line difference. Rampage hasn't even attempted a submission in 10 years. I don't think he could submit Hammill anyway. We've talked about Stann... but I think Stann is going to want to force a standup fight and I really don't think he can sub Santiago anyway. He only got Massenzio because Massenzio was half dead from fatigue.

[SPX]

I agree, but only because of the limited availability. Value is value.

I agree.

I just don't want to get used to that shit when there's apparently only one book on earth that has the range of props to make it a viable strategy, and that one book is notoriously picky not only about who they're going to take money from but also how they're going to take it.

[Mr. IWS]

[poopoo333]

I would trade Maynard out for Edgar... that is what I had last time (Not Edgar by sub) and he scared me once with a guillotine, but the line difference is worth the risk IMO. Not Edgar by sub is -1750, not Maynard is -5400.

Also not sure not Not Ramage by sub is -2000 and Not Hammill is -6800. I guess Hammill could tap to strikes...

I don't see Hamill tapping from subs, and I think Edgar by sub is more likely then Maynard by sub. I honestly won't be surprised if Edgar wins ITD in this fight. Flame away edman and everyone else

[edman5555]

Consider yourself flamed. But seriously I guess he good guillotine him. It is funny though I was thinking about that today and I came to the conclusion that he wouldn't try a lot because that usually means giving up the takedown. The fight prob goes the diff sonot giving any tds is very crucial. Examples: kamp shields and dunha, sherk

[poopoo333]

Not Mosley by 12 rd decision/Not Maynard by sub/Not Rampage by sub/Not Nelson by sub/Not Stann by sub/Not Story by sub, 4u to win 1.1u

[trotterz]

Not Mosley by 12 rd decision/Not Maynard by sub/Not Rampage by sub/Not Nelson by sub/Not Stann by sub/Not Story by sub, 4u to win 1.1u

not so sure about not story by sub in here. I could defenetely see story taking alves down more than once, and alves giving story his back to try to get back up, could easily result in a rnc.
this is pretty much the only one that I could see happening

[MMA_scientist]

Alves has been subbed several times before, but he defintely looks better on the ground now. I doubt Story subs him, but I could definitely see it happening, he likes that arm triangle... if he can wear Alves out, I could see it. But seriously, it won't happen.

[poopoo333]

UFC 130 Fight Card: Cody McKenzie Out, Gleison Tibau in

[Svino]

UFC 130 Fight Card: Cody McKenzie Out, Gleison Tibau in

Aw, I like Cody. Hope he's not injured.

[Thewisemann]

I am now working with a 5u bankroll, + have .9u on stann and 3.22u on reem

[edman5555]

Jorge Santiago is no joke, at least on paper that is. Reem? You mean Allistair over Werdum?