UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

There is a chance he can catch J lo in a sub in a scramble like you said but even though J lo is a P belt he is pretty good at bjj.

That is pretty much his out... it could happen because Lauzon gets in scrambles all the time. He should keep it standing and score a takedown at the end of each round.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

Some interesting prop bets:

Randy by sub @+110
Randy by (T)KO @+155
Maia by sub @+155
Ruediger/Lauzon go distance @+190

yeah i noticed all of those. I think randy by sub isnt a bad idea though you never know he might try to knock him out after he takes him down.

I'm not sure of the accuracy of this statement, but I am pretty sure you could lay wagers on both and come out ahead if either of them happen (I don't know what would have to be laid down though)

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

Some interesting prop bets:

Randy by sub @+110
Randy by (T)KO @+155

Randy by sub @ +110 is interesting. I really think we are going to see a classic street fight scenario. Randy takedown, mount, Toney gives back and gets choked. But as was mentioned, Randy might just decide to flatten him out and ping pong his head a little for humilation. This is why I don't like props...

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

...

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

I'm not sure of the accuracy of this statement, but I am pretty sure you could lay wagers on both and come out ahead if either of them happen (I don't know what would have to be laid down though)

You would come out ahead regardless (assuming equal sized bets)... but you would basically be betting 2u on randy ITD... your return would be 2.45 - 2.0 = .45u


So the bottom line is that your real bet is Randy ITD @ -450 BEST CASE SCENARIO is if he won by TKO

If he won by submission, it would be 2u to win .10 the line would be -2000

There is probably a way to average those, but svino will come in here and calculator-whip me in the temple if I mess it up, so I am not even going to attempt.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

There is probably a way to average those, but svino will come in here and calculator-whip me in the temple if I mess it up, so I am not even going to attempt.

LOL

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

wiseman special
Alves
Salter
Osipzcak
Lentz
Lauzon
Diaz
Maia
Florian
Couture/Toney under 1.5 rds
Edgar by dec
.02u to win 21u

Alves
Osipzcak
Salter
Lentz
Lauzon
Diaz
Florian
Maia
Couture by submission
Edgar by split/maj dec
.02u to win 91.48u

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

Edgar by dec .5u to win 2u
Couture 10u to win 2.1u
Florian 1.35u to win 1u
Maia 3.2u to win 2u
Salter .5u to win 1.1u
Alves .5u to win 1.1u

Edgar .5u to win 1.25u
Edgar by split/majority dec .5u to win 6.42u

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

Also a hittable parlay
Osipzcak
Lentz
Lauzon
Diaz
Florian
Maia
Couture
.2u to win 3.39u

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

Edgar by dec .5u to win 2u
Couture 10u to win 2.1u
Florian 1.35u to win 1u
Maia 3.2u to win 2u
Salter .5u to win 1.1u
Alves .5u to win 1.1u

Edgar .5u to win 1.25u
Edgar by split/majority dec .5u to win 6.42u

Couture/Toney under 1.5 rds 2.3u to win 1u

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

florian, salter and Osipczac are unanimous. I just looked at the last few pages of the thread... put your picks in and I will integrate

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

^^^^^^^Dam, thats pretty cool.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

Are these supposed to be our picks for who's going to win or where the value lies?

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

^^ these are your actual bets, as you have stated in the thread.

I guess we could do another chart for just where the value lies. I don't care about straight fantasy picks. MMAMoneyLine does that and it is not very useful for bets IMO. We get that the favorite is usually going to win, I think we undertsand that concept here. We need to narrow down actual bets or value.