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I think Penn won the first fight and I think he will win this fight as well. But the first fight was close, I have no fucking clue why BJ is worse then -250. I will most likely stay away.
BJ won the first fight just like shogun and the ufc is trying to fix the judges fuck up as fast as possible just like machida vs shogun 2. I would take bj up to -500 honestly this fight is over the first round.
You guys are crazy. How can you pay 3:1 for a guy to fight the guy who JUST beat him. Even if you think Penn won, it was close. Why would it be any different this time? Edgar beats everyone @ LW too. BJ has lost more fights @ LW than Edgar. Edgard has fought some tough guys too.
I favor BJ, but I wouldn't pay a premium for the opportunity.
. . .the ufc is trying to fix the judges fuck up as fast as possible. . .
LOL
I scored the fight for BJ the first time I watched it. The second time--and maybe I was being subconsciously influenced by the result--I could see how it was scored for Frankie. I think Penn landed the heavier shots, but Edgar may have landed more shots total, and he did get at least one decent takedown.
You guys are crazy. How can you pay 3:1 for a guy to fight the guy who JUST beat him. Even if you think Penn won, it was close. Why would it be any different this time? Edgar beats everyone @ LW too. BJ has lost more fights @ LW than Edgar. Edgard has fought some tough guys too.
I favor BJ, but I wouldn't pay a premium for the opportunity.
I guess I just think BJ brings it this time. You can't disagree that BJ didn't really look like BJ. It's hard to say how much of that was due to Edgar's gameplan and how much of it was due to BJ not really bringing his A-game.
I agree that -300's a little steep, and I didn't say I would take him at the price. I just noted to the board that he had hit -310. Personally, I'd like -233, because after seeing the last fight I think Edgar probably beats him 30% of the time.
This fight I don't really care about the lines. Ive went back and value betting based on lines is losing me money. I'm just betting straight who I think is going to win regardless of the odds. I'm going to see how that works out over the next few ufc events. I started it on Bellator taking Megu at -800. So far it's working.
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