UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
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Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
I think I'll stay away from the Florian fight. I think it really all depends on Gomi. If he actually has a real training camp instead of just kicking his students around and actually works conditioning, he absolutely has a good shot at winning. If not, well Florian will probably mop him up. Either way I don't want to put that much on Florini.Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shitComment
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Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
I would take a bet finishing inside the distance. Florian rarely goes to decision with anyone anymore. Those elbows are sharp as fuck and once someone gets busted open they get frantic, thats when he finishes.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment
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Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
Originally posted by zY|I think I'll stay away from the Florian fight. I think it really all depends on Gomi. If he actually has a real training camp instead of just kicking his students around and actually works conditioning, he absolutely has a good shot at winning. If not, well Florian will probably mop him up. Either way I don't want to put that much on Florini.
I think Florian could probably beat Gomi 2005. But the fact is that that Gomi is gone... it has been 4 years since we have seen the good Gomi. In the off chance that Gomi shows up good again, I still think Florian will deal with him. Florian is good and has the very best training partner in the world in GSP.
I have 5u on Florian
5u on Nelson, I see no way for Struve to beat Nelson, great match-up for Roy
I think Linhares has some value, but probably won't bet it, because I do feel that Okami will win.
I am seriously considering Pearson. @ -188 he has value. The only reason I hesitate is that we have not seen him fight another striker yet. I watched tape on Siver, and he basically looks like a less potent version of Perason. Plus he's German, so how much training can he be getting.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
On my to-research list:
Pearson/Siver
Emerson/Lentz
Uno/Tibau
Harris/Miranda
I think that Tibau is just too fucking big for Uno (and too big to big a lightweight, really), but I want to go back and watch some tape. My guess is Tibau just muscles him around the whole fight.
Harris is my boy (Hurricane FTW!) but I know nothing of Miranda except that he's apparently 11-0.
I might like Torres against Volkmann. Torres looked pretty good overall against an improved and always-capable Guillard. Volkmann on the other hand has been relatively unimpressive. Also, what the fuck? Volkmann's a lightweight now? Has he ever even made that cut before?
I'd like to take Quarry, but his current line is just unappetizing. Even though he won, Quarry really didn't look that great at all against Tim Credeur.
I also might drop .25u on Struve. The forum is full of fucking haters, but I don't think that "Struve has no way to win" as some of you are saying. He's game, he's tall and long, and if he can keep Roy on the outside then he can win that fight. Also, the danger of a sub is always there with that guy.I heart cockComment
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Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
Originally posted by SPX
I also might drop .25u on Struve. The forum is full of fucking haters, but I don't think that "Struve has no way to win" as some of you are saying. He's game, he's tall and long, and if he can keep Roy on the outside then he can win that fight. Also, the danger of a sub is always there with that guy.
Struve will not be submitting Roy.
Maybe he will win the standup, but I doubt it. He has pillow hands, while Roy has a rock for a head.
Roy has very good takedowns, and he is going to use them, if and when he needs them. Roy should be -600.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
oh and my research list:
Dos Anjos, Pelligrino, Torres, Harris, Veach, Madsen, Demarquez Johnson.
I am looking seriously at Pearson now, probably go a little smaller on him, like 2 or 2.5u
When I am done with Pearson, I am gonna look at Friday's fights on Strikeforce Challengers. I really like Galvao if the odds are right. Galvao is up there with the best grapplers in the world... if the odds are right I am taking him. Also Daniel Cormier. Cormier is a 2x runner up in NCAA wrestling, would have been a multiple champ if some guy named Cael Sanderson was not in his weight class. He has made noise internationally, a beast in wrestling. One of the best wrestlers in MMA.
someone make a strikeforce challengers thread. Galvao and Cormier.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
Originally posted by MMA_scientistYou just hate Roy because he is fat.
Originally posted by MMA_scientistRoy has very good takedowns, and he is going to use them, if and when he needs them. Roy should be -600.I heart cockComment
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Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
Originally posted by MMA_scientistDos Anjos
Originally posted by MMA_scientistsomeone make a strikeforce challengers thread.I heart cockComment
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Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
Originally posted by SPXI jumped on him early and I'm surprised you didn't. I mean Christ, he opened at +185 against Terry Etim? That shit's WAY off. Seems like a pick 'em fight to me.
Originally posted by SPXYou know you don't need special permission or anything to do that, right?2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion
^^ ha. I read those. I just don't have anything useful to add.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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