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Excited to be attending these fights tomorrow with a bunch of fighters from our gym. Took in Wand's place on the Strip today. Checked odds at a bunch of books.Venetian was weaker than I was led to believe. Found value at Hooter's and the Rio.
Rampage dec +400
Bisping -155
Bisping/Miller dec +150
Nog -400
Nog by T/KO +250
Stun +125
Russow dec +1000
Forbes -110
Whomever it was that mentioned Rampage by stoppage in all three rounds, a MUCH better bet is Rampage inside the distance. If you do the math,
you'll realize that quickly.
My 114 plays,
Rampage 2.25u to win 2.05u
Bisping 4u to win 2.05u
Bisping/Miller goes the distance 1u to win 1u
Hathaway .24u to win .5u
Hathaway/Sanchez goes the distance 1u to win 1.1u
Russow .13u to win .5u
Stun Gun 2u to win 2.23u
Stun Gun /Amir goes distance 1.8u to win 1u
Lauzon .33u to win 1u
Lauzon/Escudero goes distance .09u to win .5u
Out of the undercard fights, none of the new lines are up on dimes or BM yet, but the only one that looks decent is Guillards line.
Backed out of my Russow bet. Duffee is gonna smash him.
At 10/1 you can make a lot of money with an occasional win. Once the fight goes beyond 30 seconds, his chances rise dramatically. He's a big tough guy with some ground skills, not sure Duffee has been tested there. Additionally if Todd has consumed one to many Blizzards...................................
Whomever it was that mentioned Rampage by stoppage in all three rounds, a MUCH better bet is Rampage inside the distance. If you do the math,
you'll realize that quickly.
The only way you make more money is if Rampage wins in the 3rd round .
Someone check my math though I could be wrong:
Rampage wins in rd1 .3u @+600 =180 -60 from other two bets =120
Rampage wins in rd2 .3u @+700 =210 -60 from other two bets = 150
Rampage wins in rd3 .3u @+1100 =330-60 from other two bets= 270
had you put .9 unit on Rampage inside the distance at +182 you win 163.80 which is more than two of the three stoppage bets
Excited to be attending these fights tomorrow with a bunch of fighters from our gym. Took in Wand's place on the Strip today. Checked odds at a bunch of books.Venetian was weaker than I was led to believe. Found value at Hooter's and the Rio.
welcome to the board. don't forget to check out Lagasse's at the Palazzo
Rampage, who opened his training camp at 251 pounds ,and was 221 earlier this week looked trim and there were no reports of a struggle to make weight at 205. Evans weighed in at 206. Only two fighters had difficulty making. Both Amir Sadollah and Aaron Riley dropped their drawers to make weight.
Actually the better bet would be small amounts on all rounds as well as a bet or inside the distance if the math is being done. even the three rounds without a bet on a win inside the distance is better according to the math in terms of return. The percentage is better but we're not in this solely for percentage, we're also in this for the money. I'm using my own bets as the example.
.4u to win 1u Jackson wins inside distance +240
.25u to win 1.5u Q.Jackson wins in round 1 +610
.25u to win 1.8u Q.Jackson wins in round 2 +720
.25u to win 2.8u Q.Jackson wins in round 3 +1150
Supposing of course the fight is stopped at any time before the final bell with Jackson coming out victorious, someone stands to win at least 2u and at most 3.3u. Which ain't bad given the odds. At worst 1.15u is lost.
2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
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