Evans-Rampage UFC 114

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  • zY|
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2009
    • 8387

    Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

    Far fetched I'd say, Zak.
    Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

    Comment

    • mma-attorney
      Junior Member
      • May 2010
      • 5

      Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

      Excited to be attending these fights tomorrow with a bunch of fighters from our gym. Took in Wand's place on the Strip today. Checked odds at a bunch of books.Venetian was weaker than I was led to believe. Found value at Hooter's and the Rio.

      Rampage dec +400
      Bisping -155
      Bisping/Miller dec +150
      Nog -400
      Nog by T/KO +250
      Stun +125
      Russow dec +1000
      Forbes -110

      Whomever it was that mentioned Rampage by stoppage in all three rounds, a MUCH better bet is Rampage inside the distance. If you do the math,
      you'll realize that quickly.

      Comment

      • Thewiseman
        Senior Member
        • Feb 2010
        • 510

        Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

        Originally posted by Thewiseman
        My 114 plays,
        Rampage 2.25u to win 2.05u
        Bisping 4u to win 2.05u
        Bisping/Miller goes the distance 1u to win 1u
        Hathaway .24u to win .5u
        Hathaway/Sanchez goes the distance 1u to win 1.1u
        Russow .13u to win .5u
        Stun Gun 2u to win 2.23u
        Stun Gun /Amir goes distance 1.8u to win 1u
        Lauzon .33u to win 1u
        Lauzon/Escudero goes distance .09u to win .5u
        Out of the undercard fights, none of the new lines are up on dimes or BM yet, but the only one that looks decent is Guillards line.
        Backed out of my Russow bet. Duffee is gonna smash him.

        Comment

        • mma-attorney
          Junior Member
          • May 2010
          • 5

          Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

          At 10/1 you can make a lot of money with an occasional win. Once the fight goes beyond 30 seconds, his chances rise dramatically. He's a big tough guy with some ground skills, not sure Duffee has been tested there. Additionally if Todd has consumed one to many Blizzards...................................

          Comment

          • Luke
            10 year vet
            • Oct 2006
            • 30069

            Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

            Originally posted by mma-attorney

            Whomever it was that mentioned Rampage by stoppage in all three rounds, a MUCH better bet is Rampage inside the distance. If you do the math,
            you'll realize that quickly.

            The only way you make more money is if Rampage wins in the 3rd round .

            Someone check my math though I could be wrong:

            Rampage wins in rd1 .3u @+600 =180 -60 from other two bets =120

            Rampage wins in rd2 .3u @+700 =210 -60 from other two bets = 150

            Rampage wins in rd3 .3u @+1100 =330-60 from other two bets= 270


            had you put .9 unit on Rampage inside the distance at +182 you win 163.80 which is more than two of the three stoppage bets
            2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


            Comment

            • MMA_scientist
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2009
              • 9857

              Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

              Originally posted by mma-attorney
              Excited to be attending these fights tomorrow with a bunch of fighters from our gym. Took in Wand's place on the Strip today. Checked odds at a bunch of books.Venetian was weaker than I was led to believe. Found value at Hooter's and the Rio.
              welcome to the board. don't forget to check out Lagasse's at the Palazzo
              2012: +19.33
              2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

              Comment

              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 99133

                Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

                Originally posted by MMA_scientist

                welcome to the board. don't forget to check out Lagasse's at the Palazzo
                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter



                Comment

                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 99133

                  Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

                  Anyone watch the weigh ins?

                  Nog looked fucking HUGE next to Brilz
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                  Comment

                  • Luke
                    10 year vet
                    • Oct 2006
                    • 30069

                    Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

                    Originally posted by MMA_scientist

                    welcome to the board. don't forget to check out Lagasse's at the Palazzo

                    LOL does MMAscientist know too?
                    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                    Comment

                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 99133

                      Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

                      LOL, Im not sure.
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                      Comment

                      • Luke
                        10 year vet
                        • Oct 2006
                        • 30069

                        Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

                        Originally posted by IWS Zak
                        Anyone watch the weigh ins?

                        Nog looked fucking HUGE next to Brilz

                        nah anyone got a link to the video or pictures?
                        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                        Comment

                        • Luke
                          10 year vet
                          • Oct 2006
                          • 30069

                          Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

                          Rampage, who opened his training camp at 251 pounds ,and was 221 earlier this week looked trim and there were no reports of a struggle to make weight at 205. Evans weighed in at 206. Only two fighters had difficulty making. Both Amir Sadollah and Aaron Riley dropped their drawers to make weight.


                          yikes .holy crap 221 earlier this week?
                          2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                          Comment

                          • Ludo
                            Senior Member
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 4932

                            Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

                            Actually the better bet would be small amounts on all rounds as well as a bet or inside the distance if the math is being done. even the three rounds without a bet on a win inside the distance is better according to the math in terms of return. The percentage is better but we're not in this solely for percentage, we're also in this for the money. I'm using my own bets as the example.

                            .4u to win 1u Jackson wins inside distance +240
                            .25u to win 1.5u Q.Jackson wins in round 1 +610
                            .25u to win 1.8u Q.Jackson wins in round 2 +720
                            .25u to win 2.8u Q.Jackson wins in round 3 +1150

                            Supposing of course the fight is stopped at any time before the final bell with Jackson coming out victorious, someone stands to win at least 2u and at most 3.3u. Which ain't bad given the odds. At worst 1.15u is lost.
                            2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                            Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                            Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                            Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                            2012: +20.311u

                            Comment

                            • Ludo
                              Senior Member
                              • Jan 2010
                              • 4932

                              Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

                              I don't think he was 221 this week. Last week on the Primetime show they said he was at 221.
                              2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                              Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                              Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                              Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                              2012: +20.311u

                              Comment

                              • Ludo
                                Senior Member
                                • Jan 2010
                                • 4932

                                Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114

                                Might be time for an arb bet on Stun Gun...
                                2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                                Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                                Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                                Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                                2012: +20.311u

                                Comment

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