UFC 109 Discussion

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

Coleman is not really bigger than Randy. Coleman has slowed down considerably, watch the Bonnar fight. Coleman is SLOW. Im sure he will take Couture down some of the time, but he wont keep him down(see the Lesnar fight) and Couture has a big advantage standing. Then Coleman will get tired. He maintained top position against Bonnar, and was pretty tired in that fight, Couture can wrestle with him and push the pace. Coleman will gas. And Couture is good defensively off his back, what is Coleman gonna do off his back?(trust me, he will be there) I am highly confident randy takes this. laid down 22.3u to win 5.8u

Colemans not bigger than Randy?? You're kidding right? Coleman will outweigh Randy by probably 20 pounds when they walk into the ring not to mention strength.

Coleman on his back? Yeah sure

Couture couldnt even get Vera down hows he going to take down Coleman? If Couture wins it will be a stand up fight that Randy uses his speed to out box Coleman

Vera is a very good greco roman wrestler also, who is in great shape who wasnt gassed like Coleman will be.

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 109 bets

So far I have:
Couture 22.3u to win 5.8u
Couture wins inside the distance .3u to win .8u
Serra .4u to win .3u
Serra wins inside the distance .16u to win .5u
Sonnen wins by decision .3u to win 1.5u
Dan Miller wins by decision .16u to win 1.6u

How many units is your bankroll?

About 100u in my bankroll.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 109 bets

About 100u in my bankroll.

I'm sure most gamblers would agree that it's never adviseable to wager 22% of your bankroll on ANY fight, much less Couture VS Coleman.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 109 bets

About 100u in my bankroll.

I'm sure most gamblers would agree that it's never adviseable to wager 22% of your bankroll on ANY fight, much less Couture VS Coleman.

agreed. By all means, do what you want... but just know that you would have to be pretty lucky to sustain long term growth risking that much of your bankroll... the risk of ruin is too high.

[Luke]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

The Coleman -Couture fight will go much like the Coleman-Rua II fight went imo

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 109 bets

The max I put on one fight is 25u. The past 2 years i am 31-5 on picks that I bet more than 10u on, so it has been working for me. I understand why not to and thanks for the input. I feel strongly that Couture wins this better than 90%, so i am comfortable with my bet.

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

The Coleman -Couture fight will go much like the Coleman-Rua II fight went imo

But Couture wont be gassed like Rua was.

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 109 bets

8.5u to win 5.5u parlay on Marquardt and Maia at -350 each
3u to win 3.3u on Frank Trigg at +110
1u to win 3u on Mark Coleman at +300

and when a line comes out on Rolles Gracie I'll probably toss a unit on him as well provided his line is under -200

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 109 bets

and when a line comes out on Rolles Gracie I'll probably toss a unit on him as well provided his line is under -200

Try -550 on bodog.

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Christ... I would have hoped he wasn't THAT much of a favorite. I know it's Mustapha Al Turk but shit. Scratch that, I won't be putting anything on Gracie then unless I can get better odds somewhere, I'll have to look around.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Christ... I would have hoped he wasn't THAT much of a favorite. I know it's Mustapha Al Turk but shit. Scratch that, I won't be putting anything on Gracie then unless I can get better odds somewhere, I'll have to look around.

Rolles is actually fighting Joey Beltran now.

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Damn it all. Might as well stick him in there with big Cabbage(yes I know Cabbage is long gone from the UFC but you get My point)

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 109 bets

So far I have:
Couture 22.3u to win 5.8u
Couture wins inside the distance .3u to win .8u
Serra .4u to win .3u
Serra wins inside the distance .16u to win .5u
Sonnen wins by decision .3u to win 1.5u
Dan Miller wins by decision .16u to win 1.6u

Just added my parlays:
Couture, Swick, Maia, Serra, Danzig, Davis, Tuscherer .5u to win 4.7u.
Two parlays with futures both risking .03u with the same fighters + Torres
And I always do a parlay with the whole card.
Couture wins inside the distance, Sonnen by decision, Swick, Maia, Serra, Torres, Danzig, Emerson, Davis, Tuscherer, and Gracie .03u to win 23.5u
So total parlay risk is only .59u, and for crazy parlays its .09u

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 109 bets

So far I have:
Couture 22.3u to win 5.8u
Couture wins inside the distance .3u to win .8u
Serra .4u to win .3u
Serra wins inside the distance .16u to win .5u
Sonnen wins by decision .3u to win 1.5u
Dan Miller wins by decision .16u to win 1.6u

Just added my parlays:
Couture, Swick, Maia, Serra, Danzig, Davis, Tuscherer .5u to win 4.7u.
Two parlays with futures both risking .03u with the same fighters + Torres
And I always do a parlay with the whole card.
Couture wins inside the distance, Sonnen by decision, Swick, Maia, Serra, Torres, Danzig, Emerson, Davis, Tuscherer, and Gracie .03u to win 23.5u
So total parlay risk is only .59u, and for crazy parlays its .09u

You are wild man.

As to 31-5, @-400 on average you would only be up 2.5 times your bet after risking 25% of your bankroll 36 times.

There is a better way.

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Just out of curiosity, why Sonnen?